VICP Registry Case Source Bundle Canonical URL: https://vicp-registry.org/case/USCOURTS-cofc-1_16-vv-00989 Package ID: USCOURTS-cofc-1_16-vv-00989 Petitioner: K.A. Filed: 2016-08-11 Decided: 2022-04-18 Vaccine: Tdap Vaccination date: 2013-08-12 Condition: Guillain-Barré syndrome Outcome: denied Award amount USD: AI-assisted case summary: K.A., a 51-year-old medical researcher, received a Tdap vaccine on August 12, 2013. He subsequently developed symptoms consistent with Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS), with onset reported around August 29, 2013, approximately 18 days after vaccination. K.A. filed a petition alleging the Tdap vaccine caused his GBS, an off-Table injury. The case involved extensive expert testimony from both sides, with petitioner's expert, Dr. Lawrence Steinman, proposing two causation theories: first, that the alum adjuvant in the Tdap vaccine could cause GBS, and second, that molecular mimicry between vaccine components and nerve structures could trigger GBS. Respondent's expert, Dr. Kathleen Collins, argued that K.A.'s symptoms were more likely caused by an intercurrent upper respiratory infection (URI) or influenza-like illness (ILI) that he experienced prior to the onset of GBS. The Chief Special Master denied entitlement, finding that K.A. failed to establish by a preponderance of the evidence that the Tdap vaccine caused his GBS under either of the proposed theories. The decision noted that the medical records strongly supported the conclusion that an intercurrent URI was the more likely cause of K.A.'s GBS, and that the expert testimony did not sufficiently establish a causal link between the vaccine and the injury. K.A. appealed this decision, arguing that his requests for an infectious disease expert were improperly denied and that the Chief Special Master misconstrued the law regarding causation. The reviewing court affirmed the Chief Special Master's decision, finding no abuse of discretion in denying additional experts or a hearing, and agreeing that the evidence did not preponderantly support a vaccine-related injury. The case was ultimately denied. Theory of causation field: Off-Table Public staged source text: ================================================================================ DOCUMENT 1: USCOURTS-cofc-1_16-vv-00989-2 Date issued/filed: 2023-02-10 Pages: 37 Docket text: JUDGE VACCINE REPORTED OPINION re: 111 Order on Motion for Review. Signed by Senior Judge Marian Blank Horn. (jm5) Service on parties made. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 1 of 37 REDACTED OPINION In the United States Court of Federal Claims No. 16-989V Filed: October 17, 2022 Redacted Version Issued for Publication: February 10, 20231 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * K.A., * Petitioner, * * v. * * SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND * HUMAN SERVICES, * Respondent. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Robert J. Krakow, Law Office of Robert J. Krakow, P.C., New York, NY, for petitioner. Nina Ren, Trial Attorney, Torts Branch, Civil Division, United States Department of Justice, Washington, DC, for respondent. With her were Heather L. Pearlman, Assistant Director, Torts Branch, C. Salvatore D’Alessio, Acting Director, Torts Branch, Brian M. Boynton, Principal Deputy Assistant Attorney General, Civil Division. O P I N I O N HORN, J. On August 11, 2016, petitioner K.A. filed a petition for compensation with the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (Vaccine Program), under the National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986, 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-1–300aa-34 (2018) (Vaccine Act), for an off-Table injury. See 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-11(c)(1)(C)(ii) (2018). Petitioner claimed that an August 12, 2013 Tetanus Diphtheria acellular-Pertussis (Tdap) vaccination caused him to experience Guillain-Barré syndrome. On April 18, 2022, Chief Special Master Brian H. Corcoran denied petitioner’s claim for an award of 1 This Opinion was issued under seal on October 17, 2022. Petitioner proposed redactions to the Opinion, which were incorporated into this version. The court made additional conforming redactions for consistency. Consistent with Chief Special Master Brian H. Corcoran’s February 1, 2023 Order, the Opinion refers to petitioner by the initials “K.A.” Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 2 of 37 compensation, finding that petitioner had not shown, by a preponderance of the evidence, that he was entitled to compensation. Subsequently, petitioner filed a Motion for Review of the Chief Special Master’s decision denying his claim pursuant to Rule 23 and Rule 24 of the Vaccine Rules of the United States Court of Federal Claims (2021) (Vaccine Rules) in the United States Court of Federal Claims. F I N D I N G S O F F A C T On August 12, 2013, petitioner, a medical researcher, received the Tdap vaccine, when he was fifty-one years old. Prior to receiving the vaccine, petitioner had a medical history of high cholesterol, hypertension, and a chronic leg condition. Following his vaccination, on September 1, 2013, petitioner was admitted to the North Shore University Hospital Emergency Department in Manhasset, New York and petitioner reported that he had experienced three days of flu-like symptoms, including dry cough, chills, and swelling of his throat. The medical professionals treating petitioner noted that he appeared neurologically sound and was not in distress, although they observed petitioner displaying many common symptoms of an upper respiratory infection or influenza like illness (URI/ILI), including fever, chills, weakness, nasal discharge, congestion, dyspnea, and cough. Petitioner was discharged the following day on September 2, 2013, and petitioner maintains that he continued to experience a fever through September 3, 2013. On September 4, 2013, petitioner was discovered in his driveway complaining of numbness on his left side, and was transported via ambulance to the emergency department at St. Francis Hospital in Roslyn, New York. Emergency responders noted that petitioner walked with an “unsteady gait” and that he had been treated for flu-like symptoms recently. The same day, September 4, 2013, petitioner was admitted to St. Francis Hospital for further evaluation. Medical records from petitioner’s September 4, 2013 visit to St. Francis Hospital indicate that petitioner stated [t]he current episode started in the past 7 days. The problem occurs intermittently. The problem has been unchanged. Associated symptoms include weakness. Pertinent negatives include no numbness. Nothing aggravates the symptoms. He has tried nothing for the symptoms. [P]atient presents to the emergency department for evaluation of weakness of the left arm leg and face. Patient states symptoms are [sic] originally began approximately 5 days ago when he was attempting to climb a hill and noticed weakness in the left leg. Patient then states that he developed incoordination of the left face when attempting to brush his teeth this morning. Patient denies loss of sensation however states he has a tingling sensation diffusely over the left side of his body. There are no specific modifying factors. Severity of symptoms mild to moderate. (alterations added). With regard to his neurological symptoms, petitioner’s admitting physician Dr. Subash Viswanathan reported that petitioner was “unable to forcefully 2 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 3 of 37 closed [sic] left eye. Left face shows mild weakness. Otherwise cranial nerves 2-12 intact. There is subjective weakness of the left arm and left leg. However patient is able to move both extremities with good strength. There is no sensory deficit.” (alteration added). Dr. Viswanathan also noted Pt [patient] had the “flu” 2 weeks ago, not receiving abx [antibiotics]. Denies recent travel or diarrhea. Was an URI. The past week first noted left leg weakness while climbing. Had presented to NSUH [North Shore University Hospital], where he works doing bench research on HIV [Human Immunodeficiency Virus] nephropathy, where he was admitted. CT [Computed tomography] chest was negative. After discharge he has been noting a weakness and numbness of the left face/arm/leg. He denies any vision change but there is some burning sensation in the left eye. He noted toothpaste dripping from the left mouth while brushing his teeth. He also complains of bloating and unable to make a BM. His BP [blood pressure] has been high. (alterations added). CT scans of petitioner’s brain and chest did not yield any significant abnormalities. Lab results indicated, however, that petitioner had the antibodies for the West Nile Virus, which indicated that he had contracted West Nile Virus at some point in the past. On September 4, 2013, Dr. Michael Han, another treating physician, indicated “[m]uch of his [petitioner’s] symptoms and findings are non-specific, though bifacial weakness is most prominent and perhaps most helpful in narrowing down differential. A major consideration would be AIDP [Acute Inflammatory Demyelinating Polyneuropathy]/GBS (Guillan [sic] Barre Syndrome) with all the above features, including potential autonomic dysfunction.” (alterations added). Dr. Han also indicated that petitioner had suffered a “recent URI [upper respiratory infection] 2 weeks ago.” (alteration added). During his stay at St. Francis Hospital, petitioner complained primarily of weakness. Petitioner also reported to Dr. Han that he had experienced flu like symptoms two weeks prior, and that he developed left leg weakness and difficulty climbing over a small hill near his home shortly thereafter. On September 5, 2013, Dr. Teresa Deangelis, a neurologist, examined petitioner and reported that “[a] major consideration would be AIDP/GBS (Guillain Barre Syndrome).” Dr. Deangelis likewise noted that petitioner had experienced “recent URI 2 weeks ago.” Dr. Deangelis’ treatment notes indicate that she started petitioner on a five- day course of intravenous immunoglobulin therapy on September 5, 2013, which is a blood product used to treat patients with antibody deficiencies, including neurological disorders such as Guillain-Barré syndrome. On September 6, 2013, petitioner went through a rheumatology consult with Dr. William Given, who indicated that petitioner “states that he was well until about 2 weeks ago when he developed NP [nonproductive] cough, pharyngitis, malaise, and elevated temperature.” (alteration added). Dr. Given 3 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 4 of 37 reported that it appeared that petitioner “developed weakness and paresthesias[2] following what appears to be a viral illness a couple of weeks ago.” (alteration added). On the same day, September 6, 2013, petitioner had an infectious disease consult with Dr. Dava Klirsfield. Dr. Klirsfield’s assessment indicated: “Patient with bell’s palsy, left sided weakness and hyporeflexic, recent tetanus shot and flu-like illness, imaging shows a dermoid in occipital bone on right, suspect a demyelinating disorder[3] possibly post viral or post vaccine.” (alteration added). Dr. Klirsfield’s assessment also indicated that petitioner’s positive West Nile Virus antibodies test had “unclear significance,” and ordered additional laboratory testing. On September 10, 2013, following two consistent lumbar punctures, Dr. Doina Glodan diagnosed petitioner with “Guillain-Barre syndrome post recent viral URI.” Petitioner remained at St. Francis Hospital until September 17, 2013, at which time he was discharged to Glen Cove Hospital, a rehabilitation facility in Glen Cove, New York. Petitioner’s medical records from his date of discharge indicate that petitioner stated that he “[f]eels like he is getting better. No new complaints.” While at Glen Cove Hospital, petitioner received physical therapy, occupational therapy, and commenced a speech therapy program. On September 22, 2013, petitioner’s medical records indicate that “he developed acute right facial weakness with right hemiparesis, and CAT scan of the head revealed no new acute pathology, and the patient after contacting primary neurology was transferred to North Shore University Hospital for further investigation and treatment.” Treatment notes from North Shore University Hospital state that petitioner displayed increased lethargy, weakness, and right sided numbness and tingling that started two to three days prior, with trace reflexes and worsened right-side issues. Petitioner’s admittance documents from North Shore University Hospital indicate that he was experiencing “new onset of R [right] side numbness/tingling weakness in the setting of recently diagnosed of [sic] AIDP.” (alterations added). On September 24, 2013, petitioner began plasmapheresis treatment.4 Petitioner’s treatment notes state that, as a result of the plasmapheresis treatment, petitioner exhibited “significant improvement” in strength and respiration. According to 2 Paresthesias is defined as “tingling or pricking (‘pins and needles’), caused chiefly by pressure on or damage to peripheral nerves.” Encyclopedia of Virology 738 (Dennis H. Bamford & Mark Zuckerman eds., 4th ed. 2021). 3 “A demyelinating disorder is any condition that causes damage to the protective covering (myelin sheath) that surrounds nerve fibers in your brain, the nerves leading to the eyes (optic nerves) and spinal cord.” Demyelinating disease: What can you do about it?, MAYO CLINIC, https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/multiple- sclerosis/expert-answers/demyelinating-disease/faq-20058521 (last visited Feb. 10, 2023). 4 Plasmapheresis “is a nonsurgical therapy that removes and replaces a patient’s blood plasma.” Plasmapheresis Program, UC SAN DIEGO HEALTH, https://health.ucsd.edu/specialties/apheresis/pages/plasmapheresis.aspx (last visited Feb. 10, 2023). 4 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 5 of 37 petitioner’s medical records, thereafter, on September 26, 2013, petitioner saw a dietician who indicated in petitioner’s medical history that petitioner had initially presented “with progressive weakness post tetanus shot 8 weeks ago.” The dietician also noted that petitioner had reported that “he kept losing weight since after his tetanus shot despite adequate intake.” On October 8, 2013, petitioner was discharged from North Shore University Hospital and returned to Glen Cove Hospital for further rehabilitation, where he stayed until October 21, 2013. On October 21, 2013, petitioner was “discharged home with supervision from friends and family with a follow up with Dr. Han.” Petitioner had an initial evaluation at Transitions Rehabilitation on October 23, 2013, when he stated that he was in “good health until September of this year.” The following day, on October 24, 2013, petitioner was hospitalized at North Shore University Hospital after he was “FOUND LYING ON FLOOR AOX3 -LOC C/O SEVERE HEAD ACHE 10/10 PAIN SCALE, PT WAS JUST RELEASED MONDAY FROM REHAB FOR A NEUROLOGICAL REACTION TO A TETNUS SHOT 2 MONTHS AGO AND STARTED GETTING HEAD ACHE TONIGHT.” (capitalization in original). Petitioner’s medical records from North Shore University Hospital, dated October 24, 2013, indicate that he was “violently vomiting” and was experiencing “generalized weakness.” A CT scan from the North Shore University Hospital Emergency Department of petitioner’s head showed a “6 mm left extra-axial collection with mass effect, no shift. Denies any photophobia, vision loss, neck pain, increased weakness, fever/chills.” On October 25, 2013, petitioner underwent a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scan of petitioner’s brain, which revealed “[s]mall bilateral subacute subdural hematomas with diffuse dural enhancement,” which “raise the possibility of intracranial hypotension.” Petitioner also received a blood patch for suspected spinal tap CSF leak.5 On October 27, 2013, petitioner underwent a repeat head CT scan, which revealed an interval increase in size in the left subdural hematoma. Petitioner was started on Dialudid and his previously prescribed Neurontin dose was increased. Neurosurgery advised that no intervention was necessary. Petitioner continued to follow up with Dr. Han through the end of 2013, and Dr. Han reported petitioner’s overall improvement. Petitioner did not visit Dr. Han again until September 2, 2014, at which time petitioner reported that he was still experiencing painful paresthesias in his feet, but no longer required a cane to walk. Petitioner also reported that “[h]is balance is still a bit off though he feels that he is 99% back to normal.” Dr. Han advised petitioner to continue on his then-current course of medication and to see Dr. Han again in 4-6 months. Petitioner saw Dr. Han on November 24, 2015 and Dr. Han’s treatment notes from the November 24, 2015 visit state that petitioner continued to experience “paresthesias,” and Dr. Han theorized that “this still could be residual from Guillain-Barre,” but that “we should not ignore the possibility of another neuropathic process such as diabetes or 5 A cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) leak occurs when there is a hole or tear in the outermost layer of the membranes surrounding the brain and spinal cord, which allows the fluid to escape. CSF Leak (Cerebrospinal fluid leak), MAYO CLINIC, https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/csf-leak/symptoms-causes/syc- 20522246 (last visited Feb. 10, 2023). 5 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 6 of 37 borderline diabetes.” Dr. Han ordered an electromyography (EMG) procedure and advised petitioner to continue with his previously prescribed Neurotonin. On December 4, 2015, petitioner underwent an EMG that “did not demonstrate the concern for possible axonal of demyelinating polyneuropathy.” Dr. Han ordered an “MRI lumbosacral spine to rule out a significant herniated disc with nerve root compression,” which petitioner went through on December 4, 2015. On May 20, 2016, petitioner had an appointment with Dr. Adam Criss for “reevaluation of Guillain-Barre syndrome.” Treatment notes indicate that petitioner “continues to do well although still has neuropathic pains associated with this syndrome. He’ll continue with Neurontin 600/300/300. Weight loss and increased physical activity was encouraged. I will see him back in 6 months.” Procedural History On August 11, 2016, petitioner filed a petition seeking compensation under the Vaccine Act, 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-11(c)(1)(C)(ii), alleging that the August 12, 2013 Tdap vaccination more likely than not caused his GBS, with the onset of the injury taking place on or about August 21, 2013. Special Master Mindy M. Roth was the Special Master initially assigned to petitioner’s case. During the pendency of petitioner’s case, he filed his medical records in nineteen exhibits and submitted two declarations. On February 23, 2017, respondent filed its Rule 4(c) report, pursuant to the Vaccine Rules, opposing compensation because “the medical records alone do not provide preponderant proof of a vaccine-related injury, and petitioner has not provided a reliable expert report in support of his claim.” In addition, respondent stated that “the records also reflect that petitioner’s treating physicians were immediately concerned that his symptoms were indicative of ‘Guillain-Barre syndrome post recent viral URI.’” Respondent also argued that “petitioner has failed to rule out other potential causes for his injury. Petitioner had positive test results for both CMV [cytomegalovirus] and EBV [Epstein-Barr virus] infections, two known antecedents associated with GBS.” (alterations added). On March 22, 2017, Special Master Roth held a status conference with the parties, after which petitioner filed additional medical records and his first expert report authored by neurologist-immunologist Dr. Lawrence Steinman on August 4, 2017 in support of petitioner’s case. On December 4, 2017, respondent filed its first expert report authored by immunologist Kathleen Collins, M.D., Ph.D. In her expert report, Dr. Collins stated that “the medical record better supported the conclusion that Petitioner’s GBS was attributable to the ‘influenza-like illness’ that he appeared to have experienced in the interval between his vaccination and onset of neurologic symptoms.” On February 20, 2018, petitioner filed Dr. Steinman’s second expert report, in which Dr. Steinman characterized “Dr. Collins’s ILI terminology as imprecise.” On June 13, 2018, respondent filed Dr. Collins’ second expert report and first response to Dr. Steinman’s expert report. On December 28, 2018, petitioner filed Dr. Steinman’s third expert report, which “‘repeated his prior challenge to Dr. Collins’s use of ILI.” On May 7, 2019, respondent filed Dr. Collins’ third expert report, in which Dr. Collins defended her theory of ILI as the more likely the cause of petitioner’s GBS. On July 29, 2019, Special Master Roth held a status conference to discuss petitioner’s aluminum adjuvant causation 6 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 7 of 37 theory. During the status conference, respondent expressed the implausibility of petitioner’s aluminum adjuvant theory and Special Master Roth allowed petitioner to file and assert a new causation theory of molecular mimicry. On October 7, 2019, petitioner filed Dr. Steinman’s fourth expert report, wherein Dr. Steinman proffered, for the first time, molecular mimicry as a new causation theory, which he contended co-existed with his prior aluminum adjuvant theory. As explained in the Chief Special Master’s Entitlement Decision: Specifically, he [Dr. Steinman] (a) attempted to propose the degree of amino acid homology that would be necessary, arguing that five (and perhaps even four) out of a twelve amino acid string is sufficient (b) performed “BLAST”[6] searches with an online government database for the antigenic components of the Tdap vaccine, in order to identify the amino acids comprising them, and (c) compared them to identified GBS targets. (internal references omitted; alterations added). Thereafter, respondent filed Dr. Collins’ fourth, and final, expert report on January 23, 2020. More than three years and seven months after petitioner filed his petition for compensation under the Vaccine Act, and following four expert reports filed by petitioner and four expert reports filed by respondent, on March 23, 2020, petitioner asked to retain an infectious disease expert in order to file another expert report, in addition to the expert reports previously filed by Dr. Steinman. Then on May 22, 2020, petitioner filed a formal motion for leave to file an expert report from an infectious disease specialist as well as an expert report from a specialist in biostatistics. Petitioner stated: Respondent’s primary and persistent defense to petitioner’s claim that the Tdap vaccine caused his Guillain Barré syndrome (“GBS”) is the argument that petitioner had viral symptoms after his vaccination. Respondent argued in his Rule 4(c) Report that petitioner’s symptoms “were indicative of ‘Guillain-Barre syndrome post recent viral URI.” [sic] Respondent presents several citations to the medical record purporting to support his argument. Respondent also argues in his Rule 4(c) Report that “petitioner has failed to rule out other potential caused [sic] for his injury. Petitioner had positive test results for both CMV [Cytomegalovirus] and EVC [Ellis- van Creveld] infections, two known antecedents associated with GBS.” 6 As explained in a footnote to the Chief Special Master’s Entitlement Decision: Basic Local Alignment Search Tool (“BLAST”) is a medical/scientific internet resource that assists researchers in finding regions of similarity between biological sequences of amino acids. The program compares nucleotide or protein sequences to sequence databases and calculates the statistical significance. BLAST, U.S. National Library of Medicine, https://blast.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/Blast.cgi 7 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 8 of 37 (internal citations omitted; alteration added). Petitioner argued that respondent had previously “filed four expert reports from an expert in infectious disease,” that pointed to an “influenza-like illness” as an “alternative cause” for petitioner’s GBS. According to petitioner, [b]ecause the controversy in this case focuses in large part on respondent’s claim that an infectious disease caused [K.A.]’s GBS and because respondent has relied on the opinion of a specialist in infectious disease, petitioner submits that it is appropriate for petitioner to file an expert report from a specialist in infectious disease. (alterations added). On June 12, 2020, Special Master Roth issued an Order which, in relevant part, denied petitioner’s motion for file to file both the additional requested expert report from an infectious disease expert, as well as from a biostatistics expert. The text of Special Master Roth’s Order stated: On May 22, 2020, petitioner filed a Motion for Leave to file an expert report from an infectious disease specialist and an expert report from a specialist in biostatistics. See ECF No. 71. Petitioner’s Motion is hereby DENIED. On June 4, 2020, petitioner filed an unopposed Motion for Extension of Time until June 22, 2020, to file a supplemental expert report from Dr. Steinman. See ECF No. 72. Petitioner’s Motion is hereby GRANTED. Petitioner shall file a supplemental expert report from Dr. Steinman by Monday, June 22, 2020. A status conference will be scheduled following the submission of Dr. Steinman’s supplemental report. Based on the foregoing, the following is hereby ORDERED: 1) Petitioner shall file a supplemental expert report from Dr. Steinman by no later than Monday, June 22, 2020. (capitalization and emphasis in original). Pursuant to Special Master Roth’s Order, on June 22, 2020, petitioner filed Dr. Steinman’s fifth, and final, expert report. On January 27, 2021, the case was reassigned to Chief Special Master Corcoran. On April 26, 2021, petitioner renewed his request for leave to file expert reports from specialists in infectious disease and biostatistics, which request had been denied previously by Special Master Roth. Chief Special Master Corcoran issued an Order on April 27, 2021 directing petitioner to file his motion for a ruling on the record by June 29, 2021. On July 2, 2021, petitioner filed his motion for a ruling on the record in support of his entitlement to compensation under the Vaccine Act and his motion for leave to file additional expert reports from experts in infectious disease and biostatistics. On September 13, 2021, respondent filed its response to petitioner’s motion for ruling on the record. On October 12, 2021, petitioner filed a reply brief which included a footnote which stated that “petitioner acknowledges the Court’s authority to decide this 8 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 9 of 37 case without an evidentiary hearing during which the experts’ presentations can be explored, in the context of the present case, where petitioner’s theory is closely contested, a hearing would supply valuable elaboration of petitioner’s case and a hearing should be conducted.” Prior to issuing his Entitlement Decision, Chief Special Master Corcoran did not issue orders addressing petitioner’s request for an evidentiary hearing or to allow petitioner to present additional experts. On April 18, 2022, Chief Special Master Corcoran issued his Entitlement Decision in which he denied petitioner’s claims in full. The Chief Special Master stated that petitioner had not established that he met the requirements to receive compensation based on the test in Althen v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, 418 F.3d 1274 (Fed. Cir. 2005).7 Regarding the first prong of the Althen test, the medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury, id. at 1278, the Chief Special Master noted: “Two causation theories were ultimately advanced in this case, but neither was preponderantly established.” The Chief Special Master indicated that “[i]t was wise of Petitioner to “supplement” his case with a second causation theory, for the first one Dr. Steinman proposed—that alum included in the Tdap vaccine as an adjuvant can produce demyelination—was woefully inadequate,” noting in a footnote, “[i]ndeed, Petitioner largely seems to have walked away from his first theory by the time of his reply brief.” The Chief Special Master determined that “individual components of the [aluminum adjuvant] theory, as reliably established as they were, were not persuasively connected to other preponderant evidence to establish that the Tdap vaccine likely can cause GBS solely on the basis of the inclusion of the aluminum adjuvant.” (emphasis in original; alteration added). Regarding petitioner’s second causation theory, molecular mimicry, Chief Special Master Corcoran explained: Petitioner’s second theory was one that, more often than not in Program cases, is the primary theory offered to explain how virtually any vaccine could produce an autoimmune disease—via molecular mimicry. But not only was it proposed late in the game, but it too was not preponderantly shown to be likely causal. All Dr. Steinman did was offer evidence suggesting a theoretic possibility of homology between Tdap vaccine components and locations in the nerve structures where an autoimmune attack might occur. But this is a relatively easy showing to make, given the prevalence of homology in nature. It does not amount to a showing that a 7 As described below, the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Althen explained: Concisely stated, Althen’s burden is to show by preponderant evidence that the vaccination brought about her injury by providing: (1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of a proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury. Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d at 1278. 9 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 10 of 37 cross-reaction instigated by the Tdap vaccine resulting in GBS is “more likely than not.” And Dr. Collins offered evidence and testimony raising reasonable questions about whether every variant of GBS inherently unfolds only from molecular mimicry causing the production of cross- reactive autoantibodies, or only at the identified myelin targets. (emphasis in original). Therefore, for the first Althen prong, the Chief Special Master concluded that “neither of the causation theories offered was preponderantly established with sufficient reliable medical or scientific evidence, despite Dr. Steinman’s ample credentials to opine on the subject.” Regarding the second Althen prong, the logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury, id., the Chief Special Master indicated that “[s]everal items of record evidence weigh against Petitioner’s assertion that the Tdap vaccine he received likely ‘did cause’ his GBS. In particular, the majority of immediate treaters did not propose vaccination to be causal, finding far more significant the indisputable evidence of an intercurrent URI,” and, furthermore, “the record reveals several instances in which treaters proposed that Petitioner’s URI did play a role in his subsequent neurologic injury.” (emphasis in original). The Chief Special Master concluded: “Overall, the medical records strongly support the conclusion that Petitioner’s intercurrent URI likely caused his GBS—not that it was caused by the Tdap vaccine.” Therefore, the Chief Special Master determined [p]etitioner has not preponderantly established that the Tdap vaccine can cause GBS, under either of the two causation theories ventured over the case’s six-year life—and even if he had, the record demonstrates it is far more likely his GBS was attributable to an intercurrent upper respiratory infection (“URI”) than vaccination. Regarding the third Althen prong, the showing of a proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury, id., Chief Special Master Corcoran noted that “Petitioner’s success in establishing that the timeframe for his onset of symptoms post-vaccination was medically acceptable (in terms of vaccine causation) is not consistent from theory to theory,” and concluded that “because the claim fails on the first two Althen prongs, Petitioner’s ability to preponderantly support the third prong does not avail him.” Chief Special Master Corcoran also indicated in the Entitlement Decision that an evidentiary hearing was not necessary and that “[t]he case was appropriately decided on the papers.” In his Entitlement Decision, the Chief Special Master indicated that the parties had previously filed numerous expert reports, which Chief Special Master Corcoran characterized as a “back-and-forth between Drs. Steinman and Collins over Petitioner’s initial causation theory.” Chief Special Master Corcoran also stated: Notably (and after the case had existed for nearly three years), it was discussed during a July 2019 status conference (perhaps in reaction to questions about whether the case was likely to settle) that Respondent deemed Petitioner’s causation theory implausible—prompting the special master formerly presiding over the case to order a deadline for Petitioner 10 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 11 of 37 to file a new report, but this time “modifying” the theory to allege molecular mimicry as the causal mechanism. Scheduling Order, dated July 19, 2019 (ECF No. 59). Dr. Steinman did so by that fall, and another, shorter round of expert report filings occurred, with the final report (from Dr. Steinman) filed in June 2020. On May 18, 2022, after Chief Special Master Corcoran issued his Entitlement Decision petitioner timely filed a Motion for Review of the Chief Special Master’s Entitlement Decision in the United States Court of Federal Claims, in which petitioner puts forth three numbered objections: Numbered Objection One 1. Denial of Petitioner’s repeated requests to retain an infectious disease expert resulted in an unbalanced review of Petitioner’s presentation of Althen Prong 2 and constituted an abuse of discretion under the circumstances of this case. Numbered Objection Two 2. In the case at bar, the Chief Special Master failed to recognize that the posited medical theory of molecular mimicry went well beyond the mere identification of homologies[8] between components of the Tdap vaccine and self-antigen such as human myelin protein, leading to GBS (Dec. at 40). The court’s misconstruction of the record and incorrect application of the law requires vacatur of the Decision. The court compounded its error by holding that Petitioner’s causal medical theory was “undercut” by epidemiological evidence as to causation for which an expert was denied to Petitioner despite repeated requests throughout the case (Dec. at 40- 41). Numbered Objection Three 3. While Petitioner argued in the course of his Motion for Ruling on the Record that he had carried the burden of proof preponderantly for each prong of Althen, including prong 1, the court misinterpreted the law in rejecting an alternative argument that, in light of recent case law, Althen prong 1 could be properly established by a biologically plausible evidentiary showing founded upon a sound and reliable medical or scientific explanation. (capitalization and emphasis in original; alteration added). 8 A “homology” is an antigenic similarity “between the vaccine’s component and self neurologic structures.” See Caredio v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 17-79V, 2021 WL 4100294, at *13 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 30, 2021), review denied, No. 17-79V, 2021 WL 6058835 (Fed. Cl. Dec. 3, 2021). In Caredio, Dr. Steinman, who offered expert testimony for the Caredio petitioner, “admitted that demonstrating a theoretical basis for homology is only the first step to establishing a possible causal association.” Id. 11 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 12 of 37 On June 16, 2022, respondent filed its response to petitioner’s Motion for Review, in which respondent argues that [b]ecause petitioner had a full and fair opportunity to present his case, including filing five expert reports over three years addressing the ILI/URI issue in the case and modifying his causation theory, the Chief Special Master appropriately decided this case on the existing record, as further input from an infectious disease expert for petitioner was neither required nor warranted. Respondent also argues that “[t]he Chief Special Master properly applied the law, including Torday [v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, No. 07-372V, 2009 WL 5196163 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 10, 2009)], and acted within his discretion in deciding this case without a hearing.” (alteration added). In its response, respondent asserts that the Chief Special Master considered the appropriate and relevant evidence, “and stated a rational basis in concluding that petitioner failed to demonstrate how the Tdap vaccine can cause GBS via molecular mimicry under Althen prong 1.” Finally, respondent argues that the Chief Special Master applied the correct evidentiary standard in evaluating whether petitioner preponderantly met the Althen prong 1, and that the “Federal Circuit precedent requires a petitioner to present more than a ‘plausible theory’ of vaccine causation.” After the Motion for Review was fully briefed, this court held oral argument. DISCUSSION When reviewing a Special Master’s decision, the assigned Judge of the United States Court of Federal Claims shall: (A) uphold the findings of fact and conclusions of law of the special master and sustain the special master’s decision, (B) set aside any findings of fact or conclusion of law of the special master found to be arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law and issue its own findings of fact and conclusions of law, or (C) remand the petition [filed under § 300aa-11] to the special master for further action in accordance with the court's direction. Munn v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 970 F.2d 863, 867 (Fed. Cir. 1992) (alteration in original); see also 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(e)(2) (2018). The legislative history of the Vaccine Act states: “The conferees have provided for a limited standard for appeal from the [special] master’s decision and do not intend that this procedure be used frequently, but rather in those cases in which a truly arbitrary decision has been made.” H.R. Conf. Rep. No. 101-386, at 516–17, reprinted in 1989 U.S.C.C.A.N. 3018, 3120 (alteration added). In Markovich v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit wrote, “[u]nder the Vaccine Act, the Court of Federal Claims reviews the Chief Special Master’s decision to determine if it is ‘arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with the law.’ 42 12 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 13 of 37 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(e)(2)(B).” Markovich v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 477 F.3d 1353, 1355–56 (Fed. Cir.), cert. denied, 552 U.S. 816 (2007); see also Kirby v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 997 F.3d 1378, 1381 (Fed. Cir. 2021); Sharpe v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 964 F.3d 1072, 1077 (Fed. Cir. 2020) (“This court thus performs the same task as the Court of Federal Claims and reviews the special master’s legal determinations de novo, fact findings under an arbitrary and capricious standard, and discretionary rulings for an abuse of discretion.” (citing Munn v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 970 F.2d at 870-73, 870 n.10)); see also K.G. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 951 F.3d 1374, 1379 (Fed. Cir. 2020); Oliver v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 900 F.3d 1357, 1360 (Fed. Cir. 2018) (citing Milik v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 822 F.3d 1367, 1375–76 (Fed. Cir. 2016)); Deribeaux ex rel. Deribeaux v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 717 F.3d 1363, 1366 (Fed. Cir.), reh’g and reh’g en banc denied (Fed. Cir. 2013) (The United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit stated that “we ‘perform[ ] the same task as the Court of Federal Claims and determine[ ] anew whether the special master’s findings were arbitrary or capricious.’” (alterations in original) (quoting Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 219 F.3d 1357, 1360 (Fed. Cir. 2000))); W.C. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 704 F.3d 1352, 1355 (Fed. Cir. 2013); Hibbard v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 698 F.3d 1355, 1363 (Fed. Cir. 2012); de Bazan v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 539 F.3d 1347, 1350 (Fed. Cir. 2008); Avera v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 515 F.3d 1343, 1347 (Fed. Cir.) (“Under the Vaccine Act, we review a decision of the special master under the same standard as the Court of Federal Claims and determine if it is ‘arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law.’” (quoting 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(e)(2)(B))), reh’g and reh’g en banc denied (Fed. Cir. 2008); Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d at 1277; Faup v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 147 Fed. Cl. 445, 458 (2019); Dodd v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 114 Fed. Cl. 43, 47 (2013); Taylor v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 108 Fed. Cl. 807, 817 (2013). The abuse of discretion standard is applicable when the special master excludes evidence or limits the record upon which he or she relies. See Munn v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 970 F.2d at 870. The United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit has indicated that: These standards vary in application as well as degree of deference. Each standard applies to a different aspect of the judgment. Fact findings are reviewed by us, as by the Claims Court judge, under the arbitrary and capricious standard; legal questions under the “not in accordance with law” standard; and discretionary rulings under the abuse of discretion standard. The latter will rarely come into play except where the special master excludes evidence. Id. at 871 n.10; see also Kirby v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 997 F.3d at 1381 (“We do not reweigh the factual evidence, assess whether the special master correctly evaluated the evidence, or examine the probative value of the evidence or the credibility of the witnesses—these are all matters within the purview of the fact finder” (citing Porter v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 663 F.3d 1242, 1249 (Fed. Cir. 2011))); Carson ex rel. Carson v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 727 F.3d 1365, 1369 (Fed. Cir. 2013); Deribeaux ex rel. Deribeaux v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 717 F.3d at 1366; W.C. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 704 F.3d at 1355; Griglock v. Sec’y of Health & 13 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 14 of 37 Hum. Servs., 687 F.3d 1371, 1374 (Fed. Cir. 2012); Porter v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 663 F.3d at 1249 (explaining that the reviewing court “do[es] not reweigh the factual evidence, assess whether the special master correctly evaluated the evidence, or examine the probative value of the evidence or the credibility of the witnesses—these are all matters within the purview of the fact finder” (citing Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 618 F.3d 1339, 1345 (Fed. Cir. 2010)), reh’g and reh’g en banc denied (Fed. Cir. 2012); Dodd v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 114 Fed. Cl. at 56. “[T]he special masters have broad discretion to weigh evidence and make factual determinations.” Dougherty v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 141 Fed. Cl. 223, 229 (2018). As explained by the Federal Circuit: With regard to both fact-findings and fact-based conclusions, the key decision maker in the first instance is the special master. The Claims Court owes these findings and conclusions by the special master great deference—no change may be made absent first a determination that the special master was “arbitrary and capricious.” Munn v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 970 F.2d at 870; see also 42 U.S.C. § 300aa- 12(e)(2)(B). “‘[R]eversible error is extremely difficult to demonstrate if the special master has considered the relevant evidence of record, drawn plausible inferences and articulated a rational basis for the decision.’” Kirby v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 997 F.3d at 1381 (quoting Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 219 F.3d at 1360); see also Hibbard v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 698 F.3d at 1363 (“[I]f the special master ‘has considered the relevant evidence of record, drawn plausible inferences and articulated a rational basis for the decision, reversible error will be extremely difficult to demonstrate.’” (quoting Hines v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 940 F.2d 1518, 1528 (Fed. Cir. 1991))); Porter v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 663 F.3d at 1253–54; Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 219 F.3d at 1360; Avila ex rel. Avila v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 90 Fed. Cl. 590, 594 (2009); Dixon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 61 Fed. Cl. 1, 8 (2004) (“The court’s inquiry in this regard must therefore focus on whether the Special Master examined the ‘relevant data’ and articulated a ‘satisfactory explanation for its action including a rational connection between the facts found and the choice made.’” (quoting Motor Vehicle Mfrs. Association v. State Farm Mut. Auto. Ins. Co., 463 U.S. 29, 43 (1983) (quoting Burlington Truck Lines, Inc. v. United States, 371 U.S. 156, 168 (1962)))). As noted by the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit: Congress assigned to a group of specialists, the Special Masters within the Court of Federal Claims, the unenviable job of sorting through these painful cases and, based upon their accumulated expertise in the field, judging the merits of the individual claims. The statute makes clear that, on review, the Court of Federal Claims is not to second guess the Special Masters [sic] fact-intensive conclusions; the standard of review is uniquely deferential for what is essentially a judicial process. Our cases make clear 14 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 15 of 37 that, on our review we remain equally deferential. That level of deference is especially apt in a case in which the medical evidence of causation is in dispute. Deribeaux ex rel. Deribeaux v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 717 F.3d at 1366–67 (alterations in original) (quoting Hodges v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 9 F.3d 958, 961 (Fed. Cir. 1993)); Hibbard v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 698 F.3d at 1363; Locane v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 685 F.3d 1375, 1380 (Fed. Cir. 2012). The United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit has explained that the reviewing courts “‘do not sit to reweigh the evidence. [If] the special master's conclusion [is] based on evidence in the record that [is] not wholly implausible, we are compelled to uphold that finding as not being arbitrary and capricious.’“ Deribeaux ex rel. Deribeaux v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 717 F.3d at 1367 (modification in original) (quoting Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 219 F.3d at 1363); see also K.G. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 951 F.3d at 1379 (“With respect to factual findings, however, we will uphold the special master’s findings of fact unless they are clearly erroneous.” (citing Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d at 1278)); Hibbard v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 698 F.3d at 1363 (citing Cedillo v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 617 F.3d 1328, 1338 (Fed. Cir. 2010)). The United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit has explained that: A petitioner can establish causation in one of two ways. Id. [Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 618 F.3d at 1341] If the petitioner shows that he or she received a vaccination listed on the Vaccine Injury Table, 42 U.S.C. § 300aa–14, and suffered an injury listed on that table within a statutorily prescribed time period, then the Act presumes the vaccination caused the injury. Andreu [ex rel. Andreu] v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 569 F.3d 1367, 1374 (Fed. Cir. 2009). Where, as here, the injury is not on the Vaccine Injury Table, the petitioner may seek compensation by proving causation-in-fact. Milik v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 822 F.3d at 1379 (alterations added) see also W.C. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 704 F.3d at 1356; Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 618 F.3d at 1346; Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 451 F.3d 1352, 1356 (Fed. Cir.), reh’g and reh’g en banc denied (Fed. Cir. 2006), cert. denied, 551 U.S. 1102 (2007); Grant v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 956 F.2d 1144, 1147–48 (Fed. Cir. 1992); Faup v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 147 Fed. Cl. at 458; Dodd v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 114 Fed. Cl. at 50; Paluck v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 104 Fed. Cl. 457, 467–68 (2012). When proving eligibility for compensation for a petition under the Vaccine Act, a petitioner must establish by a preponderance of the evidence that he received a vaccine set forth in the Vaccine Injury Table and that injury caused by the vaccination occurred within the required amount of time. See Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d at 1278; see also 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-11(c)(1)(A). Regarding the preponderance of the evidence standard, the Vaccine Act requires “‘the trier of fact to believe that the existence of a fact is more probable than its nonexistence before [he] may find in favor 15 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 16 of 37 of the party who has the burden to persuade the [judge] of the fact's existence.’” Moberly ex rel. Moberly v. Sec’y of Health and Hum. Servs., 592 F.3d 1315, 1322 n.2 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (alterations in original) (quoting Concrete Pipe & Prods. of Cal., Inc. v. Constr. Laborers Pension Trust for S. Cal., 508 U.S. 602 (1993)). In demonstrating this preponderance of evidence, petitioner may not rely on his or her testimony alone to establish preponderant evidence of vaccine administration. According to the Vaccine Act, “[t]he special master or court may not make such a finding based on the claims of a petitioner alone, unsubstantiated by medical records or by medical opinion.” 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-13(a)(1). In weighing the evidence, the Special Master has discretion to determine the relative weight of the evidence presented, including contemporaneous medical records and oral testimony. See Burns v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 3 F.3d 415, 417 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (finding that the Special Master had thoroughly considered evidence in record, had discretion not to hold an additional evidentiary hearing); see also Hibbard v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 698 F.3d at 1368 (finding it was not arbitrary or capricious for the Special Master to weigh diagnoses of different treating physicians against one another, including when their opinions conflict). “Clearly it is not then the role of this court to reweigh the factual evidence, or to assess whether the special master correctly evaluated the evidence. And of course we do not examine the probative value of the evidence or the credibility of the witnesses. These are all matters within the purview of the fact finder.” Dodd v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 114 Fed. Cl. at 56 (quoting Munn v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 970 F.2d at 870 n.10); see also Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 618 F.3d at 1349; Rich v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 129 Fed. Cl. 642, 655 (2016); Paluck v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 104 Fed. Cl. at 467 (“So long as those findings are ‘based on evidence in the record that [is] not wholly implausible,’ they will be accepted by the court.” (quoting Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 219 F.3d at 1363 (alteration in original))). “Determinations subject to review for abuse of discretion must be sustained unless ‘manifestly erroneous.’“ Heddens v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 143 Fed. Cl. 193 (2019) (quoting Piscopo v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 66 Fed. Cl. 49, 53 (2005) (citations omitted)). Additionally, a Special Master is “not required to discuss every piece of evidence or testimony in [his or] her decision.” Snyder ex rel. Snyder v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 88 Fed. Cl. 706, 728 (2009) (brackets added). As explained by a Judge of the United States Court of Federal Claims: “[W]hile the special master need not address every snippet of evidence adduced in the case, see id. [Doe v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 601 F.3d 1349, 1355 (Fed. Cir. 2010)], he [or she] cannot dismiss so much contrary evidence that it appears that he ‘simply failed to consider genuinely the evidentiary record before him [or her].’“ 16 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 17 of 37 Paluck ex rel. Paluck v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 104 Fed. Cl. at 467 (quoting Campbell v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 97 Fed. Cl. 650, 668 (2011))) (alteration added). A Special Master is required to acknowledge that “the purpose of the Vaccine Act’s preponderance standard is to allow the finding of causation in a field bereft of complete and direct proof of how vaccines affect the human body,” even if the possible link between the vaccine and the injury is “hitherto unproven.” Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d at 1280; see also Porter v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 663 F.3d at 1261. In that vein, “close calls regarding causation are resolved in favor of injured claimants.” Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d at 1280 (citing Knudsen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 35 F.3d 543, 548–49 (Fed. Cir. 1994)). Under the off-Table theory of recovery, a petitioner is entitled to compensation if he or she can demonstrate, by a preponderance of the evidence, that the recipient of the vaccine sustained, or had significantly aggravated, an illness, disability, injury, or condition not set forth in the Vaccine Injury Table, but which was caused by a vaccine that is listed on the Vaccine Injury Table. See 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-11(c)(1)(C)(ii)(I), 300aa-13(a)(1)(A); see also LaLonde v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 746 F.3d 1334, 1339 (Fed. Cir. 2014); W.C. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 704 F.3d at 1356 (“Nonetheless, the petitioner must do more than demonstrate a ‘plausible’ or ‘possible’ causal link between the vaccination and the injury; he must prove his case by a preponderance of the evidence.” (quoting Moberly ex rel. Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 592 F.3d at 1322)); Hines v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 940 F.2d at 1525. While scientific certainty is not required, the Special Master “is entitled to require some indicia of reliability to support the assertion of the expert witness.” Moberly ex rel. Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 592 F.3d at 1324; see also Hazlehurst v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 88 Fed. Cl. 473, 479 (2009), aff’d, 604 F.3d 1343 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (quoting Andreu ex rel. Andreu v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 569 F.3d at 1379). To establish causation in fact for a Non-Table claim, such as petitioner’s claim in the above captioned case, a petitioner must satisfy all three of the elements established by the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit in Althen v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, 418 F.3d at 1278. See Sanchez v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 34 F.4th 1350 (Fed. Cir. 2022); Deribeaux ex rel. Deribeaux v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 717 F.3d at 1367; Porter v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 663 F.3d at 1249; Moberly ex rel. Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 592 F.3d at 1322; Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 451 F.3d at 1355; Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 440 F.3d 1317, 1324 (Fed. Cir. 2006); C.K. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 113 Fed. Cl. 757, 766 (2013). With regard to the first Althen prong, “a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury,” the Federal Circuit in Althen analyzed the preponderance of evidence requirement as allowing medical opinion as proof, even without scientific studies in medical literature that provide “objective confirmation” of medical plausibility. See Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d at 1278, 1279–80; see also 17 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 18 of 37 Shapiro v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 105 Fed. Cl. 353, 358 (2012), aff’d, 503 F. App’x 952 (Fed. Cir. 2013). In rejecting a requirement that a claimant under the Vaccine Act prove confirmation of medical plausibility from the medical community and medical literature, the Federal Circuit in Althen v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, relied on Knudsen v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, 35 F.3d 543, 548–49 (Fed. Cir. 1994), in which the Federal Circuit wrote, “to require identification and proof of specific biological mechanisms would be inconsistent with the purpose and nature of the vaccine compensation program. The Vaccine Act does not contemplate full blown tort litigation in the Court of Federal Claims.” Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d at 1280. Rather, a petitioner must preponderantly establish that the vaccine at issue can cause the petitioner’s injury by providing a “‘reputable medical or scientific explanation’ for its theory.” Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 941 F.3d 1351, 1359 (Fed. Cir. 2019) (quoting Moberly ex rel. Moberly v. Sec’y of Health and Hum. Servs., 592 F.3d at 1322). “While it does not require medical or scientific certainty, it must still be ‘sound and reliable.’” Id. (quoting Knudsen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 35 F.3d at 548–49). The second prong of the Althen test requires the petitioner to demonstrate “a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury” by a preponderance of the evidence. Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d at 1278; see also Sanchez v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 34 F.4th at 1353; Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 451 F.3d at 1355. In order to prevail, the petitioner must show “that the vaccine was not only a but-for cause of the injury but also a substantial factor in bringing about the injury.” Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d at 1278 (quoting Shyface v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 165 F.3d 1344, 1352–53 (Fed. Cir. 1999)). In Capizzano v. Secretary of Health and Human Services, 440 F.3d at 1326, the Federal Circuit stated, “‘[a] logical sequence of cause and effect’ means what it sounds like-the claimant’s theory of cause and effect must be logical. Congress required that, to recover under the Vaccine Act, a claimant must prove by a preponderance of the evidence that the vaccine caused his or her injury.” Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 440 F.3d at 1326 (quoting 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa–11(c)(1)–13(a)(1) (2006)); see also Cozart v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 126 Fed. Cl. 488, 498 (2016) (quoting Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d at 1278).9 9 The third prong of the Althen test requires the petitioner to demonstrate, by a preponderance of evidence, that there is “a proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury.” Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d at 1278; see also Sanchez v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 34 F.4th at 1353. The United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit emphasized the importance of a temporal relationship in Pafford v. Secretary of Health and Human Services, when it noted that, “without some evidence of temporal linkage, the vaccination might receive blame for events that occur weeks, months, or years outside of the time in which scientific or epidemiological evidence would expect an onset of harm.” Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 451 F.3d at 1358. “Evidence demonstrating petitioner’s injury occurred within a medically acceptable time frame bolsters a link between the injury alleged and 18 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 19 of 37 According to the Federal Circuit in Capizzano v. Secretary of Health and Human Services, evidence used to satisfy one of the Althen prongs may overlap with and be used to satisfy another prong. See Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 440 F.3d at 1326 (“We see no reason why evidence used to satisfy one of the Althen III [Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d at 1274] prongs cannot overlap to satisfy another prong.” (alteration added)). If a petitioner satisfies the Althen burden and meets all three prongs of the test, the petitioner prevails, “unless the government demonstrates that the injury was caused by factors unrelated to the vaccine.” Sanchez v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 34 F.4th at 1353 (alteration added) (citing 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-13(a)(1)(B)); see also Knudsen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 35 F.3d at 547 (brackets in original; quotation omitted). As indicated above, in the case currently before the court, petitioner argues that denial by the Chief Special Master of his “repeated requests to retain an infectious disease expert resulted in an unbalanced review of Petitioner’s presentation of Althen Prong 2 and constituted an abuse of discretion under the Circumstances of this Case.” (capitalization in original). Petitioner also asserts that although [r]espondent argued in his responding brief that an influenza-like illness, an upper respiratory infection, or cytomegalovirus likely caused Petitioner’s GBS. There exists no evidence in this case that a pathogen was present in [K.A.] prior to the onset of his GBS that supports Respondent’s speculation about an infectious causal factor for [K.A.]’s GBS.” (alterations added). Petitioner continues: Chief Special Master Corcoran relied upon the existence of an intercurrent upper respiratory infection as the likely cause of onset of GBS in rejecting Petitioner’s showing of Althen prong 2. Thus, in the court’s own view, Petitioner could not have established his claim by a preponderance of the evidence without a more effective counterpoint to an unidentified infectious disease as causative agent. Petitioner also asserts that “Chief Special Master Corcoran’s slant in assessing the evidence was manifest in his pronouncement, not founded in the record, that [K.A.]’s initial symptoms, ‘appear[ed] broader than the common post-vaccination malaise.’” the vaccination at issue under the ‘but-for’ prong of the causation analysis.” Id. (citing Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 440 F.3d at 1326). The court notes that Chief Special Master’s conclusions regarding the third prong of the Althen test was not one of the bases for petitioner’s numbered objections in petitioner’s May 18, 2022 Motion for Review of the Chief Special Master’s Entitlement Decision, and, therefore, is not addressed in this Opinion. The court also notes that in the Chief Special Master’s Entitlement Decision, the Chief Special Master indicated, “because the claim fails on the first two Althen prongs, Petitioner’s ability to preponderantly support the third prong does not avail him.” 19 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 20 of 37 (second alteration in original). Petitioner asserts that the “only undisputed diagnosis was the post-vaccination onset of GBS.” Petitioner argues that [c]learly, the proposition that the initial symptoms, “appear[ed] broader” than would be induced by vaccination should have been addressed by an infectious disease expert retained by the Petitioner, who would be familiar with both symptoms of vaccination and infection. Multiple critical aspects of this case required clarification by – and even turned upon – the expertise and perspective of an infectious disease specialist presented by the Petitioner. Only after more than three years and seven months after petitioner filed his petition for compensation and after petitioner filed the first four expert reports authored by Dr. Steinman did petitioner belatedly urge that an infectious disease expert could have “opined on the relationship” between petitioner’s initial flu-like symptoms and those present at the onset of his GBS, despite the presence of URI symptoms, which, as the Chief Special Master noted, the majority of [petitioner’s] treaters deemed the URI most likely causal.” (alteration added). Moreover, as noted above, Dr. Collins filed expert reports on December 4, 2017, June 13, 2018, and May 7, 2019, all of which addressed, and rejected, petitioner’s initial causation theory that aluminum adjuvant in the Tdap vaccine caused petitioner’s GBS. Further, even after Dr. Collins, in her fourth and final expert report dated January 23, 2020, addressed petitioner’s alternate theory of molecular mimicry on behalf of the respondent, petitioner had an opportunity to file another expert report by Dr. Steinman on June 22, 2020. With respect to the Chief Special Master’s review by the expert reports authored Dr. Steinman offered by petitioner, petitioner argues that Chief Special Master Corcoran “characterized Dr. Steinman’s challenge to Respondent’s reliance upon an unidentified ‘influenza-like illness’ as mere ‘quibbling.’” Petitioner argues that the Chief Special Master’s “persistent criticism and denigration of Petitioner’s lone expert implicates the harm that flowed from the Court’s refusal, over the course of assignment to two special masters, to permit retention of the relevant experts.” In the Motion for Review in this court, petitioner argues, “[w]hile Dr. Steinman has unparalleled qualifications in neurology and neuroimmunology and specific areas such as molecular mimicry, his singular focus upon the non-specificity of terms such as ‘influenza-like illness’ during his dialogue with Dr. Collins may reflect the limits of his expertise in the separate field of infectious disease.” (citation omitted). Petitioner also stresses that the Chief Special Master criticized petitioner’s expert for his lack of expertise in infectious diseases while denying petitioner the opportunity to retain an expert qualified in the field. Petitioner further states that “the presiding special masters[10] failed to afford each party a full and 10 The court notes that petitioner’s request “to file an expert report from an infectious disease specialist and an expert report from a specialist in biostatistics” was denied on June 12, 2020, by Special Master Roth before the case was transferred to the Chief Special Master. Chief Special Master Corcoran, however, also did not grant petitioner’s 20 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 21 of 37 fair opportunity to present his case, failed to afford a hearing, and failed to create a record sufficient to allow review of the respective orders denying the retention of experts.” (alteration added). In response, respondent argues that the Chief Special Master, pursuant to Vaccine Rule 8(a), gave “each party a full and fair opportunity” to present their case, and also notes that a Special Master “will determine the format for taking evidence and hearing argument based on the specific circumstances of each case and after consultation with the parties.’” Respondent notes that, in the above captioned case, petitioner “filed five expert reports over three years, modified his causation theory, and now seeks, after an unexplained multi-year delay, additional experts to cover the same ground already covered by Dr. Steinman.” (alteration added). Respondent also points out that petitioner’s “medical record, filed between August 2016 and January 2017, is replete with references to petitioner’s ILI/URI as a potential cause of his GBS.” Respondent argues that in its February 23, 2017 Rule 4(c) report, respondent “specifically identified petitioner’s ILI/URI as evidence against entitlement.” Therefore, according to respondent, “petitioner, represented by experienced counsel, could have retained an infectious disease expert then. Instead, he chose to proceed with Dr. Steinman alone to address the ILI/URI issue until objecting at the ‘eleventh-hour.’” In addition, according to respondent, in his five reports, Dr. Steinman variously discussed epidemiological studies, the “possibility of an infectious disease etiology,” and opined that “the priority of the potential CMV or EBV infections in triggering disease is lower than the likelihood that the vaccination triggered the disease.” Thus, not only did petitioner have both the time and opportunity before the case was adjudicated to retain an infectious disease expert, petitioner’s expert actually did address the ILI/URI issue in regard to his GBS. (internal citations omitted). Further, respondent argues that the “Chief Special Master appropriately considered petitioner’s own detailed reports of flu-like symptoms and the comments of his treating physicians regarding ILI/URI” because a Special Master “‘is entitled to consider the record as a whole in determining causation, especially in a case involving multiple potential causes acting in concert, and no evidence should be embargoed from the special master’s consideration[.]’” (quoting Stone v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 676 F.3d 1373, 1380 (Fed. Cir. 2012)). Finally, respondent argues that “[t]he Chief Special Master correctly considered the ILI/URI evidence in evaluating the sufficiency of petitioner’s proof that the Tdap vaccine did cause his GBS under Althen prong 2.” In reaching a conclusion in each vaccine case, the Special Master considers the factual and supporting record in a petitioner’s case as filed before the Special Master including the petitioner’s contemporaneous medical records, as well as expert reports, if any. The expert reports are reviewed by the Special Master for their content and for the renewed request for expert reports from an infectious disease specialist and a specialist in biostatistics. 21 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 22 of 37 expert’s expertise and credibility. See Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 618 F.3d at 1348 (quoting Hines v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 940 F.2d at 1528); see also Munn v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 970 F.2d at 870. When addressing credibility, previously published expert reports and testimony by the same expert, may be reviewed and considered by the Special Master. Repeat experts who have testified or submitted expert reports regularly in a particular field have to live with, or explain away, their previous testimony and their previously filed expert reports. In weighing the expertise and credibility of both petitioner’s and respondent’s experts, the Chief Special Master, in his Entitlement Decision, did “not give substantial, if any, weight to Dr. Steinman’s objections that the term of art ‘influenza-like illness’ to describe Petitioner’s URI is scientifically indeterminate—since filed record evidence from competent medical and scientific professionals employ the term in their own studies.” In his Entitlement Decision, Chief Special Master Corcoran addressed Dr. Steinman’s role as an expert for petitioner during the pendency of the case, as well as times he had previously testified in vaccine cases. For example, the Chief Special Master criticized Dr. Steinman’s fifth and final report as “reflect[ing] the same bickering quality, or wholesale reproduction of prior arguments, that characterizes most of his prior reports filed in this case.” Additionally, the Chief Special Master wrote in a footnote in his Entitlement Decision, that “Dr. Steinman also engaged in conduct I have in the past criticized him for: commenting on the standards governing Program cases, and elaborating on how he performs his role as expert, rather than simply providing the medical/scientific opinion for which he has been retained.” In the above captioned case, Chief Special Master Corcoran also criticized what he called “Dr. Steinman’s legal pronouncements” and correctly noted that expert witnesses are not allowed to interpret “the meaning of Program caselaw or the applicable legal standards.” In this regard, the Chief Special Master wrote that “[n]one of Dr. Steinman’s reports in this case were prepared while I was presiding over this matter—but in future cases in which Dr. Steinman is retained that are assigned to me, I will not compensate time spent on opinions on legal issues that he is not qualified to address.” (emphasis in original). The Chief Special Master summarized his view of Dr. Steinman’s role in the above captioned case by noting: “Altogether, Dr. Steinman offered more than 70 pages of expert opinion on this matter, (as discussed below and throughout this Decision), I do not conclude the significant effort was ultimately well spent.” The Chief Special Master, however, gave more credit to respondent’s expert Dr. Collins. Chief Special Master Corcoran noted that in Dr. Collins’ fourth and final expert report, “Dr. Collins also emphasized again her opinion that an influenza-like illness was a far more likely cause of Petitioner’s GBS in this case,” and determined that “Dr. Collins also persuasively showed that many facially-reliable studies had included ‘influenza-like illness’ as a potentially causal agent of GBS, despite Dr. Steinman’s protestations.” All Special Masters have a responsibility to “afford[ ] each party a full and fair opportunity to present its case and create[e] a record sufficient to allow review of the special master’s decision.” See Kreizenbeck v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 945 F.3d 22 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 23 of 37 1362, 1366 (Fed. Cir. 2020); see also Doles v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 159 Fed. Cl. 241, 246 (2022) (“[T]he special masters are bound by an obligation to be fair to both parties, and to provide both parties the opportunity to present a case”) (emphasis in original). A Special Master, however, also has the responsibility and authority to “determine the format for taking evidence and hearing argument based on the specific circumstances of each case.” Vaccine Rule 3(b)(2), 8(a) (2021). Although Chief Special Master Corcoran’s choices of words regarding Dr. Steinman and his expert reports may have been pointed and critical, his comments as a veteran Special Master were based on Chief Special Master Corcoran’s varied experiences in the Vaccine Program, including with Dr. Steinman as an expert witness. As explained by another Judge of the United States Court of Federal Claims: That the Special Master “was far more impressed and persuaded by the testimony of Dr. Wiznitzer” does not show any bias, and shows that the Special Master in fact did exactly what the Federal Circuit has admonished special masters to do in vaccine cases. See Porter, 663 F.3d at 1250 (“Indeed, this court has unambiguously explained that special masters are expected to consider the credibility of expert witnesses in evaluating petitions for compensation under the Vaccine Act.”). The decision shows that the Special Master considered the testimony of both experts, and indeed, it recaps a significant amount of information from both experts, but in the end, the Master concluded that Dr. Wiznitzer was the more trustworthy. The Special Master, as fact finder, “has broad discretion in determining credibility because he saw the witnesses and heard the testimony.” Bradley, 991 F.2d at 1575. For this reason, the Special Master’s determination on credibility is “virtually unreviewable,” Porter, 663 F.3d at 1251, and to the extent that it is reviewable, this Court sees nothing arbitrary or capricious in the Special Master’s findings here. Vaughan v. United States, 107 Fed. Cl. 212, 224 (2012). After weighing all of the parties’ submissions, including the numerous expert reports and petitioner’s medical records, Chief Special Master Corcoran found Dr. Steinman’s opinions less credible than those of Dr. Collins. The weight to be given to each expert is within the discretion of each trier of fact, based on the facts in the record in each case. See Porter v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 663 F.3d at 1249. This court notes that initially Dr. Steinman offered a causation theory that the Tdap vaccine’s aluminum adjuvant can cause GBS. Only in his fourth expert report did Dr. Steinman proffer molecular mimicry as a new causation theory, which he contended co-existed with his prior aluminum adjuvant theory. Petitioner tries to justify his delay for requesting to add an infectious disease expert late in the case, stating that “[w]hile Respondent argues that the issue of influenza-like-illness was already apparent, both the extent of that reliance and the ambiguity and limited value of that approach was not apparent until Respondent’s expert, Dr. Collins, had made her case across her expert reports.” Because petitioner’s contemporaneous medical records from the time shortly after his Tdap vaccination, when he was medically examined, to the time the record was closed 23 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 24 of 37 prior to the Chief Special Master’s review, and the issuance of his decision, there are repeated references to the existence of an influenza-like illness or upper respiratory illness, as a potential cause of petitioner’s GBS. Petitioner, therefore, was on notice of the URI/ILI as a potential cause of his GBS well before he filed his petition with the Office of Special Masters. Moreover, respondent’s Rule 4(c) report, filed on February 23, 2017, specifically identified petitioner’s ILI/URI as evidence against entitlement, for petitioner to consider. This court notes that petitioner’s contemporaneous medical records, which receive great evidentiary weight, contained repeated references to his URI/ILI as a possible causation of his medical issues and a factor in his Guillain-Barré syndrome following his Tdap vaccination. See Cucuras v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 993 F.2d 1525, 1528 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (“Medical records, in general, warrant consideration as trustworthy evidence. The records contain information supplied to or by health professionals to facilitate diagnosis and treatment of medical conditions. With proper treatment hanging in the balance, accuracy has an extra premium. These records are also generally contemporaneous to the medical events.”). In petitioner’s case, a number of petitioner’s contemporaneous medical records indicate, not only the existence of a URI/ILI, but that the URI/ILI was likely the cause of petitioner’s GBS. Chief Special Master Corcoran specifically relied on these medical records when evaluating the likelihood that the Tdap vaccine caused petitioner’s GBS. Chief Special Master Corcoran indicated that “not only is there incontrovertible evidence that Petitioner first experienced URI symptoms before neurologic-related symptoms, but also that the majority of his treaters deemed the URI most likely causal. The vaccine does not deserve greater weight simply because it is ‘known’ whereas the precise nature of the infection is not.” (emphasis in original). The court notes that Chief Special Master Corcoran stated in his Entitlement Decision that in Dr. Collins’ fourth and final expert report, “Dr. Collins also emphasized again her opinion that an influenza-like illness was a far more likely cause of Petitioner’s GBS in this case.” Based on the contemporaneous medical records in the record before the Chief Special Master, the relative weight and credibility of the theories advanced by the expert witnesses for each party to the litigation, the decision issued by Chief Special Master Corcoran was reasonable and was supported by Dr. Collins’ theory that petitioner’s URI/ILI more than likely caused the GBS. Therefore, this court determines that Chief Special Master’s decision not to grant to petitioner’s request for additional experts, after petitioner filed numerous contemporaneous medical records, and five expert reports author by Dr. Steinman, did not result in denying petitioner a full and fair opportunity to present his case. Although not one of his specific numbered objections, petitioner also asserts that the Chief Special Master’s decision to deny a hearing in his case was unreasonable. Petitioner argues that the Chief Special Master’s denial of a hearing constituted a failure “to afford each party a full and fair opportunity to present his case.” Petitioner argues that a hearing was necessary because “Chief Special Master Corcoran has called into question the credibility of Dr. Steinman as a witness,” and “a hearing would afford Dr. Steinman, a true expert in this area, the opportunity to clarify his position as to why the theory of molecular mimicry, in this case, addresses the issues of inflammation and 24 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 25 of 37 pathology and their relationship to Guillain Barre Syndrome (GBS).” The court notes that petitioner’s first request for a hearing appears to have been made on October 12, 2021, after Dr. Steinman had submitted all five of his expert reports in the above captioned case. Petitioner argues that the denial of a hearing “prejudiced Petitioner in the proceedings” because it “limited the court’s ability to assess the evidence proffered by Dr. Steinman, the Petitioner’s sole expert witness.” In response, respondent argues, citing Vaccine Rule 8(d) (2021), that “[i]t is well-established, however, that a special master ‘may decide a case on the basis of written submissions without conducting an evidentiary hearing.’” Respondent also cites 42 U.S.C. § 300-aa-12(d)(3)(B)(v), stating that Special Masters have it within their discretion to allow “such hearings as may be reasonable and necessary.” Respondent indicates that Chief Special Master Corcoran found that “a hearing was not needed to decide this case.” Respondent argues: Since the filing of the Rule 4(c) report, petitioner has known respondent’s position on petitioner’s ILI/URI as a relevant factor regarding vaccine causation for his GBS. Petitioner cannot now reasonably object after initially agreeing to a ruling on the record by belatedly at the “eleventh- hour” requesting a hearing in his reply brief. C.f. Novosteel SA v. U.S., Bethlehem Steel Corp., 284 F.3d 1261, 1274 (Fed. Cir. 2002) (“Raising the issue for the first time in a reply brief does not suffice; reply briefs reply to arguments made in the response brief—they do not provide the moving party with a new opportunity to present yet another issue for the court’s consideration.”); see also In re Osterman, 296 F. App’x 900, 902 n.1 (11th Cir. 2008) (“[A] passing reference to an issue in a reply brief, offered without substantive argument in support, is insufficient to constitute raising the issue”). Because the Chief Special Master properly applied the law and acted within his discretion in deciding this case on the record, his Decision should be affirmed. (alteration in original). As noted above, petitioner’s petition for compensation, dated August 11, 2016, and petitioner’s initial brief, dated July 2, 2021, did not request for an evidentiary hearing. When he issued his Entitlement Decision, the Chief Special Master explained his decision “not to hold a hearing,” which Chief Special Master Corcoran indicated he understood at the time was “a determination that the parties largely accepted.” In a footnote, Chief Special Master Corcoran indicated: Petitioner’s initial ruling on the record brief did not oppose deciding this case on the papers. On Reply, however, Petitioner included a footnote setting forth some process objections: that he was denied the opportunity to offer his own infectious disease expert (by the special master previously assigned to the case) to counter Dr. Collins’s arguments, and that, although he noted my discretion to choose how best to decide the case, a hearing was warranted since the petitioner’s theories were “closely 25 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 26 of 37 contested.”[11] Putting aside the underwhelming and somewhat eleventh- hour nature of this objection, I nevertheless determine (as explained herein) that the claim could be, and was, fairly adjudicated solely on the basis of the papers—and as already noted hearings are not held simply because the parties disagree on entitlement. (internal reference omitted; alteration added). The Chief Special Master also indicated that “[d]etermining how best to resolve a case is a matter that lies generally within my discretion,” and that “[i]t was wholly fair to both sides to resolve this case on the papers and after briefing by the parties.” Chief Special Master Corcoran indicated that “[o]ver the case’s nearly six years, Petitioner was afforded the opportunity to offer five written expert reports” and “was also permitted to modify his causation theory entirely, after Respondent voiced objections to its sufficiency.” (emphasis in original). Moreover, the Chief Special Master concluded that petitioner’s second theory of causation, molecular mimicry, is “one with which I have substantial familiarity—meaning I did not need to hear live testimony from Dr. Steinman to understand or react to it.” Courts review a Special Master’s determination to deny an evidentiary hearing for an abuse of discretion. See Kreizenbeck v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 945 F.3d at 1364 (“We review a special master’s decision to hold an evidentiary hearing for an abuse of discretion.”); see also Munn v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 970 F.2d 863 at 870 n.10. “Determinations subject to review for abuse of discretion must be sustained unless ‘manifestly erroneous.’” Heddens v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 143 Fed. Cl. at 193 (quoting Piscopo v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 66 Fed. Cl. at 53 (citations omitted)). Moreover, Special Masters have “wide discretion in determining whether to conduct an evidentiary hearing.” Kreizenbeck v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 945 F.3d at 1365; see also Oliver v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 900 F.3d 1357, 1364 n.6 (Fed. Cir. 2018) (holding that “Chief Special Master acted within her discretion in denying” the petitioner’s request for a hearing); Burns v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 3 F.3d at 417 (holding that “the special master acted within her discretion to determine that an additional [evidentiary] hearing on expert medical testimony was not necessary”) (alteration added); Simanski v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 671 F.3d 1368, 1371 (Fed. Cir. 2012) (noting that “the Vaccine Rules provide that the special masters can decide cases on written submissions, including, in appropriate cases, by summary judgment”). Nevertheless, the “special master’s discretion to rule on the record is not without limitation.” Kreizenbeck v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 945 F.3d at 1365. Because Special Masters are required to “afford[ ] each party a full and fair opportunity to present its case and creat[e] a record sufficient to allow review of the special master’s decision,” a special master “must determine that the record is comprehensive and fully developed before ruling on the record.” Id. at 1366 (alterations in original) (citing 11 A note in petitioner’s October 12, 2021 reply brief stated that “petitioner acknowledges the Court’s authority to decide this case without an evidentiary hearing during which the experts’ presentations can be explored.” Petitioner, however, also stated, “in the context of the present case, where petitioner’s theory is closely contested, a hearing would supply valuable elaboration of petitioner’s case and a hearing should be conducted.” 26 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 27 of 37 Simanski v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 671 F.3d at 1380 (finding that it was a violation of due process for a special master to rule on the record at “an early procedural stage” before respondent had “present[ed] its position with respect to the petition and the supporting evidence”) (alteration added)); see also Oliver v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 900 F.3d 1357, 1364 n.6 (Fed. Cir. 2018) (holding that because “the record was fully developed” and no legal or factual errors necessitated a hearing, it was within the Chief Special Master’s discretion to deny the petitioner’s request for an evidentiary hearing); Burns v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 3 F.3d at 417. Before Chief Special Master Corcoran, the record included petitioner’s medical history prior to August 12, 2013 when petitioner received the vaccination at issue, his contemporaneous medical records from 2013 to 2016, as well as five expert reports that together spanned over seventy pages from petitioner’s expert, Dr. Steinman, as well as four expert reports from Dr. Collins on behalf of respondent. The record also contained medical literature included with each of the experts’ reports, including the results of Dr. Steinman’s BLAST searches. Unlike in Simanski v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, 671 F.3d at 1380, in which the Federal Circuit found that it was a violation of due process for a special master to rule on the record at “an early procedural stage,” the above captioned case was not at an “early procedural stage” based on the length of time from the filing of the case to when the parties submitted their respective briefs, which included the time to gather the relevant medical records of petitioner, to produce the numerous expert reports submitted by both experts, and for time for each expert to respond to the opposing expert. Moreover, petitioner had two years to file a request for additional expert(s) to challenge Dr. Collins’ arguments that a URI/ILI caused petitioner’s GBS. See Hines v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 940 F.2d at 1526 (holding that “principles of fundamental fairness to both parties” were not violated when the petitioner had the opportunity to “discredit” and “rebut” the information (emphasis in original)). Moreover, throughout the pendency of his case, petitioner received multiple extensions of time to file the expert reports authored by Dr. Steinman. In addition, on July 29, 2019, almost three years after the petition was filed, Special Master Roth held a status conference with the parties, during which the respondent indicated that petitioner’s aluminum adjuvant causation theory was implausible. This prompted Special Master Roth to allow Dr. Steinman to submitted another expert report regarding petitioner’s alterative causation theory regarding molecular mimicry as the causation mechanism, although denying petitioner’s request to submit expert reports at such a late stage in the case from brand new experts. Because a reviewing court should only overturn a special master’s decision if it is “manifestly erroneous,” see Heddens v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 143 Fed. Cl. at 193, and given the contemporaneous medical records in the record before Chief Special Master Corcoran when he issued his Entitlement Decision, as well as the numerous extensions and opportunities that petitioner was granted to supplement the record, and even to propose a second causation theory, it was not manifestly erroneous or an abuse of discretion for Chief Special Master Corcoran to deny petitioner’s request to 27 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 28 of 37 submit additional expert testimony or to conclude that petitioner’s case could be decided on the papers without an evidentiary hearing. As to the Chief Special Master’s rejection of petitioner’s molecular mimicry alternative causation theory, the Chief Special Master reviewed Dr. Steinman’s expert report on the subject in this case. Before this court, however, petitioner argues that the Chief Special Master failed to recognize that the posited medical theory of molecular mimicry went well beyond the mere identification of homologies between components of the Tdap vaccine and self-antigen such as human myelin protein, leading to GBS. The court’s misconstruction of the record and incorrect application of the law requires vacatur of the Decision. The court compounded its error by holding that Petitioner’s causal medical theory was “undercut” by epidemiological evidence as to causation for which an expert was denied to Petitioner despite requests throughout the case. Petitioner argues that the “Chief Special Master held, inter alia, that Petitioner could not rely upon mere amino acid homologies identified through a BLAST search.” (emphasis in original). Petitioner argues that Dr. Steinman’s expert report went well beyond that standard and demonstrated how the homologies would produce an immune response. At the oral argument before this court, petitioner argued that when advancing a theory of molecular mimicry in vaccine cases, the standard is that it is insufficient to perform only a BLAST search to demonstrate potential homologies. Additionally, petitioner argues that Chief Special Master Corcoran’s rejection of the petitioner’s theory of molecular mimicry and the Chief Special Master’s “undue reliance upon epidemiology in this context” constitutes an abuse of discretion. Petitioner asserts that the “Chief Special Master’s Decision turned, in part, upon Baxter I [R. Baxter et al., Acute Demyelinating Events Following Vaccines: A Case-Centered Analysis, 63 Clin. Infect. Diseases: An Official Publication of the Infectious Disease Soc. of Am., 1456 (2016) & II [R. Baxter et al., Lack of Association of Guillain-Barre Syndrome with Vaccinations, 57 Clin. Infect. Diseases: an Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Soc. of Am. 197, 203 (2013)].” (alterations added). In the Entitlement Decision, the Chief Special Master found that “Epidemiologic evidence offered by Respondent also undercuts Petitioner’s showing.” (capitalization in original). In his Entitlement Decision, the Chief Special Master wrote: Baxter II—a large-scale study identifying no association between Tdap and GBS—was particularly harmful. It was far more relevant to Petitioner’s claim herein than Baxter I (authored by almost all of the same individuals as Baxter II), which Dr. Steinman favorably cited but which only showed a possible association between Tdap and ADEM [acute disseminated encephalomyelitis]—a distinguishable central nervous system-impacting demyelinating disease. The very fact that Dr. Steinman chose to cite Baxter I is telling—if one epidemiologic study not fully on point is nevertheless supportive of his theory, how can a study directly on point (since it involved the injury at issue in this case), and written by largely the 28 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 29 of 37 same group of scientific professionals, not also bear on the case’s outcome? (emphasis in original; alteration added). Citing the legal analysis of one of his own, prior decisions, Yalacki v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, 14-278V, 2019 WL 1061429 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr., Jan. 31, 2019), review denied, 146 Fed. Cl. 80 (2019), Chief Special Master Corcoran concluded that petitioner’s molecular mimicry theory “was not preponderantly shown to be likely causal,” and stated “that molecular mimicry is not a ‘get out of jail free card’ in the [Vaccine] Program, entitling claimants who hire Dr. Steinman (or someone else sufficiently conversant with molecular biology and the relevant databases) to compensation, merely because it has scientific reliability as a general matter.” Chief Special Master Corcoran determined: Without some reason to further find that the relevant vaccine can be causal of the specific injury at issue—however that might be demonstrated—establishing a potentiality for molecular mimicry alone does not meet the preponderant standard of proof, no matter what degree of amino acid identity (sequential or not) Dr. Steinman can demonstrate with a BLAST search. (emphasis in original). Petitioner argues that Yalacki decision “does not appear to have considered the type of multi-layered, filtered investigation utilized by Dr. Steinman in establishing a theory of molecular mimicry in this case.” Although petitioner appears to agree that the injury in Yalacki, like the injury here, involves autonomic dysfunction. Petitioner, however, attempts to distinguish the Yalacki case on the grounds that the petitioner’s injury in Yalacki was “induced by a different vaccine” and the “evidence (and science) [in Yalacki] that the cross-reaction would target the self-antigen was undeveloped.” Respondent does not specifically address petitioner’s use of Yalacki v. Secretary of Health & Human Services other than to assert that “[t]he Chief Special Master properly applied the law.” Additionally, respondent argues that Dr. Steinman’s efforts, “as correctly noted by the Chief Special Master, were wholly misplaced. Here, petitioner acknowledges he cannot rely on mere homologies to establish causation.” Respondent continues that “Dr. Steinman never adequately addressed the central ‘criticism of his theory’—namely, although homologies are common and pathogenic cross-reactions are uncommon, ‘most human beings are not plagued by autoimmune pathology.” Respondent further asserts that “Dr. Steinman never actually provided any relevant, reliable, persuasive evidence that identify what genetic or environmental factors ‘are necessary before [ ] self-reactive immune responses to myelin might trigger GBS,’ ‘either theoretically or in [p]etitioner’s specific case.’” (alterations in original). Respondent asserts that the Chief Special Master aptly observed, petitioner relied exclusively on mouse models studying experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (“EAE”) to support the contention that the homologies found could cause 29 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 30 of 37 neuroinflammation in humans. But EAE translates to ADEM in humans, “a neuroinflammatory demyelinating disorder that impacts the brain and spinal cord.” Petitioner never explained how ADEM sufficiently compares to petitioner’s specific “pharyngeal-cervical-brachial variant” of GBS, or even to GBS in general. (capitalization in original; internal citations omitted). Respondent, citing Andreu ex rel. Andreu v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, 569 F.3d at 1379, states that “the Chief Special Master appropriately considered the epidemiological evidence submitted by both parties.” Respondent asserts that epidemiological evidence is not necessary to prove causation under the Vaccine Act, but that “‘the special master can consider it in reaching an informed judgment as to whether a particular vaccination likely caused a particular injury.’” Although petitioner alleges that the Chief Special Master erred in considering epidemiological evidence, both parties filed epidemiological evidence and analyses, and according to respondent, “epidemiology is considered by special masters in nearly every contested Vaccine Program case.” Indeed, Dr. Steinman discussed epidemiological studies, the “possibility of an infectious disease etiology,” but argued that “the priority of the potential CMV [cytomegalovirus] or EBV [Epstein-Barr virus] infections in triggering disease is lower than the likelihood that the vaccination triggered the disease.” (alterations added). Respondent argues, therefore, that “[t]he Chief Special Master here acted within his discretion,” in considering epidemiological evidence and deciding that petitioner did not meet his burden of proof on the first Althen prong. In the case currently before the court, petitioner’s expert, Dr. Steinman, presented epidemiological evidence by citing the Baxter I study, which the Chief Special Master found should necessarily allow him to look at the Baxter II study as well. Notably, epidemiologic evidence can be considered in a special master’s Althen prong one determination, even though it is not required. See Taylor v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 108 Fed. Cl. at 820 (finding that “the Special Master did not err in considering epidemiological evidence, along with the clinical record, expert testimony and other medical literature, to reach her informed judgment that Petitioner’s theory of causation was more unlikely than not”); see also Andreu ex rel. Andreu v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 569 F.3d at 1379 (finding that “where such [epidemiological] evidence is submitted, the special master can consider it in reaching an informed judgment as to whether a particular vaccination likely caused a particular injury” (alteration added)). As noted by a different Special Master in Pierson v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, a “petitioner must offer more than superficial invocation of molecular mimicry as the causal mechanism,” and “[i]t also cannot be enough that a medical expert can simply identify homologous peptides from a generic BLAST search that are not, in any way, linked to the biological process that is dysfunctional or has suffered injury.’” Pierson v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 17-1136V, 2022 WL 322836, at *25 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 19, 2022) (quoting Brayboy v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 15-183V, 2021 WL 4453146, at *19 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Aug. 30, 2011)). 30 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 31 of 37 The court notes that Dr. Steinman’s molecular mimicry theories have had mixed success before different Special Masters. A number of Special Masters have determined causation was not met in instances in which Dr. Steinman argued a theory of molecular mimicry. See, e.g., Mason v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 17- 1383V, 2022 WL 600415, at *6, *26 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 4, 2022) (Chief Special Master Corcoran found that Althen prong one was not met when Dr. Steinman argued that molecular mimicry could trigger chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy even after his “BLAST searches revealed several common sequences, such as GSASGVSECRF (shared between MBP and the target antigen of the 2014-2015 flu vaccine), which had five of eleven identical amino acids, and he proposed as a result that this homology with vaccine components was sufficient for a damaging cross-attack by immune cells.”); D.G. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 11-5777V, 2019 WL 2511769, at *128, *193 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 24, 2019) (Special Master Millman found no causation in fact when “Dr. Steinman said he talks a lot about molecular mimicry in this case, but he does not have a known molecular mimic that he can identify.”); Chinea v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 15-095V, 2019 WL 1873322, at *15 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 15, 2019) (Chief Special Master Corcoran found no causation when “Dr. Steinman next proposed a mechanism by which the flu vaccine could have caused Mrs. Chinea’s GBS.”); Perez v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 10–659V, 2015 WL 9483680, at *7, *13 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 8, 2015) (Special Master Hamilton-Fieldman found petitioner did not meet Althen prong one when Dr. Steinman argued that molecular mimicry was the reason that petitioner’s tetanus vaccine caused his GBS.); but see Pierson v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 2022 WL 322836, at *12, *39 (Special Master Horner that causation-in-fact was proven preponderantly in cases in which “Dr. Steinman base[d] his theory of how the Prevnar 13 vaccine can cause GBS through the concept of molecular mimicry.” (alteration added)); Koller v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 16-439V, 2021 WL 5027947, at *8, *23 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Oct. 8, 2021) (Special Master Gowan held that all three Althen prongs were met after Dr. Steinman used molecular mimicry to argue that the Prevnar 13 vaccine caused petitioner’ GBS.). The court notes, of course, that each of above cited decisions of the Special Masters was based specifically on the medical histories and facts of the specific petitioners involved. Moreover, as explained by the Federal Circuit in Boatmon: To the extent the Court of Federal Claims required that special masters cite and distinguish the decisions of other special masters, it was incorrect. As the Court of Federal Claims itself acknowledged, “[a] Special Master is not bound to follow the opinions of other Special Masters.” Id.; see also Hanlon v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 40 Fed. Cl. 625, 630 (1998) (“Special masters are neither bound by their own decisions nor by cases from the Court of Federal Claims, except, of course, in the same case on remand.”), aff'd, 191 F.3d 1344 (Fed. Cir. 1999). The government also acknowledges this on appeal. Appellee’s Br. 18 n.1 (“The decisions of other special masters . . . are not binding precedent.”); id. at 22 (“[S]pecial masters’ decisions are non-binding.”). By extension, special masters are not required to distinguish non-binding decisions of other special masters. That is, in part, because “[c]ausation in fact under the Vaccine Act is . . . 31 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 32 of 37 based on the circumstances of the particular case.” Knudsen, 35 F.3d at 548. Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 941 F.3d at 1358–59 (alterations in original). The court has reviewed petitioner’s objection that the “Chief Special Master failed to recognize that the posited medical theory of molecular mimicry went well beyond the mere identification of homologies between components of the Tdap vaccine and self- antigen such as human myelin protein, leading to GBS.” Petitioner did not offer reliable evidence to support the petitioner’s theory that molecular mimicry between the Tdap antigens and self-structures associated with the initial attack on petitioner’s nerves was the mechanism driving the autoimmune process. Therefore, based on the record before Chief Special Master Corcoran, this court finds that the Chief Special Master’s decision that petitioner has not established by a preponderance of the evidence that the Tdap vaccine likely caused the production of antibodies associated with autonomic damage or interference sufficient to cause GBS and that those same antibodies did lead to a pathogenic process was not arbitrary or capricious, or an abuse of discretion. Petitioner also argues that Chief Special Master Corcoran applied the wrong evidentiary standard to the first Althen prong, and argues that the correct legal standard is whether it is “biologically plausible,” not whether petitioner has preponderantly established, that the Tdap vaccine could have caused GBS. In response, respondent argues “[t]he Chief Special Master properly required petitioner to present preponderant evidence in support of Althen prong 1, and correctly noted that Federal Circuit precedent requires a petitioner to present more than a ‘plausible theory’ of vaccine causation.” In his Entitlement Decision, Chief Special Master Corcoran noted: Before discussing the success of Petitioner’s Althen prong one showing, review of his framing of the legal standard applicable is warranted. For Petitioner fully misstates that standard, proposing a version that, if adopted, would obliterate the existing distinction between Table and non- Table claims in the Vaccine Program. Reply at 3. As I noted above, the most recent controlling/precedential Federal Circuit caselaw directly addressing the subject states explicitly that the first Althen prong requires a preponderant showing—just like the other two prongs. Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1359; LaLonde, 746 F.3d at 1339; see also Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322. (emphasis in original). Consistent with petitioner’s arguments before the Chief Special Master, in his Motion for Review in this court, petitioner cites to a decision of the Chief Special Master in Morgan v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, No. 15-1137V, 2019 WL 7498665 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 4, 2019), review denied, 148 Fed. Cl. 454 (2020), aff’d, 850 F. App’x 775 (Fed. Cir. 2021)), a recent decision by a Judge of the United States Court of Federal Claims reversing Chief Special Master Corcoran’s decision in J. v. Secretary 32 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 33 of 37 of Health & Human Services, 155 Fed. Cl. 20 (2021), and a recent, non-precedential Federal Circuit decision in Kottenstette v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, No. 2020-2282, 861 F. App’x 433 (Fed. Cir. 2021), in an attempt to argue that the current legal standard under the first Althen prong is whether it is biologically plausible petitioner’s Tdap vaccine could have caused GBS. Despite the petitioner’s attempts to refashion the first Althen prong standard, in 2019, the Federal Circuit in Boatmon v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, 941 F.3d 1351, reiterated the Federal Circuit’s long standing holding that a petitioner bears the burden to prove actual causation by a preponderance of the evidence.12 The Federal Circuit in Boatmon explained: In off-Table cases like this one, it is the petitioners’ burden to prove actual causation by a preponderance of the evidence. Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322. The Vaccine Act “relaxes proof of causation for injuries satisfying the Table[,] . . . but does not relax proof of causation in fact for non-Table Injuries.” Id. (quoting Grant, 956 F.2d at 1148). A petitioner must provide a “reputable medical or scientific explanation” for its theory. Id. While it does not require medical or scientific certainty, it must still be “sound and reliable.” Knudsen, 35 F.3d at 548–49. . . . We have consistently rejected theories that the vaccine only “likely caused” the injury and reiterated that a “plausible” or “possible” causal theory does not satisfy the standard. Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322 (rejecting a “more relaxed standard” of whether the condition was “likely caused” by the vaccine and reiterating that “proof of a ‘plausible’ or ‘possible’ causal link between the vaccine and the injury . . . is not the statutory standard”); see also LaLonde, 746 F.3d at 1339 (“However, in the past we have made clear that simply identifying a ‘plausible’ theory of causation is insufficient 12 The court notes that the Federal Circuit appears to have issued one precedential decision on the issue of the correct legal standard for causation since the Boatmon decision. See Kirby v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 997 F.3d 1378. In Kirby, the Federal Circuit observed that [t]he government relies on Boatmon v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, 941 F.3d 1351, 1359 (Fed. Cir. 2019), but that case is inapt because the special master there “articulated a lower ‘reasonable’ standard” in assessing the petitioners’ medical theory of causation. Here, by contrast, the special master recited the correct legal standard. J.A. 33 (“[P]etitioners must provide a reputable medical theory . . . based on a sound and reliable medical or scientific explanation.”) (internal quotation marks omitted). Kirby v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 997 F.3d at 1384 (alterations in original). 33 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 34 of 37 for a petitioner to meet her burden of proof.” (quoting Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322)). Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 941 F.3d at 1359–60 (emphasis and alterations in original). Chief Special Master Corcoran properly cited to the Federal Circuit’s precedential decision in Boatmon v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, to conclude that petitioner must present preponderant evidence to prevail under the first Althen prong. Therefore, this court finds that Chief Special Master Corcoran applied the correct legal standard for petitioner to meet the first Althen prong, which as determined above, petitioner failed to meet. Petitioner also “seeks review of the Chief Special Master’s conclusion that Torday v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, No. 07-372V, 2009 WL 5196163 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. December 10, 2009), is not ‘useful’ to disposition of the case at bar.” (internal citation omitted). The court notes that the Chief Special Master only referenced Torday twice in his Entitlement Decision, both times in footnotes. The Chief Special Master noted in a footnote: As Respondent observed in his opposition brief, Dr. Steinman’s misplaced reliance on Torday as requiring specification of a precise infection to counter the known quantity of a vaccination really invokes a Shyface-like analysis from a case where more than one factor was deemed potentially causal, leading the special master to give less weight to the unknown precise nature of the infection. Torday, 2009 WL 5196163, at *3–4. Additionally, in a separate footnote, Chief Special Master Corcoran stated: Respondent herein also reacted directly to Dr. Steinman’s non-medical exegesis into Vaccine Program legal standards, noting that the case he cited to defend his view that a known vaccine should be favored as causal over a non-specifically identified infection did not quite mean what he represented. Opp. at 27–28, citing Torday v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 07-372V, 2009 WL 5196163, at *3–4 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 10, 2009). Torday, Respondent maintained, stood only for the proposition that when it was undisputed that the vaccine at issue and an unspecified illness could be causal, and the evidence was otherwise deemed close, it was reasonable to find the vaccine as causal. Here, by contrast, Dr. Collins and Respondent did not concede the Tdap vaccine was causal. Opp. at 28. Respondent’s reading of Torday is superior to Dr. Steinman’s—and it only underscores why medical/scientific experts like Dr. Steinman are better off not opining on the meaning of Program caselaw or the applicable legal standards (although as discussed in this Decision, I give no weight at all to Dr. Steinman’s legal pronouncements, and do not otherwise deem Torday a useful guiding decision). (emphasis in original). 34 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 35 of 37 Petitioner claims that “[w]hile Respondent has not conceded that the Tdap vaccine can be causal to Petitioner’s development of GBS, a court may find that it can be causal and apply the logic of Torday here.” Petitioner argues: All that is known about the days immediately after vaccination is that there were symptoms, which form the basis for Respondent's position in this case. It is not known to what these symptoms were attributable. There is no direct evidence that an infectious disease existed, at all. The symptoms may have been attributable to the formative stage of GBS, or perhaps another explanation. A court, in weighing a speculative, possibly non- existent infectious disease, without identification or specificity, could reasonably find recourse to the method employed in Torday, whereby preponderance was established, by just a feather's weight, to a known causal factor such as vaccination. Respondent challenges petitioner’s reading of Torday, and correctly points out that “Torday is nonprecedential, and the Chief Special Master is not bound by its analysis. Nevertheless, the Chief Special Master clearly considered Torday distinguishable from the present case.” (citation omitted). In Torday, the petitioner developed GBS after receiving the flu vaccine. See Torday v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 2009 WL 5196163, at *1. Expert witnesses for petitioner Torday and the respondent disagreed as to whether the vaccine or an intervening upper respiratory infection caused petitioner Torday’s GBS. See id. at *3. In Torday, then-Chief Special Master Golkiewicz indicated that “the issue to be decided is actually quite narrow” because both experts agreed that the vaccine or an upper respiratory infection could have caused petitioner’s GBS and that both met the third Althen prong. See id. In Torday, then-Chief Special Master Golkiewicz stated: The preponderance of evidence standard is often described as 50 percent plus a feather. In this case, the undersigned interprets the experts’ testimony to be that the vaccine and URI are potentially of equal culpability. However, when forced to choose, the experts disagree for the reasons stated as to which potential cause gets the feather. In resolving this case, the undersigned accepts and credits Dr. Steinman’s logic that the known causative agent, the vaccine, should be weighted more heavily than the unknown agent causing the URI, which may or may not be a potential cause of GBS. Thus, the undersigned finds that the 50 percent and the feather goes to the vaccine as the cause of Mr. Torday’s GBS. Id. at *4 (alteration added). In the Torday decision, then-Chief Special Master Golkiewicz indicated that he ruled in favor of petitioner Torday “by the slimmest of margins.” Id. As noted above, in his Entitlement Decision for the above captioned case, Chief Special Master Corcoran indicated he did not “deem Torday a useful guiding decision.” 35 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 36 of 37 Notably, the vaccine at issue in Torday, an influenza vaccination, was different than the Tdap vaccine administered to petitioner in the above captioned case. As Chief Special Master Corcoran stated in his Entitlement Decision, “it is incorrect that evidence regarding possible alternative causes should not be included in a special master’s weighing, absent definitive proof of the nature of the infection.” In his Entitlement Decision, Chief Special Master Corcoran found that not only is there “incontrovertible evidence that Petitioner first experienced URI symptoms before neurologic-related symptoms, but also that the majority of [petitioner’s] treaters deemed the URI most likely causal. The vaccine does not deserve greater weight simply because it is ‘known’ whereas the precise nature of the infection is not.” (emphasis in original; alteration added). In his Entitlement Decision, Chief Special Master Corcoran, citing Randolph v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, No. 15-146V, 2021 WL 5816271, at *21 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Nov. 12, 2021), indicated that “medical science cannot always test for or identify a specific infection.” According to Chief Special Master Corcoran, [t]here are circumstances where experts on both sides concede two or more factors could be causal of injury (including vaccination), resulting in entitlement for the petitioner if the special master concludes that the vaccine was at least a ‘substantial’ factor (even if not the primary or predominant factor). Deribeaux v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 105 Fed. Cl. 583, 589 (June 4, 2012). But here, there was no concession by Dr. Collins that the Tdap vaccine can be causal at all—and I have found that Petitioner did not preponderantly establish this to the case. Thus, the mere fact that temporarily [sic] Petitioner received the Tdap vaccine before onset of his URI does not compel me into a Shyface determination that the URI was not likely solely causal. (emphasis in original; alteration added). In fact, in her January 23, 2020 expert report, Dr. Collins stated, [t]he timing of [K.A.]’s symptoms in relationship to the Tdap vaccine is most likely coincidental. An influenza-like illness that followed the vaccine and preceded development of GBS is more likely than not the cause of [K.A.]’s GBS. There is no evidence that aluminum in the Tdap vaccination causes GBS, while conversely there is a known association between influenza-like infection and the development of GBS. Therefore, I do not believe the evidence in this case is supportive of the conclusion that the Tdap vaccine caused or substantially contributed to [K.A.]’s symptoms. (alteration added). After examining petitioner’s medical records and all the expert reports, Chief Special Master Corcoran found that [p]etitioner has not preponderantly established that the Tdap vaccine can cause GBS, under either of the two causation theories ventured over the case’s six-year life—and even if he had, the record demonstrates it is far 36 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 121 Filed 02/10/23 Page 37 of 37 more likely his GBS was attributable to an intercurrent upper respiratory infection (“URI”) than vaccination. Chief Special Master Corcoran’s analysis and conclusions and rejection of the Torday analysis as a basis for his Entitlement Decision was not arbitrary, capricious, or an abuse of discretion, given the facts of petitioner’s medical records in the above captioned case. CONCLUSION This court finds that Chief Special Master Corcoran’s examination of the record before the court in petitioner’s case, including the multiple, albeit conflicting, expert opinions by Dr. Steinman and Dr. Collins, petitioner’s contemporaneous medical records and the literature submitted, resulted in a decision which was not “arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law.” 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(e)(2)(B). The Chief Special Master’s Entitlement Decision is affirmed. Petitioner’s Motion for Review is DENIED. The Clerk of the Court shall enter JUDGMENT consistent with this Opinion. IT IS SO ORDERED. s/Marian Blank Horn MARIAN BLANK HORN Judge 37 ================================================================================ DOCUMENT 2: USCOURTS-cofc-1_16-vv-00989-3 Date issued/filed: 2023-06-27 Pages: 45 Docket text: PUBLIC DECISION (Originally filed: 04/18/2022) regarding 98 DECISION of Special Master. Signed by Chief Special Master Brian H. Corcoran. (mva) Service on parties made. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 1 of 45 In the United States Court of Federal Claims OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS No. 16-989V (To be Published) * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * K.A., * * Petitioner, * * Chief Special Master Corcoran v. * * Dated: April 18, 2022 * SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND * HUMAN SERVICES, * * Respondent. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Robert J. Krakow, Law Office of Robert Krakow, P.C., New York, NY, for Petitioner. Nina Ren, U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Washington, DC, for Respondent. ENTITLEMENT DECISION1 On August 11, 2016, K.A. filed a petition seeking compensation under the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (“Vaccine Program”).2 Petitioner alleges that he experienced Guillain Barré syndrome (“GBS”) due to the administration of a Tetanus Diphtheria acellular-Pertussis (“Tdap”) vaccine on August 12, 2013. Petition at 1 (ECF No. 1). 1 This Decision will be posted on the Court of Federal Claims’s website in accordance with the E-Government Act of 2002, 44 U.S.C. § 3501 (2012)). This means that the Decision will be available to anyone with access to the internet. As provided by 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(d)(4)(B), however, the parties may object to the Decision’s inclusion of certain kinds of confidential information. Specifically, under Vaccine Rule 18(b), each party has fourteen days within which to request redaction “of any information furnished by that party: (1) that is a trade secret or commercial or financial in substance and is privileged or confidential; or (2) that includes medical files or similar files, the disclosure of which would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of privacy.” Vaccine Rule 18(b). Otherwise, the whole Decision will be available to the public. Id. 2 The Vaccine Program comprises Part 2 of the National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986, Pub. L. No. 99-660, 100 Stat. 3758, codified as amended at 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-10 through 34 (2012) (“Vaccine Act” or “the Act”). Individual section references hereafter will be to § 300aa of the Act (but will omit that statutory prefix). Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 2 of 45 I proposed (after the case’s transfer to me in January 2021) that the matter could reasonably be decided on the record, and the parties have offered briefs in support of their respective positions. Petitioner’s Motion, dated July 2, 2021 (ECF No. 84) (“Mot.”); Respondent’s Opposition, dated Sept. 13, 2021 (ECF No. 88) (“Opp.”); Petitioner’s Reply, dated Oct. 12, 2021 (ECF No. 89) (“Reply”). Now, after review of the medical record, briefs, and multiple expert reports, I deny entitlement. Petitioner has not preponderantly established that the Tdap vaccine can cause GBS, under either of the two causation theories ventured over the case’s six-year life—and even if he had, the record demonstrates it is far more likely his GBS was attributable to an intercurrent upper respiratory infection (“URI”) than vaccination. I. Factual Background Vaccination and Onset of Neurologic Issues/Symptoms Mr. K.A., a medical researcher, was fifty-one years old when he received a Tdap vaccine on August 12, 2013, through his employer. Ex. 1 at 2. The medical evidence filed in this case pertaining to Petitioner’s pre-vaccination history suggests he suffered from high cholesterol, hypertension, and a chronic leg condition for which he underwent surgery several years post-vaccination. See Ex. 2 at 2; Ex. 18; Ex. 75 at 57, 111. Petitioner acknowledges that “[w]ithin a short time” after receiving the vaccine, he experienced a “bad headache, body pains, sore throat and fever,” which he believed to be “a routine flu.” Ex. 10 at 8. Thus, he was experienced flu-like symptoms prior to the onset of his alleged vaccine-caused neurologic injury, and these symptoms appear broader than the common post-vaccination malaise. Less than three weeks later, on September 1, 2013, Petitioner went to the North Shore University Hospital (“North Shore”) Emergency Department (“ED”), where he reported three days (meaning beginning on or around August 29th) of flu-like symptoms (dry cough, chills) and a feeling of swelling in his throat, which he had been attempting to self-treat with over-the-counter medications based on the supposition that he had some kind of URI. Ex. 9 at 6, 9, 17. On exam, ED treaters noted that Petitioner appeared neurologically sound and was not in distress, although they observed him to display many common URI symptoms (fever, chills, weakness, nasal discharge, congestion, dyspnea, cough, etc.). Id. at 11, 17. Mr. K.A. was ultimately discharged from North Shore the next day, and he maintains he was still experiencing a fever on September 3, 2013. Id. at 6–11; Ex. 10 at 5. Then, on September 4, 2013, Petitioner was discovered on his driveway complaining of numbness on his left side, and transported by ambulance to the St. Francis Hospital ED in Roslyn, New York. Ex. 3 at 8–9. Emergency responders noted that he was displaying an unsteady gait, and also that he had recently been treated for flu-like symptoms. Ex. 2 at 5–6. Upon arrival at the hospital, Mr. K.A. informed treaters that his neurologic symptoms had begun “approximately” five days ago, 2 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 3 of 45 “when he was attempting to climb a hill and noticed weakness in the left leg,” followed by a feeling of “incoordination” on the left side of his face while brushing his teeth. Ex. 3 at 9. (Petitioner contradictorily represented in this same record, however, that “[t]he current episode” began seven days before (Id.)). He had not experienced any loss of sensation, but felt tingling generally over the left side of his body. Id. Overall, Petitioner deemed his symptoms “mild to moderate.” Id. Evaluation and Treatment On exam, admitting physician Subhash Viswanathan, M.D., noted that Mr. K.A. could not forcefully close his left eye, and that he had left face weakness plus left arm and leg weakness. Ex. 3 at 10–12. His cranial nerves appeared intact, however, and he displayed no sensory defect. Id. at 12. CT scans of Petitioner’s brain and chest were unremarkable, although lab results showed a positive IgG for West Nile virus (“WNV”), but a negative IgM.3 Id. at 15–20, 63. A lumbar puncture supported the diagnosis of GBS of the “pharyngeal-cervical-brachial variant.” Id. at 67. A neurologist who saw Petitioner at this time, Michael Han, M.D., concurred in the proposed GBS diagnosis, taking specific note of the fact that Petitioner had recently experienced a URI. Ex. 3 at 15, 19–20. Mr. K.A. was subsequently admitted to the hospital for further evaluation. Ex. 3 at 16. Weakness was his initial primary complaint, and in providing a history Petitioner noted that he had experienced a URI with flu-like symptoms, thereafter, developing the left leg weakness that had resulted in his ED visit on September 4th. Id. at 20, 21. An MRI of the brain was performed after Petitioner’s admission but revealed no acute changes. Id. at 30. Another neurologist, Teresa Deangelis, M.D., examined Petitioner the next day (September 5th), noting again the URI preceding his neurologic symptoms, and she began Petitioner on a five-day course of intravenous immunoglobulin therapy.4 Id. at 36–37. Petitioner also underwent a rheumatology consult with William Given, M.D., on September 6, 2013, and Dr. Given opined (consistent with the other treaters who had by this time seen Petitioner) that “[t]he patient is . . . a gentleman who has developed weakness and paresthesias following what appears to be a viral illness a couple of weeks ago.” Id. at 41. Petitioner also had at this time an infectious disease consult with Dava Klirsfeld, M.D., providing the same history he had given other treaters (URI, subsequent symptoms, etc.)—although this time he included the fact that he had received the Tdap vaccine three weeks prior as well. Ex. 3 at 47– 3 As I noted in a prior decision, “Immunoglobulin G (IgG) and Immunoglobulin M (IgM) are antibodies produced in response to infection, and their titer levels can help monitor or detect immune deficiencies. IgM is an indicator of current infection, while IgG reflects exposure to a past infection.” Knorr v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 15- 1169V, 2018 WL 6991548, at *4 n.7 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 7, 2018). 4 Intravenous immunoglobulin, or “IVIG,” is a blood product used to treat patients with antibody deficiencies, including neurological disorders. Clinical Uses of Intravenous Immunoglobulin, NCBI (2005), https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1809480/ (lasted visited on Apr. 13, 2022). It is commonly prescribed to treat diseases believed to be autoimmune in nature, with the aim of increasing the effectiveness of an individual's immune response. 3 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 4 of 45 48. Dr. Klirsfeld’s assessment included the view that Petitioner had experienced “a demyelinating disorder possibly post viral or post vaccine.” Id. at 53 (emphasis added). Dr. Klirsfeld also deemed the positive WNV IgG serum test “of unclear significance,” and ordered more laboratory testing. Id. A second lumbar puncture was consistent with the prior one, and on September 10, 2013, Doina Glodan, M.D., diagnosed petitioner with “Guillain-Barré syndrome post recent viral URI.” Ex. 3 at 126, 217. Other treaters who saw Petitioner in this time frame also seemed to accept the URI as likely causal. See, e.g., id. at 127 (Joyce Ott, PT, recording that Petitioner had a history of “recent viral URI”), 130 (Dr. Deangelis noting “recent URI 2 weeks ago”), 154 (David Brieff, M.D., opining that “[p]ositive WNV serology likely reflects old infection or cross reaction from other flavivirus infection in past”). But Petitioner did not test positive for any specific infections, such as the Epstein-Barr virus (“EBV”). Id. at 268–85. Mr. K.A. remained at St. Francis Hospital until September 17, 2013, after which he was discharged to a rehabilitation facility. Ex. 3 at 213, 216. His coordination had now improved, although he continued to report facial weakness, fatigue, and back and shoulder pain. Id. There, he attended physical, occupational, and speech therapy, remaining in rehab until September 22, 2013. Ex. 12 at 8. On that date, however, Petitioner developed acute right facial weakness with hemiparesis, and was accordingly transferred to North Shore on the same day for treatment and evaluation. Id. He now displayed increasing lethargy, weakness, and right sided numbness and tingling that started two to three days prior, with trace reflexes and worsened right-side issues (in contrast to improvements on his left side). Ex. 9 at 44–49; Ex. 5 at 27. Petitioner was admitted to North Shore based on his emerging “right side numbness/tingling weakness” in the setting of “recently diagnosed AIDP,”5 and treaters began him on a course of plasmapheresis6 on September 24, 2013. Ex. 5 at 30; Ex. 9 at 48. This treatment was continued for some time, and Petitioner’s symptoms improved as a result. Ex. 9 at 53. Additional testing performed during this hospitalization revealed a recent cytomegalovirus (“CMV”) infection, but was equivocal regarding the presence of EBV. Ex. 9 at 178–80. Notably, on September 26, 2013, a dietician who saw Petitioner indicated in the record from that visit that Petitioner had initially presented “with progressive weakness post tetanus shot 8 weeks ago,” although it appears from this record that the dietician was merely taking down a history rather than offering an informed view on causation. Id. at 1064. 5 AIDP refers to “acute inflammatory demyelinating polyradiculoneuropathy” Polyradiculoneuropathy, Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=40276 (last visited Apr. 13, 2022). 6 Plasmapheresis is the process of drawing blood, removing the plasma therefrom, and replacing it with another substance, such as albumin or type-specific fresh frozen plasma. Plasmapheresis, Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=39455&searchterm=plasmapheresis (last visited Apr. 13, 2022). It is often employed in the treatment of disease processes believed to be autoimmune in nature. 4 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 5 of 45 Mr. K.A. was discharged for further rehabilitation at a different facility on October 8, 2013, and he underwent rehab therapy through October 21st before being released for additional outpatient therapy. Ex. 9 at 57; Ex. 7 at 78; Ex. 12 at 193–540. In the course of that treatment, he informed caregivers of his view that his symptoms followed (and hence were potentially related to) his receipt of the Tdap vaccine. Ex. 7 at 5–7. For the remainder of that fall, Petitioner saw Dr. Han for follow-up treatment, and Dr. Han noted Petitioner’s overall improvement. Ex. 5 at 58–60, 62. Treatment in 2014 and Beyond There is a subsequent, almost nine-month gap in the medical record, with Petitioner not visiting Dr. Han again until September 2014. Ex. 5 at 65. Petitioner then reported that he still was experiencing painful paresthesias in his feet, but no longer needed to use a cane despite some imbalance issues, and described himself as “99% back to normal.” Id. Dr. Han advised Mr. K.A. that he should continue on his existing medication, and asked him to return in four to six months. Id. at 67. Petitioner received a comparable positive evaluation from a different treater. Ex. 75 at 69, 130. Similar prognoses were offered in 2015. See, e.g., id. at 68, 126 (2015 visits with Dr. Han); Ex. 5 at 80–81 (2016 visits with Dr. Han). No other records from the subsequent timeframe bear on the causation issues presented in this case. II. Expert Reports A. Lawrence Steinman, M.D. Dr. Steinman submitted five expert reports on behalf of Petitioner. Report, dated Aug. 2, 2017, filed as Ex. 21 (ECF No. 30-1) (“First Steinman Rep.”); Report, dated Feb. 18, 2018, filed as Ex. 22 (ECF No. 40-1) (“Second Steinman Rep.”); Report, dated Dec. 27, 2018, filed as Exhibit 46 (ECF No. 54-1) (“Third Steinman Rep.”); Report, dated Oct. 7, 2019, filed as Exhibit 48 (ECF No. 61-1) (“Fourth Steinman Rep.”); Report, dated June 22, 2020, filed as Exhibit 71 (ECF No. 74-1)(“Fifth Steinman Rep.”). Altogether, Dr. Steinman offered more than 70 pages of expert opinion on this matter, (as discussed below and throughout this Decision), I do not conclude the significant effort was ultimately well spent. As shown in his CV, Dr. Steinman received his B.A. from Dartmouth College and his M.D. from Harvard Medical School. Ex. 24 at 1 (ECF No. 48-2) (Dr. Steinman’s Curriculum Vitae (“Steinman CV”)). He then completed residencies in neurology and pediatrics at Stanford University. Steinman CV at 1. He has worked as a professor of neurology and pediatrics at Stanford for the past forty-one years (thirty-seven years at the time of filing). Id. Dr. Steinman has also published over four hundred peer-reviewed publications on immunology, neurology, and autoimmune disease. Id. at 5–45. He has special expertise in the study of immunology, having several articles published on the issues. Id. at 5–45. Dr. Steinman is part of the American 5 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 6 of 45 Association of Immunologists and the Clinical Immunology Society, with patents in the field and many papers on the topic. Id. at 2. Dr. Steinman has demonstrated expertise in treatment of GBS and associated neuroinflammatory conditions, and has been honored in his field of practice for his specific expertise in the study of multiple sclerosis. First Steinman Rep. at 2–3. And he is a frequent expert in the Vaccine Program. By his own count (as of 2017, meaning over four years ago), Dr. Steinman had testified 20 times—although (as a somewhat recent decision establishes) by the spring of 2019 his reports and opinions had been featured in 40 published Vaccine Program decisions. D.G. v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 11-577V, 2019 WL 2511769, at *191 n.171 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 24, 2019). First Report Dr. Steinman began his report with an overview of GBS, which he characterized as an inflammatory neuropathy singling out peripheral nerves and that was likely autoimmune in pathogenesis. First Steinman Rep. at 4–6. He also noted that the record strongly supported the appropriateness of the diagnosis in this case, adding that Respondent did not appear to disagree with it. Id. at 6. In addition, there was some record evidence of potential alternative explanations (spider bites; presence of WNV antibodies in CSF testing; Petitioner’s URI), and Dr. Steinman added that “[i]nfection with [cytomegalovirus] and/or [Epstein Barr Virus] are two possibilities for the GBS trigger”—presumably interpreting the evidence of Petitioner’s URI as possibly establishing such an infection despite a lack of record evidence proving either’s existence. But he ultimately proposed that the Tdap vaccine more likely explained Petitioner’s GBS, “because there is a clear underlying mechanism to explain how the vaccine is the trigger” in comparison to those two wild infections. Id. at 7. Next, Dr. Steinman outlined his theory for how the Tdap vaccine could trigger GBS. First, he noted that the Institute of Medicine (the “IOM”) had evaluated the role that the alum adjuvant contained in the Tdap vaccine is believed to increase the vaccine’s immunogenicity. First Steinman Rep. at 7–8; Institute of Medicine, Adverse Effects of Vaccines: Evidence and Causality (K. Stratton et al., eds., 2012), filed as Ex. 23 (ECF No. 48-1) (“2012 IOM Rep.”).7 In addition to describing the impact on immune response, it also noted that “alum may directly activate cells of the innate immune system through its effect on local inflammasome complexes leading to the release of inflammatory mediators.” 2012 IOM Rep. at 88. Dr. Steinman’s overall causation theory stemmed from the potentiality for this process to become aberrant. 7 Dr. Steinman’s First Report erroneously refers to this document as having been published in 2011. First Steinman Rep. at 7. More concerning is the fact that Petitioner has unhelpfully filed the entire 800-plus pages of the IOM 2012 Report, rather than only the specifically-relevant and cited selections. See generally Ex. 23. This is wasteful and unnecessary, and counsel in the future should show greater care in offering medical and scientific literature (which already in most Vaccine Program cases is filed excessively, and out of all proportion to its overall utility). 6 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 7 of 45 Dr. Steinman offered several additional items of literature confirming the immunogenic contributory role of alum as an adjuvant, although one item noted that “the basis for its adjuvanticity remains poorly understood.” First Steinman Rep. at 8 (quoting H. Li et al., Aluminum Hydroxide Adjuvants Activate Capsase-1 and Induce IL-1β and IL-18 Release, 178 J. Immunol. 5271 (2007), filed as Ex. 33 (ECF No. 49-1)) (“Li”). He later noted that the 2012 IOM Report had questioned whether Tdap-like vaccines could be reasonably associated with GBS, but retorted that none of the literature he relied upon in this case had been considered in that report. First Steinman Rep. at 10–11; 2012 IOM Rep. at 587 (referencing ten studies, and concluding that “the mechanistic evidence regarding an association between diphtheria toxoid-, tetanus toxoid-, or acellular pertussis-containing vaccine and GBS” was inadequate). Dr. Steinman also cited the Tdap vaccine’s package insert, which he noted admitted an increased risk of GBS after receipt of the vaccine—if the recipient previously experienced GBS within six weeks of a prior dose of a vaccine containing tetanus toxoid. First Steinman Rep. at 11; Adacel,8 Highlights of Prescribing Information, https://www.fda.gov/downloads/biologicsbloodvaccines/vaccines/approvedproducts/ucm 142764.pdf (last visited Apr. 13, 2022) at 2, filed as Ex. 25 (ECF No. 48-3) (“Tdap package insert”). Notably, however, the Tdap package insert relies on an older IOM report not offered in this case (and presumably supplanted by the 2012 IOM Report filed by Petitioner, which itself only denies the ability to ascertain mechanistically if the vaccine is or is not causal). Tdap package insert at 2 n.1, 4. Second, Dr. Steinman highlighted the importance of the fact (as Li had noted) that certain pro-inflammatory cytokines—in particular, IL-1β and IL-18—were activated in response to the alum adjuvant. First Steinman Rep. at 8; Li at 5275. IL-1β, he proposed, was “strongly unregulated during active GBS.” First Steinman Rep. at 8; K. Nyati, et al., Correlation of Matrix Metalloproteinases-2 and -9 with Proinflammatory Cytokines in Guillain-Barré Syndrome, 88 J. Neurosci. R. 3540 (2010), filed as Ex. 34 (ECF No. 49-2) (“Nyati”). Another article also directly implicated IL-18 “in the pathogenesis of acute immune-mediated [peripheral nervous system] demyelination.” S. Jander & G. Stoll, Interleukin-18 is Induced in Acute Inflammatory Demyelinating Polyneuropathy, 114 J. Neuroimm. 253 (2001), filed as Ex. 35 (ECF No. 49-3) (“Jander & Stoll”). And he noted that the predominant animal model used to study autoimmune peripheral demyelinating diseases like GBS, experimental autoimmune neuritis (“EAN”), had observed that treatments to suppress IL-18 seemed to in turn reduce autoantibody responses driving GBS—suggesting its importance to GBS’s pathogenesis. A. Yu et al., Neutralizing Antibodies to IL-18 Ameliorate Experimental Autoimmune Neuritis by Counter-Regulation of Autoreactive Th1 Responses to Peripheral Myelin Antigen, 61 J. Neuropathol. & Experimental Neurol. 614 (2002), filed as Ex. 36 (ECF No. 49-4) (“Yu”). 8 Adacel is the trade name for the Tdap vaccine version administered in this case. Ex. 50. 7 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 8 of 45 Dr. Steinman deemed these articles to provide “a strong scientific foundation” for his theory. First Steinman Rep. at 9. But, on close review, they are less supportive than he assumed. Nyati, for example, noted that GBS’s pathology in part requires breach of the blood nerve barrier by both immune cells specific to the disease’s course (i.e. autoantibodies) as well as non-specific macrophages (immune cells that react to any pathogen without specificity). Nyati at 3540. A specific kind of enzyme is also involved in this breaching process, and Nyati’s authors determined that the enzyme “can regulate the expression and activation of cytokines and hence play a complex role in inflammatory diseases” like GBS. Id. at 3541. Nyati looked specifically at the correlation between this enzyme level and levels of proinflammatory cytokines like IL-1β, finding the latter were higher during the later, progressive stages of the disease. Id. at 3545. But because the presence of these cytokines was observed in connection with a different immune process—and, more significantly, that this aspect of the process resulting in GBS was not deemed instigative of it (and indeed likely occurred after the disease process had already begun)—Nyati clearly does not stand for the proposition that merely increasing levels of IL-1β will cause GBS. At most, it is the enzyme studied in Nyati that promotes the cytokines at issue. Jander & Stoll was similarly read by Dr. Steinman far more broadly than the actual article allows. Its authors deemed it to be a “widely accepted” concept that T-helper cells (which as a general matter encourage adaptive immune responses—for example, by aiding B cell production of antibodies specific to a particular pathogen) played an important role in GBS’s pathogenesis, and that some T-helper cells were understood to cause upregulation of certain proinflammatory cytokines. Jander & Stoll at 253. At the same time, “[a]ntigen-presenting cells such as activated macrophages” were encouraging production of cytokines like IL-18, which in turn had the capacity to “favor a [T-helper cell]-like polarization of T cell-mediated immune responses.” Id. Through both an animal study and small-sample measurement of the cytokine levels in 36 GBS patients, Jander & Stoll determined that there was “a role for macrophage-derived IL-18 in the pathogenesis of [T-helper cell]-mediated autoimmune demyelination in the [peripheral nervous system].” Id. at 257. This finding (like Nyati’s) is thus far narrower than Dr. Steinman posits, as it observes increases in a relevant cytokine dependent on a factor other than initial vaccination, and moreover that influences a sub-step in the pathogenesis of GBS, as opposed to instigating the process at the outset. It says nothing about what initially causes the cytokine-promoting macrophages to react. Yu is no different. Its authors relied on the EAN animal model to specifically consider “the function of IL-18 in T-cell-mediated EAN,” noting at the outset that although high levels of IL-18 had been measured in GBS patients (relying for this proposition specifically from Jander & Stoll), but that not much was known about the role the cytokine plays in the course of autoimmune diseases. Yu at 614. Yu attempted to approach the question from an opposite end, evaluating what would occur if anti-IL-18 antibodies were used as therapy. Id. By finding that an anti-IL-18 treatment could effectively “attenuate” EAN, Yu’s authors concluded they had illustrated the cytokine’s importance to the disease, with some suggestion that the same ameliorative effect was 8 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 9 of 45 possible outside the context of the EAN experiment (which relies on use of an artificially- stimulated adjuvant to heighten the immune reaction, so that different variables can be tested). Id. at 615, 621. But, like Jander & Stoll, Yu’s authors were focused on T-helper cells, based on the fact that “EAN is predominantly a T cell-mediated disease”—something not understood about GBS9—and hence Yu’s findings were limited to how IL-18 upregulation interacts with T-helper cells and (in turn) “T cell-activation by antigen-presenting cells,” or macrophages. Id. at 620.10 The remainder of Dr. Steinman’s first report addressed the other two causation prongs that a Program petitioner must satisfy. He proposed that the second, “did cause” prong was met—but mainly in conclusory fashion, noting that literature insufficiently (in his view) provided a convincing mechanistic connection between certain wild virus infections (EBV or CMV) and GBS, and otherwise taking issue with the 2012 IOM Report’s conclusion that the immune processes thought to drive GBS were not convincingly connected to the Tdap vaccine. First Steinman Rep. at 10–11. He also endorsed the onset of Mr. K.A.’s GBS as occurring in a medically-acceptable timeframe, when measured from date of vaccination. To do so, however, Dr. Steinman invoked an item of literature specific to the flu vaccine. First Steinman Rep. at 11; L. Schonberger et al., Guillain-Barré Syndrome Following Vaccination in the National Influenza Immunization Program, United States, 1976–1977, 110 Am. J. Epidemiol. 105 (1979), filed as Ex. 42 (ECF No. 49-10) (“Schonberger”). Because Petitioner’s onset occurred approximately three weeks11 after vaccination, it was within Schonberger’s observed interval. Schonberger at 109. Second Report By the time of the filing of his supplemental report, Dr. Steinman had the benefit of having reviewed the first report prepared by Respondent’s Expert, Kathleen Collins, M.D. Thereupon began a “tit-for-tat,” bickering exchange between the two that stretched over the next seven reports 9 Blackburn v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 10-410V, 2015 WL 425935, at *15 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 9, 2015) (peripheral neuropathies usually felt to be mediated by B cell-produced antibodies). 10 Dr. Steinman also extensively discussed a study in which scientists suppressed IL-18 in EAN—but without a reduction in associated symptoms (thus undermining the contention that this cytokine was a central driver of pathogenesis). R. Duan et al., IL-18 Deficiency Inhibits Both Th1 and Th2 Cytokine Production but Not the Clinical Symptoms in Experimental Autoimmune Neuritis, 183 J. Neurolimm. 162 (2007), filed as Ex. 38 (ECF No. 49-6) (“Duan”). Duan’s authors determined specifically a “net effect of no influence of IL-18 deficiency on EAN severity.” Duan at 166. However, Dr. Steinman attempted to minimize Duan’s significance, noting that it was a study performed on genetically-engineered, or “gene knockout” animals, and arguing that the findings in such a study were less useful or trustworthy, since he felt that medical science recognized that this technology had become “old and is now considered flawed.” First Steinman Rep. at 10. 11 Dr. Steinman somewhat erroneously identifies onset as occurring 18 days post-vaccination, or by August 30, 2013 (based on the August 12th vaccination)—even though the medical record states that around this time Petitioner sought treatment for URI symptoms only, with his neurologic complaints not beginning until five days later (September 4th). Ex. 9 at 6, 9, 11, 17. But since either date (August 30th or September 5th) is adequate from a temporal standpoint to fit Petitioner’s timeframe theory (based on molecular mimicry as the causal mechanism), this difference does not meaningfully undermine Dr. Steinman’s third prong opinion. 9 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 10 of 45 collectively filed by both experts. While for the most part their interaction sheds limited light on the contested issues, some reasonable elaborations or clarifications were provided—and as discussed below, eventually Petitioner (at the urging of the special master then responsible for the case) modified his theory entirely. The first third of Dr. Steinman’s supplemental report was spent quibbling with Dr. Collins’s use of the term “influenza-like illness” in proposing a more likely cause for Petitioner’s GBS. See generally Second Steinman Rep. at 1–3. Dr. Steinman deemed it insufficiently precise, and therefore not a reliable diagnosis upon which to base an argument about an alternative cause (despite the fact that the record in this case clearly establishes that Petitioner was experiencing a URI before his first manifestation of neurologic symptoms—even if no specific virus was identified).12 He was not prepared to accept an illness that had not been specifically identified, by testing or otherwise, as an explanation for Petitioner’s GBS, given the undeniable, identified “fact” of receipt of the Tdap vaccine. And he attempted an item-by-item rebuttal of literature Dr. Collins had referenced as contaminated by a similar amount of imprecision. Turning to the central aspects of his theory, Dr. Steinman conceded that “[t]here is no epidemiologic proof that alum containing vaccines are related to GBS.” Second Steinman Rep. at 3. But (block-quoting his own initial report), Dr. Steinman disputed the significance of this lack of proof, in light of the fact that no such epidemiologic evidence could ever completely “rule out” the possibility that a vaccine could be causal of GBS, or was in this case. Id. at 3–4. He noted that the 2012 IOM Report he had previously discussed in his first report had (when considering the epidemiologic evidence) stated only that the evidence was “inadequate to accept or reject” a Tdap- GBS association, leaving the matter open. Id. at 4. He also highlighted an item of epidemiologic evidence that in his view allowed for a potential Tdap association with acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (“ADEM”), a neuroinflammatory demyelinating disorder that impacts the brain and spinal cord (and hence somewhat comparable to GBS). R. Baxter et al., Acute Demyelinating Events Following Vaccines: A Case-Centered Analysis, 63 Clin. Infect. Diseases: An Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Soc. of Am., 1456 (2016), filed as Ex. 44 (ECF No. 51-1) (“Baxter I”). Thus, Dr. Steinman maintained that some epidemiologic evidence did not rebut the possibility that an alum-adjuvanted vaccine could cause injury as he had proposed—even though Baxter I does not address GBS, a distinguishable peripheral neuropathy. Baxter I at 1456. 12 Dr. Steinman also engaged in conduct I have in the past criticized him for: commenting on the standards governing Program cases, and elaborating on how he performs his role as expert, rather than simply providing the medical/scientific opinion for which he has been retained. See, e.g., Rolshoven v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 14-439V, 2018 WL 1124737, at *21 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 11, 2018). (Notably as well, in Rolshoven as here, Dr. Steinman’s causation theory was based in part of the cytokine-stimulative impact of a vaccine’s alum adjuvant. Rolshoven, 2018 WL 1124737, at *20). Indeed, he block-quoted in his second report an entire paragraph from a prior Program decision in support of his contention about the lack of weight to be given to the term “influenza-like illness.” Second Steinman Rep. at 2. None of Dr. Steinman’s reports in this case were prepared while I was presiding over this matter—but in future cases in which Dr. Steinman is retained that are assigned to me, I will not compensate time spent on opinions on legal issues that he is not qualified to address. 10 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 11 of 45 In other regards, Dr. Steinman merely vouched for the opinion he had previously offered. In reaction to Dr. Collins’s contention that the individual items of literature he previously cited did not directly establish an alum/adjuvant-GBS association, Dr. Steinman protested that (a) the items offered were individually reliable, having been published in reputable journals, and (b) he reasonably relied on this evidence as links in his overall theory chain. Second Steinman Rep. at 4– 6. Thus, articles like Li or Nyati were useful in at least demonstrating alum’s impact on the immune process—and that it could trigger upregulation of cytokines significant to GBS’s pathogenesis. Id. at 6–8. Third Report In reaction to the four-page rebuttal offered by Dr. Collins, Dr. Steinman offered 12 additional report pages—although discerning how the ongoing expert exchange was being expanded or improved upon with new, worthwhile points is exceedingly difficult. First (and continuing his commentary on the legal standards relevant to the case’s resolution—despite his admission that “I am not a lawyer” (Third Steinman Rep. at 1)), Dr. Steinman spent a considerable amount of time maintaining that the term “influenza-like illness” could not credibly be employed, given its vague character, to establish a persuasive alternative explanation for Petitioner’s GBS. Third Steinman Rep. at 1–2. He deemed the known fact of Petitioner’s receipt of the Tdap vaccine to outweigh the unestablished possibility of an intercurrent infection that could not be precisely identified (even though the fact of Petitioner’s URI symptoms cannot be contested). Id. at 2. Second, Dr. Steinman objected to Dr. Collins’s general contention that his overall theory was nothing more than a series of loosely-connected, “cherry-picked” studies that were inconsistent overall (in part because they were a combination of animal and human studies with differing and distinguishable methodologies). Third Steinman Rep. at 2–3. After expressing umbrage at the use of the term “cherry picking” generally (and emphasizing his vast expertise testifying in Vaccine Program cases—and the attendant knowledge he presumably had gained from how claims should be evaluated, in light of the fact that vaccine injury causation could never be determined to any degree of scientific certainty), Dr. Steinman endeavored to explain how the individual components of his theory connected. Id. at 3–4. He thus reiterated that alum had been demonstrated by reliable science to upregulate certain pro-inflammatory cytokines (albeit in the context of promoting immunogenicity)—but also that it could do so even outside the context of experiments relying on the use of additional stimulative agents to enhance the response (the reason Dr. Collins had criticized the invocation of such other evidence). Third Steinman Rep.at 5; J. Mannhalter et al., Modulation of the Human Immune 11 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 12 of 45 Response by the Non-Toxic and Non-Pyrogenic Adjuvant Aluminum Hydroxide: Effect on Antigen Uptake and Antigen Presentation, 61 Clin. Exp. Immunol. 143, 144 (1985), filed as Ex. 47 (ECF No. 54-2) (“Mannhalter”) (evaluating the influence of the adjuvant on the immune process by in vitro testing of vaccinated blood samples, adding tetanus toxoid antigens to the samples). Dr. Steinman further underscored his prior contention that a number of human studies “covered the effect of alum on the human immune response,” based on blood testing from individuals diagnosed with GBS. Third Steinman Rep. at 6. He included a block quote from Li, followed by several lengthy cites to Dr. Collins’s second report, in an effort to bolster the reliability of this part of his opinion. Id. at 6–7. He did the same with Jander & Stoll, and added even more lengthy block quotes from his prior reports as support (rather than offering new commentary based on additional scientific support not previously referenced or highlighted). Id. at 7–8. And he repeated the view that articles like Yu (demonstrating suppression of IL-18 via antibody treatments in animal studies) were better evidence of the association of the cytokine to the demyelination characteristic of GBS than animal experiments involving gene “knockout” (which he had previously acknowledged produced results contrary to his primary contentions). Id. at 8–9. Fourth Report Dr. Steinman’s fourth report arrived three years into the claim’s life—and also after the special master previously presiding over the case had expressed the willingness to entertain a revised causation theory (since Respondent was deeming the adjuvant-based theory to be implausible).13 This report thus pivoted to a “new” theory, albeit one that Dr. Steinman has offered repeatedly in Vaccine Program cases past and present: that the autoimmune process leading to GBS was instigated by the Tdap vaccine via the mechanism of molecular mimicry. Dr. Steinman began his foray into this second/alternative causation theory by briefly vouching for his own expertise, in both the fields of immunology as well as neuroinflammatory autoimmune disease. Fourth Steinman Rep. at 1. He represented that his prior theory was not “mutually exclusive” from his new theory, which focused on “how the contents of the [Tdap] vaccine a) trigger via molecular mimicry immune responses to myelin components that are known to be targeted in GBS.” Id. First, Dr. Steinman listed the specific antigenic components of the Tdap vaccine. Fourth Steinman Rep. at 2–3. Second, he turned to a brief review of the general concept of molecular mimicry, in which “shared structures on a virus or bacteria or in a vaccine can trigger a cross- reactive response to self.” Id. at 3 (citations omitted). Such sharing, or “homology,” is established by showing amino acid (the building blocks of protein) identity (whether or not sequential) 13 See Section III below, discussing the case’s procedural history. 12 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 13 of 45 between the foreign presenting antigen and the self structure. If antigen and self structure are sufficiently similar, then antibodies produced by the immune system in reaction to the foreign antigen (and intended to attack it) will also, if mistakenly, attack self. But because homology is common in nature (given the total limited number of amino acids that constitute proteins), it is important to focus on homology specific to the “disease-related” situs for the cross-reactive attack. Id. at 4.14 In the case of GBS, it is understood that the relevant situs are ganglioside structures found on the surface of myelin basic protein molecules. Id. Dr. Steinman thereafter engaged in the same overall mimicry showing that characterizes most of his expert reports in which the theory is offered. See generally Fourth Steinman Rep. at 5–16. Specifically, he (a) attempted to propose the degree of amino acid homology that would be necessary, arguing that five (and perhaps even four) out of a twelve amino acid string is sufficient (Id. at 5–8) (b) performed “BLAST” searches15 with an online government database for the antigenic components of the Tdap vaccine, in order to identify the amino acids comprising them (Id. at 8–10), and (c) compared them to identified GBS targets. Id. at 10–15. Dr. Steinman also compared the amino acids found in the protein components of the vaccine’s tetanus toxoid and diphtheria toxin components with those making up neurofascin, a nerve protein expressed at certain nerve nodes believed to be situses for demyelinating autoimmune attack (although more specifically associated with a distinguishable peripheral neuropathy, chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (“CIDP”)). Id. at 9–13; J. Devaux et al., Neurofascin-155 IgG4 in Chronic Inflammatory Demyelinating Polyneuropathy, 86 Neurology® 800, 800 (2016), filed as Ex. 63 (ECF No. 63-3). He concluded from the foregoing that “a compelling case” existed in support of his contention that “molecular mimics in the [Tdap] vaccine . . . triggered GBS due to homologies with antigens that are homologous mimics of the vaccine and which are targeted in this neuroinflammatory condition.” Fourth Steinman Rep. at 17. Dr. Steinman’s fourth report provided little else to substantiate this alternative/new causation theory, however, outside his detailed review of the molecular biology data supporting his contentions. He offered only a single additional paragraph, maintaining that “immunity to nervous system antigens like myelin is rather widespread in normal individuals”—presumably conceding (comparable to his earlier admission about the common nature of homology) that a pathogenic cross-reaction between antigens and self, driven by antibodies, is uncommon. Fourth Steinman Rep. at 17. As a result, “[o]ther genetic and environmental factors are necessary before these self-reactive immune responses to myelin might trigger GBS”—but Dr. Steinman provided 14 Dr. Steinman’s Fourth Report includes verbatim citations to charts and block-quotes from articles that appear in nearly all reports he offers in the Program when molecular mimicry is alleged as a causal theory—and therefore I do not cite them herein. 15 Basic Local Alignment Search Tool (“BLAST”) is a medical/scientific internet resource that assists researchers in finding regions of similarity between biological sequences of amino acids. The program compares nucleotide or protein sequences to sequence databases and calculates the statistical significance. BLAST, U.S. National Library of Medicine, https://blast.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/Blast.cgi (last visited Apr. 13, 2022). 13 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 14 of 45 nothing to identify what they might be, either theoretically or in Petitioner’s specific case. Id. And he referenced no other literature or independent support for his contention that the Tdap vaccine could cause GBS via molecular mimicry. Fifth Report Dr. Steinman’s last report concluded the expert exchange—aalthough it reflects the same bickering quality, or wholesale reproduction of prior arguments, that characterizes most of his prior reports filed in this case. Thus, the first whole page of the final report represented Dr. Steinman’s renewed reaction to Dr. Collins’s “cherry picking” contention. Fifth Steinman Rep. at 1–2. He also reproduced sections or charts from his prior reports, such as the schematic contained in his fourth report showing how Dr. Steinman’s BLAST search for amino acid homologies with self structures supports causation. Id. at 11. Nevertheless, Dr. Steinman did make some salient points bearing on his opinion (and regarding both proposed causation theories). First, he reacted to Dr. Collins’s reference to one article as unsupportive of the alum adjuvant causation theory. Fifth Steinman Rep. at 2; A. Linneberg et al., Association of Subcutaneous Allergen-Specific Immunotherapy with Incidence of Autoimmune Diesease, Ischemic Heart Disease, and Mortality, 129 J. Allergy Clin. Immunol. 413 (2012), filed as Ex. D, Tab 3 (ECF No. 57-3) (“Linneberg”). Dr. Steinman noted that Linneberg’s focus was on allergic disease, which meant it evaluated individuals with “immune responses biased towards what is called Th2” cells—a kind of specialized T-helper cell.16 Fifth Steinman Rep. at 2. But because “[m]ost autoimmune diseases are considered [mediated by] Th1” cells,17 Linneberg’s alum findings reflected “a poor starting point for assessment of whether alum could increase propensity to GBS or to any autoimmune disease.” Id. at 2–3. Dr. Steinman went on to represent (again) that Dr. Collins’s embrace of an “influenza-like illness” as causal of Petitioner’s GBS was medically and scientifically imprecise. Fifth Steinman Rep. at 3–6. There was no evidence of what precisely had caused Petitioner’s URI symptoms— and the specific kinds of infections associated with GBS (CMV, EBV, etc.) were not demonstrated present either, Id. at 3–4. The proposed alternative cause was to Dr. Steinman inadequately 16 The T-helper cell encourages the production of antibodies to antigens that interact with B-cells. Helper Cells, Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=64157 (last visited Apr. 13, 2022). 17 Notably, this contention is somewhat in tension with (a) the greater likelihood that peripheral neuropathies like GBS are B-cell mediated (i.e. through production of cross-reactive autoantibodies), and (b) the fact that the molecular mimicry theory espoused in this case depends on vaccine antigens (which are intended to “teach” the immune system to recognize the antigen when presented in wild form—through the production of antibodies—by stimulating B cells) cause the production of cross-reactive autoantibodies. This is the intended mechanism of the tetanus component of the vaccine. See Tdap package insert at 3 (“[]rotection against disease is due to the development of neutralizing antibodies to tetanus toxin”). It thus reflects Dr. Steinman’s tendency to shift his argument, back and forth from B to T cells, depending on how he is questioned or what he wishes to emphasize. See, e.g., Blackburn, 2015 WL 425935, at *29. 14 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 15 of 45 established. Otherwise, even the formal definition of “influenza-like illness” was no more than an “unconfirmed” diagnostic description, lacking in the precision needed to embrace it as more likely causal than the known fact of vaccination. Id. at 5–6. Other aspects of Dr. Collins’s argument, as highlighted in her final report, also received Dr. Steinman’s criticism. One item of epidemiology, for example (sharing many of the same authors as Baxter I) was deemed flawed by Dr. Steinman, since its own authors admitted that the possibility of a vaccine-GBS association could not be excluded. Fifth Steinman Rep. at 7; R. Baxter et al., Lack of Association of Guillain-Barré Syndrome with Vaccinations, 57 Clin. Infect. Diseases: an Official Publication of the Infectious Diseases Soc. of Am. 197, 203 (2013), filed as Ex. A, Tab 6 (ECF No. 37-6) (“Baxter II”). The 2012 IOM Report similarly kept the door open to an association between Tdap and GBS, deeming the evidence for or against a causal relationship ultimately equivocal. Fifth Steinman Rep. at 8–9. And in any event, the IOM’s analytic purposes and standards for evaluating vaccine safety generally were far higher than “the one relevant to determining Vaccine Act causation.” Id. at 10. B. Kathleen Collins, M.D., Ph.D. Dr. Collins submitted four expert reports on behalf of Petitioner. Report, dated Nov. 28, 2017, filed as Ex. A (ECF No. 36-1) (“First Collins Rep.”); Report, dated June 8, 2018, filed as Ex. C (ECF No. 43-1) (“Second Collins Rep.”); Report, dated May 6, 2019, filed as Ex. D (ECF No. 56-1) (“Third Collins Rep.”); Report, dated Jan. 23, 2020, filed as Ex. E (ECF No. 66-1) (“Fourth Collins Rep.”). As shown in her CV, Dr. Collins received her B.A. from Wellesley College and her M.D. and Ph.D. from John Hopkins, University School of Medicine. Ex. B (ECF No. 36-2) (Dr. Collin’s Curriculum Vitae (“Collins CV”)) at 1. She then had postdoctoral training in Internal Medicine at the Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Infectious Disease Clinical Fellow, Research Fellow at Harvard University, and a Postdoctoral Fellowship at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Id. Dr. Collins was a professor of Microbiology and Immunology at the University of Michigan’s Medical School. Id. She has conducted several studies on HIV, with publication of additional studies pending. Id. at 5–7. She also currently has graduate students and postdoctoral fellows she is training. Id. at 10. Dr. Collins has given several presentations on the topic and similar topics. Id. at 14–17. She has published several articles and reviews/book chapters on the topics of HIV, treatment of HIV, infection, and reactivation. Id. at 18–23. First Report Dr. Collins first summarized the materials she reviewed in preparing her report and recounted the medical facts specific to Mr. K.A.’s case. First Collins Rep. at 1–4. In so doing, she 15 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 16 of 45 emphasized that Petitioner’s treaters “consistently attributed the GBS to a prior respiratory infection,” citing examples from the record. Id. at 2. She also briefly defined GBS, describing its pathogenesis of autoimmunity consistent with what Dr. Steinman proposed, and noting also the association between GBS and the Campylobacter jejuni bacterial infection. Id. at 4. Next, Dr. Collins reviewed Dr. Steinman’s causation theory, noting that he relied on the alum adjuvant as causal—but that the scientific and medical evidence he cited in support did not actually “demonstrate that alum causes GBS,” and otherwise was not even relevant to his contention. First Collins Rep. at 4. Li, for example, actually demonstrated that “[a]lum, when used by itself, did not stimulate cytokine production” by the immune cells that were studied, and thus was not supportive of the alum’s role proposed by Dr. Steinman. Id. at 4–5; Li at 5276 (“[o]ur results clearly show that Alum by itself is incapable of promoting IL-1β transcription,” and “aluminum particles were reported to be unable to activate the inflammasome” alone). Rather, the stimulative effect of alum was dependent upon the introduction of other experimental agents, diminishing the conclusion that the alum alone could be pathogenic in the manner proposed. First Collins Rep. at 5. The same distinctions could be drawn for other items of literature that Dr. Steinman cited. Nyati, Dr. Collins observed, only concluded that certain levels of proinflammatory cytokines (including IL-1β) were higher at different phases of GBS’s progression—not that alum caused their specific upregulation or otherwise drove the disease process at the outset. First Collins Rep. at 5; Nyati at 3543–45. Jander & Stoll similarly only observed increased levels of IL-1β in studied animals and a small human sample of GBS patients, but made no determinations about the propensity of vaccine adjuvants to trigger the condition. First Collins Rep. at 5; Jander & Stoll at 257. And three other animal studies that relied on inducing demyelinating disease only provided further evidence that the cytokines identified by Dr. Steinman played a role in the progression of disease (although the studies relying on genetically-altered animal subjects—which Dr. Steinman went to great lengths to distinguish (see footnote 10, above)—seemed to undermine the conclusion about the significance of IL-18). First Collins Rep. at 5–6. Overall, Dr. Collins interpreted these articles and studies to provide no support for his contention that alum in the Tdap vaccine can produce GBS, even if the identified cytokines themselves can be harmful at certain stages in the disease’s progression if elevated. Id. at 6. Rather, there was more reliable support for viral or bacterial infections as a trigger. Id. And in so asserting, Dr. Collins referenced items of literature filed by Dr. Steinman that supported this conclusion. Id (citations omitted).18 18 Dr. Collins even took issue with Dr. Steinman’s Schonberger reference in support of a flu vaccine/GBS link, arguing that the association “was specific to the 1976 vaccination,” and hence inherently limited—and in any event that the version of the vaccine then in use was not shown to include alum as an adjuvant. First Collins Rep. at 6. In fact, it is the case that the version of the flu vaccine administered in the U.S. generally does not contain an adjuvant. See Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Vaccine Adjuvants, https://www.cdc.gov/vaccinesafety/concerns/adjuvants.html (last visited Apr. 14, 2022), filed as Ex. A, Tab 13 (ECF No. 38-3) (“Vaccine Adjuvants”), at 1–2 (explaining the vaccines that usually include adjuvants). Only a recently-licensed version of the flu vaccine contains an adjuvant. Vaccine Adjuvants at 2. 16 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 17 of 45 Dr. Collins also pointed to other literature evidence suggesting an adjuvant like alum would not likely be causal of disease. She noted that the majority of vaccines include some kind of adjuvant, with aluminum particularly common. First Collins Rep. at 6; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Vaccine Adjuvants, https://www.cdc.gov/vaccinesafety/concerns/adjuvants.html (last visited Apr. 14, 2022), filed as Ex. A, Tab 13 (ECF No. 38-3), at 1–2 (aluminum adjuvant found in Hepatitis A and B, DTaP/Tdap, Hib, HPV, and pneumococcal vaccines). But reliable studies had found no association between many of these adjuvanted vaccines and autoimmune disorders, including GBS. First Collins Rep. at 7; G. Deceuninck et al., Absence of Association Between Guillain-Barré Syndrome Hospitalizations and HPV-Vaccine, Expert Review of Vaccines, (2017), filed as Ex. A, Tab 4 (ECF No. 37-4) (no increase in incidence of GBS after receipt of HPV vaccine, based on 100 cases analyzed). A larger study that looked more specifically at the possibility of a Tdap-GBS relationship (among a large number of vaccines) found the same absence of an association. See generally Baxter II. Baxter II began with a sample pool of the more than three million members of Kaiser Permanente of Northern California, an integrated healthcare delivery system. Baxter II at 198. From that pool, Baxter II’s authors identified 415 individuals between 1994 and 2006 who experienced GBS, based on accepted diagnostic definitions of the disease. Id. at 199–200. Of that total, only 25 patients had even received a vaccine within six weeks of symptoms onset—and only three of that subset had received a tetanus-containing vaccine. Id. at 200. It also employed a “case- centered” analysis,19 observing no statistically-significant increased incidence of post-Tdap GBS. Id. at 200–02.20 Finally, Dr. Collins proposed that the medical record better supported the conclusion that Petitioner’s GBS was attributable to the “influenza-like illness” that he appeared to have experienced in the interval between his vaccination and onset of neurologic symptoms. First Collins Rep. at 7. CMV and EBV infections were in particular associated with GBS, although, as Dr. Collins admitted, the record was a bit more equivocal on identifying either as present in Petitioner’s case. Id. Regardless, there was literature support connecting URI-type infections with GBS. See, e.g., C. Tam et al., Guillain-Barré Syndrome and Preceding Infection with Campylobacter, Influenza and Epstein-Barr Virus in the General Practice Research Database, 19 Baxter II defines this to be an analysis in which researchers “look back from the date of onset of the [relevant] adverse event and determine whether there is a clustering of vaccinations (exposures) in the risk interval prior to onset.” Baxter II at 198. The methodology is “best suited to outcomes hypothesized to have an acute onset during a transient period of increased risk after exposure”—a “risk interval.” Id. The intervals used in Baxter II—six weeks and ten weeks—are consistent with Petitioner’s onset and Dr. Steinman’s timeframe contentions. 20 In conducting their case-centered analysis, Baxter II’s authors noted that within the study’s three million-plus patient population in the relevant Kaiser Permanente Northern California care group, approximately 1.9 million doses of DTaP (the childhood version of Tdap) were administered, with no observed instances of GBS in any risk interval (as compared to one instance of post-Tdap GBS—underscoring the significance of a lack of association. Baxter II at 200. 17 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 18 of 45 PLoS One e344 (2007), filed as Ex. E, Tab 3 (ECF No. 66-4) (“Tam”); J. Stowe et al., Investigation of the Temporal Association of Guillain-Barré Syndrome with Influenza Vaccine and Influenzalike illness using the United Kingdom General Practice Research Database, 169 Am. J. Epidemiol. 382 (2008), filed as Ex. E, Tab. 23 (ECF No. 66-24) (“Stowe”); H. Lehmann et al., Guillain-Barré Syndrome After Exposure to Influenza Virus, 10 Lancet Infect. Dis. 643, 644–45 (2010), filed as Ex. A, Tab 10 (ECF No. 37-10) (review article taking into account Tam, Stowe, and other items of literature, and observing increased incidence of GBS after influenza-like illnesses). Second Report Dr. Collins prepared a second report to respond briefly to Dr. Steinman’s rebuttal points in his own second report. Regarding his contention that “influenza-like illness” was too vague of a basis for a finding of an alternative cause for Petitioner’s GBS, she proposed that the term was in her experience commonly employed to describe “the symptoms caused by a [URI],” adding that it was often difficult to identify through testing a precise viral cause for such symptoms. Second Collins Rep. at 1. In addition, Dr. Collins deemed it significant that reliable literature she had offered to support the association between GBS and a variety of wild virus infections had also employed the term, suggesting it had more general support than Dr. Steinman argued (and noting other instances where reputable studies utilized it). Id. at 1–2 (citations omitted). Dr. Collins next reiterated her prior point that a number of reliable epidemiologic studies showed no association between alum-adjuvanted vaccines (including Tdap) and GBS. Second Collins Rep. at 2–3. The fact that Baxter I had observed a potential relationship between ADEM and Tdap was overshadowed by Baxter II’s explicit findings of a lack of an association with the relevant injury, GBS. Id; Baxter II at 203. In response, Dr. Steinman had shown no reasoned grounds for disputing these findings, and even conceded he could offer no epidemiologic proof in response. Second Collins Rep. at 3. Instead, he had (in Dr. Collins’s words) “‘cherry picked’ minor results from different papers utilizing disparate experimental systems to form his hypothesis”— resulting in a theory that was, even taken in total, weak. Id. Thus, he over-relied on in vitro studies associating alum and cytokine increases that the 2012 IOM Report had deemed not wholly worthwhile for present purposes, while emphasizing the role of cytokine upregulation in promotion of GBS generally—even though the IOM had expressly questioned “the oversecretion of cytokines as an operative mechanism” for vaccine-instigated disease. 2012 IOM Report at 76. Third Report Dr. Collins began her third report by highlighting some of the medical record evidence establishing that in fact Mr. K.A. had experienced the kinds of symptoms that would be associated with an “influenza-like illness,” as the term is defined by the Centers for Disease Control, adding that the explanatory power of this evidence in identifying an etiology for Petitioner’s GBS “did 18 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 19 of 45 not require identification of a specific organism,” but could instead be supported merely by the “complex of symptoms that Mr. K.A. experienced.” Third Collins Rep. at 1. She emphasized that the association between a wild influenza infection and GBS was better-established than between the flu vaccine and GBS. Id.; F. DeStefano et al., Principal Controversies in Vaccine Safety in the United States, Clinical Infectious Diseases: An Official Publication of the Infections Diseases Society of America (Stanley Plotkin, ed. 2019), filed as Ex. D, Tab 1 (ECF No. 57-1) (“DeStefano”). Thus, Petitioner’s established URI better explained the cause of his GBS than the Tdap vaccine, despite the fact that the specific nature of his infection could not be ascertained. Next, Dr. Collins again reviewed her contentions that direct evidence she had offered refuted Dr. Steinman’s theory that alum-adjuvanted vaccines could cause GBS—since the studies she offered demonstrated no increase of GBS post-vaccination. Third Collins Rep. at 2. Indeed, DeStefano referenced additional studies that undercut directly a connection between autoimmunity and aluminum adjuvants. DeStefano at 4–5; Linneberg. Linneberg’s authors considered a sample of 18,000 patients who received specific kind of injection-based treatment (containing aluminum hydroxide as an adjuvant) for allergies, but experienced a lower incidence of autoimmune- mediated diseases than the controls, suggesting at least that the alum adjuvant was not generally pathogenic. Linneberg at 416, 418. Of course (and as Dr. Steinman observed), Linneberg’s focus is distinguishable from the issues raised by this case. In Dr. Collins’s view, because Dr. Steinman could not identify support for his theory from literature directly testing his hypothesis (and indeed, in her view such literature undermined his theory), he instead engaged in the selective invocation of scientific evidence she had previously criticized. Third Collins Rep. at 2. Mannhalter, for example, did observe a heightened cytokine (as well as cellular immune, in the form of T cells) response in human sera that had received an aluminum-adjuvanted tetanus toxoid-containing vaccine (in comparison to subjects who only received tetanus toxoid alone)—but did not say anything about the capacity of the vaccine to cause GBS as a result of this increase. Collins Third Rep. at 2–3; Mannhalter at 149. In fact, Mannhalter’s authors explicitly observed that the aluminum adjuvant was “free of side effects” like toxicity or antigenicity, when compared to bacterial adjuvants, underscoring that the adjuvant was unlikely to be disease-causing in the manner proposed by Dr. Steinman. Collins Third Rep. at 3; Mannhalter at 150 (noting the benefits of an aluminum hydroxide adjuvant over a bacterial-based adjuvant). Dr. Collins then summarized (for the second time) the literature offered by Dr. Steinman, pointing out that no specific article individually established that the adjuvant components of the Tdap vaccine could cause GBS, or even the lesser contention that certain cytokine increases “are associated with the use of aluminum containing vaccines in humans.” Collins Third Rep. at 4. In reaction to Dr. Steinman’s protestations that a more “perfect experiment” directly establishing the proposed causal link was impossible (and thus that he was forced to rely on a chain of indirect determinations), Dr. Collins noted that actually a number of studies had looked directly at the 19 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 20 of 45 results of receipt of adjuvant-containing vaccines, but observed no increase in autoimmune disorders (although some studies were not specific to the Tdap vaccine). Id; T. Verstraeten et al., Analysis of Adverse Events of Potential Autoimmune Aetiology in a Large Integrated Safety Database of AS04 Adjuvanted Vaccines, 26 Vaccine 6640 (2008), filed as Ex. A, Tab. 3 (ECF No. 37-3) (observing no association between HPV and HBV vaccines with aluminum-component adjuvant and large number of autoimmune conditions, including GBS; more than 60,000 subjects considered). Regarding Dr. Steinman’s arguments about the Tdap vaccine package insert, Dr. Collins observed that the insert’s seeming embrace of a tetanus toxoid-oriented GBS risk was based upon a 1994 IOM Report, which she deemed superseded by subsequent determinations. Third Collins Rep. at 5–6; Tdap Package Insert at 2, 4 n.1. Moreover, Baxter II (published in 2013) was in her view (as previously argued) reliable epidemiologic proof establishing no evidence of an increased risk of GBS after the Tdap vaccine. Third Collins Rep. at 6. DeStefano had embraced this finding. Third Collins Rep. at 6–7; DeStefano at 4 (referencing Baxter II). Thus, the bases for the package insert’s warnings were well outdated (and in any event GBS was not even included as a potential adverse event for an individual who had not been previously diagnosed with it post-vaccination). Third Collins Rep. at 7; Tdap package insert at 2, 4 n.1 (relying on 1994 IOM Report). Fourth Report Dr. Collins’s final report reacted to the second causation theory embraced by Dr. Steinman, involving molecular mimicry between Tdap antigenic components and nerve structures associated with GBS. She acknowledged that Dr. Steinman was able to establish via animal models the potentiality of molecular mimicry as driving certain autoimmune diseases, like ADEM, but denied that this was helpful in establishing that the same kind of process was likely to cause GBS in a human. Fourth Collins Rep. at 9. In addition, while Dr. Collins did not dispute that Dr. Steinman had demonstrated homology between certain of the Tdap vaccine’s antigenic components and self nerve-associated structures, she contended that this was insufficient by itself to establish molecular mimicry as the likely pathogenic mechanism, given how often homology occurred in nature without causing disease. Id; 2012 IOM Rep. at 70. Dr. Collins otherwise revisited some of her earlier points, although she emphasized aspects of her argument that were less highlighted in previous reports. For example, she noted again some of the wild infections, viral and bacterial, that are known to be associated with GBS— Campylobacter jejuni, CMV, and EBV. Fourth Collins Rep. at 2–5. Although all were understood to be likely GBS triggers, they could not be said in each case to be mediated via molecular mimicry (thus diminishing the overall value of that as an explanatory mechanism herein for GBS across- the-board). 20 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 21 of 45 A Campylobacter bacterial infection, for example, was deemed likely to cause a particular kind of GBS—acute motor axonal neuropathology (“AMAN”)—via autoantibodies produced as a result of molecular mimicry. Fourth Collins Rep. at 2. But this GBS variant was distinguishable from the most common form experienced in the U.S., AIDP (likely the version Mr. K.A. suffered from), the triggering pathogenesis of which was less well understood. Id. at 2–3. CMV infections were also associated with GBS, but studies regarding antibodies once believed to drive GBS after a CMV infection had “not borne out a role for molecular mimicry” under such circumstances, whereas other immune cells (notably T cells) not likely attributable to molecular mimicry did seem pathogenic in such circumstances. Id. at 3; D. Orlikowski et al., Guillain-Barré Syndrome following Primary Cytomegalovirus Infection: A Prospective Cohort Study, 52 Clin. Infect. Diseases 837, 843 (2011) filed as Ex. E, Tab 12 (ECF No. 66-13) (“Orlikowski”) (impact of CMV infection itself, and associated viral replication, more likely to drive CMV-caused GBS than antibody response to infection; antibody response was more associated with secondary reaction to infection). Dr. Collins also emphasized again her opinion that an influenza-like illness was a far more likely cause of Petitioner’s GBS in this case. Despite the lack of definitive proof identifying Petitioner’s precise infection, Petitioner’s memorialized symptoms were evidence of a URI that reasonably could be considered an influenza-like illness. Fourth Collins Rep. at 4–5. She noted as well that literature she had filed specifically included the category “influenza-like illness” as a pre- GBS causal risk factor—contrary to Dr. Steinman’s assertion that the term/concept was unscientifically vague. Id. at 5–7; Tam at 5 (noting a previously-unreported “18-fold increased risk of GBS in the two months following [an influenza-like illness],” based on a case-control study involving ten years of data for UK GBS patients). Other literature stood for the same contention. Fourth Collins Rep. at 6–8; Stowe at 4 (out of 690 studied individuals, 99 reported a pre-GBS onset influenza-like illness; no greater incidence of GBS post-flu vaccination seen in comparison to greater risk after influenza-like illness); L. Grimaldi-Bensouda et al., Guillain-Barré Syndrome, Influenzalike Illnesses, and Influenza Vaccination During Seasons with and without Circulating A/H1N1 Viruses, 174 Am. J. Epidemiol. 326 (2011), filed as Ex. E, Tab 25 (ECF No. 66-25) (greater risk of GBS post-influenza-like illness).21 III. Procedural History and Parties’ Arguments 21 In fact, a different study showed that receipt of a specific version of the flu vaccine was associated with a reduced risk of GBS. Fourth Collins Rep. at 8; C. Vellozzi et al., Cumulative Risk of Guillain-Barré Syndrome Among Vaccinated and Unvaccinated Populations During the 2009 H1N1 Influenza Pandemic, 104 Am. J. Pub. Health 696, 698 (2014), Filed as Ex. E, Tab 25 (ECF No. 66-26). 21 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 22 of 45 A. Procedural History As noted, the case was filed in August 2016, and initially assigned to a different special master. After the filing of records was completed, Respondent filed his Rule 4(c) Report opposing compensation in February 2017. ECF No. 21. Over the next two years, the parties began filing expert reports, and the back-and-forth between Drs. Steinman and Collins over Petitioner’s initial causation theory described above began. Notably (and after the case had existed for nearly three years), it was discussed during a July 2019 status conference (perhaps in reaction to questions about whether the case was likely to settle) that Respondent deemed Petitioner’s causation theory implausible—prompting the special master formerly presiding over the case to order a deadline for Petitioner to file a new report, but this time “modifying” the theory to allege molecular mimicry as the causal mechanism. Scheduling Order, dated July 19, 2019 (ECF No. 59). Dr. Steinman did so by that fall, and another, shorter round of expert report filings occurred, with the final report (from Dr. Steinman) filed in June 2020. The case was subsequently reassigned to me in January 2021. ECF No. 79. I proposed that the case be resolved on the record, and set a schedule for briefs. The final brief was filed in October 2021, and the matter is now ripe for decision. B. Briefs For and Against Causation Motion for Entitlement Petitioner’s brief in favor of entitlement included several lengthy excerpts from the record and from Dr. Steinman’s prior reports, but it also summarized his arguments for why he should be found to have preponderantly established his burden of proof. First, Petitioner maintained under either “sound and reliable” theory proposed by Dr. Steinman that the “can cause” prong had been established (although Petitioner seemed to stress the newer molecular mimicry theory over the theory relying on the adjuvant). Mot. at 23–31, 45–47. Dr. Steinman, he maintained, was eminently qualified to offer the molecular mimicry, and the methodology he employed to explain how antigenic components of the Tdap vaccine could cause a cross-reaction in the nerves leading to GBS was based on reliable and accepted science. Id. at 45–47. The other two causation prongs were also satisfied, Petitioner argued. The second, “did cause” prong was established because no alternative viral cause had been identified, and some treaters had speculated that his GBS could have a vaccine association. Mot. at 48. The timeframe for his symptoms onset, beginning in 18–19 days post-vaccination, was consistent with accepted 22 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 23 of 45 literature like Schonberger for how long it would take for an autoimmune process driven by molecular mimicry to begin and to start manifesting symptoms. Id. at 49–50. Nor, Petitioner argued, did Respondent disagree that the timeframe was acceptable. Id. at 50. And Respondent had not otherwise carried his burden (assuming a burden shift) to establish a “factor unrelated”— here, the unspecified “influenza-like illness”—as more likely causal of Mr. K.A.’s GBS. Id. at 50– 52. Opposition Respondent’s opposition to entitlement contests all of the above. Regarding the first causation prong, he maintains that Dr. Steinman’s adjuvant-based theory is “speculative and premised on untenable leaps in logic that lack reliable medical support.” Opp. at 19. Reiterating some of Dr. Collins’s criticisms, Respondent notes that the items of literature offered either were isolated experimental incidents (and hence too artificial to say anything meaningful about how alum’s adjuvant role would cause a pathogenic cytokine response in vivo), or inadequately linked to GBS’s instigation. Id. at 20–21. Dr. Steinman also acknowledged he lacked persuasive direct proof, relying instead on the vaccine’s package insert—despite the low probative value given to that kind of evidence in the Program. Id. at 22. And the timeframe for such a cytokine-driven pathologic process would be far shorter than the 18 days in this case. Id. at 23, citing Montgomery v Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 15-1037V, 2019 WL 2511352, at *5 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 21, 2019) (theory relying on alum to spark cytokine reaction would require evidence of close- in-time reaction to vaccination—not onset occurring 10 or more days post-vaccination). The second theory, relying on molecular mimicry as the proposed mechanism, was in Respondent’s estimation no more successful. Although Respondent conceded that “the general concept of molecular mimicry is an accepted theory of causation for human autoimmune disease under certain circumstances,” he argued that it had not in this case been shown to explain persuasively how the Tdap vaccine could lead to GBS. Opp. at 25. In particular, this was because Dr. Steinman had minimized the likely role Petitioner’s intercurrent URI had played in causing GBS. Id. There was ample record evidence of the infection and the symptoms it spawned before GBS onset, and the mere fact that the infection had not been precisely identified did not matter. Id. at 26–28.22 Otherwise, the mere showing of homology alone was not enough to establish 22 Respondent herein also reacted directly to Dr. Steinman’s non-medical exegesis into Vaccine Program legal standards, noting that the case he cited to defend his view that a known vaccine should be favored as causal over a non-specifically identified infection did not quite mean what he represented. Opp. at 27–28, citing Torday v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 07-372V, 2009 WL 5196163, at *3–4 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 10, 2009). Torday, Respondent maintained, stood only for the proposition that when it was undisputed that the vaccine at issue and an unspecified illness could be causal, and the evidence was otherwise deemed close, it was reasonable to find the vaccine as causal. Here, by contrast, Dr. Collins and Respondent did not concede the Tdap vaccine was causal. Opp. at 28. Respondent’s reading of Torday is superior to Dr. Steinman’s—and it only underscores why medical/scientific experts like Dr. Steinman are better off not opining on the meaning of Program caselaw or the applicable legal standards 23 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 24 of 45 molecular mimicry as a likely causal mechanism, since homology more often than not when occurring does not lead to autoimmune diseases. Id. at 29. Rather, more must be shown—but, Respondent noted, it could not (especially in the face of studies cited by Dr. Collins, like Baxter II, showing no association between the Tdap vaccine and GBS). Id. The “did cause” prong was also unsatisfied, Respondent argued, given the evidence suggesting Petitioner’s intercurrent infection was causal (coupled with an absence of record proof suggesting the presence of an aberrant immune response). Opp. at 30–31. Petitioner’s timeframe arguments solely relied on Schonberger, which involved the flu vaccine (and as noted above would not be applicable in any event to the adjuvant causation theory). Id. at 31–32. And Respondent contended that Petitioner’s evidentiary failings, as identified above, meant the burden had never shifted to Respondent to prove any alternative cause for Petitioner’s GBS (despite the record evidence strongly suggesting there was in fact such an explanation, in the form of the unidentified infection). Id. at 32–33. Reply On reply, Petitioner reiterated his argument that his causal theories were preponderantly established (although he more clearly embraced molecular mimicry as his favored theory). Reply at 7 (specifically “putting aside the adjuvant theory” as “unnecessary” to succeed on the first prong). However, he also modified his legal argument a bit as far as the standard applied to the theory. He now argued that a somewhat-recent Federal Circuit decision (issued shortly before his first brief had been filed) had “clarified” (in connection with another intervening Court of Federal Claims determination)23 that the standard for the first prong was only “biologically plausible” rather than a preponderance. Reply at 3 (citing Kottenstette v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 861 Fed. Appx. 433 (Fed. Cir. 2021)). And because molecular mimicry was an accepted and reliable theory for how autoimmune disease processes occur, it met that standard, given Dr. Steinman’s detailed showing of homology as well as likely disease target antigens where a cross-reaction would be expected to occur. Reply at 7–8. Petitioner noted again that there was an absence of clear proof of what the intercurrent infection was that Petitioner had experienced (and certainly limited direct proof that it was EBV (although as discussed in this Decision, I give no weight at all to Dr. Steinman’s legal pronouncements, and do not otherwise deem Torday a useful guiding decision). 23 J. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 16-864V, 2021 WL 3627107, at *19 (2021). In this single Court decision, one Court of Federal Claims judge proposed that the standard enunciated in another Federal Circuit decision, Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 941 F.3d 1351, 1359 (Fed. Cir. 2019), had been distinguished as not otherwise displacing a prior “plausibility” standard—despite the plain language of Boatmon to the contrary. Putting aside, however, that this determination in no way governs the outcome of this matter, I also find (as discussed below) that it does not provide helpful readings of Federal Circuit law on the question of the proper legal standard in Vaccine Act cases. 24 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 25 of 45 or CMV, despite suggestions to the contrary by Respondent), while the evidence of the vaccination was undisputed, making it an inherently superior explanation for Petitioner’s GBS. Reply at 4–6. And regardless of other possible explanations, Petitioner claimed he had shown that the Tdap vaccine could be a substantial factor as well, entitling him to compensation. Id. at 10. IV. Relevant Legal Standards A. Standards for Vaccine Claims To receive compensation in the Vaccine Program, a petitioner must prove either: (1) that he suffered a “Table Injury”—i.e., an injury falling within the Vaccine Injury Table— corresponding to one of the vaccinations in question within a statutorily prescribed period of time or, in the alternative, (2) that his illnesses were actually caused by a vaccine (a “Non-Table Injury”). See Sections 13(a)(1)(A), 11(c)(1), and 14(a), as amended by 42 C.F.R. § 100.3; § 11(c)(1)(C)(ii)(I); see also Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 592 F.3d 1315, 1321 (Fed. Cir. 2010); Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 440 F.3d 1317, 1320 (Fed. Cir. 2006).24 In this case, Petitioner cannot assert a Table claim based on CIDP. For both Table and Non-Table claims, Vaccine Program petitioners bear a “preponderance of the evidence” burden of proof. Section 13(1)(a). That is, a petitioner must offer evidence that leads the “trier of fact to believe that the existence of a fact is more probable than its nonexistence before [he] may find in favor of the party who has the burden to persuade the judge of the fact’s existence.” Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322 n.2; see also Snowbank Enter. v. United States, 6 Cl. Ct. 476, 486 (1984) (mere conjecture or speculation is insufficient under a preponderance standard). Proof of medical certainty is not required. Bunting v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 931 F.2d 867, 873 (Fed. Cir. 1991). In particular, a petitioner must demonstrate that the vaccine was “not only [the] but-for cause of the injury but also a substantial factor in bringing about the injury.” Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1321 (quoting Shyface v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 165 F.3d 1344, 1352–53 (Fed. Cir. 1999)); Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 451 F.3d 1352, 1355 (Fed. Cir. 2006). A petitioner may not receive a Vaccine Program award based solely on his assertions; rather, the petition must be supported by either medical records or by the opinion of a competent physician. Section 13(a)(1). In attempting to establish entitlement to a Vaccine Program award of compensation for a Non-Table claim, a petitioner must satisfy all three of the elements established by the Federal Circuit in Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d 1274, 1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005): “(1) a 24 Decisions of special masters (some of which I reference in this ruling) constitute persuasive but not binding authority. Hanlon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 40 Fed. Cl. 625, 630 (1998). By contrast, Federal Circuit rulings concerning legal issues are binding on special masters. Guillory v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 59 Fed. Cl. 121, 124 (2003), aff’d 104 F. Appx. 712 (Fed. Cir. 2004); see also Spooner v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 13-159V, 2014 WL 504728, at *7 n.12 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 16, 2014). 25 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 26 of 45 medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury.” Each of the Althen prongs requires a different showing. Under Althen prong one, petitioners must provide a “reputable medical theory,” demonstrating that the vaccine received can cause the type of injury alleged. Pafford, 451 F.3d at 1355–56 (citations omitted). To satisfy this prong, a petitioner’s theory must be based on a “sound and reliable medical or scientific explanation.” Knudsen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 35 F.3d 543, 548 (Fed. Cir. 1994). Such a theory must only be “legally probable, not medically or scientifically certain.” Id. at 549. Petitioners may satisfy the first Althen prong without resort to medical literature, epidemiological studies, demonstration of a specific mechanism, or a generally accepted medical theory. Andreu v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 569 F.3d 1367, 1378–79 (Fed. Cir. 2009) (citing Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1325–26). Special masters, despite their expertise, are not empowered by statute to conclusively resolve what are essentially thorny scientific and medical questions, and thus scientific evidence offered to establish Althen prong one is viewed “not through the lens of the laboratorian, but instead from the vantage point of the Vaccine Act’s preponderant evidence standard.” Id. at 1380. Accordingly, special masters must take care not to increase the burden placed on petitioners in offering a scientific theory linking vaccine to injury. Contreras, 121 Fed. Cl. at 245. In discussing the evidentiary standard applicable to the first Althen prong, the Federal Circuit has consistently rejected the contention that it can be satisfied merely by establishing the proposed causal theory’s scientific or medical plausibility. See Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 941 F.3d 1351, 1359 (Fed. Cir. 2019); see also LaLonde v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 746 F.3d 1334, 1339 (Fed. Cir. 2014) (“[h]owever, in the past we have made clear that simply identifying a ‘plausible’ theory of causation is insufficient for a petitioner to meet her burden of proof” (citing Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322)). And petitioners always have the ultimate burden of establishing their overall Vaccine Act claim with preponderant evidence. W.C. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 704 F.3d 1352, 1356 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (citations omitted); Tarsell v. United States, 133 Fed. Cl. 782, 793 (2017) (noting that Moberly “addresses the petitioner’s overall burden of proving causation-in-fact under the Vaccine Act” by a preponderance standard). The second Althen prong requires proof of a logical sequence of cause and effect, usually supported by facts derived from a petitioner’s medical records. Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278; Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1375–77; Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1326; Grant v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 956 F.2d 1144, 1148 (Fed. Cir. 1992). In establishing that a vaccine “did cause” injury, the opinions and views of the injured party’s treating physicians are entitled to some weight. Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1367; Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1326 (“medical records and medical opinion testimony are favored 26 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 27 of 45 in vaccine cases, as treating physicians are likely to be in the best position to determine whether a ‘logical sequence of cause and effect show[s] that the vaccination was the reason for the injury’”) (quoting Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280). Medical records are generally viewed as particularly trustworthy evidence, since they are created contemporaneously with the treatment of the patient. Cucuras v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 993 F.2d 1525, 1528 (Fed. Cir. 1993). Medical records and statements of a treating physician, however, do not per se bind the special master to adopt the conclusions of such an individual, even if they must be considered and carefully evaluated. Section 13(b)(1) (providing that “[a]ny such diagnosis, conclusion, judgment, test result, report, or summary shall not be binding on the special master or court”); Snyder v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 88 Fed. Cl. 706, 746 n.67 (2009) (“there is nothing . . . that mandates that the testimony of a treating physician is sacrosanct—that it must be accepted in its entirety and cannot be rebutted”). As with expert testimony offered to establish a theory of causation, the opinions or diagnoses of treating physicians are only as trustworthy as the reasonableness of their suppositions or bases. The views of treating physicians should be weighed against other, contrary evidence also present in the record—including conflicting opinions among such individuals. Hibbard v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 100 Fed. Cl. 742, 749 (2011) (not arbitrary or capricious for special master to weigh competing treating physicians’ conclusions against each other), aff’d, 698 F.3d 1355 (Fed. Cir. 2012); Veryzer v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 06-522V, 2011 WL 1935813, at *17 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 29, 2011), mot. for review denied, 100 Fed. Cl. 344, 356 (2011), aff’d without opinion, 475 F. Appx. 765 (Fed. Cir. 2012). The third Althen prong requires establishing a “proximate temporal relationship” between the vaccination and the injury alleged. Althen, 418 F.3d at 1281. That term has been equated to the phrase “medically-acceptable temporal relationship.” Id. A petitioner must offer “preponderant proof that the onset of symptoms occurred within a timeframe which, given the medical understanding of the disorder’s etiology, it is medically acceptable to infer causation.” de Bazan v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 539 F.3d 1347, 1352 (Fed. Cir. 2008). The explanation for what is a medically acceptable timeframe must align with the theory of how the relevant vaccine can cause an injury (Althen prong one’s requirement). Id. at 1352; Shapiro v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 101 Fed. Cl. 532, 542 (2011), recons. denied after remand, 105 Fed. Cl. 353 (2012), aff’d mem., 503 F. Appx. 952 (Fed. Cir. 2013); Koehn v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 11-355V, 2013 WL 3214877 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 30, 2013), mot. for review denied (Fed. Cl. Dec. 3, 2013), aff’d, 773 F.3d 1239 (Fed. Cir. 2014). B. Law Governing Analysis of Fact Evidence The process for making determinations in Vaccine Program cases regarding factual issues begins with consideration of the medical records. Section 11(c)(2). The special master is required to consider “all [ ] relevant medical and scientific evidence contained in the record,” including “any diagnosis, conclusion, medical judgment, or autopsy or coroner's report which is contained 27 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 28 of 45 in the record regarding the nature, causation, and aggravation of the petitioner's illness, disability, injury, condition, or death,” as well as the “results of any diagnostic or evaluative test which are contained in the record and the summaries and conclusions.” Section 13(b)(1)(A). The special master is then required to weigh the evidence presented, including contemporaneous medical records and testimony. See Burns v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 3 F.3d 415, 417 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (determining that it is within the special master's discretion to determine whether to afford greater weight to contemporaneous medical records than to other evidence, such as oral testimony surrounding the events in question that was given at a later date, provided that such determination is evidenced by a rational determination). As noted by the Federal Circuit, “[m]edical records, in general, warrant consideration as trustworthy evidence.” Cucuras, 993 F.2d at 1528; Doe/70 v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 95 Fed. Cl. 598, 608 (2010) (“[g]iven the inconsistencies between petitioner's testimony and his contemporaneous medical records, the special master's decision to rely on petitioner's medical records was rational and consistent with applicable law”), aff'd, Rickett v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 468 F. App’x 952 (Fed. Cir. 2011) (non-precedential opinion). A series of linked propositions explains why such records deserve some weight: (i) sick people visit medical professionals; (ii) sick people attempt to honestly report their health problems to those professionals; and (iii) medical professionals record what they are told or observe when examining their patients in as accurate a manner as possible, so that they are aware of enough relevant facts to make appropriate treatment decisions. Sanchez v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 11–685V, 2013 WL 1880825, at *2 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 10, 2013); Cucuras v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 26 Cl. Ct. 537, 543 (1992), aff'd, 993 F.2d at 1525 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (“[i]t strains reason to conclude that petitioners would fail to accurately report the onset of their daughter's symptoms”). Accordingly, if the medical records are clear, consistent, and complete, then they should be afforded substantial weight. Lowrie v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 03–1585V, 2005 WL 6117475, at *20 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 12, 2005). Indeed, contemporaneous medical records are often found to be deserving of greater evidentiary weight than oral testimony—especially where such testimony conflicts with the record evidence. Cucuras, 993 F.2d at 1528; see also Murphy v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 23 Cl. Ct. 726, 733 (1991), aff'd per curiam, 968 F.2d 1226 (Fed. Cir. 1992), cert. den'd, Murphy v. Sullivan, 506 U.S. 974 (1992) (citing United States v. United States Gypsum Co., 333 U.S. 364, 396 (1947) (“[i]t has generally been held that oral testimony which is in conflict with contemporaneous documents is entitled to little evidentiary weight.”)). However, the Federal Circuit has also noted that there is no formal “presumption” that records are accurate or superior on their face to other forms of evidence. Kirby v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 997 F.3d 1378, 1383 (Fed. Cir. 2021). There are certainly situations in which compelling oral testimony may be more persuasive than written records, such as where records are deemed to be incomplete or inaccurate. Campbell v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 69 Fed. Cl. 775, 779 (2006) (“like any norm based upon common sense and experience, this rule should not 28 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 29 of 45 be treated as an absolute and must yield where the factual predicates for its application are weak or lacking”); Lowrie, 2005 WL 6117475, at *19 (“[w]ritten records which are, themselves, inconsistent, should be accorded less deference than those which are internally consistent”) (quoting Murphy, 23 Cl. Ct. at 733)). Ultimately, a determination regarding a witness's credibility is needed when determining the weight that such testimony should be afforded. Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1379; Bradley v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 991 F.2d 1570, 1575 (Fed. Cir. 1993). When witness testimony is offered to overcome the presumption of accuracy afforded to contemporaneous medical records, such testimony must be “consistent, clear, cogent, and compelling.” Sanchez, 2013 WL 1880825, at *3 (citing Blutstein v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 90–2808V, 1998 WL 408611, at *5 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. June 30, 1998)). In determining the accuracy and completeness of medical records, the Court of Federal Claims has listed four possible explanations for inconsistencies between contemporaneously created medical records and later testimony: (1) a person's failure to recount to the medical professional everything that happened during the relevant time period; (2) the medical professional's failure to document everything reported to her or him; (3) a person's faulty recollection of the events when presenting testimony; or (4) a person's purposeful recounting of symptoms that did not exist. La Londe v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 110 Fed. Cl. 184, 203–04 (2013), aff'd, 746 F.3d 1334 (Fed. Cir. 2014). In making a determination regarding whether to afford greater weight to contemporaneous medical records or other evidence, such as testimony at hearing, there must be evidence that this decision was the result of a rational determination. Burns, 3 F.3d at 417. C. Analysis of Expert Testimony Establishing a sound and reliable medical theory often requires a petitioner to present expert testimony in support of his claim. Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 219 F.3d 1357, 1361 (Fed. Cir. 2000). Vaccine Program expert testimony is usually evaluated according to the factors for analyzing scientific reliability set forth in Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharm., Inc., 509 U.S. 579, 594–96 (1993). See Cedillo v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 617 F.3d 1328, 1339 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (citing Terran v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 195 F.3d 1302, 1316 (Fed. Cir. 1999). Under Daubert, the factors for analyzing the reliability of testimony are: (1) whether a theory or technique can be (and has been) tested; (2) whether the theory or technique has been subjected to peer review and publication; (3) whether there is a known or potential rate of error and whether there are standards for controlling the error; and (4) whether the theory or technique enjoys general acceptance within a relevant scientific community. Terran, 195 F.3d at 1316 n.2 (citing Daubert, 509 U.S. at 592–95). In the Vaccine Program the Daubert factors play a slightly different role than they do when applied in other federal judicial settings, like the district courts. Typically, Daubert factors are 29 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 30 of 45 employed by judges (in the performance of their evidentiary gatekeeper roles) to exclude evidence that is unreliable or could confuse a jury. By contrast, in Vaccine Program cases these factors are used in the weighing of the reliability of scientific evidence proffered. Davis v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 94 Fed. Cl. 53, 66–67 (2010) (“uniquely in this Circuit, the Daubert factors have been employed also as an acceptable evidentiary-gauging tool with respect to persuasiveness of expert testimony already admitted”). The flexible use of the Daubert factors to evaluate the persuasiveness and reliability of expert testimony has routinely been upheld. See, e.g., Snyder, 88 Fed. Cl. at 742–45. In this matter (as in numerous other Vaccine Program cases), Daubert has not been employed at the threshold, to determine what evidence should be admitted, but instead to determine whether expert testimony offered is reliable and/or persuasive. Respondent frequently offers one or more experts in order to rebut a petitioner’s case. Where both sides offer expert testimony, a special master's decision may be “based on the credibility of the experts and the relative persuasiveness of their competing theories.” Broekelschen v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 618 F.3d 1339, 1347 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (citing Lampe, 219 F.3d at 1362). However, nothing requires the acceptance of an expert's conclusion “connected to existing data only by the ipse dixit of the expert,” especially if “there is simply too great an analytical gap between the data and the opinion proffered.” Snyder, 88 Fed. Cl. at 743 (quoting Gen. Elec. Co. v. Joiner, 522 U.S. 146 (1997)); see also Isaac v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 08–601V, 2012 WL 3609993, at *17 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 30, 2012), mot. for review denied, 108 Fed. Cl. 743 (2013), aff'd, 540 F. App’x. 999 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (citing Cedillo, 617 F.3d at 1339). Weighing the relative persuasiveness of competing expert testimony, based on a particular expert's credibility, is part of the overall reliability analysis to which special masters must subject expert testimony in Vaccine Program cases. Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1325–26 (“[a]ssessments as to the reliability of expert testimony often turn on credibility determinations”); see also Porter v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 663 F.3d 1242, 1250 (Fed. Cir. 2011) (“this court has unambiguously explained that special masters are expected to consider the credibility of expert witnesses in evaluating petitions for compensation under the Vaccine Act”). D. Consideration of Medical Literature Both parties filed numerous items of medical and scientific literature in this case, but not every filed item factors into the outcome of this Decision. While I have reviewed all the medical literature submitted in this case, I discuss only those articles that are most relevant to my determination and/or are central to Petitioner’s case—just as I have not exhaustively discussed every individual medical record filed. Moriarty v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 844 F.3d 1322, 1328 (Fed. Cir. 2016) (“[w]e generally presume that a special master considered the relevant record evidence even though he does not explicitly reference such evidence in his decision”) (citation omitted); see also Paterek v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 527 F. Appx. 875, 884 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (“[f]inding certain information not relevant does not lead to—and likely undermines—the conclusion that it was not considered”). 30 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 31 of 45 E. Standards for Ruling on the Record I am resolving Petitioner’s claim on the filed record. The Vaccine Act and Rules not only contemplate but encourage special masters to decide petitions on the papers where (in the exercise of their discretion) they conclude that doing so will properly and fairly resolve the case. Section 12(d)(2)(D); Vaccine Rule 8(d). The decision to rule on the record in lieu of hearing has been affirmed on appeal. Kreizenbeck v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 945 F.3d 1362, 1366 (Fed. Cir. 2020); see also Hooker v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 02-472V, 2016 WL 3456435, at *21 n.19 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 19, 2016) (citing numerous cases where special masters decided case on the papers in lieu of hearing and that decision was upheld). I am simply not required to hold a hearing in every matter, no matter the preferences of the parties. Hovey v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 38 Fed. Cl. 397, 402–03 (1997) (determining that special master acted within his discretion in denying evidentiary hearing); Burns, 3 F.3d at 417; Murphy v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 90-882V, 1991 WL 71500, at *2 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 19, 1991). ANALYSIS I. Prior Reasoned Determinations Involving Tdap and GBS There is a large body of reasoned decisions25 discussing the alleged association between the Tdap vaccine and GBS—but it cannot be said that the Program has developed a consistent view as to what the science preponderantly “says” about the subject. Overall, it appears that the outcome in such cases is mostly a function of the evidence before the special master, with no clear trend one way or the other. Thus, several cases decided in the past ten years found no causal association between Tdap vaccine and GBS. See, e.g., Winkler v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 18-203V, 2021 WL 6276203 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 10, 2021), mot. for review docketed, Jan. 10, 2022 (ECF No. 62); Montgomery v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 15-1037V, 2019 WL 2511352 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 21, 2019); Tompkins v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 10-261V, 2013 WL 3498652 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jue 21, 2013), mot. for review den’d, 117 Fed. Cl. 713 (2014); see also Isaac v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 108 Fed Cl. 743 (2013) (affirming special master denial of claim alleging tetanus vaccine was causal of GBS), mot. for review den’d, 540 Fed. App’x 999 (Fed. Cir. 2013). These cases and the present matter have much in common.26 25 As already noted, although prior decisions from different cases do not control the outcome herein, special masters may reasonably take into account, for guidance, the logic of reasoned entitlement determinations. In fact, it is wise to do so, given how often similar causation theories or fact patterns arise in Vaccine Program cases. 26 I recently have denied entitlement in two cases where the petitioner alleged that a somewhat-related peripheral neuropathy featuring demyelination, CIDP, was caused by the Tdap vaccine. Sanchez v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 18-1012V, 2022 WL 1013264 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 11, 2022); Houston v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 18-420V, 2021 WL 4259012 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Aug. 19, 2021). However, CIDP is a distinct illness from GBS, despite their sharing of some features—and my holdings relied in part on finding that arguments regarding 31 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 32 of 45 In Winkler, for example, the petitioner (as here) offered molecular mimicry as his causal theory, noting also that certain known causes of GBS, like a Campylobacter infection, are understood to have molecular mimicry as their mechanism. Winkler, 2021 WL 6276203, at *23. But the special master determined that the claim turned not on the petitioner’s first prong success, but rather on the fact that he had a demonstrated gastrointestinal infection, and that this infection was more likely causal (making it impossible to find that the vaccine “did cause” GBS). Id. at *23– 25. Thus, evidence of a petitioner’s intercurrent illness was dispositive, regardless of the persuasiveness of the causal theory. Montgomery, by contrast, expressly found that a theory comparable to that offered herein was insufficient. There as here, the petitioner relied on Dr. Steinman, who opined (in what the special master deemed a “less-developed theory”)27 that the aluminum adjuvant in the Tdap vaccine triggered an aberrant autoimmune response. Montgomery, 2019 WL 2511352, at *5. But the special master rejected the theory, observing that critical details necessary to render the overall theory preponderant (such as the degree of cytokine upregulation stimulated by the adjuvant, or the duration of the response, which would implicate the initial, innate immune response) were missing. Id. Facially, it is difficult to ascertain how the showing made in the present case was any better. Tompkins is an older decision, but its age underscores the extent to which (in the ensuing period) there have been few scientific discoveries or breakthroughs over the past several years that might better establish a Tdap-GBS association. The Tompkins special master denied entitlement in a case alleging that a number of vaccines received at the same time, including the Tdap vaccine, caused a petitioner’s GBS, but the causal theory put forward attempted to assert that the vaccines could also individually trigger the disease. Tompkins, 2013 WL 3498652, at *15. The petitioner’s expert, however, relied heavily on VAERS passive surveillance data,28 and otherwise invoked a a GBS-Tdap association could not simply be superimposed on a case involving a distinguishable injury. Sanchez, 2022 WL 1013264, at *23; Houston, 2021 WL 4259012, at *17–18. 27 The Montgomery petitioner seems to have primarily maintained that a human papillomavirus vaccine, administered at the same time as the Tdap vaccine, had caused her GBS. Montgomery, 2019 WL 2511352, at *4–5. That theory (which as here relied on molecular mimicry) was rejected as unreliable, despite the kind of BLAST search-homology showing also made in this case. Id. 28 The Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (“VAERS”) is a national warning system designed to detect safety problems in U.S.-licensed vaccines. See About VAERS, VAERS, https://vaers hhs.gov/about.html (last visited Apr. 5, 2022). It is managed by both the CDC and the FDA. VAERS monitors and analyzes reports of vaccine related injuries and side effects from both healthcare professionals and individuals. But it has been observed in the Program that VAERS data is not particularly probative of causation unless supplemented with other reliable evidence—since a VAERS report only establishes a temporal, post-vaccination occurrence, and thus shines no light of causation itself. See also Vig v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 01–198V, 2013 WL 6596683, at *17 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Nov. 14, 2013) (“VAERS is a stocked pond, containing only reports of adverse events after vaccinations but no data about the number of vaccines administered or the occurrence of the same adverse event in individuals who have not been vaccinated”). 32 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 33 of 45 number of theories (molecular mimicry, or endotoxin in tetanus-containing vaccines) that were only cursorily discussed. Id. at *19–23. But there are also a few recent cases going the other way. See, e.g., Mohamad v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 16-1075V, 2022 WL 711604 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 27, 2022). The Mohamad special master (who also decided Montgomery) ruled in the petitioner’s favor in a Tdap- GBS case—but the analysis largely turned on the experts’ disagreement as to whether (based on the demonstrated evolution of the government’s published scientific/medical conclusions about Tdap causality) it could be said that the government had effectively conceded causation. The special master reviewed publications setting forth the government’s view at different times, as well as some of the underlying studies it relied upon, concluding that in fact the Government had acknowledged that the vaccine could (albeit rarely) be causal, and therefore (primarily due to this admission) the first prong was met. Mohamad, 2022 WL 711604, at *17–18. This analysis included a brief discussion of the 2012 IOM Report filed by Petitioner in this case, as well as the Program’s subsequent treatment of the issue along with two subsequent publications. Id. at *13– 15. The special master in Mohamad gave special emphasis to a 2019 publication that (consistent with the package insert offered in this case) offered as a “precaution” that Tdap was to be carefully considered for individuals who previously had experienced GBS within six weeks of a tetanus toxoid-containing vaccine’s prior receipt. Id. at *15. A few important points distinguish Mohamad, however (besides the obvious fact that it does not control this outcome—and that almost all of the publications it evaluated were not offered as evidence herein). First, that special master appears to have been presented only with the argument that the Government had conceded the first prong, with both side’s experts devoting most of their attention to that question (as opposed to the immunologic capacity of the vaccine to be causal—a matter that has been addressed a length in this case by Drs. Collins and Steinman). Mohamad, 2022 WL 711604, at *18 n.27. Second, there were specific issues with the credibility of Respondent’s experts, and the resulting persuasiveness of their arguments. Id. at *8–9, *16–17. Also, the facts of this case do not present the circumstances for the precaution that the Mohamad special master deemed significant; it is not established on this record that Petitioner previously experienced GBS after receipt of a dose of a tetanus toxoid-containing vaccine. And there was far less obvious evidence of an intercurrent infection that could explain the petitioner’s GBS than here—making the present case far more similar to Winkler. Another recent case more supportive of a Tdap-GBS association (and cited specifically by Petitioner in his ruling on the record brief) is Swaiss v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 15- 286V, 2019 WL 6520791 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Nov. 4, 2019). But it too is distinguishable. There, a special master determined that small fiber neuropathy (characterized in Swaiss as “a variant” of GBS) could be caused by the Tdap vaccine via the mechanism of molecular mimicry. Swaiss, 2019 WL 6520791, at *23–27. But small fiber neuropathy is not the injury alleged in this case. 33 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 34 of 45 Moreover, the Swaiss special master acknowledged that the evidence offered to associate GBS and Tdap generally was somewhat lacking (although a favorable prong one determination was still made, based on the special master’s reasoning that research into the causes of small fiber neuropathy was extremely limited, and that it would be therefore unfair to petitioner to hold the paucity of such evidence against him). Id. at *27. No such considerations obtain in this case, which involves the “classic” form of GBS, AIDP—a far more well-studied version. It is true, as Petitioner’s Reply observes, that reasoned determinations involving Tdap vaccine and GBS are dwarfed by the many instances in which prior Program cases alleging GBS after the Tdap vaccine have settled. Reply at 8–9, 9 n.6; see also Mohamad, 2022 WL 711604, at *19–20 (listing cases). But settlements cannot be invoked against the settling party to suggest a concession or waiver, and they do not otherwise provide reasoned guidance of any kind. See, e.g., Randazzo v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 18-1513V, 2021 WL 829572, at *4 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 1, 2021) (discussing low relevance of settled SIRVA claims in comparison to reasoned decisions). In such settled cases, no formal determination has been made as to the substance of the claim, and Respondent’s determination to settle such claims cannot be construed fairly to reflect the tacit view that such claims have validity (since parties settle for many reasons beyond their assessment of a claim’s actual merits). I thus do not factor these kinds of cases into my determination. II. Petitioner Has Not Carried His Burden of Proof A. Petitioner Mischaracterizes his Prong One Burden Before discussing the success of Petitioner’s Althen prong one showing, review of his framing of the legal standard applicable is warranted. For Petitioner fully misstates that standard, proposing a version that, if adopted, would obliterate the existing distinction between Table and non-Table claims in the Vaccine Program. Reply at 3. As I noted above, the most recent controlling/precedential Federal Circuit caselaw directly addressing the subject states explicitly that the first Althen prong requires a preponderant showing—just like the other two prongs. Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1359; LaLonde, 746 F.3d at 1339; see also Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322. LaLonde, decided eight years ago, provides some insight into the reasoning for this standard. There, the Circuit was presented with a petitioner’s appeal from a special master’s determination that the DTaP vaccine (the version of Tdap administered to infants) had not caused a 17-month old minor to experience a focal brain injury. LaLonde, 746 F.3d at 1336–37. The special master deciding the case determined that the petitioner’s expert had admitted in several regards that he could not substantiate his opinion with independent reliable evidence. Id. at 1338. On appeal, however, the petitioner referenced Althen’s oft-cited admonition that “the purpose of the Vaccine Act’s preponderance of the evidence standard is to “allow the finding of 34 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 35 of 45 causation in a field bereft of complete and direct proof of how vaccines affect the human body” (Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280), relying on that to argue in turn that the special master had required proof of a precise biologic mechanism, contrary to the Circuit’s determination in Knudsen. Id. at 1339. In effect, the petitioner argued, the special master was demanding scientific certainty. The LaLonde majority disagreed. What the special master had done was not mandate that a specific mechanism be shown, but had instead “merely required that [the expert] support his testimony with a reputable or scientific explanation that pertained specifically” to the relevant facts. LaLonde, 746 F.3d at 1340. More importantly, in so doing the Circuit (referencing its earlier Moberly decision) emphasized that (consistent with the Act’s express requirements) mere “identification” of a plausible theory did not meet the “statutory standard of preponderance of the evidence.” Id. at 1339. In other words, the expert’s recited theory lacked a sufficiently reliable foundation to establish causation—independent of whether the theory on its face, and when given an expert’s imprimatur, was plausible. Moberly, decided four years prior to LaLonde, reached a consistent result—but even more strongly demonstrates the rationale for requiring a preponderant showing on the first Althen prong. Moberly also involves a DPT-containing vaccine, and (consistent with LaLonde) an injury to an infant rather than adult. After entitlement was denied, the petitioners on appeal maintained that the special master had elevated their prong one burden, requiring scientific certainty rather than mere preponderance. Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1321. The Circuit cited the evidentiary standard set forth in Althen, and then observed as follows: While the petitioners acknowledge that the statute requires proof of causation by a preponderance of the evidence, see 42 U.S.C. § 300aa–13(a)(1)(A), they appear to be arguing for a more relaxed standard. They repeatedly characterize the test as whether [the infant’s] condition was “likely caused” by the DPT vaccine. By that formulation, however, they appear to mean not proof of causation by the traditional “more likely than not” standard, but something closer to proof of a “plausible” or “possible” causal link between the vaccine and the injury, which is not the statutory standard. Similarly, the petitioners object to the use of the term “causation in fact” by the special master and the Court of Federal Claims, because they claim that proof that a vaccine “in fact” caused an injury would require conclusive scientific evidence. But this court has regularly used that term to describe the causal requirement for off-Table injuries and has made clear that the applicable level of proof is not certainty, but the traditional tort standard of “preponderant evidence.” Id. at 1322 (emphasis added). The Moberly panel went on to note that although causation was presumed in Table cases (which have other more lenient features favorable to claimants), “the tort standard of causation is applicable” to non-Table claims. Id. As a result, to argue for a lesser 35 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 36 of 45 standard for causation in the non-Table context was to “conflate the burden of proof imposed for off-Table injuries with the lenient presumptions applicable to Table injuries.” Id. Nothing the Circuit has decided in the intervening ten to fifteen years suggests that this preponderant requirement was a temporary frolic and detour, pivoting momentarily from the “norm” of plausibility. It was embraced as recently as 2019. Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1360 (“[w]e have consistently rejected theories that the vaccine only “likely caused” the injury and reiterated that a “plausible” or “possible” causal theory does not satisfy the standard”). I note also that requiring preponderance for each individual Althen prong arises from a reasonable reading of not only the Act but the Althen decision itself. The Act specifically states that petitioners must demonstrate “by a preponderance of the evidence the matters required by the petition.” Section 13(a)(1)(A) (emphasis added). It does not say that some “matters” need not be preponderantly established. And in Althen’s syntax, preponderance stands outside, and hence modifies, all three of its enumerated prongs. Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278.29 There is no logical reason to read it as requiring preponderance when establishing the vaccine “did cause” injury, but not when a petitioner must demonstrate his satisfaction of the “can cause” element. Petitioner incorrectly maintains that the Circuit in Kottenstette altered the above understanding. Reply at 3. Kottenstette was yet another case involving the DTaP vaccine allegedly causing an infant injury, and it does comment on Boatmon—but not to make the point that Boatmon misstated the evidentiary standard applied to Althen prong one. Rather, the Kottenstette panel was distinguishing the Boatmon panel’s determination (in affirming reversal of the special master’s entitlement determination) that the deciding special master in that case had applied the wrong burden of proof in assessing the claimant’s showing. Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1359 (“[t]he Special Master deviated from the correct ‘reputable,’ ‘sound and reliable’ standard and articulated a lower ‘reasonable’ standard” in considering the first Althen prong). The Kottenstette panel, by contrast, found that the special master involved in the decision it was reviewing30 had articulated the proper overall preponderant requirement—and thus (in the Kottenstette panel’s view) had not committed the same error of mistakenly construing the burden as in Boatmon. Kottenstette, 861 F. App’x at 440–41. The Kottenstette panel thus does not characterize the Boatmon articulation of the first 29 “Concisely stated, Althen's burden is to show by preponderant evidence that the vaccination brought about her injury by providing: (1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of a proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury.” Althen 418 F.3d at 1278 (emphasis added). 30 The procedural history in Kottenstette was somewhat complicated. There, a special master after hearing decided a claim in the petitioners’ favor, and not long after retired. On appeal, the Court reversed, and the matter was remanded to a different special master, who re-decided the case in light of the legal standard articulated by that judge. Kottenstette, at 434–35. The appeal to the Circuit was based on the revised finding, which was now unfavorable to the petitioners, and the Circuit’s analysis took into account how the original special master presiding over the case had applied the law initially (in favor of entitlement). 36 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 37 of 45 Althen prong standard to be erroneous, nor does it say anywhere that mere plausibility is sufficient to establish the first Althen prong. Petitioner’s reading of Kottenstette is thus wholly inconsistent with the principles differentiating Table claims and causation-in-fact claims—a distinction observed in Moberly. The significance of this distinction would be utterly lost if Petitioner’s plausibility standard governed the “can cause” prong. For a standard of mere plausibility applied to the first Althen prong would be one that claimants would never fail to meet, and would thus be functionally equivalent to a Table claim’s causation presumption. The general intuition that a vaccine preceding an injury might have caused that injury is easily fleshed out to the level of plausibility with some scientific evaluation of a vaccine’s components, and how they could, in theory, chemically cause an aberrant immune response. There is no shortage of experts who would be willing to so opine; indeed, even Respondent’s experts consistently admit at trial, in my experience, that it is not “impossible” for a given vaccine to cause an injury in a susceptible person, given how little remains known about the precise functioning of the immune system. But the Vaccine Act was not intended to so lower a petitioner’s burden for causation-in-fact claims—even if scientific certainty is never the proper standard. B. Petitioner Has Not Preponderantly Met his Burden of Proof 1. Althen Prong One Two causation theories were ultimately advanced in this case, but neither was preponderantly established. Alum as Adjuvant Theory It was wise of Petitioner to “supplement” his case with a second causation theory, for the first one Dr. Steinman proposed—that alum included in the Tdap vaccine as an adjuvant can produce demyelination—was woefully inadequate.31 Dr. Steinman’s theory heavily relies on what is known about the intended function of the aluminum adjuvant—and certainly the substantiating support offered for these small contentions was reliable. It was also reasonably submitted that cytokines play some role in GBS pathogenesis, at various points in the disease’s course. But as I have observed in numerous prior cases, claimants cannot prevail simply by pointing to how vaccines are expected to function, and then extrapolating such contentions into the basis for an argument about pathologic process that is not also corroborated with vaccination. Palattao v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 13-591V, 2019 WL 989380, at *36 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 4, 2019) (“claimants cannot transmute scientific evidence 31 Indeed, Petitioner largely seems to have walked away from his first theory by the time of his reply brief. 37 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 38 of 45 exploring how vaccines normally function in the immune system into a reliable and persuasive causation theory that any vaccine can be pathogenic without a more specific showing that applies to the circumstances at hand,”) (citing Olson v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 13-439V, 2017 WL 3624085 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 14, 2017), mot. for review den’d, 135 Fed. Cl. 670 (2017), aff’d, 2018 WL 6721291 (Fed. Cir. 2018)). Thus, these individual components of the theory, as reliably established as they were, were not persuasively connected to other preponderant evidence to establish that the Tdap vaccine likely can cause GBS solely on the basis of the inclusion of the aluminum adjuvant. Petitioner could point to no direct proof on the subject—and while he was not required to do so, the absence of evidence (as reliably shown by Dr. Collins) that the inclusion of aluminum as an adjuvant is the “X factor” leading to GBS meant that Petitioner needed much more other additional circumstantial proof to connect all the dots. Dr. Collins also successfully demonstrated that direct studies pertaining to adjuvanted vaccines did not produce outcomes consistent with Petitioner’s theory. See, e.g., First Collins Rep. at 7. For if it is the adjuvant that is causal, then any vaccine containing it should be associated with an increased risk of GBS—but this is not the case. I have before rejected this kind of adjuvant-centered theory in other contexts.32 Zumwalt v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 16-994V, 2019 WL 1953739, at *18 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 21, 2019), mot. for review den’d, 146 Fed. Cl. 525 (2019) (“[t]he fact that vaccines are known to stimulate cytokine production (in part due in some cases to the inclusion of an adjuvant) does not amount to a reliable causation theory that such stimulation is necessarily disease-causing”). Nothing about how the theory was presented in this case made it more likely. And the Tdap package insert (which at most provides indirect support for a vaccine association, in circumstances distinguishable from the present) is weak proof supporting causation as a general matter. Werderitsh v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 99–319V, 2005 WL 3320041, at *8 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Nov. 10, 2005). At bottom, the adjuvant theory offered in this case over-relies on a conclusion that a component common to many vaccines, and included for the specific purpose of heightening immunogenicity, can promulgate disease—in the face of ample evidence that it “more likely than not” does not do so.33 32 For example, petitioners have argued that aluminum is a toxic metal that harms the body—despite the fact that individuals naturally ingest greater amounts of aluminum than via vaccination, but without attendant harm. McKown v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 15-1451V, 2019 WL 4072113, at *34 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July15, 2019). In other cases, claimants’ experts have proposed a theory entitled “autoimmune/inflammatory syndrome induced by adjuvants,” or “ASIA”—but special masters have noted that it lacks both medical community acceptance as well as overall substantiation. Pearson v Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 17-489V, 2019 WL 1150044, at *11 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 7, 2019); Garner v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 15-063V, 2017 WL 1713184 (Fed Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 24, 2017), mot. for review den’d, 133 Fed. Cl. 140 (July 31, 2017). Admittedly, Dr. Steinman’s theory is somewhat distinguishable—but was no more credible. 33 By contrast, other vaccines have been credibly associated with GBS without consideration of the presence of an adjuvant at all. Thus, the theory that the flu vaccine can cause GBS is not only far better corroborated (so much so that it constitutes a Table claim—and hence the Government recognizes enough science supports it for causation to 38 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 39 of 45 Dr. Steinman objects to some of Dr. Collins’s arguments that individual items of literature he has offered were “cherry picked,” and do not by themselves prove his theory, maintaining in defense of their reference that they are meant to be viewed collectively. This objection has some merit. First, it is unquestionably the case (as the Circuit captured in the Althen opinion, with its phrase “a field bereft of complete and direct proof of how vaccines affect the human body” (Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280)) that Program petitioners can never be faulted for their inability to brandish a single, all-encompassing and scientifically-reliable piece of evidence showing that a vaccine is clearly causal of an injury. That kind of evidence simply does not exist.34 Second, the very fact that the Program combines a preponderant, “more likely than not” causation standard with very few (if any) limits on the kinds of evidence that can be offered to meet it, means that claimants may satisfy their burden by connecting individual items of proof (circumstantial or otherwise) that, individually, only partially address the greater issue. But this does not mean that tying together items standing for reasonable and reliable, but very narrow, points will always produce a theory that is in total preponderantly established. The causal chain an expert forges must do more than simply make leaps from “stone to stone” without some additional support—and without proposing a reliable reason for making the leap. Thus, the argument that (a) vaccines cause cytokine upregulation, (b) cytokines are part of the pathogenic process in GBS, therefore (c) vaccines can cause GBS, leaves out a number of necessary intermediate steps, such as (a) when can the amount of cytokine production generally become excessive, (b) does this occur with vaccination, and (c) how central are those cytokines to the relevant disease process (and in the case of vaccination, they must be an initial instigating factor). The absence, or presence, of other corroborative evidence (e.g., what environmental factors are deemed causal of the injury that are comparable to a vaccine, or is anything scientifically known about the disease’s biologic mechanisms) can also be significant. Here, that necessary connective evidence was wholly lacking, and I therefore cannot conclude that the causation theory relying on the alum adjuvant was preponderantly established. Molecular Mimicry Theory Petitioner’s second theory was one that, more often than not in Program cases, is the primary theory offered to explain how virtually any vaccine could produce an autoimmune disease—via molecular mimicry. But not only was it proposed late in the game, but it too was not preponderantly shown to be likely causal. All Dr. Steinman did was offer evidence suggesting a be conceded), but does not at all rely on alum as an adjuvant, since the flu vaccine most often administered does not contain one. 34 Indeed, even the flu vaccine-GBS association is mainly based on a string of propositions, including (a) that molecular mimicry between flu vaccine components and nerve cross-attack targets can be shown, and (b) that an epidemiologic study now over 40 years old reliably established a high incidence of GBS after receipt of the flu vaccine, when compared to those who did not receive it. 39 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 40 of 45 theoretic possibility of homology between Tdap vaccine components and locations in the nerve structures where an autoimmune attack might occur. But this is a relatively easy showing to make, given the prevalence of homology in nature. It does not amount to a showing that a cross-reaction instigated by the Tdap vaccine resulting in GBS is “more likely than not.” And Dr. Collins offered evidence and testimony raising reasonable questions about whether every variant of GBS inherently unfolds only from molecular mimicry causing the production of cross-reactive autoantibodies, or only at the identified myelin targets. See, e.g., Fourth Collins Rep. at 2-5; Orlikowski. I once again emphasize (as I have in many prior cases) that molecular mimicry is not a “get out of jail free card” in the Program, entitling claimants who hire Dr. Steinman (or someone else sufficiently conversant with molecular biology and the relevant databases) to compensation, merely because it has scientific reliability as a general matter. Yalacki v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 14-278V, 2019 WL 1061429, at *34 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 31, 2019), mot. for review den’d, 146 Fed. Cl. 80 (2019) (“it is not enough for a claimant to invoke the concept of molecular mimicry along with some identified homology between an amino acid sequence and a target antigen in order to carry her burden”). Without some reason to further find that the relevant vaccine can be causal of the specific injury at issue—however that might be demonstrated— establishing a potentiality for molecular mimicry alone does not meet the preponderant standard of proof, no matter what degree of amino acid identity (sequential or not) Dr. Steinman can demonstrate with a BLAST search. Epidemiologic evidence offered by Respondent also undercuts Petitioner’s showing.35 Baxter II—a large-scale study identifying no association between Tdap and GBS—was particularly harmful. It was far more relevant to Petitioner’s claim herein than Baxter I (authored by almost all of the same individuals as Baxter II), which Dr. Steinman favorably cited but which only showed a possible association between Tdap and ADEM—a distinguishable central nervous system-impacting demyelinating disease. The very fact that Dr. Steinman chose to cite Baxter I is telling—if one epidemiologic study not fully on point is nevertheless supportive of his theory, how can a study directly on point (since it involved the injury at issue in this case), and written by largely the same group of scientific professionals, not also bear on the case’s outcome? 35 Even though Program petitioners are never obligated to offer epidemiologic evidence, it is well-established by controlling Federal Circuit caselaw that relevant epidemiologic evidence can be taken into account by a special master in weighing a claimant’s success on the first Althen prong. Taylor v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 108 Fed. Cl. 807, 819–21 (Fed. Cl. 2013) (special master did not err in considering epidemiological evidence); Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1379 (a special master may assess epidemiological evidence in “reaching an informed judgment as to whether a particular vaccination likely caused a particular injury.”). Such evidence is reasonably subject to the same reliability and methodology considerations that apply to all scientific/medical evidence offered, and it should not be viewed as dispositive per se. But it deserves weight when it exists, and it can serve to weaken confidence in a claimant’s causal showing. 40 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 41 of 45 My evaluation of Dr. Steinman’s theory also takes into account, to a small extent, conduct reflected in his reports that undermined his persuasiveness. This case provides yet another example of Dr. Steinman’s unfortunate proclivities as an expert when offering opinions in Program cases. Vaccine Program experts should confine their testimony to the scientific and medical issues that their training and expertise renders them competent to comment upon. They should not discuss the legal standards that govern entitlement decisions (beyond perhaps offering testimonial caveats consistent with those standards).36 Yet Dr. Steinman wasted numerous pages of his report (frequently appending the relatively-useless proviso that he is “not a lawyer”) to opining directly on the proper application of those legal standards, and even invoked prior decisions as precedential support. See, e.g., Second Steinman Rep.at 1; Third Steinman Rep. at 1. I have in the past criticized Dr. Steinman for engaging in similar conduct. See, e.g., Rolshoven v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 14-439V, 2018 WL 1124737, at *21 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 11, 2018). He will continue to do harm to his credibility as an expert if he does not stop acting in this fashion.37 I emphasize that my reaction to the above is not the primary basis for my determination that the first Althen prong was not met. Rather, neither of the causation theories offered was preponderantly established with sufficient reliable medical or scientific evidence, despite Dr. Steinman’s ample credentials to opine on the subject. But it is well within the bounds of the exercise of my duties as a special master to take into account the totality of facts pertaining to an expert’s presentation in evaluating credibility and persuasiveness. The special master is not a “potted plant” in Vaccine Act proceedings, obligated to ignore what experts actually say or do in a case out of the concern that a negative reaction might prejudice the petitioner. Here—and in addition to the fact that the causal theories offered were based on unreliable science or medicine, and otherwise not preponderantly established—Dr. Steinman undermined his showing. 2. Althen Prong Two 36 Thus, counsel often conclude their direct examination of an expert by asking the expert whether he or she holds the opinion offered “to a reasonable degree of medical probability,” or whether something contended is simply “more likely than not.” 37 In addition, I note that the molecular mimicry theory was only offered as a substitute for an initial theory that over time proved problematic—and after multiple reports on that theory had been filed. I acknowledge that Dr. Steinman purports that the two theories are equally valid, and could both explain causation, alone or taken together. Fourth Steinman Rep. at 1. But (in my experience with Dr. Steinman as an expert—having seen his reports, or listened to his testimony, many times over the past eight years) molecular mimicry is more often than not the primary, if not sole, causation theory he espouses—and he did not embrace it in this case at the outset. Indeed, Dr. Steinman was comfortable relying on the adjuvant theory enough to defend it multiple times against Dr. Collins’s attacks, and over a nearly three-year period, without any hedging or qualification. If this theory were so ironclad, why was there any need to supplement it with an alternative? While I have evaluated molecular mimicry on its own terms, and based almost wholly on the evidence and testimony offered for it, the fact that it was Petitioner’s “second choice” suggests to a small degree a lack of faith in its applicability. 41 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 42 of 45 Several items of record evidence weigh against Petitioner’s assertion that the Tdap vaccine he received likely “did cause” his GBS. In particular, the majority of immediate treaters did not propose vaccination to be causal, finding far more significant the indisputable evidence of an intercurrent URI. See, e.g., Ex. 3 at 15, 19–20 (Dr. Han), 36–37 (Dr. Deangelis), 41 (Dr. Given), 126–27 (Dr. Glodan). On the other hand, during an infectious disease consult Dr. Klirsfeld noted as well that the injury could be “possibly” vaccine-associated. Ex. 3 at 53. But this initial speculation never developed into an acting diagnostic hypothesis, and so the weight of treater views evidenced in this record does not support vaccine causation. (A subsequent dietician’s mention of the vaccination deserves even less weight—not only is such a professional’s view less informed than the neurologic or other disease specialist treaters who saw Dr. K.A., but the record at issue suggests this was simply mentioned as part of the patient history). Ex. 9 at 1064. At the same time, the record reveals several instances in which treaters proposed that Petitioner’s URI did play a role in his subsequent neurologic injury. I also do not give substantial, if any, weight to Dr. Steinman’s objections that the term of art “influenza-like illness” to describe Petitioner’s URI is scientifically indeterminate—since filed record evidence from competent medical and scientific professionals employ the term in their own studies. See, e.g., Ex. 3 at 47 (using the term “flu-like”). Dr. Steinman nevertheless objects to giving this evidence weight in the absence of proof of the specific nature of the infection. In so arguing, Petitioner notes correctly that the record is ambiguous and inconclusive on this point. Thus, initial testing for WNV was positive for a resolved, but not current, infection (Ex. 3 at 15–20, 53, 63), and Petitioner did not test positive for EBV (although evidence of a resolved CMV was identified). Id. at 268–85; Ex. 9 at 178–80. I cannot say on this record that the evidence preponderantly establishes the specific infectious agent behind Petitioner’s URI. But (putting aside the fact that Dr. Steinman relies in part on his own reading of Program case law for these contentions about infection specificity—despite his lack of expertise to so opine), it is incorrect that evidence regarding possible alternative causes should not be included in a special master’s weighing, absent definitive proof of the nature of the infection. Section 13(b)(1)(A) (special master empowered to consider “any diagnosis, conclusion, medical judgment . . . which is contained in the record regarding the nature, causation, and aggravation of the petitioner’s illness”). Here, not only is there incontrovertible evidence that Petitioner first experienced URI symptoms before neurologic-related symptoms, but also that the majority of his treaters deemed the URI most likely causal. The vaccine does not deserve greater weight simply because it is “known” whereas the precise nature of the infection is not. Indeed—medical science cannot always test for or identify a specific infection, as has been observed in prior cases. Randolph v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 15-146V, 2021 WL 5816271, at *21 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Nov. 12, 2021) (“[c]ausation claims do not succeed merely because Respondent cannot prove with 42 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 43 of 45 certainty what was causal”). Dr. Collins also persuasively showed that many facially-reliable studies had included “influenza-like illness” as a potentially causal agent of GBS, despite Dr. Steinman’s protestations. See, e.g., Tam; Stowe. And since scientific certainty is not the relevant evidentiary standard, it cannot be the case that Respondent must meet that standard in rebutting a petitioner’s showing. This is also not an instance in which what is referred to as a Shyface analysis assists Petitioner. There are circumstances where experts on both sides concede two or more factors could be causal of injury (including vaccination), resulting in entitlement for the petitioner if the special master concludes that the vaccine was at least a “substantial” factor (even if not the primary or predominant factor). Deribeaux v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 105 Fed. Cl. 583, 589 (June 4, 2012). But here, there was no concession by Dr. Collins that the Tdap vaccine can be causal at all38—and I have found that Petitioner did not preponderantly establish this to the case. Thus, the mere fact that temporarily Petitioner received the Tdap vaccine before onset of his URI does not compel me into a Shyface determination that the URI was not likely solely causal. Overall, the medical records strongly support the conclusion that Petitioner’s intercurrent URI likely caused his GBS—not that it was caused by the Tdap vaccine.39 3. Althen Prong Three Petitioner’s success in establishing that the timeframe for his onset of symptoms post- vaccination was medically acceptable (in terms of vaccine causation) is not consistent from theory to theory. Little was offered to substantiate the timeframe for Mr. K.A.’s 18 to 19-day onset (August 31, 2013, or September 1, 2013) under the theory that the adjuvant caused his GBS. Indeed, since this theory depended on an innate, cytokine-driven reaction to the vaccine, the 38 As Respondent observed in his opposition brief, Dr. Steinman’s misplaced reliance on Torday as requiring specification of a precise infection to counter the known quantity of a vaccination really invokes a Shyface-like analysis from a case where more than one factor was deemed potentially causal, leading the special master to give less weight to the unknown precise nature of the infection. Torday, 2009 WL 5196163, at *3–4. 39 As noted, I do not find that Petitioner has established that the Tdap vaccine can cause GBS, so the burden of proof never shifted to Respondent to prove a “factor unrelated.” de Bazan v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 539 F.3d 1347, 1354 (Fed. Cir. 2008). I have otherwise reasonably included, in my weighing of evidence for and against Petitioner, the record proof pertaining to Petitioner’s URI, finding that it undercuts Petitioner’s contentions that the Tdap vaccine was causal. Stone v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 676 F.3d 1373, 1380 (Fed. Cir. 2012) (“no evidence should be embargoed from the special master's consideration simply because it is also relevant to another inquiry under the statute”); see also de Bazan, 539 F.3d at 1353 (“[t]he government, like any defendant, is permitted to offer evidence to demonstrate the inadequacy of the petitioner's evidence on a requisite element of the petitioner's case-in-chief”). But I also note that even if I had found that Petitioner had met his initial causation burden, the record before me would preponderantly establish that the URI was more likely causal—and hence Respondent on this record would have met his burden had it shifted. The record persuasively establishes that not only are a variety of infectious processes (including “influenza-like illness”) associated with GBS more convincingly than the Tdap vaccine, but also that treaters overall proposed that Petitioner’s own history was consistent with that relationship. 43 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 44 of 45 pathologic process would have likely occurred far closer in time to vaccination—suggesting that even an onset around three weeks post-vaccination would be too long. Opp. at 23, citing Montgomery, 2019 WL 2511352, at *5. As noted, however, Petitioner seems to have opted to place more emphasis on Dr. Steinman’s second causation theory—that molecular mimicry between vaccine antigens and self structures associated with the initial attack on the nerves was the mechanism driving the autoimmune process. Facially, a three-week onset for such a process is more medically reasonable, taking into account (a) how long the adaptive immune response (in which antibodies would be produced in reaction to vaccine antigens and then start cross-reacting with self tissues) would take generally, plus (b) literature like Schonberger. Keja v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 17- 1511V, 2021 WL1736816, at *21 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 2, 2021). Of course, Schonberger is not specific to Tdap vaccine at all, diminishing its evidentiary value. But had I found that the Tdap vaccine “can cause” GBS, then the fact that the timeframe of onset occurred when, from a medical standpoint, it would be expected to occur would inure to Petitioner’s benefit. As it stands, however, and because the claim fails on the first two Althen prongs, Petitioner’s ability to preponderantly support the third prong does not avail him. III. This Case Was Appropriately Decided on the Papers In ruling on the record, I am choosing not to hold a hearing—a determination that the parties largely accepted.40 Determining how best to resolve a case is a matter that lies generally within my discretion, but I shall explain why I determined that a hearing was unnecessary. Prior decisions have recognized that a special master’s discretion in deciding whether to conduct an evidentiary hearing “is tempered by Vaccine Rule 3(b),” or the duty to “afford[] each party a full and fair opportunity to present its case.” Hovey, 38 Fed. Cl. at 400–01 (citing Rule 3(b)). But that rule also includes the obligation of creation of a record “sufficient to allow review of the special master’s decision.” Id. Thus, the fact that a claim is legitimately disputed, such that the special master must exercise his intellectual faculties in order to decide a matter, is not itself grounds for a trial (for if it were, trials would be required in every disputed case). Special masters are expressly empowered to resolve fact disputes without a hearing—although they should only so act if a party has been given the proper “full and fair” chance to prove their claim. 40 Petitioner’s initial ruling on the record brief did not oppose deciding this case on the papers. On Reply, however, Petitioner included a footnote setting forth some process objections: that he was denied the opportunity to offer his own infectious disease expert (by the special master previously assigned to the case) to counter Dr. Collins’s arguments, and that, although he noted my discretion to choose how best to decide the case, a hearing was warranted since the petitioner’s theories were “closely contested.” Reply at 5 n.4. Putting aside the underwhelming and somewhat eleventh-hour nature of this objection, I nevertheless determine (as explained herein) that the claim could be, and was, fairly adjudicated solely on the basis of the papers—and as already noted hearings are not held simply because the parties disagree on entitlement. 44 Case 1:16-vv-00989-MBH Document 122 Filed 06/27/23 Page 45 of 45 It was wholly fair to both sides to resolve this case on the papers and after briefing by the parties. Over the case’s nearly six years, Petitioner was afforded the opportunity to offer five written expert reports—so many that the reports began to repeat prior arguments and/or devolve into expert bickering as they piled up. Petitioner was also permitted to modify his causation theory entirely, after Respondent voiced objections to its sufficiency. And the second theory proposed was one with which I have substantial familiarity—meaning I did not need to hear live testimony from Dr. Steinman to understand or react to it. It cannot be denied, given the overall procedural history, that Petitioner received a reasonable chance to prove his claim. CONCLUSION A Program entitlement award is only appropriate for claims supported by preponderant evidence. Here, Petitioner has not made such as showing. Petitioner is therefore not entitled to compensation. In the absence of a motion for review filed pursuant to RCFC Appendix B, the Clerk of the Court SHALL ENTER JUDGMENT in accordance with the terms of this Decision.41 IT IS SO ORDERED. /s/ Brian H. Corcoran Brian H. Corcoran Chief Special Master 41 Pursuant to Vaccine Rule 11(a), the parties may expedite entry of judgment if (jointly or separately) they file notices renouncing their right to seek review. 45