Off-Table causation wins
The citable precedent set for causation-in-fact. These are the reasoned decisions in which a Special Master found, under Althen v. HHS, that a vaccine more likely than not caused an injury that is not on the Vaccine Injury Table, or fell outside its onset window. Filter by condition and vaccine to find the decisions, Special Masters and experts behind a theory that has already succeeded.
Decisions
| Decided | Case | Vaccine | Condition | Special Master | Petitioner's expert(s) | Basis | Award |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | Ricardo Rodriguez | HPV | Guillain-Barré Syndrome | Jennifer A. Shah | David M. Simpson | Althen analysis (Table also discussed) | entitlement |
| 2025-11-19 | Eric Simmons | HPV | Guillain-Barré Syndrome | Jennifer A. Shah | Norman Latov | Althen analysis (Table also discussed) | entitlement |
| 2025-09-02 | Theo Rogan | HPV | Other / multiple | Nora Beth Dorsey | M. Eric Gershwin, Jill, M. Eric | Off-Table | entitlement |
| 2023-08-21 | Trey Cobb | HPV | Narcolepsy / cataplexy | Katherine E. Oler | Lawrence Steinman | Althen analysis | entitlement |
| 2023-06-20 | Victoria Mager | HPV | Death | Christian J. Moran | Shafrir | Off-Table | $366K |
| 2022-04-28 | A.C.W. | HPV | Transverse myelitis | Thomas L. Gowen | not identified | Off-Table | $659K |
| 2021-06-23 | Matthew Jimenez | HPV | Other / multiple | Nora Beth Dorsey | not identified | Althen analysis (Table also discussed) | entitlement |
| 2018-02-26 | Emily Tarsell, as the Executrix of the Estate of Christina Tarsell | HPV | Death | Christian J. Moran | not identified | Althen analysis | $310K |
| 2017-09-22 | R.B. | HPV | Encephalitis / encephalopathy | Brian H. Corcoran | not identified | Off-Table | $195K |
| 2016-08-30 | Megan Morgan | HPV | Other / multiple | Thomas L. Gowen | not identified | Off-Table | $800K |
| 2016-05-25 | Megan L. Godfrey | HPV | Other / multiple | Denise K. Vowell | Michael McCabe | Off-Table | $142K |
| 2016-05-12 | Michayla Waterman | HPV | Other / multiple | Lisa D. Hamilton-Fieldman | not identified | Off-Table | $166K |
| 2015-12-18 | Donna Ramsay | HPV | Other / multiple | Lisa D. Hamilton-Fieldman | Michael McCabe | Althen analysis (Table also discussed) | — |
| 2015-06-15 | Sherry Salmins | HPV | Guillain-Barré Syndrome | Nora Beth Dorsey | not identified | Off-Table | $1.4M |
| 2015-05-22 | Rachel McCulloch | HPV | Encephalitis / encephalopathy | Thomas L. Gowen | not identified | Off-Table | $1.4M |
| 2014-05-13 | Cassandra Burchett | HPV | Guillain-Barré Syndrome | Nora Beth Dorsey | Allan E. Rubenstein | Off-Table | — |
How off-Table causation is decided
When an injury is not on the Vaccine Injury Table, or falls outside its onset window, the petitioner must prove causation under the three-part test from Althen v. Secretary of HHS (Fed. Cir. 2005): a medical theory connecting the vaccine to the injury, a logical sequence of cause and effect in this petitioner's case, and a medically appropriate interval between vaccination and onset. The standard is preponderance of the evidence, and the Special Master weighs competing expert reports rather than requiring epidemiological proof.
That makes prior reasoned decisions the working precedent of the program. A theory accepted for a given vaccine and condition is easier to carry the second time, and the experts who carried it are the ones later petitioners retain. Decisions are not formally binding on other Special Masters, but they are cited constantly, and the Court of Federal Claims and the Federal Circuit review them for arbitrariness rather than re-trying the facts.