VICP Registry Case Source Bundle Canonical URL: https://vicp-registry.org/case/USCOURTS-cofc-1_16-vv-00864 Package ID: USCOURTS-cofc-1_16-vv-00864 Petitioner: I.J. Filed: 2016-07-21 Decided: 2026-01-05 Vaccine: Tdap Vaccination date: 2013-07-22 Condition: transverse myelitis Outcome: compensated Award amount USD: 2078709.51 AI-assisted case summary: I.J., a 34-year-old male, filed a petition on July 21, 2016, seeking compensation under the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program. He alleged that he developed transverse myelitis (TM) as a result of a Tetanus Diphtheria acellular-Pertussis (Tdap) vaccine he received on July 22, 2013. Following an entitlement hearing, the Special Master initially denied the claim, finding that while I.J. likely suffered from TM, there was insufficient evidence that the Tdap vaccine could cause TM or did so in his case. The Court of Federal Claims vacated this decision and remanded the case, finding the Special Master had misapplied legal standards and made arbitrary and capricious factual determinations regarding the Baxter study and the evidence of inflammation. Upon remand, the Special Master found that I.J. had established a plausible "can cause" theory for TM following Tdap vaccination, consistent with the Court's guidance on the "biological plausibility" standard. The Special Master also found that the "did cause" prong was met, citing evidence of inflammation and treaters' consideration of vaccines as a potential cause, despite some inaccuracies in their records. Consequently, entitlement was granted. A subsequent damages decision on January 5, 2026, awarded I.J. a total of $2,078,709.51. This included a lump sum payment of $1,668,311.51 for life care expenses, lost earnings, and pain and suffering, a $639,898.43 payment to satisfy a Medicaid lien, and an amount to purchase an annuity for future life care expenses. The award also included $1,190,602.00 for lost earnings and $250,000.00 for pain and suffering. Theory of causation field: Tdap vaccine on July 22, 2013, age 34, followed by transverse myelitis about 17 days later. COMPENSATED after initial denial, Court of Federal Claims remand, entitlement on remand, and damages litigation. Petitioner relied on Dr. Scott Zamvil and molecular mimicry/biologic plausibility evidence; the reviewing court found legal and factual errors in the initial denial. On remand, Chief Special Master Corcoran found petitioner met Althen and later awarded damages including pain and suffering, lost earnings, life-care components, and Medicaid lien satisfaction. Damages decision January 5, 2026. Public staged source text: ================================================================================ DOCUMENT 1: USCOURTS-cofc-1_16-vv-00864-2 Date issued/filed: 2021-04-02 Pages: 44 Docket text: PUBLIC ORDER/RULING (Originally filed: 01/04/2021) regarding 114 DECISION of Special Master Signed by Chief Special Master Brian H. Corcoran. (omg) Service on parties made. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 1 of 44 In the United States Court of Federal Claims OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS No. 16-864V (to be published) * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * I.J. * * Filed: January 4, 2021 Petitioner, * * v. * Entitlement Decision; Transverse * Myelitis; Spinal Cord Infarction; SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND * Tetanus Diphtheria acellular HUMAN SERVICES, * Pertussis; Causation; Althen Prong One * Respondent. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Robert J. Krakow, Law Office of Robert Krakow, P.C., New York, NY, for Petitioner. Catherine Stolar, U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Washington, DC, for Respondent. ENTITLEMENT DECISION1 I.J. filed a petition on July 21, 2016, seeking compensation under the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (“Vaccine Program”).2 Petition (“Pet.”) at 1 (ECF No. 1). I.J. Mr. has alleged that he developed transverse myelitis (“TM”) due to the Tetanus Diphtheria acellular-Pertussis (“Tdap”) vaccine he received on July 22, 2013. Id. An entitlement hearing was held in this matter on October 22-23, 2019. After consideration of the record and testimony provided at hearing, I deny an entitlement award in this case. As 1 This Decision will be posted on the Court of Federal Claims’ website in accordance with the E-Government Act of 2002, 44 U.S.C. § 3501 (2012). This means that the Decision will be available to anyone with access to the internet. As provided by 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(d)(4)(B), however, the parties may object to the Decision’s inclusion of certain kinds of confidential information. Specifically, under Vaccine Rule 18(b), each party has fourteen days within which to request redaction “of any information furnished by that party: (1) that is a trade secret or commercial or financial in substance and is privileged or confidential; or (2) that includes medical files or similar files, the disclosure of which would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of privacy.” Vaccine Rule 18(b). Otherwise, the whole Decision will be available to the public in its current form. Id. 2 The Vaccine Program comprises Part 2 of the National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986, 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa- 10–37 (2012) (hereinafter “Vaccine Act” or “the Act”). Individual section references hereafter shall refer to § 300aa of the Act. Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 2 of 44 discussed in more detail below, Petitioner has preponderantly established that he likely experienced TM, prevailing over Respondent’s proposed alternative diagnosis of a spinal cord infarction. But insufficient preponderant evidence offered in this case stands for Petitioner’s contention that the Tdap vaccine can cause TM, or that it did so in this case. I. Factual Background A. Medical History Prior to Vaccination I.J. Prior to his vaccination in July 2013, Mr. was a healthy and active thirty-four-year- old man with no history of neurological problems or clotting disorders. Tr. at 22–24. Earlier that I.J. year, Mr. had undergone a surgical procedure to repair a torn anterior cruciate ligament (“ACL”) in his left knee. Ex. 2, filed July 26, 2016 (ECF No. 8-2); Ex. 15, filed Apr. 3, 2017 (ECF I.J.'s No. 28-1). However (and relevant to the claim at hand), Mr. family history was significant for thrombophilia.3 Ex. 2. at 18, 21, 225. B. Onset of Injury I.J. On July 22, 2013, Mr. received the Tdap vaccine. Vaccination Record, filed July 26, 2016 as Ex. 1 (ECF No. 8-1); Tr. at 7. No immediate complication or reactions were documented. I.J. See Ex. 1. A little over two weeks later, on August 6-7, 2013, Mr. reported feeling ill with what he believed was a minor cold, but he quickly recovered. Ex. 2 at 8. The following day (August I.J. 8, 2013), however, Mr. was reaching into the back pocket of his pants (to retrieve a Metro card needed for public transportation in New York City) when he experienced a “pinch” in his shoulder, broadening to sudden sharp pain and burning sensation in the back of his neck that ran down from both shoulders and arms into his left leg. Id. at 7; Tr. at 14–15. These symptoms continued to worsen, and within minutes he began to experience pain, tingling, and numbness that spread throughout his arms and legs. Ex. 2 at 7. I.J. Mr. walked to NYU Medical Center, where he was immediately admitted to the I.J. emergency department. Tr. at 14–15. Within hours, Mr. lost the ability to use his arms and I.J.'s legs and began to exhibit urinary retention. Id. at 20. An MRI of Mr. cervical spine revealed increased signal “predominantly within the central gray matter of the cervicothoracic cord extending from C3 to the T1-2 level, most prominent from the C6 to the T1 level.” Ex. 8B at 1, filed Jan. 4, 2019 (ECF No. 50-2). These results were deemed to be compatible with a diagnosis of TM. Id. at 1–2. 3 Thrombophilia is the tendency to form blood clots. Thrombophilia, Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=49901&searchterm=thrombophilia (last visited Nov. 23, 2020); Thrombus, Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=49919&searchterm=thrombus (last visited Nov. 23, 2020). 2 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 3 of 44 I.J.'s On August 9, 2013, treating neurologist Dr. Stephen Galetta noted that Mr. symptoms had developed over the course of six hours. Ex. 2 at 20. He also observed that the MRI I.J.'s of Mr. cervical spine showed “high signal extending down the anterior part of the cord,” and the signal intensity seemed to be concentrated in the ventral horns of the spinal cord. Id. Based I.J.'s on Mr. presentation and MRI results, Dr. Galetta proposed several differential diagnoses, including TM, West Nile Virus, Neuromyelitis Optica (“NMO”), and Acute Disseminated Encephalomyelitis (“ADEM”). Id. I.J. From August 9 to 15, 2013 Mr. was treated with Solumedrol, intravenous immunoglobulin (“IVIG”), and plasma exchange (“PLEX”), and he underwent a series of diagnostic laboratory studies to refine his diagnosis. Ex. 2 at 183, 373–444. One such test was an antinuclear antibodies (“ANA”) test, which was performed on August 9, 2013, and resulted in a positive showing (thus suggesting the possible existence of an autoimmune process).4 Id. at 139. I.J. Because Mr. did not have a family history of rheumatologic disease, however, this result was only deemed suggestive of the presence of primary rheumatologic disease. Id. at 50. Mycoplasma pneumoniae5 antibody levels were also elevated, but the significance of these findings was not immediately clear given the possibility that they were attributable to the IVIG I.J. I.J. treatment Mr. was receiving at the time. Id. at 167, 172. Mr. was also found to be positive for other antibodies, but treaters concluded that such results did not likely explain his condition. Id. at 55–56, 61, 139, 169–70, 172. Tests for Rhinovirus and enterovirus were also I.J. positive. Id. 2 at 49. Additionally, Thrombophilia studies revealed that Mr. had elevated Factor VIII levels and an activated partial thromboplastin time6 of 23. Id. at 162, 166, 170, 392. A repeat MRI was performed on August 17, 2013. Ex. 9F, filed Jan. 4, 2019 (ECF No. 51- 1). The results of this MRI showed 4 An ANA test is typically used to assess the presence of systemic lupus erythematosus, as well as other autoimmune diseases (e.g., mixed connective tissue disease, scleroderma, rheumatoid arthritis, Sjögren’s syndrome, and polymyositis). However, because otherwise-healthy individuals also often test positive for ANA, follow-up testing is necessary to confirm the existence of an autoimmune condition. See K. Pagana, et al., Mosby’s: Manual of Diagnostic and Laboratory Tests 80, 82 (6th ed. 2018) (“Mosby’s”). 5 Mycoplasma pneumoniae is a bacterial species responsible for mild respiratory tract disease. Mycoplasma pneumoniae, Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=91174&searchterm=Mycoplasma+pneumoniae (last visited Nov. 23, 2020). 6 Activated partial thromboplastin time (“aPTT”) is the period required for clot formation in recalcified blood plasma after contact activation and the addition of platelet substitutes (e.g. brain cephalin or similar phospholipids); used to assess the intrinsic and common pathways of coagulation. Activated partial thromboplastin time, Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=113783 (last visited Nov. 24, 2020). A prolonged aPTT can indicate a deficiency of a number of factors, including prekallikrein, high-molecular-weight kininogen, factors XII, XI, IX, VIII, I, V and II, and fibrinogen. Id. The PTT (partial thromboplastin time) test is used to assess the intrinsic system and the common pathway of clot formation. See Mosby’s at 344–45. Normal findings for aPTT are 30-40 seconds and 60-70 seconds for PTT. Id. at 344. 3 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 4 of 44 …a long segment of T2/FLAIR hyperintensity extending from C2 to T3, largest between C4 and C7 where most of the transverse diameter of the cord is noted . . . At T2 and T3, the inferior aspect of the lesion, the T2-bright signal involves predominantly the central gray matter. Patchy enhancement is noted scattered throughout portions of the spinal cord between C4 and T1, with conspicuous enhancement of the anterior horns of the central gray matter at C4. The DWI pulse sequence reveals some small foci of restricted diffusion. I.J.'s Ex. 9F at 1–2. Based on these results, Mr. differential diagnosis was narrowed to encompass only TM and spinal cord infarction—though the diagnosis of TM was identified as favored due to “the age of [Mr. I.J. the repeat occurrence, and the holocord7 involvement, and the cervical location” of the lesion. Id. at 2. I.J. That same day, Mr. was evaluated by an infectious disease specialist, Dr. Eddie I.J. Louie, M.D., who (mistakenly believing Mr. had received the Hepatitis B rather than Tdap vaccine) noted that a causal connection between the Hepatitis B vaccine and TM has been identified. Ex. 2 at 61. Dr. Louie dismissed the possibility that the rhinovirus played in the onset I.J.'s of Mr. condition, noting that this sort of viral infection is not associated with neuromuscular diseases in which there is damage to the anterior horn of the spinal cord. Id. He also observed that Petitioner’s symptoms were improving with steroid and IVIG treatment. Id. I.J.'s Because there were some lingering concerns, however, that Mr. condition could partially be the result of mycoplasma myelitis,8 he was started on intravenous azithromycin. Id. at 61, 213. Dr. Albert Favate—a member of the hospital stroke team—provided a neurology consultation on August 19, 2013, and his assessment differed from the prior proposals that TM explained Petitioner’s condition. Instead, Dr. Favate noted that “[i]n view of presentation cord signal on MRI vascular etiology-thrombosed anterior spinal artery origin with prese[r]vation of posterior collu[m]n function. [A]s possible sources are Vertebral artery thrombotic formation w/Hypercoagulable state…Note AVM may be compressed and not seen on cord MRI in initial I.J. phase of cord infarct.” Ex. 2 at 62. Dr. Favate recommended that Mr. undergo a coagulopathy work-up with hematology, as well as an MRI and spinal angiogram to visualize spinal circulation. I.J.'s Id. He also recommended repeat serological testing to further refine Mr. diagnosis. Id. 7 Holocord presentation denotes involvement of the entire spinal cord, extending from the cervicomedullary junction to the tip of the conus. Y. Sheikh et al., Holocord Presentation, Radiopaedia, https://radiopaedia.org/articles/holocord- presentation?lang=us (last visited Dec. 14, 2020). 8 Mycoplasma myelitis is a rare form of TM resulting from a Mycoplasma pneumoniae infection. An M. pneumoniae infection is an exclusionary criterion under the proposed diagnostic criteria for TM. See, e.g., Transverse Myelitis Consortium Working Group, Proposed Diagnostic Criteria and Nosology of Acute Transverse Myelitis, 59 Neurology 499, 500 (2002), filed as Ex. 35 on July 21, 2019 (ECF No. 63-4) (“Working Group”). 4 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 5 of 44 Following Dr. Favate’s evaluation, and at his recommendation, Kenneth Hymes, M.D., a I.J. hematologist, evaluated Mr. for thrombophilia. Ex. 2 at 62–65. Dr. Hymes acknowledged I.J.'s that while Mr. first MRI was interpreted as being most consistent with TM, he also noted I.J.'s that a repeat MRI conducted a few days after Mr. admission appeared to be more consistent with a spinal cord infarction. Id. at 62. Mr. I.J.'s family history of lethal pulmonary emboli9 was also quite concerning to Dr. Hymes. Id. at 62, 65 (“[t]he positive family history of thrombophilia is noteworthy, and a thrombophilic disorder with venous thrombosis and paradoxical embolization I.J. might explain clinical findings”). He concluded that Mr. had experienced “[a]cute onset of back pain and extremity weakness, possibly due to vascular injury to the spinal cord. A spinal artery dissection or embolic lesion might explain these symptoms.” Id. at 65. Thus, Dr. Hymes I.J. suggested Mr. undergo thrombophilia studies. Id. He allowed, however, that a diagnosis of TM was still also a reasonable explanation for Petitioner’s condition. Id. Dr. Stephanie Sterling also provided a follow-up infectious disease consultation with Mr. I.J. I.J. on August 19, 2013. Ex. 2 at 66–68. Mr. told Dr. Sterling at this time that he had received “a bunch of vaccines” approximately two to three days prior to the onset of his condition. Id. at 66. Based on such (incorrect) reporting, Dr. Sterling proposed that vaccination could be related to Petitioner’s subsequent development of TM. Id. at 68. Dr. Sterling, however, reviewed I.J.'s Mr. most recent MRI results, noting that newly-recorded abnormalities were focused predominantly in the anterior horns of the central gray matter of the spinal cord, and might therefore be more consistent with a spinal cord infarction. Id. at 68. She also acknowledged that Petitioner’s condition was improving with steroids, IVIG, and PLEX treatments. Id. Dr. Sterling did agree with Dr. Louie’s decision to rule out a rhinovirus infection as causal, since existing literature did not support such a relationship. Id. And she expressed some skepticism regarding the I.J.'s role mycoplasma pneumoniae might have played in Mr. condition, though she agreed to continue treatment with azithromycin. Id. I.J. On August 20, 2013, Mr. was evaluated by yet another neurology specialist, Dr. I.J. Miguel Litao. Ex. 2 at 213. Mr. had now developed a fever, exhibited elevated white blood cell counts, and was experiencing difficulty breathing. Id. He was prescribed Zosyn and Vancomycin, but his azithromycin treatment was discontinued due to the low likelihood of mycoplasma infection. Id. at 213–14. Dr. Litao also observed that the August 17th MRI results were (in his view) most consistent with a spinal cord infarction in the anterior spinal artery area. Id. at 213. I.J. Shortly thereafter, Mr. was transferred to the medical intensive care unit. Ex. 2 at 230–31. A progress note was prepared by critical care physician, Dr. Jessica Leland Taff, at the I.J.'s I.J.'s time of Mr. transfer. Id. Dr. Taff observed that Mr. age, holocord involvement, 9 A pulmonary embolism is the closure of the pulmonary artery or one of its branches by an embolism. Pulmonary Embolism, Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=72763&searchterm=pulmonary+embolism (last visited Nov. 23, 2020). 5 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 6 of 44 and cervical location of the spinal cord lesion favored a TM diagnosis. Id. She also expressed a I.J.'s desire to obtain Mr. immunization history due to reports of TM following receipt of the Hepatitis B vaccine. Id. at 231. Dr. Taff acknowledged, however, that the restricted diffusion seen in the August 17th MRI was suggestive of a spinal cord infarction. Id. I.J. At the recommendation of several treating physicians, Mr. underwent a spinal angiogram10on August 21, 2013. Ex. 5 at 41 (filed on compact disc); Ex. 9D at 3, filed Jan. 4, 2019 (ECF No. 50-9). The angiogram demonstrated “a lower cervical watershed corresponding to the region of maximum abnormality…on the spinal MRI.” Ex. 9D at 3. The anterior spinal artery was also described as “segmentally narrowed,” though it was acknowledged that this narrowing could be due to an earlier thrombotic event. Id. But given the extensive distribution of the lesion, passive compression or active inflammation were also considered. Id. A follow-up hematology consultation provided by Dr. Hymes noted evidence of spinal I.J.'s artery occlusion in the angiogram, but he indicated that the results of Mr. thrombophilia studies could also be seen in inflammation and were not likely to have caused an aggressive thrombotic event. Ex. 9D at 76. Additionally, an echocardiogram did not reveal a right-to-left shunt—circumstances commonly associated with an increased risk of embolism. Id. at 75; see also N. Gomperts et al., A Broken Heart: Right-to-Left Shunt in the Setting of Normal Cardiac Pressures, 24 Can. J. Cardiology. 227, 227 (2008), filed on July 21, 2019 as Ex. 32 (ECF No. 63- 1). Though he could not yet identify the etiology for his findings, and despite the caveats previously mentioned, Dr. Hymes remained confident that the most likely diagnosis was an embolic lesion. Ex. 2 at 76. I.J. On August 23, 2013, Mr. was released from the medical intensive care unit and was transferred back to the neurology department. Ex. 2 at 245. Efforts to conclusively diagnose Mr. I.J. were summarized by Dr. Taff, who noted: Initial MRI C[ervical] and T[horacic] spine on 8/8 showed long segment, central increased signal [within] cervicothoracic spinal cord [without] enhancement compatible [with] transverse myelitis . . . Repeat MRI done on 8/17 showed decreased diffusion thought to be [consistent with] a spinal cord infarction within the Anterior Spinal Artery territory . . . On 8/22 he had a spinal angiograph showing a mid-cervical filling defect of the Anterior Spinal artery congruent [with] suspected spinal infarct in the cervical watershed region…Hematology was consulted for concern of pro-thrombotic state, but felt that labs were not consistent with Antiphospholipid Ab syndrome or another pro-coagulant state . . . clarify patient’s immunizations at occupational health, as there are case reports of TM 10 A spinal angiogram is a diagnostic procedure in which a contrast dye is injected into the arteries supplying the spinal cord and x-ray images are obtained in order to study blood flow to the area. NYU Langone Health, Spinal Angiogram, https://med.nyu.edu/radiology/about-us/subspecialties/neuro-interventional/our-services/patient-information-spinal- angiogram (last visited Dec. 14, 2020). 6 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 7 of 44 following Hep[atitis] B immunization, although this appears a much less likely scenario given angio[gram] and MRI findings. I.J.'s Ex. 2 at 245–47. Dr. Taff thus acknowledged that the etiology of Mr. condition was still unclear, and hematology specialists felt that the thrombophilia panel results were not likely to have caused such an aggressive thrombotic event—even though she overall seemed to favor infarction as the proper diagnosis. Id. at 248. I.J. On August 26, 2013, Mr. was again evaluated by neurology in anticipation of his being discharged to a rehabilitation facility. Ex. 2 at 276. His active problem list at that time I.J. included TM and thrombophilia. Id. It was also noted that Mr. exhibited an Anterior Spinal Artery blockage at the C5 level, but it was again observed that this occlusion could be due to swelling within the spinal cord. Id. at 281. This conclusion was echoed the very next day during a neurology follow-up. Id. at 291. I.J. Mr. was discharged from NYU Hospital on August 29, 2013, and was transferred to I.J.'s Rusk Rehabilitation for intensive physical therapy. Ex. 2 at 6, 13. Mr. discharge diagnoses included tetraplegia, spinal cord infarction, and thrombophilia, but notably did not include a TM I.J.'s diagnosis. Id. at 7. Dr. Foo, a neurologist, mentioned Mr. recent vaccinations, and he indicated that vaccination records should be obtained for further consideration. Id. at 8, 12. But he also observed the overall conflict in the medical record between possible diagnoses, noting as follows: The differential diagnosis is between spinal cord infarct and transverse myelitis. The age of the patient, the repeat occurrence, and the holocord involvement, and the cervical location favor transverse myelitis. Spinal cord infarction is suggested by the evidence of restricted diffusion in portions of the lesion, the focal gray matter T2-bright lesions noted on the current examination as well as on the prior examination, and the focal gray matter enhancement in portions of lesions. Id. at 10. C. Follow-up Treatment I.J. For the next several months, Mr. participated in intensive inpatient rehabilitation. See generally Ex. 6, filed Nov. 30, 2016 (ECF No. 17-1); Ex. 11, filed on Feb. 23, 2017 (ECF No. I.J. 22-1). Mr. was later transferred to Brandywine Nursing Home where he received I.J. rehabilitation therapy for approximately six months. Ex. 11 at 3–4. On August 22, 2014, Mr. was again transferred—this time to Lindenwood Nursing facilities for continued nursing and rehabilitative care. See Ex. 6. His diagnosis at the time of admission was described as “spinal cord infarction vs. transverse myelitis, paraplegia, thrombophilia….” Id. at 380. After seven months at Lindenwood, he was discharged home on March 20, 2015. Id. at 380–82. At the time of his 7 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 8 of 44 I.J.'s discharge, Mr. diagnosis was characterized as an “unspecified spinal cord disease.” Id. at 380.There are no records documenting medical or rehabilitative services since March 2015. II. Witness Testimony I.J. A. I.J. Mr. submitted an affidavit and provided testimony at the entitlement hearing. Petitioner’s affidavit, filed as Ex. 4 on July 25, 2016 (ECF No. 6-1) (“Affidavit”); Tr. at 7–40. Mr. I.J. first described his past medical history as healthy with no significant problems—having only experienced gall stones in 2006 or 2007 and an ACL tear in his left knee that required arthroscopic surgery in early 2013. Affidavit at 1–2; Tr. at 11–12. I.J. Mr. explained that in 2013, he was offered a job as a patient advocate at NYU Medical Center, and was required to receive the Tdap vaccine as a condition of his employment. Affidavit at 2; Tr. at 13. He received the Tdap vaccine on July 22, 2013. Affidavit at 2; Tr. at 13. I.J. Approximately two weeks later, Mr. was boarding a bus when he reached into his back, right pants pocket to retrieve his bus pass and felt a sharp, burning pain that ran from the back of his neck to his right shoulder and arm. Affidavit at 2; Tr. at 14. The pain and burning sensation progressed and spread to his left shoulder and arm and down his leg, and he began to experience a tingling sensation and weakness in his limbs. Affidavit at 2; Tr. at 14–16. He reported that at one point, while walking to the hospital, he collapsed to one knee and struggled to get up. Affidavit at I.J. 3; Tr. at 17. When Mr. arrived at NYU Medical Center, he was admitted to the emergency department where he continued to experience progressive weakness, numbness, and a needle-like pain sensation that was predominantly focused in his back and extending into his left arm. Tr. at 20–21. He also experienced urinary retention that required catheterization. Id. at 29–30. I.J. Shortly after his emergency department admission, Mr. underwent an MRI scan. Tr. I.J. at 24. Prior to his scan, Mr. recalled being fully mobile. Id. Immediately following his MRI I.J. scan, however, Mr. lost all mobility from the neck down. Id. at 25–27. He also exhibited urinary retention, for which he required catheterization, as well as difficulty regulating his body I.J. temperature. Id. at 28–30. Following treatment with IVIG and plasmapheresis, Mr. regained some mobility in his arms. Id. at 28. I.J. Mr. then described his extended rehabilitation at Rusk Rehabilitation. Tr. at 31. He was eventually able to push back with his arms and support his own bodyweight with his arms. Id. He was then transferred to Brandywine Nursing Home for additional therapy. Affidavit at 3; Tr. at 32. He emphasized that this facility was located two hours away from his home, which made it I.J. difficult for his family to visit him regularly. Tr. at 32. Mr. described his time at Brandywine I.J. as lonely and emotionally difficult. Id. After approximately six months, Mr. was again transferred—this time to Lindenwood Nursing Facility. Affidavit at 3–4; Tr. at 33. He was eventually discharged home, but he continues with physical therapy at Rusk Rehabilitation and a 8 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 9 of 44 community access program. Tr. at 35–37. He has recovered some strength in his legs and mobility in his upper extremities, but he does not have the dexterity he possessed prior to the onset of his injury. Id. at 35–36. B. Petitioner’s Experts 1. Dr. Scott Zamvil, M.D., Ph.D. Dr. Zamvil, a neuroimmunologist, provided testimony at the hearing and offered a single expert report. Tr. at 41–160; Report, filed as Ex. 16 on Sept. 11, 2017 (ECF No. 31-1) (“Zamvil Rep.”). Dr. Zamvil opined that the Tdap vaccine can cause TM and did so in Petitioner’s case. Dr. Zamvil received his bachelor’s degree in chemistry from Claremont Men’s College. Dr. Zamvil Curriculum Vitae, filed as Ex. 17 on Sept. 11, 2017 (ECF No. 35-1) (“Zamvil CV”) at 1. He then obtained a Ph.D. in medical microbiology along with a medical degree from Stanford Medical School. Id. Dr. Zamvil completed an internship in internal medicine at Pacific Presbyterian Medical Center before completing residencies in internal medicine and neurology at Stanford University Medical Center and Brigham and Women’s Hospital respectively. Id. He is board certified in neurology. Id. Dr. Zamvil has served as a professor of both neurology and immunology at Harvard Medical School and the University of California, San Francisco, and he has published numerous journal articles on these subjects. Id. at 1, 14–21. Some of Dr. Zamvil’s research has specifically considered T cell recognition of autoantigens on myelin and central nervous system demyelination. Tr. at 43–44. He does not, however, have expertise in vascular medicine or neuroradiology. Id. at 108. Dr. Zamvil has clinical duties at the Multiple Sclerosis clinic at the University of California, and he often sees patients suffering from demyelinating conditions, including multiple sclerosis (“MS”) and NMO, but he has only recently started seeing patients with TM when they are concurrently experiencing NMO. Tr. at 42, 48, 107. He explained, however, that TM overlaps with other demyelinating conditions with which he is more familiar. Id. at 42, 45, 106. Though he was not able to personally evaluate I.J. Mr. Dr. Zamvil relied on the submitted medical records—including the treating physician opinions and diagnostic test results contained therein. Tr. at 50. He did not, however, review either the MRI studies or angiogram in forming his opinion, and instead deferred to Petitioner’s neuroradiology expert, Dr. Watanabe, for her interpretation of those studies. Id. at 109–10. Based on the medical record and the reports contained therein, Dr. Zamvil concluded that I.J. Mr. more likely than not experienced TM. Tr. at 51, 90, 110. He supported this conclusion I.J.'s by noting that the initial onset of Mr. condition—which progressively worsened over the course of six to eight hours—was “stuttering” rather than an acute onset with near immediate maximal deficit. Tr. at 52. This, Dr. Zamvil opined, was consistent with the diagnostic criteria for TM set forth by the Transverse Myelitis Consortium Working Group. Id. at 60; Working Group, at 500. 9 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 10 of 44 Dr. Zamvil began his testimony with a discussion focused on the diagnostic criteria and pathophysiology of TM, in light of the TM Working Group criteria. Tr. at 49–50, 76–84; Working Group at 500. He described TM as an inflammatory autoimmune response within the spinal cord. Tr. at 44–45. TM may follow an infectious disease process and its pathogenesis is likely the result of specific autoantigens. Id. at 44–45, 123–24. In this vein, Dr. Zamvil acknowledged that TM is diagnostically distinct from other demyelinating conditions such as ADEM. Id. at 116. Dr. Zamvil next addressed the first inclusionary criterion outlined by the Working Group paper: the development of sensory, motor, and autonomic dysfunction. Tr. at 51, 76–78 (referencing Working Group at 500). Dr. Zamvil concluded that Mr. I.J. satisfied this criterion because the weakness and paralysis he experienced was an obvious example of motor dysfunction. Tr. at 77. Petitioner also had documented spinothalamic11 sensory dysfunction and autonomic dysfunction resulting in urinary retention. Id. at 77–78. The second criterion—bilateral signs and/or symptoms—was also satisfied in Dr. Zamvil’s I.J. estimation, because Mr. exhibited sensory and motor dysfunction bilaterally. Tr. at 78. Dr. I.J.'s Zamvil did acknowledge that these symptoms were worse on Mr. right side than on his left, but noted that this diagnostic criterion did not require precisely symmetrical presentation, just bilateral. Id.; Working Group at 500. The third criterion discussed was that of a defined sensory level. Id. at 78–80. Based on the record alone, Dr. Zamvil was unable to conclude whether Mr. I.J.'s clinical presentation satisfied this criterion. Id. at 79–80. Some evidence, such as the loss of sensory perception below the level of T4, favored it, but evidence like the loss of motor function in Petitioner’s arms (a level greater than T4), did not. Id. at 79. Thus, Dr. Zamvil admitted that additional information was required to determine if this diagnostic criterion had been established. Id. at 79–80. But he expressed more confidence that the criterion requiring “the exclusion of extra- axial compressive etiology by neuroimaging” was satisfied, since the MRI imaging in this case did not reveal evidence of a compressive etiology such as spinal stenosis or blood. Id. at 80; Working Group at 500. Next, Dr. Zamvil addressed the criterion requiring evidence of inflammation, as established by pleocytosis12 or elevated IgG index or Gadolinium enhancement. Tr. at 80–82. Mr. I.J.'s cerebrospinal fluid (“CSF”) analysis, Dr. Zamvil admitted, was negative for pleocytosis—yet in his opinion this was an insufficient reason to rule out a TM diagnosis. Id. at 68, 81. According to Dr. Zamvil, only fifty-seven percent of patients experiencing TM will exhibit pleocytosis, meaning nearly half do not. Id. at 67, 82; P. Barreras et al., Clinical Biomarkers Differentiate Myelitis from 11 The term “spinothalamic” refers to the region extending between the spinal cord and the thalamus. Spinothalamic, Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=46603&searchterm=spinothalamic (last visited Nov. 23, 2020). 12 Pleocytosis describes an elevated white blood cell count in the cerebrospinal fluid. Pleocytosis, Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=39556&searchterm=pleocytosis (last visited Nov. 23, 2020). 10 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 11 of 44 Vascular and Other Causes of Myelopathy, 90 Neurology 12, 17 (2018), filed as Ex. 86 on Oct. I.J. 21, 2019 (ECF No. 98-1) (“Barreras”). Dr. Zamvil also agreed that Mr. did not demonstrate an elevate IgG index or Gadolinium enhancement on his initial August 8, 2013 MRI. Tr. at 81. However, given such a presentation, the TM Working Group diagnostic criteria recommends the performance of repeat MRI and lumbar punctures, between two to seven days following onset. Working Group at 500. In this case, the repeat MRI performed on August 17, 2013 did reveal enhancement consistent with TM, but a repeat CSF study was not performed (based on the filed medical record). Tr. at 69–70. Thus, Dr. Zamvil allowed that this criterion was not technically satisfied—though he speculated that pleocytosis would have been evident in subsequent CSF studies had they been performed. Id. at 69–70, 80–82. I.J. The last inclusionary criterion to be addressed was the timeframe in which Mr. experienced progression to nadir. Tr. at 59–60, 64–66, 82–83. This factor, according to Dr. Zamvil, is the most important in differentiating between myelitis and vascular etiologies. Id. at 58 (citing Barreras at 12). The TM Working Group criteria indicates that a patient with TM would be expected to reach nadir no sooner than four hours after the initial onset of symptoms. Working I.J.'s Group at 500. Mr. symptoms progressed over the course of six hours, and Dr. Zamvil concluded that he did not reach nadir until somewhere between eight to nine hours after the onset of his symptoms. Tr. at 60. Thus, this time course was sufficient to meet the last inclusionary criterion. Id. at 82–83. Dr. Zamvil next discussed the exclusionary criteria set forth in the TM Working Group paper—those factors that, if present, argue against a TM diagnosis. Tr. at 83–84. He easily I.J. concluded that Mr. did not satisfy most of the exclusionary criteria, but he ultimately deferred to Dr. Watanabe, an expert in neuroradiology, regarding the second exclusionary criterion—clear arterial distribution clinical deficit consistent with thrombosis of the anterior spinal artery. Id. at 83–84. Based on his own preliminary review, however, he did not find evidence of embolism or thrombosis despite the “standard” workup that was performed. Id. at 90. Besides vouching for TM as the proper diagnosis, Dr. Zamvil expressed the opinion that the spinal cord infarction diagnosis included in the differential did not accurately characterize the I.J. constellation of symptoms Mr. experienced. Tr. at 55–57. Because a spinal cord infarction was a suspected cause of Mr. I.J.'s condition, he underwent a “bubble study.”13 Id. at 55. The I.J. results of that study showed that Mr. did not suffer from a right-to-left shunt—strong evidence contradicting the conclusion that Petitioner’s injuries were vascular in nature. Id. at 56– I.J. 57. Additionally, the prolonged, “stuttering” onset Mr. experienced was more consistent I.J. with TM than spinal cord infarction. Id. at 60. Mr. did not reach nadir until at least six hours after the initial onset of his first symptom. Id. at 57. This, according to Dr. Zamvil, would be highly 13 A “bubble study” or a contrast echocardiography is performed most commonly to evaluate heart wall motion (a measure of heart wall function) and to detect valvular disease, evaluate the heart during stress testing, and identify and quantify pericardial fluid. Mosby’s at 820. 11 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 12 of 44 unusual for a spinal cord infarction, which more commonly presents in an “apoplectic” manner, with patients reaching nadir within minutes of onset. Id. at 59–60, 64–66; Barreras at 12, 16 (finding that nearly ninety percent of study participants experiencing spinal cord infarction reached nadir in less than six hours while only four percent of participants experiencing spinal cord inflammation reached nadir within the same timeframe); Working Group at 500 (noting progression to nadir between four hours and twenty-one days following onset of symptoms is an inclusionary criterion for the diagnosis of TM). He acknowledged, however, that members of the I.J. stroke team who evaluated Mr. did characterize the onset of his symptoms as “apoplectic,” and although he disagreed with this reading of the record, he acknowledged that he lacked expertise in vascular medicine. Tr. at 141–42. Dr. Zamvil further supported his opinion by distinguishing the effects TM has on dorsal14 spinal column function versus the impact of an anterior spinal artery infarction. Tr. at 71–72, 87– 88. As he explained, infarction in the anterior15 spinal artery (located on the front facing portion of the spinal cord) will in turn impact the anterior and lateral portions of the cord itself, thereby affecting motor function and spinothalamic perceptions while preserving dorsal column function. Id. at 72. As a result, a patient experiencing an anterior spinal artery infarction would exhibit problems with motor function, temperature, pain, and gross touch sensations, but would not experience any changes to dorsal column functions such as proprioception, vibratory sense, and fine touch perception. Id. Dr. Zamvil admitted that he could not definitively conclude whether Mr. I.J. retained dorsal column function because the clinical testing for these functions was either not performed or was done but not recorded. Id. at 72–73, 88. Instead, Dr. Zamvil relied on MRI findings indicating posterior cord involvement to exclude a spinal cord infarction diagnosis. Id. at 86. I.J. Similarly, Dr. Zamvil acknowledged that Mr. was diagnosed with a “longitudinally extensive myelopathy”—a condition that he agreed is more often the result of a vascular myopathy (such as ischemic stroke) than inflammatory myopathies. Tr. at 148–49 (citing Barreras at 15). Further still, Barreras found that twenty percent of study participants were initially misdiagnosed with TM and were later found to have vascular abnormalities. Tr. at 145–46; Barreras at 15. Dr. Zamvil did, however, stress that other record evidence generally supported TM as the more likely diagnosis. MRI results were consistent with TM, and treating physicians overall I.J. seemed to embrace the TM diagnosis. Tr. at 53–54. Additionally, Mr. experienced some improvement following treatment with Solumedrol, IVIG, and plasmapheresis—common 14 The term “dorsal” refers to the back of or a position that is more towards the back surface than some other object of reference. Dorsal, Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=14794&searchterm=dorsal (last visited Nov. 23, 2020). 15 The term “anterior” refers to the front of or more forward position of an organ. Anterior, Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=3163&searchterm=anterior (last visited on Nov. 23, 2020). 12 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 13 of 44 treatments for neuroinflammatory conditions16—though Dr. Zamvil was unable to discern the extent of that improvement. Tr. at 54. Dr. Zamvil also emphasized that in acute TM, both gray and white matter may be involved, and thus the involvement of gray matter does not preclude a TM diagnosis, further reducing the significance of MRI findings suggesting lesion involvement as encompassing both. Id. at 74. Dr. Zamvil next opined on the issue of causation. He testified to two potential mechanisms by which the Tdap vaccine could theoretically cause TM: molecular mimicry and innate immune activation through adjuvant activity. Tr. at 92, 101; Zamvil Rep. at 9–12. Dr. Zamvil explained that while not all vaccines can cause TM, vaccines containing the tetanus toxoid, such as Tdap, contain protein sequences that share structural homology with those of myelin-targeting autoantigens, and have been the subject of epidemiological studies seeking to identify relationships between vaccination and neurological conditions. Tr. at 92, 112–13 (citing R. Baxter et al., Acute Demyelinating Events Following Vaccines: A Case Centered Analysis, 63 Clinical Infectious Diseases 1456, 1456 (2016), filed as Ex. 16 Ref. 12 on Sept. 11, 2017 (ECF No. 32-3) (“Baxter”)); Zamvil Rep. at 9. In the presence of sufficient homology, T cells and antibodies may (due to similarity between vaccine components and myelin proteins) engage in cross-reactivity against central nervous system myelin. Tr. at 92; Zamvil Rep. at 11. To ascertain if such homology existed, Dr. Zamvil conducted his own BLAST search17 in which he reviewed the National Institutes of Health’s protein sequence database, comparing protein sequences contained within the Tdap vaccine with those commonly found in human myelin. Tr. at 92; Zamvil Rep. at 10–11. He found that there was significant sequential homology between these sequences, supporting the possibility of molecular mimicry as the pathogenic impetus. Zamvil Rep. at 11. However, though he described how molecular mimicry can lead to the development of other conditions such as experimental 16 Solumedrol is an anti-inflammatory synthetic glucocorticoid. Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=89219 (last visited Dec. 14, 2020). Plasmapheresis is a procedure in which plasma is removed from blood and is then transfused back into the body with added donor components such as frozen plasma or albumin. Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=39455&searchterm=plasmapheresis (last visited Dec. 14, 2020). IVIG therapy is used to treat immune system disorders. During an IVIG treatment, immunoglobulin (a combination of antibody proteins) is injected into the body to help the immune system fight off infections. See Primary Immunodeficiency: Treatment, Mayo Clinic, https://wwwmayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/primary- immunodeficiency/diagnosis-treatment/drc-20376910 (last visited Dec. 14, 2020). 17 Basic Local Alignment Search Tool (“BLAST”) is a medical/scientific internet resource that assists researchers in finding regions of similarity between biological sequences of amino acids. The program compares nucleotide or protein sequences to sequence databases and calculates the statistical significance. BLAST, U.S. National Library of Medicine, https://blastncbinlmnih.gov/Blast.cgi (last visited Nov. 19, 2020). Research undertaken to identify such homology has been previously described as an “in silica” study—meaning that the research is conducted via a desktop or personal computer, and access to scientific databases, to identify the comparable amino acid sequences that is referenced to establish homology. See, e.g., Blackburn v. Sec. of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 10-410V, 2015 WL 425935, at *10 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 9, 2015). This kind of research is clearly case-oriented, and is not equivalent to lab or clinical research that an expert might perform and/or rely upon for an opinion. 13 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 14 of 44 autoimmune encephalomyelitis and narcolepsy, Dr. Zamvil admitted that he could not identify any studies concluding that Tdap can cause TM via this proposed mechanism. Tr. at 97, 136–37, 139, 152. To further bulwark his proposed causal theory, Dr. Zamvil offered a study in which the incidence of TM and ADEM (a different neurologic disease with a likely autoimmune etiology or mechanism) following vaccination was studied. Tr. at 113–16; Zamvil Rep. at 7 (citing Baxter at 1456). Baxter found that after nearly 64 million vaccine doses, only seven cases of TM and eight cases of ADEM were reported within 5 to 28 days post-vaccination. Baxter at 1456. While a relationship between vaccination and the development of TM could not be established, Baxter concluded that there was a statistically significant association between the Tdap vaccine and the subsequent development of ADEM. Id. at 1460. Dr. Zamvil opined that the causal relationship between Tdap and ADEM would be parallel to the expected relationship between Tdap and TM— Baxter’s express finding pertaining to TM to the contrary. Tr. at 116. Dr. Zamvil also relied on a series of case reports documenting instances of TM following vaccination. Tr. at 119–121; Zamvil Rep. at 7 (citing N. Agmon-Levin et al., Transverse Myelitis and Vaccines: A Multi-Analysis, 18 Lupus 1198, 1198–1204 (2009), filed as Ex. 16 Ref. 9 on Sept. 11, 2017 (ECF No. 31-10) (“Agmon-Levin”)). Agmon-Levin highlighted forty-three case reports of TM following vaccination. Agmon-Levin at 1199. Of these, only four involved TM after receiving either the diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis vaccine or the diphtheria-tetanus vaccine. Id. Agmon-Levin also found that seventy-three percent of TM cases were reported within one month I.J. of vaccination, consistent with the timeframe Ms. experienced. Id. Another case report cited by Dr. Zamvil documented acute transverse myelitis in a seven- month-old child following receipt of the DTaP vaccine (a slightly different formulation of the same vaccine that is administered to children). R.M.S. Riel-Romero, Acute Transverse Myelitis in a 7- Month-Old Boy After Diphtheria-Tetanus-Pertussis Immunization, 44 Spinal Cord 688, 688–91 (2006), filed as Ex. 16 Ref. 11 on Sept. 11, 2017 (ECF No. 32-2) (“Riel-Romero”). Though the treating physicians discussed in Riel-Romero noted several documented instances of TM following receipt of the Tdap or other diphtheria-tetanus containing vaccine, they found that the temporal association was not sufficient to establish a causal association and noted the possibility of mere coincidence. Riel-Romero at 690. In relying on case reports generally, Dr. Zamvil acknowledged the inherent limitations of such evidence, accepting that they could at bottom only show a temporal relationship between vaccination and injury rather than provide scientifically-reliable causal proof. Tr. at 120. I.J. Regarding the timeframe in which Mr. experienced the onset of his condition, Dr. Zamvil opined that an autoimmune reaction would be expected to occur two to three weeks I.J.'s following vaccination. Tr. at 98–100. Mr. symptoms began seventeen days after receipt of I.J.'s the Tdap vaccine. Id. at 98. Thus, Dr. Zamvil concluded that the onset of Mr. condition was consistent with an autoimmune reaction to his Tdap vaccination. Id. 14 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 15 of 44 Dr. Zamvil also testified to the role adjuvants, such as alum, have in promoting pro- inflammatory responses. Tr. at 101. He explained that such a pro-inflammatory response may exacerbate autoimmune responses already initiated through cross-reactivity. Id.; S. Eisenbarth, Crucial Role for the Nalp3 Inflammasome in the Immunostimulatory Properties of Aluminum Adjuvants, 453 Nature 1122, 1122–25 (2008), filed as Ex. 16 Ref. 29 on Sept. 11, 2017 (ECF No. 33-10) (“Eisenbarth”). This theory proposes that the alum adjuvant stimulates proinflammatory cytokine production via the Nalp3 innate immune response system. Eisenbarth at 1122. The proinflammatory cytokines such as interleukin-1β and interleukin-18 that are produced are associated with various aspects of adaptive immunity and antibody production. Id. at 1125. I.J.'s Lastly, Dr. Zamvil addressed whether the onset of Mr. symptoms seventeen days I.J. post-vaccination was medically appropriate. He explained that the Tdap vaccine Mr. received was a booster, and thus would have initiated a faster, amnestic response. Tr. at 98–100. Thus, cellular and immune responses within one or two weeks would be expected. Id. He did not, I.J.'s however, reconcile this proposed timeline (7-14 days) with Mr. onset seventeen days post- vaccination.18 2. Dr. Alyssa Watanabe Dr. Watanabe, a neuroradiologist, provided testimony at the hearing and offered three expert reports. Tr. at 161–225; Report, filed as Ex. 21 on Jan. 4, 2019 (ECF No. 52-1) (“Watanabe Rep.”); Supplemental Report, filed as Ex. 63 on Oct. 10, 2019 (ECF No. 85-1) (“Watanabe Supp. Rep.”); Supplemental Report, filed as Ex. 89 on April 24, 2020 (ECF No. 111-1) (“Third Watanabe I.J. Rep.”). Dr. Watanabe opined that Mr. more likely than not suffered from TM as a result of his Tdap vaccination. Watanabe Rep. at 22. Dr. Watanabe received her bachelor’s degree (biological sciences) from Stanford University before receiving her medical degree from the University of California, San Francisco. Curriculum Vitae of Dr. Watanabe, filed as Ex. 27 on Jan. 8, 2019 (ECF No. 53-1) (“Watanabe CV”). She completed an internship in internal medicine at Huntington Memorial Hospital before completing her residency in diagnostic radiology at the University of California, Los Angeles. Id. at 1. Dr. Watanabe then completed several fellowships in neuroradiology and interventional neuroradiology at the University of Washington and the University of Southern California, though she elected to withdraw from her final fellowship in order to pursue a position in private practice. Id.; Tr. at 203. She is board certified in radiology and has additional certifications in neuroradiology. Watanabe CV at 1. Dr. Watanabe has held several positions as an instructor and clinician in the fields of radiology and neuro imaging, although her most recent educational and clinical activity at the University of Southern California has been in a volunteer capacity. Id. at 2; 18 In his report, Dr. Zamvil again relied on a comparison to ADEM (a neurological condition that he agrees is diagnostically distinguishable from TM), noting that it can occur within the proposed seventeen-day timeframe proposed by Petitioner. Zamvil Rep. at 13. 15 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 16 of 44 Tr. at 200–02.19 She has also published numerous articles regarding radiology. Watanabe CV at 4–11. Dr. Watanabe began by discussing angiography and the results of the August 8, 2013 I.J. angiogram Mr. underwent during his initial hospitalization. Tr. at 171. As she explained, the process of angiography includes rapidly injecting contrast dye during a CT scan in order to visualize the patient’s arteries. Id. Though some of the literature offered by Petitioner questioned the efficacy and reliability of angiography in diagnosing ischemic events such as infarction, Dr. Watanabe opined that such tools could still be helpful when the clinical picture is unclear. Id. at 216–18; M. Vargas et al., Spinal Cord Ischemia: Practical Imaging Tips, Pearls, and Pitfalls, 36 I.J. Am. J. Neuroradiology 825, 828 (2015), filed as Ex. 24 on Jan. 4, 2019 (ECF No. 52-4). Mr. underwent a CT angiogram on August 8, 2013, and according to Dr. Watanabe, its results did not reveal any vascular abnormalities. Tr. at 171–72; Watanabe Rep.at 6–7. These findings thus eliminated some of the most common etiologies of spinal cord infarction from consideration. Tr. at 171–72. Dr. Watanabe next addressed the MRI imaging results that were obtained throughout the I.J.'s three-week period of Mr. hospitalization. Tr. at 173. The first MRI image to be addressed was obtained on August 8, 2013. Id.; Watanabe Rep. at 7–8; Ex. 8D, filed Jan. 4, 2019 (ECF No. 50-4). In Dr. Watanabe’s view, it revealed “a very long segment of abnormal signal enhancement throughout his cervical and going down into the thoracic cord,” which was initially interpreted to be compatible with a diagnosis of TM. Id. at 173. Dr. Watanabe agreed with this interpretation, though she acknowledged that these results were also compatible with other disease processes such as stroke and polio. Id. at 173, 175. She also agreed that there was no evidence of enhancement in this initial MRI (which would have suggested the presence of an active inflammatory process). Id. at 209, 218. She later noted, however, that up to forty percent of patients experiencing TM will have no MRI findings with initial enhancement, diminishing the significance of its absence. Id. at 211; Watanabe Supp. Rep. at 2 (citing G. Scotti & S. Gerevini, Diagnosis and Differential Diagnosis of Acute Transverse Myelopathy. The Role of Neuroradiological Investigations and Review of the Literature, 22 Neurological Sci. Supp. 69, 69–73 (2001), filed as Ex. 64 on Oct. 10, 2019 (ECF No. 85-2). The second MRI images reviewed by Dr. Watanabe were obtained on August 17, 2013. Id. at 177; Ex. 9B, filed Jan. 4, 2019 (ECF No. 50-7). These follow-up images revealed Gadolinium enhancement—consistent with an inflammatory process and a breakdown of the blood-brain- 19 Dr. Watanabe’s credibility was somewhat diminished during cross examination, when she revealed that she is not a listed faculty member on the University of Southern California Medical School’s website despite identifying herself as a USC “Clinical Instructor” on her CV. Tr. at 201; Watanabe CV at 2. She also admitted that the work she does there is done primarily on a “volunteer” basis—a detail that was not included in either her CV or her direct testimony. Tr. at 201; Watanabe CV at 2. While these admissions somewhat undermined the probative value of Dr. Watanabe’s testimony, I do not find that they established a firm basis for questioning the honesty or accuracy of her testimony or opinions, which (except for the points she attempted to make about causation) largely stemmed from her professional radiologic expertise. 16 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 17 of 44 barrier—that had not been present in the initial August 8th MRI. Tr. at 177–78, 193. Dr. Watanabe explained this absence from the initial MRI study as the likely result of the MRI being conducted so close in time to the onset of the disease process. Id. at 178. She also noted that the abnormal signal was limited to the posterior portion of the spinal cord—opposite from the location of the anterior spinal artery.20 Id. at 178–79. In her view, an anterior spinal artery infarction would not affect the posterior segment of the spinal cord. Id. In addition, TM often features signal abnormalities distributed throughout both the anterior and posterior segments of the cord, in a pattern of two round bright spots known as “owl eyes” or “snake eyes,” though similar features may be present after a spinal cord infarction. Id. at 179–80, 194–95. This abnormality establishes damage to the anterior horn cells. Id. at 194. In 2016, three years after the initial onset of his I.J.'s symptoms, follow-up MRI imaging continued to reveal this pattern of damage in Mr. spinal cord, further supporting TM over infarction. Id.; Ex. J, filed Sept. 17, 2019 (ECF No. 78-1). The MRI imaging studies overall also revealed holocord involvement and mild diffusion restriction. Tr. at 182–84, 190; Ex. 9F at 2. As Dr. Watanabe explained, holocord involvement means that both the gray and white matter of the spinal cord are affected. Tr. at 182–83. She opined that this pattern of involvement is typical of TM. Id. at 181, 183–84. She also explained that diffusion restriction is a process in which the diffusion of water between cell membranes of tissue in the body becomes impaired. Id. at 190. Although diffusion restriction is associated with TM, it can also be seen in other conditions such as tumors, and abscesses, and she further explained that it is “one of the most distinctive findings that one would expect for a stroke.” Id. at 190, 219; Y. Kim et al., The Role of Diffusion-Weighted MRI in Differentiation of Ideopathic Acute Transverse Myelitis and Acute Spinal Cord Infarction, 65 J. Kor. Soc’y Radiology 101, 101–08 (2011), filed as Ex. 25 on Jan. 4, 2019 (ECF No. 52-5). Because mild restriction diffusion was noted in Petitioner’s August 17th MRI, a spinal angiogram was ordered and was performed on August 21, 2013. Tr. at 184, 189. That angiogram, Dr. Watanabe concluded, provided no evidence of vessel cutoff,21 with the anterior spinal artery appearing to her to be intact. Id. at 185. Though she acknowledged treater documentation of a “cutoff,” Dr. Watanabe attributed this misinterpretation to how the results of the angiogram were communicated by the treating radiologist. Id. at 224. Thus, notes regarding a cutoff do not support a diagnosis of spinal cord infarction, but they likely mislead treaters to that conclusion. Id. at 189. Dr. Watanabe also noted that there was no evidence of a blood clot at the time the angiogram was performed, but she acknowledged the possibility that a previously existing clot 20 Dr. Watanabe acknowledged, however, that dorsal column involvement was not documented by any of Mr. I.J.'s treating physicians, but she nonetheless maintained that her review of the MRI images revealed posterior cord involvement. Id. at 222–23. 21 Dr. Watanabe used the term “cutoff” to describe an occlusion within the anterior spinal artery—something that she did not see in Mr. I.J.'s spinal angiogram. Tr. at 186–87. If an occlusion is present, the dye that is injected into the artery will abruptly stop, or “cutoff,” within the vessel. Id. at 187. 17 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 18 of 44 (that could have precipitated Petitioner’s symptoms) had dissolved. Tr. at 188. The absence of a clear cutoff or blood clot within the anterior spinal artery was further proof to Dr. Watanabe that a spinal cord infarction was an unlikely explanation for the radiological findings. Id. She did observe a narrowing of the anterior spinal artery in the angiogram, but attributed it to inflammation of the cord. Id. at 192. This opinion was supported by evidence of patchy enhancement—a finding consistent with inflammation—on the August 17th MRI. Id. at 193. Based predominantly on the August 17th MRI imaging, Dr. Watanabe concluded that Mr. I.J. more likely than not experienced TM rather than a spinal cord infarction. Tr. at 197. Her overall impression was that the subsequent imaging did not evidence an embolism or thrombotic event. Id. She admitted, however that the Working Group diagnostic criteria requires that all inclusionary criteria are met while all exclusionary criteria are eliminated before a TM diagnosis can be accepted. Id. at 208 (citing Working Group at 500). She similarly acknowledged that Mr. I.J. did not strictly meet these criteria, given the absence of pleocytosis and the lack of enhancement on his initial MRI—though she argued that the MRI performed nine22 days after the onset of his symptoms did show evidence of the required enhancement. Tr. at 209–10. To I.J.'s substantiate her position in light of these criteria (and Mr. clinical picture), Dr. Watanabe opined that clinical judgment is not bound by rigid restrictions set forth on paper. Tr. at 210. This argument was undercut by the medical record itself, however, because treating physicians did not I.J. unequivocally conclude that Mr. suffered from TM. See, e.g., Ex. 2 at 7 (listing discharge diagnoses as tetraplegia, spinal cord infarction, and thrombophilia). On rebuttal, Dr. Watanabe explained her process for reviewing MRI images, including a description of the computer program and monitors that allowed her to review the images obtained I.J.'s during Mr. initial hospitalization. Tr. at 390–91. Utilizing such technology, Dr. Watanabe observed that the majority of slides showed posterior cord involvement—contrary to the contentions of Respondent’s expert. Id. at 316–18, 391–92. She again reiterated that posterior cord involvement is not consistent with the “well defined geographic distribution” seen in anterior spinal artery infarcts. Id. at 393. Dr. Watanabe also noted that the initial MRI performed on Mr. I.J. on August 8, 2013 (approximately eight hours after onset) was conducted with diffusion- weighted imaging (“DWI”)23, though she acknowledged that this was unusual, and she was unable to explain why DWI had been performed. Id. at 394, 396. According to Dr. Watanabe, that August 8th study did not show diffusion restriction—a characteristic that both she and Respondent’s expert I.J. agreed would have been present if Mr. had in fact suffered a spinal cord infarction. Id. at 22 Dr. Watanabe did concede that the Working Group diagnostic criteria require that repeat imaging studies, such as an MRI, be repeated 2-7 days following onset, and that Mr. I.J.'s second MRI was performed outside of this recommended timeframe. Tr. at 210. 23 The DWI technique uses water movement within the body to create a diagnostic image. See M. Thurnher & R. Bammer, Diffusion-Weighted MR Imaging (DWI) in Spinal Cord Ischemia, 48 Neuroradiology 795, 799 (2006), filed as Ex. 70 on Oct. 10, 2019 (ECF No. 86-4). 18 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 19 of 44 I.J. 394–96. These observations bulwarked Dr. Watanabe’s opinion that Mr. more likely than not had experienced TM rather than a spinal cord infarction. Dr. Watanabe’s reports and testimony also touched in part on whether the Tdap vaccine can cause TM, and she offered some additional case reports to support the contention. See, e.g., Tr. at 214–15, 221 (citing N. Gregg et al., Tdap Vaccination and Acute Demyelinating Events, 88 Neurology 1, 1–6 (2017), filed as Ex. 66 on Oct. 10, 2019 (ECF No. 85-4) (“Gregg”)). However, such opinions greatly exceeded her professional expertise or knowledge, and since Dr. Zamvil was by contrast well qualified to offer testimony and opinions on these matters, I have not given the opinions she offered on this aspect of Petitioner’s case much, if any, weight. 3. Dr. Mark Levin Dr. Levin, a hematologist, provided testimony and submitted a single expert report. Tr. at 231–90; Report, filed as Ex. 39 on Aug. 22, 2019 (ECF No. 68-1) (“Levin Rep.”). Following a review of the medical record and the reports filed by Drs. Zamvil, Watanabe, and Alexander, Dr. I.J.'s Levin concluded that Mr. overall hematologic condition was insufficient to support a diagnosis of spinal cord infarction. Levin Rep. at 5; Tr. at 236. Dr. Levin received his bachelor’s degree from Yeshiva University, followed by a medical degree from SUNY – Downstate Medical College. Dr. Levin Curriculum Vitae, filed as Ex. 62 on Sept. 26, 2019 (ECF No. 81-1) (“Levin CV”). He subsequently obtained his master’s in business administration from Herriott-Watt University in Scotland. Id. at 1. After obtaining his medical degree, Dr. Levin completed his internship and residency in internal medicine at New York Downtown Hospital and Hahnemann University Medical Center. Id. He also completed post- doctoral training in hematology and oncology at the Long Island Jewish Hillside Hospital Medical Center. Id. Dr. Levin is board certified in internal medicine and oncology. Id. While he has previously held board certification in hematology, he has not sought recertification since 2000. Id.; Tr. at 232, 258. Throughout his career, Dr. Levin has served as an associate professor of medicine at several academic institutions in addition to his role as an attending clinician. Levin CV at 2. On average, Dr. Levin sees approximately 400 patients a year, and has experience in evaluating patients for stroke, though he indicated that such evaluations only happened “on occasion.” Tr. at 234. Beyond his clinical duties, Dr. Levin has also published numerous journal articles and abstracts on topics within the fields of oncology and hematology. Levin CV at 6–11. I.J.'s The first hematologic factor addressed by Dr. Levin was Mr. family history of venous thromboembolism (“VTE”), and whether it was significant in this case for diagnostic purposes. Tr. at 237–39, 263; Levin Rep. at 2–3. Dr. Levin opined that a family history of VTE I.J. alone was an insufficient basis for concluding that Mr. had an increased prothrombotic risk. I.J.'s Tr. at 237–38; Levin Rep. at 2. He explained that genetic risk alone is quite low—Mr. records did not contain any evidence for genetic risk beyond the family history notation—and environmental factors may play a large role in the development of VTE. Tr. at 237–39; Levin Rep. 19 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 20 of 44 at 2–3 (citing F. Couturaud et al., Factors that Predict Thrombosis in Relatives of Patients with Venous Thromboembolism, 124 Blood 2124, 2129 (2014), filed as Ex. 40 on Aug. 22, 2019 (ECF No. 68-2)). In addition, Dr. Levin noted that he lacked background evidence regarding the I.J.'s circumstances and context in which Mr. relatives experienced VTE, making it impossible I.J. for him to determine whether Mr. was at an increased risk for a prothrombotic condition. I.J. Levin Rep. at 3. He also clarified that in his view Mr. did not suffer from VTE or a deep vein thrombosis (“DVT”), adding that a venous clot such as VTE or DVT is “essentially the same phenomenon” as an arterial clot such as what could be seen in an anterior spinal artery infarction. Tr. at 264–45. Dr. Levin next addressed clotting risk and its relationship to Factor VIII levels (given the I.J. findings of elevated Factor VIII levels for Mr. Tr. at 239. As he explained, Factor VIII is one of several hematologic requirements for blood clotting. Id. at 239–40. Factor VIII levels average at about 100—and if too low can result in hemophilia, or the inability to clot. Id. at 240. By contrast, when Factor VIII levels are too high, dangerous excessive clotting can occur. Id. I.J. Mr. presented with an elevated Factor VIII level of 196, consistent with the risk factors associated with greater clotting like thrombosis or infarction. Id.; Ex. 2 at 166. While treating physicians found this clinically significant, Dr. Levin attributed this elevation to Petitioner’s alleged TM (and hence consistent with the diagnosis favored in Petitioner’s overall claim). As he noted, inflammation—such as that seen within the spinal cord of a patient suffering from TM—commonly leads to a secondary increase in Factor VIII. Tr. at 240–42, 282; Levin Rep. at 4. This explanation thus relies on the assumption that spinal cord inflammation would have systemic effects, but Dr. Levin did not provide any medical literature to support this supposition, and he conceded that elevated Factor VIII levels can also occur after an infarction (and hence be evidence of a propensity for the circumstances leading to infarction). Tr. at 283–84, 288–90. The next risk factor addressed by Dr. Levin was that of obesity. Tr. at 243–44; Levin Rep. at 3. At the time of his hospital admission, Mr. I.J. had a body mass index (“BMI”)24 of 32.25 Ex. 2 at 942. Dr. Levin explained that while a BMI over 30 meets the clinical requirement for I.J. obesity, Mr. just barely met that criterion, and this (coupled with his relatively young age) would reduce the significance of this finding. Tr. at 243–44. Thus, it was Dr. Levin’s opinion that Petitioner’s at worst mild obesity did not make it any more likely that he suffered from a spinal cord infarction despite acknowledging that obesity is typically associated with an increased risk of 24 An individual’s BMI is a measure of body fat that gives an indication of nutritional status. Body Mass Index, Dorland’s Medical Dictionary Online, https://www.dorlandsonline.com/dorland/definition?id=82333 (last visited Nov. 23, 2020). 25 In his report, Dr. Zamvil noted that Mr. I.J.'s BMI at the time of admission was 31.6. Zamvil Rep. at 3. The medical record indicates, however, that Mr. I.J.'s BMI on August 8, 2013 was actually 32. Ex. 2 at 942. The distinction between the two numbers is not large enough to give it great evidentiary significance. 20 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 21 of 44 stroke. Id. at 244, 276–78. Dr. Levin also discussed the role marijuana use26 may have played in Mr. I.J.'s clinical presentation. Tr. at 244–45; Levin Rep. at 3. He acknowledged that marijuana is a risk factor for a number of cardiovascular problems, but he did not find it to be significant for an increased prothrombotic risk. Id. at 244. His review of the relevant literature revealed only one report that I.J. described two cases of marijuana-induced VTE—a condition Mr. did not suffer from. Id. at 244; D. Salhan et al., Cannabis-Induced VTE: Is it a Safe Recreational Drug?, 150 Chest Supp. 909A, 909A (2016), filed as Ex. 41 on Aug. 22, 2019 (ECF No. 68-3) (“Salhan”). Dr. Levin acknowledged, however, that Salhan cited marijuana consumption as a risk factor for ischemic stroke. Tr. at 275–76. He concluded nonetheless that marijuana consumption did not increase the I.J. likelihood that Mr. had experienced a spinal cord infarction. Id. at 244–45. Finally, Dr. Levin compared incidence rates between TM and spinal cord infarction, finding that while both conditions are relatively rare, TM is more common, occurring in 3 per 100,000 person-years,27 while primary and secondary spinal cord infarction occurs at a rate of 1.5 and 1.6 per 100,000 person-years respectively.28 Tr. at 242; Levin Rep. at 3–4; A. Qureshi et al., A Population-Based Study of the Incidence of Acute Spinal Cord Infarction, 9 J. Vascular Interventional Neurology 44, 44 (2017), filed as Ex. 43 on Aug. 22, 2019 (ECF No. 68-5); T. West et al, Acute Transverse Myelitis: Demyelinating Inflammatory, and Infectious Myelopathies, 32 Seminars Neurology 97, 97 (2012), filed as Ex. 44 on Aug. 22, 2019 (ECF No. 68-6). This, he I.J.'s seemed to suggest, further made it more likely that Mr. injury was TM (although opining on statistical/epidemiologic issues like illness risk exceeded Dr. Levin’s expert qualifications). C. Respondent’s Expert - Dr. David Alexander Dr. Alexander, a neurologist, acted as Respondent’s sole expert, providing testimony at the entitlement hearing in addition to preparing three reports. Tr. at 291–389; Report, filed as Ex. A on Feb. 28, 2018 (ECF No. 41-1) (“Alexander Rep.”); Supplemental Report, filed as Ex. N on Sept. 20, 2019 (ECF No. 79-1) (“Alexander Supp. Rep.”); Supplemental Report, filed as Ex. O on I.J. Jan. 2, 2020 (ECF No. 107-1) (“Third Alexander Rep.”). Dr. Alexander opined that Mr. 26 Medical records from Mr. I.J.'s initial admission note marijuana use in his social history. Ex. 2 at 38, 64, 79, 312. 27 The person years metric identifies the actual amount of time—in years—that an individual is at risk. See L. Alexander et al., Calculating Person-Time, ERIC Notebook – University of Chapel Hill Department of Epidemiology, https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwiSwcb1_c3tAhUlxVkKHt AhUlxVkKHWlmCsoQFj&url=https%3A%2F%2Fsph.unc.edu%2Ffiles%2F2015%2F07%2Fnciph_ERIC4.pdf&us u=AOvVaw0KRjpRECJsQZt-9DhcmkuQ (last visited Dec. 14, 2020). 28 At hearing, Dr. Levin represented that TM occurs at a rate of three percent while spinal cord infarction occurs at a rate of 0.6 percent. Tr. at 242. This statement was likely made in error. Dr. Levin’s report, however, is consistent with the literature, and accurately reflects that secondary spinal cord infarction occurred in 0.0016 percent of study participants, while TM occurred in 0.003 percent of study participants. Levin Rep. at 3–4. 21 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 22 of 44 more likely than not experienced an anterior spinal artery infarction, as opposed to TM, and that his condition was caused by factors other than the Tdap vaccine. Tr. at 299. Dr. Alexander received his bachelor’s degree (neuroscience) from Amherst College before obtaining his medical degree from the University of Minnesota Medical School. Updated Dr. Alexander Curriculum Vitae at 1, filed as Ex. Q on Jan. 2, 2020 (ECF No. 107-3) (“Alexander CV”). He then completed an internship in internal medicine at Boston University Medical Center followed by a residency in neurology at Columbia Presbyterian Medical Center’s Neurological Institute of New York. Id.; Tr. at 292. Dr. Alexander is board certified in neurology with subspecialties and certifications in vascular neurology, neurorehabilitation, and spinal cord medicine. Alexander CV at 2. He has held several academic positions at the University of California, Los Angeles Medical School’s department of neurology, and he has held the position of full-professor there since 2008. Id. at 2–3; Tr. at 292. Dr. Alexander presently serves as the medical director and vice chief of staff for the California Rehabilitation Institute—an in-patient facility that is primarily focused on neurological rehabilitation. Alexander CV at 3; Tr. at 293. Throughout his career, Dr. Alexander has treated between twenty and fifty patients with TM, but has treated thousands of patients who suffered from a stroke. Tr. at 294. In addition to his clinical and academic duties, Dr. Alexander has published several articles on subjects within the field of neurology and neurorehabilitation, though he primarily focuses on his clinical practice and academic responsibilities rather than research. Alexander CV at 11–14; Tr. at 295–96. Dr. Alexander began by reviewing relevant definitions and the TM diagnostic criteria set forth in the TM Working Group paper. Tr. at 302–05. TM describes general spinal cord inflammation, and can be secondary to other conditions such as NMO, MS, and/or Lupus. Id. at 301–02. If a pre-existing causal infection cannot be identified, then the TM is deemed idiopathic. Id. He emphasized that, overall, “it is pretty easy to be wrong about [TM],” and agreed that Barreras found that up to fifty percent of TM diagnoses are wrong, with a large number of those misdiagnosed patients actually suffered from a vascular abnormalities. Id. at 341–42 (citing Barreras at 15). Dr. Alexander largely echoed the testimony of Dr. Zamvil regarding the proper criteria for a TM diagnosis (as embraced by the TM Working Group), but differed drastically in how to understand or apply those criteria. In particular, while Dr. Zamvil advocated for their flexible application, Dr. Alexander proposed they be utilized in a more stringent manner. See Tr. at 300, 302–05, 375. He also took issue with Dr. Zamvil’s testimony regarding gray matter involvement. Id. at 304. According to Dr. Alexander, TM primarily targets white matter, and will not typically affect gray matter. Id. at 304. Next, Dr. Alexander explained the process of diagnosing spinal cord infarction (in connection with his overall contention that the record best supports that as the proper diagnosis 22 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 23 of 44 over TM). Tr. at 305–06. Spinal cord infarction—which accounts for only one percent of all strokes—is characterized by sudden onset of bilateral signs and symptoms. Id. at 305, 313. These symptoms may develop over the course of hours, but timely administration of treatment can reverse ischemic damage. Id. at 329. Dr. Alexander also focused on the extent of gray matter involvement, which he explained tends to be more extensive following a spinal cord infarction, because it is more sensitive to ischemia. Tr. at 305. Gray matter involvement in the anterior horn cell area following a spinal cord infarction may manifest as snake or owl eyes sign on MRI imaging studies. Id. at 309–10; Alexander Rep. at 8. He also disputed the efficacy of angiography in diagnosing spinal cord infarction, noting that although it is an imaging test commonly used to diagnose vascular problems (such as arteriovenous malformations or arteriovenous dural fistulas), it is rarely used for purposes of diagnosing a suspected spinal cord infarction. Tr. at 312, 366. The usefulness of angiography is further reduced by the fact that clots are often resorbed, broken down, or embolized before an angiogram can be performed. Id. Dr. Alexander estimated that approximately seventy-five percent of all spinal cord infarctions have no identified etiology, and he thus did not find it unusual that I.J.'s Mr. treating physicians did not propose an etiology for his suspected infarction—though some documentation was made in the record regarding his procoagulant state. Id. at 313–14, 336– 37. MRI imaging in a patient who has suffered a spinal cord infarction is typically negative for enhancement, but DWI—what he deems the “gold standard” measure for stroke assessment—may be positive within fifteen minutes of ischemic changes. Tr. at 307–08, 323, 379–80. DWI positivity, however, will fade within a couple of days. Id. at 379–80. He also allowed that DWI positivity can be seen in some instances of TM, though he disputed the probative value of case studies documenting this phenomenon. Id. at 383–84 (citing Kim at 103). Similarly, the presence of “watershed” abnormalities, which reflect and are attributable to reduced circulation and diminished vascular supply, are also consistent with spinal cord infarction. Id. at 310–11. But Dr. Alexander also noted that CSF and dorsal column function are not typically affected in the event of an anterior spinal artery infarction. Id. at 305–06. Another point of dispute raised by Dr. Alexander was Petitioner’s experts’ use of the term “holocord” to describe transverse involvement of the spinal cord. Tr. at 308; Alexander Rep. at 8. In his view, “holocord” more accurately defines longitudinal involvement of the spinal cord, beginning at the cervicomedullary junction in the neck and extending all the way down to the conus, or tail, of the spinal cord. Tr. at 308; Alexander Rep. at 8. Dr. Alexander’s review of the record did not reveal evidence of the extensive longitudinal involvement contemplated by his proposed definition. Tr. at 308. I.J. Based on his review of the medical record, Dr. Alexander concluded that Mr. more likely than not suffered an acute spinal cord infarction in the cervical region. Tr. at 314. This determination began with the discharge diagnosis, in which treating physicians who had attended 23 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 24 of 44 to Petitioner throughout his illness documented tetraplegia, spinal cord infarction, and thrombophilia, but shied away from TM in the final differential. Id. at 314, 340; Ex. 2 at 4, 7. He I.J.'s further bulwarked his conclusion by referring to the results of Mr. MRI studies. Dr. Alexander noted that the “long linear white streak down . . . the more anterior portion of the cord” seen in the MRI conducted on August 8, 2013, was consistent with the “typical pencil-shaped lesion that you see in spinal cord infarction,” along with evidence of ventral cord preservation. Tr. at 300–01, 316 (citing Ex. 87 at 2). More specifically, Dr. Alexander opined that in cases of TM, one would expect to see “more involvement of the cord” (evidenced by enhancement) rather than a discreet stripe or contained anterior horn involvement. Tr. at 318. Though the MRI images obtained on August 17, 2013 showed some evidence of dorsal column involvement, Dr. Alexander noted that this finding had only been emphasized during Dr. Watanabe’s hearing testimony. Tr. at 321. But even if accurate, Dr. Alexander considered this finding to be not particularly noteworthy, because the anterior horn cells of the central gray matter remained the area of greatest involvement. Id. at 321–22, 361–63. Similarly, the patchy enhancement seen in the second MRI, though admittedly a potential sign of TM -related inflammation, can also evidence spinal cord infarction in thirty to forty percent of cases. Id. at 324, 382–83. Ultimately, while he did not dispute the finding of dorsal cord involvement, Dr. Alexander concluded that the overall presentation was more consistent with a spinal cord infarction. Id. at 379. Dr. Alexander also raised the possibility that the “enhancement” documented in the second August 2013 MRI (but not seen in the first) may not actually have reflected enhancement attributable to cord inflammation, but rather a phenomenon known as “luxury perfusion,” whereby blood flow is increased to an area previously affected by an infarction. Tr. at 324–25. Additionally, Dr. Alexander opined that the DWI positivity seen in the second MRI was further evidence of an acute spinal cord infarction, given the importance of that finding in diagnosing infarction generally. Id. at 323. He did acknowledge, however, that if viewing the August 17, 2013 MRI in isolation, it could support a diagnosis of TM (although he still maintained the overall record leaned against that conclusion). Id. at 322, 325. He furthered this contention by noting that the MRI study I.J.'s conducted on November 15, 2016—three years after the onset of Mr. condition — evidenced a “primarily ventral change” (which he interpreted as a pencil-shaped lesion in the anterior horn) and an owl’s eyes abnormality, both of which he argued supported a diagnosis of spinal cord infarction. Id. at 323–24. Besides the above, Dr. Alexander disputed Dr. Watanabe’s findings regarding the watershed abnormality seen on the August 17, 2013 MRI. Tr. at 325–26. Whereas Dr. Watanabe interpreted the abnormality to extend beyond the area of expected involvement following an anterior spinal artery infarction, Dr. Alexander expressed the opinion that the longitudinal position of the abnormality, plus its posterior cord involvement, were more consistent with an acute spinal cord infarction, and the extent of these abnormalities actually evidenced the central area of maximum infarction and ischemia. Id. at 196, 311–12, 325–26. 24 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 25 of 44 Dr. Alexander also deemed the August 21, 2013 spinal angiogram as supportive of his theory. Tr. at 333; Ex. 2 at 451–52. The attenuation, filling defect, and segmental narrowing of the anterior spinal artery that Dr. Watanabe agreed it revealed were consistent with a thrombotic event such as an ischemic stroke. Tr. at 333–34. Even though a clot was not visible in the angiogram, he explained that clots often dissolve, leaving behind residual arteriole narrowing. Id. at 334–35. Dr. Alexander also addressed the “cutoff” discussed by Dr. Watanabe. Id. at 333. After reviewing the angiogram report, he highlighted the note regarding an abrupt attenuation and filling defect at the C6 level. Id. at 334; Ex. 2 at 452. He admitted, however, that the term “cutoff” was not used in the record. Tr. at 367. Nonetheless, he concluded that a vessel abnormality existed, and he agreed with the radiological interpretation noting “discontinuity” within the vessel. Id. at 368. And even if Dr. I.J. Watanabe was correct that Mr. had not experienced a cutoff of the vessel, treating physicians I.J. on the stroke team still believed Mr. suffered an infarction. Id. at 334. Further still, Dr. Alexander emphasized that strokes do not require complete vessel occlusion, and the same treatment would likely be rendered regardless. Id. at 334, 369–70. Ultimately, after applying the TM Working Group diagnostic criteria, Dr. Alexander concluded that a diagnosis of TM was not supported by the medical record. Tr. at 317. The initial August 2013 MRI study did not reveal enhancement, and neither the MRI nor CSF studies29 produced evidence of inflammation that would occur in the presence of a central nervous system demyelinating event. Id. at 317–18, 331. Additionally, the total area of cord involvement was fairly limited, and was confined to the anterior horn cells thus preserving posterior column functions— I.J. though the total area of involvement was sufficient to cause the neurological symptoms Mr. experienced. Id. at 318, 335–36. Dr. Alexander found such limited cord involvement to be more consistent with a spinal cord infarction than TM. Id. at 316. The thrombophilia studies—and more specifically the finding of elevated Factor VIII levels—also supported Dr. Alexander’s proposed diagnosis. Though Dr. Zamvil attributed this finding to the inflammatory processes specific to TM, Dr. Alexander argued that the limited amount of tissue involved in TM is not enough to provoke systemic inflammation. Tr. at 343. Dr. Alexander’s argument was further substantiated by the lack of evidence showing either local or I.J. systemic inflammation. Id. at 343–44. Regardless of whether Mr. suffered from TM or spinal cord infarction, Dr. Alexander believed that he would have exhibited elevated Factor VIII levels given the overall nature of his physical condition. Id. at 344. Dr. Alexander further distinguished the competing diagnoses based on the timeframe in I.J. which Mr. experienced the initial onset of his symptoms. He opined that a sudden onset and I.J. rapid deterioration like that experienced by Mr. when he was boarding the bus and reaching for his wallet was indicative of an apoplectic event such as vascular infarction, and not consistent 29 Dr. Alexander did allow for the possibility that immediate steroid treatment could mask pleocytosis, but he did not believe this point was applicable because his understanding was that Mr. I.J. did not receive steroid treatment until after the CSF study was completed. Tr. at 358. 25 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 26 of 44 with how an inflammatory myelitis, such as TM, would present. Id. at 306–07, 319, 326–31, 372. I.J. Dr. Alexander also articulated that if Mr. had been suffering from TM, and the inflammatory process had started two weeks post-vaccination as proposed by Petitioner, then the acute nature of his symptoms onset was made even less likely. Id. at 327, 372. But Dr. Alexander also pointed out I.J.'s that treaters characterized the onset of Mr. condition as “apoplectic,” thus undermining Petitioner’s proposed timeline of events. Id. at 373. I.J.'s Further, the stepwise, stuttering progression of Mr. symptoms was consistent with collateral circulation following the initial onset of a spinal cord infarction. Id. at 329–30. This is due to the body’s attempt to compensate and avoid ischemic damage by increasing blood flow to the spinal cord. Id. This process, however, is not sustainable, and the failure of this system results in ischemic damage to the cord. Id. at 330. Dr. Alexander also explained that back pain like that I.J. experienced by Mr. at the initial onset of his symptoms is typical of a spinal cord infarction, but not of TM. Id. at 319, 327. On cross examination, however, Dr. Alexander did admit that the overall timeline of symptom progression did fit the accepted temporal period for onset of TM (between four hours and twenty-one days), and that treaters seemed to recognize, consistent with I.J. Petitioner’s testimony, that Mr. had experienced progressive symptoms over the course of six to eight hours. Id. at 375–76. He maintained, however, that patients suffering from a spinal cord infarction could also reach nadir within the same timeframe. Id. at 342. I.J. Dr. Alexander next addressed how the treatments Mr. received factor into I.J. determining a proper diagnosis. While Dr. Zamvil emphasized the role of treatments Mr. received and his subsequent improvement in forming his opinions, Dr. Alexander disputed the I.J. diagnostic significance of these points. Tr. at 338–39. He noted that the improvements Mr. experienced were mostly sensory in nature, and he opined that those improvements could have been spontaneous. Id. He further explained that steroid treatment is non-specific and is not necessarily indicated when TM is suspected. Id. Similarly, Dr. Alexander argued that the IVIG I.J. treatment Mr. received is also non-specific and has not been demonstrated to be an effective I.J. treatment for TM—though it is widely administered to TM patients and Mr. was noted as having “marked improvement” following IVIG treatment. Id. at 352–56. He did ultimately admit I.J.'s that Mr. improvement subsequent to his IVIG treatment could evidence an inflammatory condition. Id. at 352–55, 357. After the entitlement hearing, Dr. Alexander submitted a second supplemental report addressing Dr. Watanabe’s interpretation of the DWI MRI obtained on August 8, 2013, as well as her conclusion (based on a comprehensive review of all relevant images) that the MRI performed on August 13, 2013 demonstrated dorsal/posterior cord involvement—a conclusion he notes did not appear in any of Dr. Watanabe’s pre-hearing reports. See generally Third Alexander Rep. In this report, Dr. Alexander took issue with Dr. Watanabe’s interpretation of the DWI MRI obtained on August 8, 2013. Third Alexander Rep. at 1–2. Whereas Dr. Watanabe concluded that the images were negative for indicia of a spinal cord infarction, Dr. Alexander noted that the 26 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 27 of 44 DWI revealed increased signal intensity in the anterior portion of the spinal cord—the same area that demonstrated signal intensity in the T2 weighted MRI—consistent with an acute ischemic stroke. Id. at 2. He noted, however, that the quality of the images was not typical for diagnostic purposes, and there was no accompanying radiologic report for these images within the medical I.J. record. Id. He nonetheless concluded that the DWI MRI obtained just a few hours after Mr. first began experiencing symptoms was most consistent with a spinal cord infarction. Id. Dr. Alexander did agree with Dr. Watanabe’s conclusion that Mr. I.J.'s August 17th MRI showed posterior/dorsal spinal cord involvement. Third Alexander Rep. at 5. But unlike Dr. Watanabe, Dr. Alexander attributed these findings to a spinal cord infarction rather than TM. Id. at 6–7. As he explained, posterior cord involvement is not uncommon in patients who have experienced an anterior spinal artery infarction because both the anterior and posterior spinal arteries are fed by the radiculomedullary artery. Id. at 3–5. In support of this contention, Dr. Alexander cited several items of literature, including a study in which more than half of all participants who experienced an anterior spinal artery infarction exhibited posterior cord involvement. Id. at 4 (citing C. Masson et al., Spinal Cord Infarction: Clinical and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Findings and Short Term Outcome, 75 J. Neurology Neurosurgery Psychiatry 1431, 1434 (2004), filed as Ex. D on Aug. 2, 2019 (ECF No. 67-2)); see also J. Novy et al., Spinal Cord Ischemia: Clinical and Imaging Patterns, Pathogenesis, and Outcome in 27 Patients, 63 Archives Neurology 1113, 1117 (2006), filed as Ex. F on Aug. 2, 2019 (ECF No. 67-4); S. Weidauer et al., Spinal Cord Ischemia: Aetiology, Clinical Syndromes and Imaging Features, 57 Neuroradiology 241, 244 (2015), filed as Ex. H on Aug. 2, 2019 (ECF No. 67-6) (“Weidauer”). Thus, Dr. Alexander maintained that a clot in the radiculomedullary artery can result in ischemic changes to both the anterior and posterior spinal cord. Third Alexander Rep. at 5–6 (citing Weidauer at 244). Dr. Alexander supported his proposed interpretation by noting that the signal distribution within the posterior column was limited to the area surrounding the left posterior spinal artery and did not cross the cord midline as would be expected in TM. Third Alexander Rep. at 7. Lastly, he noted that these findings would not have appeared on the initial MRI obtained just hours I.J.'s after the onset of Mr. symptoms because ischemic changes to the tissue would have developed over time and only after secondary blood supplies to the cord were exhausted. Id. at 7– 8. III. Procedural History This matter commenced with the filing of the Petition on July 21, 2016. Over the following months, Petitioner filed medical records in support of her claim. Respondent thereafter filed a Rule 4(c) Report on April 24, 2017, asserting that compensation was not appropriate in this case. Respondent’s Report, filed April 14, 2017 (ECF No. 29). Petitioner subsequently filed expert reports from Drs. Zamvil, Watanabe, and Levin along with supporting literature between the summer of 2017 and fall 2019. Respondent filed a responsive report by Dr. Alexander on February 28, 2018, along with literature in opposition to Petitioner’s position. The parties filed their 27 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 28 of 44 respective pre-hearing briefs over the summer of 2019, and a two-day entitlement hearing took place on October 22-23, 2019. The parties elected to file post-hearing briefs, doing so on April 24, 2020. Petitioner’s Brief (ECF No. 112) (“Petitioner’s Post-Hearing Br.”); Respondent’s Brief (ECF No. 113). The matter is now fully ripe for resolution. IV. Applicable Legal Standards A. Petitioner’s Overall Burden in Vaccine Program Cases To receive compensation in the Vaccine Program, a petitioner must prove either: (1) that he suffered a “Table Injury”—i.e., an injury falling within the Vaccine Injury Table— corresponding to one of the vaccinations in question within a statutorily prescribed period of time or, in the alternative, (2) that his illnesses were actually caused by a vaccine (a “Non-Table Injury”). See Sections 13(a)(1)(A), 11(c)(1), and 14(a), as amended by 42 C.F.R. § 100.3; § 11(c)(1)(C)(ii)(I); see also Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 592 F.3d 1315, 1321 (Fed. Cir. 2010); Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 440 F.3d 1317, 1320 (Fed. Cir. 2006).30 In this case, Petitioner does not assert a Table claim. For both Table and Non-Table claims, Vaccine Program petitioners bear a “preponderance of the evidence” burden of proof. Section 13(1)(a). That is, a petitioner must offer evidence that leads the “trier of fact to believe that the existence of a fact is more probable than its nonexistence before [he] may find in favor of the party who has the burden to persuade the judge of the fact’s existence.” Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322 n.2; see also Snowbank Enter. v. United States, 6 Cl. Ct. 476, 486 (1984) (mere conjecture or speculation is insufficient under a preponderance standard). Proof of medical certainty is not required. Bunting v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 931 F.2d 867, 873 (Fed. Cir. 1991). In particular, a petitioner must demonstrate that the vaccine was “not only [the] but-for cause of the injury but also a substantial factor in bringing about the injury.” Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1321 (quoting Shyface v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 165 F.3d 1344, 1352–53 (Fed. Cir. 1999)); Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 451 F.3d 1352, 1355 (Fed. Cir. 2006). A petitioner may not receive a Vaccine Program award based solely on his assertions; rather, the petition must be supported by either medical records or by the opinion of a competent physician. Section 13(a)(1). In attempting to establish entitlement to a Vaccine Program award of compensation for a Non-Table claim, a petitioner must satisfy all three of the elements established by the Federal Circuit in Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d 1274, 1278 (2005): “(1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical sequence of cause and 30 Decisions of special masters (some of which I reference in this ruling) constitute persuasive but not binding authority. Hanlon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 40 Fed. Cl. 625, 630 (1998). By contrast, Federal Circuit rulings concerning legal issues are binding on special masters. Guillory v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 59 Fed. Cl. 121, 124 (2003), aff’d 104 F. Appx. 712 (Fed. Cir. 2004); see also Spooner v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 13-159V, 2014 WL 504728, at *7 n.12 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 16, 2014). 28 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 29 of 44 effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury.” Each of the Althen prongs requires a different showing. Under Althen prong one, petitioners must provide a “reputable medical theory,” demonstrating that the vaccine received can cause the type of injury alleged. Pafford, 451 F.3d at 1355–56 (citations omitted). To satisfy this prong, a petitioner’s theory must be based on a “sound and reliable medical or scientific explanation.” Knudsen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 35 F.3d 543, 548 (Fed. Cir. 1994). Such a theory must only be “legally probable, not medically or scientifically certain.” Id. at 549. Petitioners may satisfy the first Althen pr ong without resort to medical literature, epidemiological studies, demonstration of a specific mechanism, or a generally accepted medical theory. Andreu v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 569 F.3d 1367, 1378–79 (Fed. Cir. 2009) (citing Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1325–26). Special masters, despite their expertise, are not empowered by statute to conclusively resolve what are essentially thorny scientific and medical questions, and thus scientific evidence offered to establish Althen prong one is viewed “not through the lens of the laboratorian, but instead from the vantage point of the Vaccine Act’s preponderant evidence standard.” Id. at 1380. Accordingly, special masters must take care not to increase the burden placed on petitioners in offering a scientific theory linking vaccine to injury. In discussing the evidentiary standard applicable to the first Althen prong, the Federal Circuit has consistently rejected the contention that it can be satisfied merely by establishing the proposed causal theory’s scientific or medical plausibility. See Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 941 F.3d 1351, 1359 (Fed. Cir. 2019); see also LaLonde v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 746 F.3d 1334, 1339 (Fed. Cir. 2014) (“[h]owever, in the past we have made clear that simply identifying a ‘plausible’ theory of causation is insufficient for a petitioner to meet her burden of proof.” (citing Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322)). Petitioners otherwise always have the ultimate burden of establishing their overall Vaccine Act claim with preponderant evidence, regardless of what evidentiary level of evidence on the “can cause” prong is required. W.C. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 704 F.3d 1352, 1356 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (citations omitted); Tarsell v. United States, 133 Fed. Cl. 782, 793 (2017) (noting that Moberly “addresses the petitioner’s overall burden of proving causation-in-fact under the Vaccine Act” by a preponderance standard). The second Althen prong requires proof of a logical sequence of cause and effect, usually supported by facts derived from a petitioner’s medical records. Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278; Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1375–77; Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1326; Grant v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 956 F.2d 1144, 1148 (Fed. Cir. 1992). In establishing that a vaccine “did cause” injury, the opinions and views of the injured party’s treating physicians are entitled to some weight. Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1367; Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1326 (“medical records and medical opinion testimony are favored in vaccine cases, as treating physicians are likely to be in the best position to determine whether a 29 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 30 of 44 ‘logical sequence of cause and effect show[s] that the vaccination was the reason for the injury’”) (quoting Althen , 418 F.3d at 1280). Medical records are generally viewed as particularly trustworthy evidence, since they are created contemporaneously with the treatment of the patient. Cucuras v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 993 F.2d 1525, 1528 (Fed. Cir. 1993). Medical records and statements of a treating physician, however, do not per se bind the special master to adopt the conclusions of such an individual, even if they must be considered and carefully evaluated. Section 13(b)(1) (providing that “[a]ny such diagnosis, conclusion, judgment, test result, report, or summary shall not be binding on the special master or court”); Snyder v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 88 Fed. Cl. 706, 746 n.67 (2009) (“there is nothing . . . that mandates that the testimony of a treating physician is sacrosanct—that it must be accepted in its entirety and cannot be rebutted”). As with expert testimony offered to establish a theory of causation, the opinions or diagnoses of treating physicians are only as trustworthy as the reasonableness of their suppositions or bases. The views of treating physicians should be weighed against other, contrary evidence also present in the record—including conflicting opinions among such individuals. Hibbard v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 100 Fed. Cl. 742, 749 (2011) (not arbitrary or capricious for special master to weigh competing treating physicians’ conclusions against each other), aff’d, 698 F.3d 1355 (Fed. Cir. 2012); Veryzer v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 06-522V, 2011 WL 1935813, at *17 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 29, 2011), mot. for review denied, 100 Fed. Cl. 344, 356 (2011), aff’d without opinion, 475 F. Appx. 765 (Fed. Cir. 2012). The third Althen prong requires establishing a “proximate temporal relationship” between the vaccination and the injury alleged. Althen, 418 F.3d at 1281. That term has been equated to the phrase “medically-acceptable temporal relationship.” Id. A petitioner must offer “preponderant proof that the onset of symptoms occurred within a timeframe which, given the medical understanding of the disorder’s etiology, it is medically acceptable to infer causation.” de Bazan v.Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 539 F.3d 1347, 1352 (Fed. Cir. 2008). The explanation for what is a medically acceptable timeframe must align with the theory of how the relevant vaccine can cause an injury (Althen prong one’s requirement). Id. at 1352; Shapiro v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 101 Fed. Cl. 532, 542 (2011), recons. denied after remand, 105 Fed. Cl. 353 (2012), aff’d mem., 503 F. Appx. 952 (Fed. Cir. 2013); Koehn v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 11-355V, 2013 WL 3214877 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 30, 2013), mot. for rev. denied (Fed. Cl. Dec. 3, 2013), aff’d, 773 F.3d 1239 (Fed. Cir. 2014). B. Legal Standards Governing Factual Determinations The process for making determinations in Vaccine Program cases regarding factual issues begins with consideration of the medical records. Section 11(c)(2). The special master is required to consider “all [] relevant medical and scientific evidence contained in the record,” including “any diagnosis, conclusion, medical judgment, or autopsy or coroner’s report which is contained in the record regarding the nature, causation, and aggravation of the petitioner’s illness, disability, injury, 30 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 31 of 44 condition, or death,” as well as the “results of any diagnostic or evaluative test which are contained in the record and the summaries and conclusions.” Section 13(b)(1)(A). The special master is then required to weigh the evidence presented, including contemporaneous medical records and testimony. See Burns v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 3 F.3d 415, 417 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (it is within the special master’s discretion to determine whether to afford greater weight to contemporaneous medical records than to other evidence, such as oral testimony surrounding the events in question that was given at a later date, provided that such determination is evidenced by a rational determination). Medical records that are created contemporaneously with the events they describe are presumed to be accurate and “complete” (i.e., presenting all relevant information on a patient’s health problems). Cucuras, 993 F.2d at 1528; Doe/70 v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 95 Fed. Cl. 598, 608 (2010) (“[g]iven the inconsistencies between petitioner’s testimony and his contemporaneous medical records, the special master’s decision to rely on petitioner’s medical records was rational and consistent with applicable law”), aff’d sub nom. Rickett v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 468 F. Appx. 952 (Fed. Cir. 2011) (non-precedential opinion). This presumption is based on the linked propositions that (i) sick people visit medical professionals; (ii) sick people honestly report their health problems to those professionals; and (iii) medical professionals record what they are told or observe when examining their patients in as accurate a manner as possible, so that they are aware of enough relevant facts to make appropriate treatment decisions. Sanchez v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 11-685V, 2013 WL 1880825, at *2 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 10, 2013); Cucuras v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 26 Cl. Ct. 537, 543 (1992), aff’d, 993 F.2d at 1525 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (“[i]t strains reason to conclude that petitioners would fail to accurately report the onset of their daughter’s symptoms”). Accordingly, if the medical records are clear, consistent, and complete, then they should be afforded substantial weight. Lowrie v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 03-1585V, 2005 WL 6117475, at *20 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 12, 2005). Indeed, contemporaneous medical records are generally found to be deserving of greater evidentiary weight than oral testimony—especially where such testimony conflicts with the record evidence. Cucuras, 993 F.2d at 1528; see also Murphy v. Sec’y of Dep’t of Health & Hum. Servs., 23 Cl. Ct. 726, 733 (1991) (citing United States v. United States Gypsum Co., 333 U.S. 364, 396 (1947) (“[i]t has generally been held that oral testimony which is in conflict with contemporaneous documents is entitled to little evidentiary weight.”)). There are, however, situations in which compelling oral testimony may be more persuasive than written records, such as where records are deemed to be incomplete or inaccurate. Campbell v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 69 Fed. Cl. 775, 779 (2006) (“like any norm based upon common sense and experience, this rule should not be treated as an absolute and must yield where the factual predicates for its application are weak or lacking”); Lowrie, 2005 WL 6117475, at *19 (“’[w]ritten 31 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 32 of 44 records which are, themselves, inconsistent, should be accorded less deference than those which are internally consistent’”) (quoting Murphy, 23 Cl. Ct. at 733)). Ultimately, a determination regarding a witness’s credibility is needed when determining the weight that such testimony should be afforded. Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1379; Bradley v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 991 F.2d 1570, 1575 (Fed. Cir. 1993). When witness testimony is offered to overcome the presumption of accuracy afforded to contemporaneous medical records, such testimony must be “consistent, clear, cogent, and compelling.” Sanchez, 2013 WL 1880825, at *3 (citing Blutstein v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 90-2808V, 1998 WL 408611, at *5 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. June 30, 1998)). In determining the accuracy and completeness of medical records, the Court of Federal Claims has listed four possible explanations for inconsistencies between contemporaneously created medical records and later testimony: (1) a person’s failure to recount to the medical professional everything that happened during the relevant time period; (2) the medical professional’s failure to document everything reported to her or him; (3) a person’s faulty recollection of the events when presenting testimony; or (4) a person’s purposeful recounting of symptoms that did not exist. Lalonde v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 110 Fed. Cl. 184, 203-04 (2013), aff’d, 746 F.3d 1334 (Fed. Cir. 2014). In making a determination regarding whether to afford greater weight to contemporaneous medical records or other evidence, such as testimony at hearing, there must be evidence that this decision was the result of a rational determination. Burns, 3 F.3d at 417. C. Analysis of Expert Testimony Establishing a sound and reliable medical theory often requires a petitioner to present expert testimony in support of his claim. Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 219 F.3d 1357, 1361 (Fed. Cir. 2000). Vaccine Program expert testimony is usually evaluated according to the factors for analyzing scientific reliability set forth in Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharmaceuticals, Inc., 509 U.S. 579, 594–96 (1993). See Cedillo v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 617 F.3d 1328, 1339 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (citing Terran v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 195 F.3d 1302, 1316 (Fed. Cir. 1999)). “The Daubert factors for analyzing the reliability of testimony are: (1) whether a theory or technique can be (and has been) tested; (2) whether the theory or technique has been subjected to peer review and publication; (3) whether there is a known or potential rate of error and whether there are standards for controlling the error; and (4) whether the theory or technique enjoys general acceptance within a relevant scientific community.” Terran, 195 F.3d at 1316 n.2 (citing Daubert, 509 U.S. at 592–95). The Daubert factors play a slightly different role in Vaccine Program cases than they do when applied in other federal judicial fora (such as the district courts). Daubert factors are usually employed by judges (in the performance of their evidentiary gatekeeper roles) to exclude evidence that is unreliable and/or could confuse a jury. In Vaccine Program cases, by contrast, these factors are used in the weighing of the reliability of scientific evidence proffered. Davis v. Sec’y of Health 32 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 33 of 44 & Hum. Servs., 94 Fed. Cl. 53, 66–67 (2010) (“uniquely in this Circuit, the Daubert factors have been employed also as an acceptable evidentiary-gauging tool with respect to persuasiveness of expert testimony already admitted”). The flexible use of the Daubert factors to evaluate the persuasiveness and reliability of expert testimony has routinely been upheld. See, e.g., Snyder, 88 Fed. Cl. at 742–45. In this matter (as in numerous other Vaccine Program cases), Daubert has not been employed at the threshold, to determine what evidence should be admitted, but instead to determine whether expert testimony offered is reliable and/or persuasive. Respondent frequently offers one or more experts in order to rebut a petitioner’s case. Where both sides offer expert testimony, a special master’s decision may be “based on the credibility of the experts and the relative persuasiveness of their competing theories.” Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 618 F.3d 1339, 1347 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (citing Lampe, 219 F.3d at 1362). However, nothing requires the acceptance of an expert’s conclusion “connected to existing data only by the ipse dixit of the expert,” especially if “there is simply too great an analytical gap between the data and the opinion proffered.” Snyder, 88 Fed. Cl. at 743 (quoting Gen. Elec. Co. v. Joiner, 522 U.S. 136, 146 (1997)); see also Isaac v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 08-601V, 2012 WL 3609993, at *17 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 30, 2012), mot. for rev. denied, 108 Fed. Cl. 743 (2013), aff’d, 540 F. Appx. 999 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (citing Cedillo, 617 F.3d at 1339). Weighing the relative persuasiveness of competing expert testimony, based on a particular expert’s credibility, is part of the overall reliability analysis to which special masters must subject expert testimony in Vaccine Program cases. Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1325–26 (“[a]ssessments as to the reliability of expert testimony often turn on credibility determinations”); see also Porter v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 663 F.3d 1242, 1250 (Fed. Cir. 2011) (“this court has unambiguously explained that special masters are expected to consider the credibility of expert witnesses in evaluating petitions for compensation under the Vaccine Act”). Expert opinions based on unsupported facts may be given relatively little weight. See Dobrydnev v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 556 F. Appx. 976, 992–93 (Fed. Cir. 2014) (“[a] doctor’s conclusion is only as good as the facts upon which it is based”) (citing Brooke Group Ltd. v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 509 U.S. 209, 242 (1993) (“[w]hen an expert assumes facts that are not supported by a preponderance of the evidence, a finder of fact may properly reject the expert’s opinion”)). Expert opinions that fail to address or are at odds with contemporaneous medical records may therefore be less persuasive than those which correspond to such records. See Gerami v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 12-442V, 2013 WL 5998109, at *4 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Oct. 11, 2013), aff’d, 127 Fed. Cl. 299 (2014). D. Consideration of Medical Literature Both parties filed medical and scientific literature in this case, but not every filed item factors into the outcome of this decision. While I have reviewed all the medical literature submitted in this case, I discuss only those articles that are most relevant to my determination and/or are 33 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 34 of 44 central to Petitioner’s case—just as I have not exhaustively discussed every individual medical record filed. Moriarty v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 844 F.3d 1322, 1328 (Fed. Cir. 2016) (“[w]e generally presume that a special master considered the relevant record evidence even though he does not explicitly reference such evidence in his decision”) (citation omitted); see also Paterek v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 527 F. Appx. 875, 884 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (“[f]inding certain information not relevant does not lead to—and likely undermines—the conclusion that it was not considered”). E. Consideration of Comparable Special Master Decisions In reaching a decision in this case, I have considered other decisions issued by special masters (including my own) involving similar injuries, vaccines, or circumstances. I also reference some of those cases in this Decision, in an effort to establish common themes, as well as demonstrate how prior determinations impact my thinking on the present case. There is no error in doing so. It is certainly correct that prior decisions from different cases do not control the outcome herein.31 Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 941 F.3d 1351, 1358–59 (Fed. Cir. 2019); Hanlon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 40 Fed. Cl. 625, 630 (1998). Thus, the fact that another special master reasonably determined elsewhere, on the basis of facts not in evidence in this case, that preponderant evidence supported the conclusion that vaccine X caused petitioner’s injury Y does not compel me to reach the same conclusion in this case. Different actions present different background medical histories, different experts, and different items of medical literature, and therefore can reasonably result in contrary determinations. However, it is equally the case that special masters reasonably draw upon their experience in resolving Vaccine Act claims. Doe v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 76 Fed. Cl. 328, 338–39 (2007) (“[o]ne reason that proceedings are more expeditious in the hands of special masters is that the special masters have the expertise and experience to know the type of information that is most probative of a claim”) (emphasis added). They would therefore be remiss in ignoring prior cases presenting similar theories or factual circumstances, along with the reasoning employed in reaching such decisions. This is especially so given that special masters not only routinely hear from the same experts in comparable cases but are also repeatedly offered the same items of medical literature regarding certain common causation theories. It defies reason and logic to obligate special masters to “reinvent the wheel”, so to speak, in each new case before them, paying no heed at all to how their colleagues past and present have addressed similar causation theories or fact patterns. It is for this reason that prior decisions can have high persuasive value—and why 31 By contrast, Federal Circuit rulings concerning legal issues are binding on special masters. Guillory v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 59 Fed. Cl. 121, 124 (2003), aff’d 104 F. Appx. 712 (Fed. Cir. 2004); see also Spooner v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 13-159V, 2014 WL 504728, at *7 n.12 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 16, 2014). Special masters are also bound within a specific case by determinations made by judges of the Court of Federal Claims after a motion for review is resolved. 34 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 35 of 44 special masters often explain how a new determination relates to such past decisions.32 Even if the Federal Circuit does not require special masters to distinguish other relevant cases (Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1358), it is still wise to do so. ANALYSIS I. Petitioner Has Established TM as His Likely Injury In many Vaccine Program claims, prior to applying the Althen analytic framework it is proper first to determine the nature of the petitioner’s injury, especially if the claimant’s causal theory is dependent on the establishment of a specific injury. Broekelschen, 618 F.3d at 1345; LaPierre v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 17-227V, 2019 WL 6490730, at *16–17 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Oct. 18, 2019). That is the case here, since the parties strenuously dispute the proper diagnosis—TM or spinal cord infarction—and since Petitioner’s causation theory wholly assumes that the former is the correct one. Petitioner has not alleged that a spinal cord infarction could be vaccine-caused, so a determination that this best characterized his injury would be fatal to his claim. Resolving this question is difficult. Both sides offered credible, reliably-bulwarked points for their respective positions, supported in turn by fair and persuasive expert testimony. In addition, I.J.'s the medical record is ultimately equivocal on the matter. Unquestionably Mr. initial treaters included both TM and infarction in their preliminary diagnostic differentials, noting the testing and imaging results that supported both. Although by the time of Petitioner’s discharge it could reasonably be concluded that treaters were leaning against TM as a final diagnosis, the record I.J.'s is ambiguous enough on the subject to leave more than a little room for doubt, and Mr. post-hospitalization record offers no clarification of the matter. Dr. Watanabe’s reading of the MRIs in this case also provided perspectives on the nature of Petitioner’s injury that were not fully rebutted by Respondent (even after being provided the opportunity post-trial to do so). The parties seemed to agree that the TM Working Group criteria were a good general yardstick for evaluating if TM was present in this case—and it appears that not all were met fully. Yet Petitioner successfully established either that certain of the criteria (for example, proof of inflammation) had not completely been eliminated, or more generally that a TM diagnosis should not be held to the literal standard set by the criteria. Tr. at 77–78, 80–83. And it is not my function as special master to propose a “correct” diagnosis. Rather, my task is to weigh whether the 32 Consideration of prior determinations is a two-way street that does not only inure to the benefit of one party. Thus, I would likely take into account the numerous decisions finding no association between vaccination and autism when confronted with a new claim asserting autism as an injury and have informed such claimants early in the life of their case that the claim was not viable for just that reason. But I would also deem a non-Table claim asserting GBS after receipt of the flu vaccine as not requiring extensive proof on Althen prong one “can cause” matters, for the simple reason that the Program has repeatedly litigated the issue in favor of petitioners. 35 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 36 of 44 evidence preponderantly supports one conclusion over another—an analysis that leaves ample room for doubt to remain in either direction, regardless of the final determination. Petitioner did persuasively establish that he experienced sensory, motor, and autonomic dysfunction consistent with TM. Tr. at 77. Similarly, he presented evidence that established the bilateral nature of his symptoms despite the initial unilateral presentation. Id. at 78. Petitioner’s position was further bulwarked by the absence of connective tissue disease, infectious disease, abnormal void flows, and spinal radiation. Id. at 83–84. Other etiologies, such as optic neuritis and I.J.'s MS were also eliminated as potential causes for Mr. condition. Id. at 84. The progression of Petitioner’s symptoms over the course of approximately eight or nine hours satisfied the Working Group’s proposed diagnostic criteria and further distinguished Petitioner’s course from that which is typical of spinal cord infarction. Id. at 57, 63, 83. And there is treater support for his proposed diagnosis, and (unlike in other cases) a review of the medical record beyond his initial onset does not suggest, based on the accumulation of additional information over time, that treaters later abandoned TM as an explanation. On the other hand, Respondent’s expert Dr. Alexander provided a number of reasonable points for why an infarction was more likely. Overall, this issue is close, with the evidence largely in equipoise. The experts were equally credible, making some points that were unrebutted while ceding others. Under such circumstances, persuasive Vaccine Program caselaw counsels me to decide the matter in the Petitioner’s favor. See Purtill v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 18-832V, 2019 WL 7212162, at *6 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Nov. 12, 2019) (citing Roberts v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 09-427V, 2013 WL 5314698 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Aug. 29, 2013)). I do so here, and thus find that preponderant evidence has been offered to establish that Petitioner more likely than not suffered from TM. II. Petitioner Has Not Demonstrated that the Tdap Vaccine “Can Cause” TM A. Relevant Case Law Regarding Vaccine Causality of TM Claims alleging acute, nerve-demyelinating conditions like TM following vaccination are common in the Vaccine Program. While some petitioners have obtained damages based on a successful showing that TM was caused by the Tdap vaccine, most such cases have been resolved through stipulations and proffers, leaving very few reasoned decisions addressing the issue of causation—and even those that exist are not particularly recent. See, e.g., Raymo v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 11-654V, 2014 WL 1092274 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 24, 2014) (petitioner established entitlement to compensation for a claim alleging TM following receipt of the HPV, Hepatitis A, meningococcal, and Tdap vaccines); Roberts, 2013 WL 5314698 (petitioner was entitled to compensation for a claim alleging TM following receipt of the Tdap vaccine); Helman v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 10-813V, 2012 WL 1607142 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 5, 36 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 37 of 44 2012) (petitioner was entitled to compensation for a claim alleging TM and NMO following receipt of the Tdap vaccine).33 By contrast, several more recent, well-reasoned decisions have found that petitioners failed in their effort to establish that the flu vaccine “can cause” TM, as required by the first Althen prong. See Pearson v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 16-09V, 2019 WL 3852633, at *13–14 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 31, 2019); Forrest v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 14-1046V, 2019 WL 925485 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 28, 2019). Although such determinations are somewhat less on point given the different vaccine at issue, they cast light on deficiencies in the reasoning that led prior special masters to conclude that the Tdap vaccine could be causal of the same injury (and also the theories offered in this particular case). In Pearson, for example, an adult petitioner alleged that his receipt of the flu vaccine in October 2012 precipitated TM, with onset within three months (although it took treaters considerably longer to arrive at the diagnosis, which was not wholly supported by the record). Pearson, 2019 WL 3852633, at *3–4. The Pearson petitioner made many arguments parallel to those advanced in this case, e.g., that TM has an autoimmune-driven pathogenesis with molecular mimicry as its mechanism. Id. at *6. Molecular mimicry was also relied upon in the Tdap-TM cases mentioned above. See Roberts, 2013 WL 5314698, at *6; Helman, 2012 WL 1607142, at *3. And the Pearson Petitioner relied specifically on Agmon-Levin’s review of post-vaccine TM cases to support his causation showing. Pearson, 2019 WL 3852633, at *7. In reaction, Respondent’s expert pointed out that Agmon-Levin in totality identified only two instances of TM post-flu vaccine, and then only after a review of more than 35 years of literature to cull possible examples— thus implicitly demonstrating how little evidence existed for an association. Id. at *9. The special master denied compensation, observing (among other things) the low probative value of case reports generally, as well as the error in overreliance on Agmon-Levin, given the facial limitations of its findings. Id. at *14. Forrest also featured an adult petitioner arguing that the flu vaccine caused TM, albeit with a far shorter onset timeframe (within a day or more of vaccination). Forrest, 2019 WL 925495, at *1. But there (as here) the petitioner also proposed molecular mimicry as the mechanism. Id. at 33 I issued a decision approximately two years ago denying entitlement for a claim alleging TM following receipt of the DTaP vaccine (among others) in an infant child who experienced onset between thirty and thirty-six hours after vaccination. Palattao v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 13-591V, 2019 WL 989380 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 4, 2019). The DTaP vaccine is the variant of the Tdap administered to infants and children. Notably, however, the petitioners in Palattao expressly rejected the theory of molecular mimicry espoused in this case, and instead relied solely on an aberrant proinflammatory cytokine response as the vaccine-instigated disease driver. Id. at *8. I found that the onset had occurred too close in time to the vaccination, and that the petitioners had failed to “demonstrate that cytokine upregulation in the periphery attributable to a vaccine can also trigger TM.” Id. at *36 (emphasis in original). Thus, because of the difference in causation theory and overall circumstances, I find Pallattao to be less useful as a guide to resolution of this matter. 37 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 38 of 44 *3. In addition, Respondent (not Petitioner, as in this case) offered Baxter to undermine Petitioner’s causation theory, highlighting that the very large-scale study saw no increased incidence of TM after administration of the flu vaccine—parallel to the same finding Baxter reached with respect to the Tdap vaccine (a finding Dr. Zamvil acknowledged at trial of this matter). Id. at *5. Although the special master’s denial of entitlement in Forrest turned partially on some matters not relevant herein (in particular, the short onset timeframe and its inconsistency with the causal theory), the decision took special note of Baxter, observing the extent to which the study undermined the claimant’s case (while acknowledging the “general rule” that petitioners are not required to submit affirmative epidemiologic evidence as part of their prima facie case). Id. at *5. As I have already stated in my overview of the applicable legal standards to this case, none of these prior decisions control the outcome herein. However, they do provide guidance in evaluating the strength of the evidence offered by Petitioner herein in attempting to show that TM can be vaccine-caused—and the evidentiary weakness of certain items relied upon to do so. B. Petitioner’s Althen One Showing was Insufficient Petitioner’s showing for the first Althen prong was only credibly supported by the testimony and report of Dr. Zamvil (since neither Drs. Watanabe or Levin possessed the necessary training or background to offer a reliable opinion on the “can cause”/causation prong). Unquestionably, Petitioner has offered a variety of evidence in addition to Dr. Zamvil’s report to support this prong. And, as noted above, there are reasoned decisions from the Program’s past that support Petitioner’s case. I nevertheless find (based on consideration of Dr. Zamvil’s report, testimony, the filed literature, and other, more recent decisions) that it has not been preponderantly established that the Tdap vaccine can cause TM—and this determination, unlike my resolution of the disputed injury question, is not close at all. As a threshold matter, I note that Petitioner has mischaracterized the evidentiary standard that is applied to the first Althen prong. See generally Petitioner’s Post-Hearing Br. at 46. Thus, Petitioner incorrectly maintains that “reliable scientific evidence” is not required to meet his preponderant burden—although perhaps in so asserting he confuses the fact that no particular class of evidence (i.e. medical literature; research studies; expert reports; peer-reviewed articles; etc.) need be offered with the overall obligation of Program petitioners to offer a reliable theory, regardless of what specific items of evidence are gathered to support it. Knudsen, 35 F.3d at 548. If certain individual components of evidence critical to a theory’s success are not themselves reliable, that finding reasonably impacts the overall theory’s evidentiary preponderance. Petitioner also erroneously suggests a theory’s mere plausibility is enough to meet the preponderant standard—a contention that the Federal Circuit clearly rejected in the recent Boatmon decision. 38 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 39 of 44 Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1359.34 Petitioner thus fashions evidentiary standards for evaluating his claim that are far easier to meet than the actual preponderant standard governing the claim. Beyond this, the primary elements of Petitioner’s theory have several deficiencies. First, scientific evidence not previously available when the TM/Tdap cases I mention above (and which Petitioner references favorably) were decided six or more years ago does not support a causal association between the Tdap vaccine and the development of TM. Compare Baxter (epidemiologic study published in 2017) with Raymo, 2014 WL 1092274, at *19 (“[t]here are no epidemiologic studies . . . linking or refuting a link between [TM] and vaccination”). Baxter is a large-scale, comprehensive epidemiological study aimed at examining the risk of demyelinating event following vaccination generally, and evaluated instances of the occurrence of two acute demyelinating diseases (TM and ADEM) within a field of nearly 64 million vaccinations (including almost six million Tdap recipients) derived from data maintained by the Vaccine Safety Datalink. Baxter at 1456–57. Only seven cases of TM were reported between 5-28 days post- vaccination—the very timeframe applicable herein. Id. at 1456–57. Baxter concluded that there was no reliably-demonstrated association between vaccination and the subsequent development of TM. Id. at 1456, 1461 (“[i]n conclusion, TM and ADEM are rarely, if ever, associated with vaccines”). Although it is unquestionably the case that Vaccine Program litigants are not required to offer epidemiological evidence to prevail, special masters may take note of its existence and consider it when determining if a claimant has met his burden of proof. See Palattao, 2019 WL 989380, at *37 (citing D’Toile v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 726 F App’x 809, 811–12 (Fed. Cir. 2018)). While I cannot state whether pre-Baxter decisions more favorable to Petitioner’s theory, like Raymo or Roberts, would have been decided differently had the article existed when they were issued, I can take Baxter into account in this unquestionably later case—and find that it greatly damages Petitioner’s causation theory. Ironically, in this case Baxter was offered by the Petitioner as an exhibit to Dr. Zamvil’s report—making it difficult for Petitioner to argue herein (as many petitioners do when attempting to rebut damaging epidemiologic proof) that my consideration of it amounts to “requiring” Petitioner to have found positive epidemiologic evidence to prevail. Indeed, Dr. Zamvil expressly relied on the Baxter article to support an association between TM and receipt of the Tdap vaccine. 34 Petitioner also maintains that special masters need not “apply gatekeeping standards of reliability pursuant to Daubert,” citing Boatmon for this proposition as well. Petitioner’s Post-Hearing Brief at 46, citing Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1359. This is correct—but only in the narrow sense that it would not be legal error if a special master fails to apply those standards. As I have already noted above, however, there is ample Federal Circuit support (cited even in Boatmon) for embracing and applying the Daubert standards in Vaccine Act cases, for purposes of evaluating the reliability of scientific and medical evidence (and thus what weight to give it). In the Program (unlike a federal district court), Daubert does not function to limit what evidence is considered by a special master—but it does provide a way to assess the trustworthiness of medical and scientific evidence, and hence the weight to give such evidence. I consistently follow Daubert in this manner when I decide Vaccine Act cases—and it is my conclusion that I would not be performing my function adequately if I did not do so. 39 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 40 of 44 Tr. at 113–16; Zamvil Rep. at 7. But his assertions regarding its findings essentially ignored what is so glaringly unfavorable about them. Thus, Dr. Zamvil attempted to redirect attention to the fact that Baxter’s authors did find a slightly increased risk of ADEM following vaccination. Baxter at 1456 (noting eight reported cases of ADEM within 5-28 days of receiving the Tdap vaccine); Tr. at 116. But ADEM is not the claimed injury (and Petitioner could not establish it on the present record even if he so alleged). TM is the relevant injury—and therefore the findings in Baxter specific to TM cannot simply be ignored. Second, the applicability of prior decisions like Raymo, Roberts, and Helman—all of which rely on literature similar to that offered herein, or more broadly involve theories parallel with Petitioner’s theory of autoimmunity attributable to molecular mimicry—is limited by other specific aspects of their respective holdings, or diminished by more recent determinations involving the same causal theories producing TM. See Forrest, 2019 WL 925495, at *3 (citing Caves v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 100 Fed. Cl. 119, 135 (2011), aff’d without opinion, 463 F. App’x 932 (Fed. Cir. 2012)). In Raymo, for example, the petitioners prevailed based on a theory that the tetanus toxoid component of the Tdap vaccine can cause TM via molecular mimicry and bystander activation of IL-6—a proinflammatory cytokine which is associated with the development of TM. Raymo, 2014 WL 1092274, at *18, 20. The special master noted, however, that although molecular mimicry was an accepted medical/scientific explanation for many autoimmune diseases, in acute TM “homology has not been demonstrated between any suspected precipitating agent and the spinal cord nerve sheaths or axons.” Id. at *20. The special master thus based her liability determination on the finding that the theory of bystander activation—a mechanism not proposed by Petitioner’s experts in this case—was also a reasonable causal explanation under the circumstances. Id. at *20; see also Dr. Zamvil Rep. at 9. The petitioners in Roberts similarly relied on the theory of molecular mimicry to explain how the Tdap vaccine could cause TM. Roberts, 2013 WL 5314698, at *6. The special master deciding that case acknowledged that petitioners’ theory was supported by an expert opinion, but included no further analysis to explain why the theory was persuasive. Id. And in Helman, only two sentences of the special master’s analysis in total are dedicated at all to the first Althen prong. Helman, 2012 WL 1607142, at *3. The special master concluded therein that the petitioner had met his burden merely by providing expert testimony referencing causal mechanisms such as molecular mimicry in addition to substantiating literature, though the special master did not explain what literature was provided. Id. No analysis explained how the Tdap vaccine can cause TM, thus greatly limiting the persuasive quality of such a determination. By contrast, and despite the fact that the decisions do not involve Tdap, more recent determinations like Forrest and Pearson constitute far more reliable guidance. These decisions in particular note the comparative weakness of case study-oriented literature like Agmon-Levin, especially when weighed against the value of Baxter. Finally, and with the above as framework, I do not conclude that Petitioner’s specific showing on the association between Tdap vaccine and TM was itself and on its own terms reliable 40 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 41 of 44 or robust enough to preponderantly establish the first Althen prong.35 Thus, Dr. Zamvil relied on molecular mimicry—a generally accepted scientific explanation for many autoimmune diseases, to be sure, but one that cannot simply be invoked in every Vaccine Act claim to support causation. Forrest, 2019 WL 925495, at *3 (citing Caves, 100 Fed. Cl. at 135). Rather, petitioners must demonstrate (where they raise molecular mimicry as a possible mechanism) that it likely does link the vaccine in question to the relevant injury. See Yalacki v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 14-278V, 2019 WL 1061429, at *34 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 31, 2019), mot. for review den’d, 146 Fed. Cl. 80 (2019). No such showing was made in this matter. Moreover, merely demonstrating some homology between vaccine components and relevant self-structures based on computer database searches does not carry the day. See Pek v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 16-736V, 2020 WL 1062959, at *16 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 31, 2020) (citing Blackburn, 2015 WL 425935, at *7 n.14)). Dr. Zamvil’s assertions about the role the vaccine’s alum adjuvant could play in activation of an aberrant innate response were even less reliable or persuasive. This argument relies mostly on what is known as a general matter about the performance of adjuvants in promoting an immune response—a noncontroversial assertion as far as it goes. But he has not shown, nor offered evidence in addition to his testimony, that reliably suggests or establishes that vaccines containing an aluminum adjuvant can, independent of anything else, cause a pathologic response not otherwise shown to be vaccine-attributable. I have previously criticized similar arguments in other cases, where petitioners try to convert what is known about a functioning immune process into something pathologic. See, e.g., Olson v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 13-439V, 2017 WL 3624085, at *20–21 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 14, 2017), mot. for review den’d, 135 Fed. Cl. 670 (2017), aff’d, 758 Fed. App’x 919 (2018). The argument is no better structured or advanced in this case. Petitioner also offered a few case reports, either collated in Agmon-Levin or contained in independent items of literature, to bulwark his causal showing. But these too also were ultimately of limited probative value—and not just for the reason that case reports generally are not given significant weight when deciding Program cases, since they do not establish causation per se. See Knorr v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 15-1169V, 2018 WL 6991548, at *30 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 7, 2018) (citing W.C. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 07-456V, 2011 WL 4537887, at *13 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 22, 2011), aff’d, 704 F.3d 1352 (Fed. Cir. 2013)). Riel- 35 Petitioner has argued that Respondent’s expert, Dr. Alexander did not himself rebut Dr. Zamvil’s theory, taking specific issue with Dr. Alexander’s invocation of an Institute of Medicine report that purports to find no evidence associating TM with tetanus toxoid-containing vaccines like Tdap. Petitioner’s Post-Hearing Br. at 49–50; Ex. A Ref. 1.My finding on the first Althen prong, however, is derived from a determination that Petitioner’s showing was itself not preponderant—and that showing included especially damaging evidence like Baxter. I thus do not devote time herein to weighing the competing strengths and weaknesses of each side’s expert contributions on this prong. Petitioners must themselves meet their preponderant burden, no matter the relative strength of Respondent’s counter- efforts—and this was not a case where a robust showing by the Petitioner merited consideration of Respondent’s success in rebutting it. 41 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 42 of 44 I.J. Romero, for example, not only involved a young child rather than adult like Mr. but also acknowledged that its observation of an association could simply be coincidental. Riel-Romero at 690. Agmon-Levin provided only four instances of association, and the weight this piece of literature should receive overall has reasonably been questioned. Pearson, 2019 WL 3852633, at *14. Other articles similarly offered limited numbers of case study instances. See, e.g., Gregg at 1 (describing two case reports of TM post-vaccination); F.S. Pidcock et al., Acute Transverse Myelitis in Childhood, 68 Neurology 1474, 1476, 1479 (2007), filed as Ex. 55 on Sept. 13, 2019 (ECF No. 74-6) (“Pidcock”) (documenting thirteen instances of TM post-vaccination). But both Pidcock and Gregg emphasize that the documented reports of post-vaccination TM could be coincidental, and neither article claims to establish a causal relationship between vaccination and the subsequent development of TM. Gregg at 4 (noting a possible association, but not distinguishing between temporal and causal association types); Pidcock at 1479. These case reports overall had some evidentiary value, and I have taken them into account (as my analysis should demonstrate). But they are not enough to meet the preponderant burden, especially given the far more comprehensive, contrary evidence provided by Baxter.36 All in all, the theory that the Tdap vaccine could cause TM was reasonably advanced in this case, as the theory has found some success in the past—but it was not preponderantly supported herein by sufficient reliable evidence, whatever the form, to find the first Althen prong was met. III. Althen Prongs Two and Three Petitioner’s claim cannot succeed, given his failure to meet at least one of the three Althen prongs. See Deshler v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 16-1070V, 2020 WL 4593162, at *21 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 1, 2020) (citing W.C., 704 F.3d at 1356)). However, for purposes of completion of my overall analysis, I will also discuss his success in meeting the other two. Regarding the second, “did cause” prong, I find an absence of evidence that would allow me to conclude that the Tdap vaccine likely produced Petitioner’s TM. Here, the inability to satisfy certain of the TM Working Group criteria (acknowledged expressly by Dr. Zamvil), while not fatal to Petitioner’s diagnosis contentions, was much more harmful to this Althen prong showing. Thus, not only is there little evidence that Petitioner had experienced something amiss in the two week post-vaccination period, but there was hardly any testing evidence (whether from serologic sampling or MRI imaging) that would establish the existence of inflammation—a telltale sign confirming the presence of the autoimmune process that Petitioner’s causation theory proposes 36 The fact that TM specifically, or vaccine injuries generally, are rare occurrences also is no defense to the insufficient preponderant evidence offered in this case on causation. As a general matter, the Program is premised on the policy consideration that vaccination is safe for the majority of individuals, but that in order to encourage use of vaccines compensation for injuries should be permitted under specific defined circumstances. The Act thus inherently accepts that vaccine injuries are uncommon—but their rarity is not a shield protecting petitioners from their evidentiary obligations. Were it otherwise, claimants could prevail merely by pointing to their own individual “case study.” 42 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 43 of 44 would have been instigated by the Tdap vaccine. The aspect of Dr. Zamvil’s opinion relying on the pro-inflammatory characteristics of the alum adjuvant especially required some record confirmation of excessive or unusual inflammation post-vaccination—evidence not found in this record. There was also no evidence of any autoantibodies that might arguably be associated with the asserted TM cross-reaction. And no treaters ever proposed that Petitioner’s injury, however defined, was likely caused by his prior Tdap vaccine. At most, the record reveals instances in which treaters assumed Petitioner had received a different vaccine (Hepatitis B) that they believed could be associated with TM—but in some of these instances went on to opine that vaccine causation was less likely than infarction given the diagnostic study results. See, e.g., Ex. 2 at 8, 61, 92, 230–31, 245–47. There is thus insufficient support in the record for the conclusion that the Tdap vaccine could have caused Petitioner’s TM. I additionally observe that the medical record suggests the existence of a pre-onset intercurrent respiratory infection. Ex. 2 at 8. It is recognized that infection can be the instigating cause of TM—and the presence of such an infection has in other cases been held to possibly explain various demyelinating conditions. See, e.g., Deshler, 2020 WL 4593162, at *18 (two-thirds of GBS cases follow an antecedent infection); Palattao, 2019 WL 989380, at *38 (evidence that infant had upper respiratory infection prior to onset of TM undercut vaccine causality). The evidence to support this alternative explanation is not itself particularly robust (certainly no infectious agent was identified in testing), and I do not propose that it establishes a stronger explanatory case than what Petitioner offered, or that (had the burden shifted to Respondent) it was preponderantly established as an alternative cause. But it is additional evidence that was not fully explained or distinguished by Petitioner, and thus it also undermined somewhat Petitioner’s claim. See Deshler, 2020 WL 4593162, at *22. By contrast, I find the record and evidence offered in this matter does support the conclusion that Petitioner’s TM occurred in a medically acceptable timeframe, consistent with his causation theory. As noted above, Petitioner asserts that his symptoms began just over two weeks after his receipt of the Tdap vaccine—a timeframe which has consistently been deemed medically appropriate in cases involving demyelinating conditions, including TM, following vaccination. See, e.g., Raymo, 2014 WL 1092274, at *23 (onset of TM three to four days after receipt of the Tdap vaccine); Schmidt v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 07-020V, 2009 WL 5196169, at *14 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 17, 2009) (onset of TM one month after receiving the flu vaccine falls within a medically acceptable timeframe). The onset timeframe was also consistent with Dr. Zamvil’s persuasive testimony about the time it would take for a molecular mimicry-driven process to manifest neurologic harm. But because Petitioner’s causation theory in this case was not sufficiently supported with preponderant evidence, the consistency of the onset timing in this case with Petitioner’s theory does not aid Petitioner. 43 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 125 Filed 04/02/21 Page 44 of 44 CONCLUSION I.J. Mr. was an engaging and highly sympathetic witness, and he plainly brought this case in the good-faith belief that the Tdap vaccine he had received might be related to his subsequent and sudden debilitating symptoms. He deserves praise for his aplomb in handling the deficits his condition has imposed on him. Petitioner unquestionably has marshalled credible support for his claim. And although it remains uncertain what his actual diagnosis should be, he has carried his burden (albeit in a close case) of establishing that he more likely than not experienced TM. But the Vaccine Act permits me to award compensation to a petitioner alleging a “non- Table Injury” only if he can show by medical records or competent medical opinion that the injury could be, or was, vaccine-caused. And on these matters, the evidence is far less close, as even some of the proof Petitioner himself offered undercuts his Althen prong one showing. Thus, there is insufficient evidence to support an award of compensation, leaving me no choice but to hereby DENY this claim. In the absence of a motion for review filed pursuant to RCFC Appendix B, the clerk of the court SHALL ENTER JUDGMENT in accordance with the terms of this decision.37 IT IS SO ORDERED. /s/ Brian H. Corcoran Brian H. Corcoran Chief Special Master 37 Pursuant to Vaccine Rule 11(a), the parties may expedite entry of judgment if (jointly or separately) they file notices renouncing their right to seek review. 44 ================================================================================ DOCUMENT 2: USCOURTS-cofc-1_16-vv-00864-3 Date issued/filed: 2021-07-20 Pages: 41 Docket text: **RE-DOCKETED 132 FOR POSTING TO THE COURT'S WEBSITE.** JUDGE VACCINE REPORTED OPINION re: granting 116 Motion for Review; granting 117 Motion for Leave to File Excess Pages. Signed by Judge Ryan T. Holte. (tb) Service on parties made. Modified on 8/16/2021 to correct date. (tb). -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 1 of 41 In the United States Court of Federal Claims No. 16-864 (Filed: 20 July 2021*) *************************************** J., * * Petitioner, * Vaccine Act; Tdap Vaccine; * Transverse Myelitis (“TM”); Molecular v. * Mimicry. * SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND HUMAN * SERVICES, * * Respondent. * * *************************************** Robert J. Krakow, Law Office of Robert Krakow, P.C., New York, NY, for petitioner. Catherine Stolar, Trial Attorney, with whom were Gabrielle M. Fielding, Assistant Director, Heather L. Pearlman, Acting Deputy Director, C. Salvatore D’Alessio, Acting Director, and Brian M. Boynton, Acting Assistant Attorney General, Torts Branch, Civil Division, Department of Justice, Washington, D.C., for respondent. OPINION AND ORDER Petitioner I.J. (“petitioner” or “I.J.”) moved for review of Chief Special Master Corcoran’s decision that petitioner is not entitled to compensation under the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program, 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-1–300aa-34 (“Vaccine Act”). Petitioner claims the tetanus-diphtheria-acellular pertussis (“Tdap”) vaccine he received on 22 July 2013 caused him to suffer transverse myelitis (“TM”). The Chief Special Master denied compensation and found “insufficient preponderant evidence offered in this case stands for [p]etitioner’s contention that the Tdap vaccine can cause TM, or that it did so in this case.” J. v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 16-864, ECF No. 125, at 2 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 2, 2021) (“Decision”) (emphasis omitted). Petitioner filed a motion for review of the Chief Special Master’s decision, contending the decision was arbitrary and capricious, constituted an abuse of discretion, and was contrary to law. For the following reasons, the Court GRANTS petitioner’s motion and REMANDS this case to the Chief Special Master for further proceedings consistent * This opinion was initially filed under seal pursuant to Vaccine Rule 18(b) of the Rules of the Court of Federal Claims. The Court provided the parties 14 days to submit proposed redactions, if any, before the opinion was released for publication. Neither party proposed redactions. This opinion is now reissued for publication in its original form. Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 2 of 41 with this opinion. Additionally, the Court GRANTS petitioner’s motion for leave to exceed the page limit.1 I. Background On 2 April 2021, the Chief Special Master reissued a public version of his sealed 4 January 2021 decision in this case. See Decision at 1. As the basic facts of this case have not changed significantly since the Chief Special Master’s 4 January 2021 decision, the Court’s recitation of the background facts draws from the Chief Special Master’s decision. A. Petitioner’s Medical History Prior to Tdap Vaccine and Onset of Symptoms I.J. was a healthy and active thirty-four-year-old male with no significant past medical history. Medical Records, ECF No. 8-2 (“Med. Recs. 8-2”) at 8 (NYU hospital records). I.J. has a family history significant for thrombophilia. Id. at 65. I.J. received a Tdap vaccination on 22 July 2013. Medical Records, ECF No. 8-1 (“Med. Recs. 8-1”) at 1 (Vaccination and related records). The administering nurse noted no complications or immediate reactions to the vaccine. Id. at 1–2. Two weeks after vaccination, on 6 August 2013, I.J. reported “minor cold” symptoms but felt he quickly recovered from the symptoms. Med. Recs. 8-2 at 8. On 8 August 2013, I.J. experienced the symptoms leading to hospitalization. Id. at 7. I.J. first experienced a “fire-like” sensation that started in the right side of his upper back around the shoulder blade. Id. The pain quickly radiated to his chest and down both arms. Id. On top of the pain, he began experiencing a persistent tingling in both of his arms. Id. The symptoms continued to worsen and eventually the pain and tingling spread to both of his legs. Id. at 8. When I.J. started experiencing weakness in his arms and legs, he decided to go to a hospital. Transcript, ECF No. 103-104 (“2019 Tr.”) at 15:19–17:20 (Transcript of oral argument in front of Special Master on 23 October 2019). I.J. walked to the NYU Medical Center, where he was immediately admitted to the emergency department. Id. Within hours of being admitted, I.J. lost the ability to use his extremities and developed urinary retention. Id. at 27:10–13, 29:1–4. B. Diagnostic Testing, Initial Treatment, and Follow-up Treatment On 8 August 2013, I.J. received his first magnetic resonance imaging (“MRI”) in the emergency department. Medical Records, ECF No. 50-2 (“Med. Recs. 50-2”) at 1–2 (Report printed from DVD for MRI cervical spine with and without IV contrast bone performed on 8 August 2013). The MRI revealed increased T2/STIR signal “predominantly within the central gray matter of the cervicothoracic cord extending from C3 to T1-2 level, most prominent from the C6 to T1 level.” Id. at 1. The radiologist’s impression of the MRI, which the ER physician agreed, was of a “long segment, central increased signal within the cervicothoracic spinal cord 1 Petitioner filed a motion for leave to exceed the page limit contemporaneously with filing his motion for review. See Mot. for Leave to File a Mem. Exceeding 20 Pages Accompanying a Mot. for Review, ECF No. 117. Respondent indicated at oral argument the government does not oppose the motion. See Transcript, ECF No. 128 at 5:8–10. - 2 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 3 of 41 without enhancement compatible with transverse myelitis.”2 Id. at 1–2. I.J. also received a CT angiogram during his workup, which revealed no vascular abnormalities and was characterized by the doctor as an “unremarkable CT of the abdomen and pelvis.” Medical Records, ECF No. 50-1 (“Med. Recs. 50-1”) at 1–2 (Report printed from DVD for CT angiograph abdomen with IV contrast performed on 8 August 2013). On 9 August 2013, I.J.’s treating neurologist, Dr. Stephen Galletta, observed the timeline of I.J.’s symptoms developing over the course of six hours, as well as I.J.’s MRI findings, the extremity weakness, and the loss of reflexes, were all consistent with a TM diagnosis. Med. Recs. 8-2 at 20. Dr. Galletta nevertheless proposed several additional differential diagnoses, including West Nile Virus (“WNV”), Neuromyelitis Optica (“NMO”)3, and Acute Disseminated Encephalomyelitis (“ADEM”)4. Id. He believed the “high signal extending down the anterior part of the cord” and the signal concentration in the ventral horns further supported his suspected TM diagnosis. Id. Dr. Galletta recommended a spinal tap (lumbar puncture) to rule out varicella-zoster virus5 (“VZV” or more commonly known as shingles) and WNV, oligoclonal bands to rule out multiple sclerosis, a brain MRI, vasculitis screen, and a Lyme and Syphilis serology to rule out differential diagnoses of each virus. Id. While being tested for differential diagnoses, I.J. received five days of IV solumedrol and started a treatment of intravenous immunoglobulin (“IVIG”) to treat TM. Id. The lumbar puncture revealed I.J.’s cerebrospinal fluid had normal red and white blood cells, indicating no pleocytosis, and normal glucose and protein levels, which ruled out meningitis or encephalitis. Id. at 38. Dr. Galletta “[d]oubt[ed]” I.J. had contracted botulism,6 tetanus,7 bacteremia8 or other bacterial infection, or listeria.9 Id. at 40. The consult record by Dr. Galletta listed diagnoses of TM and acute TM. Id. at 38. On 10 August 2013, I.J. was examined by an infectious disease specialist, who ordered a number of tests to rule out several suspected infectious diseases. Id. at 40. The infectious disease specialist believed the presence of pathogen gram-positive rods (“GPR”) in a portion of 2 Transverse Myelitis is inflammation of the spinal cord in which the functional effect of the lesions spans the width of the entire cord at a given level. W.A. Newman Dorland, Dorland’s Illustrated Medical Dictionary at 1201 (33rd ed. 2020). 3 Neuromyelitis Optica is combined, but not usually clinically simultaneous, demyelination of the optic nerve and the spinal cord; it is marked by diminution of vision and possibly blindness, flaccid paralysis of the extremities, and sensory and genitourinary disturbances. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 1249. 4 Acute Disseminated Encephalomyelitis is characterized by perivascular lymphocyte and mononuclear cell infiltration and demyelination; it occurs most often after an acute viral infection, especially measles, but may occur without a recognizable antecedent. It is believed to be a manifestation of an autoimmune attack on the myelin of the central nervous system. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 607. 5 Varicella-zoster virus is human herpesvirus 3. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 2035. 6 Botulism is food poisoning with neurotoxicity resulting from the eating of spoiled food contaminated with Clostridium Bacterium. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 238. 7 Tetanus is an acute infectious disease caused by Clostridium tetani, which produces the exotoxins tetanospasmin and tetanolysin; it usually enters the body through a contaminated puncture wound or insect bite. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 1875. 8 Bacteremia is the presence of bacteria in the blood. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 188. 9 Listeria is a genus of bacteria of the family Listeriaceae, made up of small, coccoid, gram-positive rods that have a tendency to form chains and palisades; they are found in animal feces, on vegetation, and in silage. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 1052. - 3 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 4 of 41 the test results represented contamination of the samples not due to bacterial infection. Id. The specialist also noted I.J.’s improvement with steroids and IVIG. Id. The follow-up evaluations on 11 August 2013 and 12 August 2013 noted I.J. was continuing to improve with the steroid and IVIG treatments, specifically in upper extremity function. Id. at 131. The record states I.J. received a “5 day course of steroids (Solumedrol) and a 5 day course of IVIG,” and he had “marked improvement on his upper extremity strength though still not at baseline.” Id. at 139. The lack of leg movements was “still a concern,” although his sensation had “improved markedly since admission.” Id. The plan following this evaluation was to start a five-day course of plasmapheresis (“PLEX”)10 on 13 August 2013. Id. I.J. was evaluated by a rheumatologist on 13 August 2013 who reviewed all of his blood work and studies. Id. at 146. The blood work revealed signs of mildly elevated Anti-Ro but the rheumatologist felt that the level present was not high enough to cause TM. Id. at 50. I.J. also had a central line placed and received his first PLEX treatment on the same day. Id. at 146. I.J. continued to show improvement with IVIG, IVMP, and PLEX treatments, but the improvement was limited to his upper extremities. Id. at 176. The treating physicians raised concern for a possible anterior spinal artery (“ASA”) occlusion. Id. at 177. On 17 August 2013 I.J. was examined by an infectious disease specialist, Dr. Louie. Id. at 61. Dr. Louie stated I.J. had received a Hepatitis B vaccination11, and Dr. Louie raised the concern of TM being associated with vaccines. Id. Dr. Louie also noted the low probability of I.J. having an infection based on I.J.’s improvement from the steroid and IVIG treatments and all tests being negative for infection. Id. The doctor agreed with the plan of evaluating I.J. for possible ASA and recommended a respiratory virus culture to rule out all possible infections as the cause for the symptoms. Id. I.J. received another MRI on 17 August 2013.12 Id. at 10. This MRI was conducted for differential diagnoses between TM and spinal cord infarction. Id. Evidence supporting the diagnosis of TM included I.J.’s age, the repeat occurrence, holocord involvement, and cervical location. Id. Evidence supporting the diagnosis of spinal cord infarction included “restricted diffusion in portions of lesion, the focal gray matter T-2 bright lesions noted on the current examination as well as the prior examination, and the focal gray matter enhancement in portions of lesions.” Id. A hematologist noted I.J.’s symptoms were consistent with a vascular event in the spinal cord (embolization or venous thrombosis), highlighted I.J.’s family history of thrombophilia, and recommended thrombophilia studies. Id. at 63–65. 10 Plasmapheresis is the removal of plasma from withdrawn blood, with re-transfusion of the formed elements into the donor; this may be done for therapeutic purposes. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 1434. 11 Dr. Louie wrongly noted that I.J. received a Hepatitis B vaccination in the medical record. Id. at 61; Med. Recs. 8-2 at 38. I.J. actually received a DTaP vaccination in preparation for his new job as noted supra. Med. Recs. 8-2 at 38. 12 The medical record states that the MRI was done on 16 August 2013 for a differential diagnosis between spinal cord infarction and transverse myelitis. Id. at 10. All parties refer to this MRI as the 17 August 2013 MRI. See Mot. for Review at 18; HHS Alexander Expert Report, ECF No. 79-1 (“Alex. Exp. Rep.”) at 2 (HHS Expert Alexander’s Opinion); Decision at 3. The medical record later refers to this MRI as the 17 August 2013 MRI. See Med. Recs. 8- 2 at 10. - 4 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 5 of 41 On 20 August 2013, I.J.’s treating physicians reviewed the 17 August 2013 MRI imaging and interpreted the abnormalities to be “now more concerning for spinal cord infarct[ion] than transverse myelitis.” Id. at 71. On 21 August 2013, I.J. was examined by a hematologist, Dr. Hymes, who noted I.J. had an “acute onset of paraplegia with angiographic evidence of a spinal artery occlusion,” but stated “the findings on the thrombophilia panel can be seen in inflammation, and by themselves would not be responsible for the aggressive thrombotic process as evident here.” Id. at 76. Dr. Hymes further noted the hematology panel was negative for a “lupus anticoagulant,” which, if positive, “would be the most likely explanation of a spinal cord infarction.” Id. Dr. Hymes stated an embolic lesion “remain[ed] the most likely diagnoses,” even though the site of the embolus remained “cryptic.” Id. I.J. was also examined on 21 August 2013 by an internist, Dr. Taff, who examined the differential diagnoses of TM and spinal cord infarct based on the most recent MRIs. Medical Records, ECF No. 8-3 (“Med. Recs. 8-3”) at 230 (Additional NYU Medical Records). Dr. Taff noted the “[p]atient age, holocord involvement and cervical location favor[ed] transverse myelitis,” but a “spinal cord infarct [was] suggested by restricted diffusion in portions of [the] lesion.” Id. at 230–31. Dr. Taff also raised the concern of I.J.’s immunization record because of the concern TM could happen after Hepatitis B vaccinations. Id. at 231. Dr. Taff recommended a CT angiogram for “further evaluation of spinal arterial supply.” Id. Dr. Ahn, a physician specializing in spinal cord rehabilitation, provided an opinion regarding I.J.’s spinal cord angiogram results from 22 August 2013.13 Petitioner’s Memorandum in Supp. of Mot. for Review of the Special Master’s Dec. Filed on Jan. 4, 2021, ECF No. 118 (“Mot. for Review”) at 15–16 (Petitioner’s Memorandum in Support of Motion for Review of the Special Master’s Decision). Dr. Ahn suggested the inflammatory process as shown in the radiographic studies was associated with TM. Id. Dr. Ahn noted the etiology of the findings was unclear and the subacute changes could be related to “an earlier thrombotic event,” but the “more extensive distribution of the lesion present on MRI[] could represent passive compressive or active perivascular inflammatory changes arising from the associated cervical spinal pathology swelling.” Id. Dr. Ahn accepted I.J. to be transferred to the rehabilitation center and noted the admitting diagnosis as “transverse myelitis with C5 tetraplegia, sensory incomplete.” Med. Recs. 8-3 at 326. On 26 August 2013, I.J.’s attending neurologist, Dr. Sanger, opined the ASA blockage at C5 could have been due to spinal cord swelling and provided his clinical opinion of I.J. being diagnosed with TM. Id. at 281. He noted in the medical record that I.J. was “found to have transverse myelitis.” Id. Prior to I.J.’s transfer to the rehabilitation center, his neurologist, Dr. Foo, noted a diagnosis of acute TM, TM, thrombophilia, and tetraplegia. Med. Recs. 8-3 at 286. Dr. Foo also noted an “ASA blockage at C5 level,” but felt the “stenosis, occlusion could be due 13 Petitioner cited this medical record as “Ex. 5 at 41” but the only exhibit in the record labeled as “Ex. 5” is Exhibit 5a. See Mot. for Review at 16. This exhibit is only one page in length and is a letter explaining that two pages were omitted from the medical record production filed as Exhibit 5. There is no Exhibit 5 in the record. See Medical Records, ECF No. 15 at 1 (Notice of Filing of Medical Records by ECF – Exhibit 5a). Since the exhibit was not submitted by the petitioner, the Court must cite from the Petitioner’s Motion for Review. - 5 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 6 of 41 to cord swelling.” Id. at 291. I.J.’s immunologist, Dr. Sterling, noted I.J.’s “acute progressive weakness” and stated the diagnosis is “less likely spinal infarct per neuro[logist].” Id. at 92. Dr. Sterling also noted “recent vaccinations could be related with transverse myelitis.” Id. Dr. Sterling recommended another consult with neurology to determine what pre-employment vaccines I.J. received and the dates of the vaccines as they may be associated with the TM diagnosis. Id. In I.J.’s discharge summary, Dr. Foo noted that I.J. was improving with the treatment of the steroids and IVIG for TM. Id. at 9. I.J. was discharged but continued to receive rehabilitation for several months in intensive inpatient rehabilitation. Medical Records, ECF No. 22-1 (“Med. Recs. 22-1”) at 3–4 (Medical Records from Brandywine Nursing Home). I.J. was first transferred to Brandywine Nursing Home, where he was in therapy for approximately six months. Id. He was then transferred to Lindenwood Nursing Facility on 22 August 2014 for continued nursing and rehabilitative care. Medical Records, ECF No. 17-1 (“Med. Recs. 17-1”) at 4 (Medical Records from Linden Center for Nursing and Rehabilitation). I.J. was admitted to the Lindenwood facility with a diagnosis of “spinal cord infarction versus transverse myelitis, paraplegia, and thrombophilia.” Id. I.J. spent seven months at Lindenwood before being discharged on 20 March 2015. Id. at 1. His diagnosis at the time of discharge was “unspecified spinal cord diseases.” Med. Recs. 17-1 at 380. The record does not contain documentation of I.J.’s current medical or rehabilitative services since his discharge in March 2015. Decision at 8. II. The Vaccine Petition and Hearing Before the Special Master Petitioner filed his vaccine petition against the Secretary of Health and Human Services (“respondent”) on 21 July 2016. See Pet. for Vaccine Compensation, ECF No. 1. Petitioner requested compensation for injuries he suffered from flaccid paraplegia and tetraplegia related to transverse myelitis he allegedly developed after receipt of a Tdap vaccination on 22 July 2013. See id. at 1. Respondent filed a response to petitioner’s motion for review on 4 March 2021. See Respondent’s Mem. in Resp. to Pet’r’s Mot. for Review, ECF No. 122 (“Resp. to Mot. for Review”). A. Declarations and Testimonies Presented Before the Chief Special Master 1. Petitioner’s Testimony I.J. submitted an affidavit and provided testimony in front of the Chief Special Master at an entitlement hearing. Petitioner’s Affidavit, ECF No. 6-1 (“Affidavit”) (Declaration of I.J. seeking compensation for injuries sustained after receiving a Tdap vaccination); 2019 Tr. at 7:18–40:14. I.J. stated in the affidavit and at the hearing the only health problems he experienced throughout childhood and adulthood were gallstones and a torn anterior crucial ligament (“ACL”). Affidavit at 2–3; 2019 Tr. at 11:9–12:4. The ACL tear required arthroscopic surgery, and at pre-surgery testing I.J. was declared healthy and cleared for surgery. Affidavit at 2–3; 2019 Tr. at 12:5–12. I.J. explained he was offered a job as a patient advocate at NYU Medical Center in 2013. Affidavit at 2; 2019 Tr. at 12:13–23. As a prerequisite to employment as a patient advocate, I.J. - 6 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 7 of 41 had to receive a Tdap vaccination. Affidavit at 2; 2019 Tr. at 13:5–13:13. I.J. received the Tdap vaccination on 22 July 2013. Affidavit at 2; 2019 Tr. at 13:11–13. Approximately two weeks after receiving the Tdap vaccine, I.J. began experiencing various symptoms. Affidavit at 2–3; 2019 Tr. at 14:5–15:11. The symptoms quickly worsened, causing him to walk to NYU Medical Center for evaluation. Affidavit at 2–3; 2019 Tr. at 15:11–17:20. Upon arrival at NYU Medical Center, I.J. was admitted to the emergency room with worsening symptoms, including progressive weakness, numbness, and “needle-like” sensations. 2019 Tr. at 20:9–21:9. Shortly after admission to the emergency department, I.J. underwent an MRI. Id. at 24:5–7. I.J. recalls being fully mobile prior to the MRI, but states he lost all mobility from the neck down immediately following the MRI. Id. at 24:8–27:13. I.J. also exhibited urinary retention, requiring catheterization, and difficulty regulating his body temperature. Id. at 28:20– 30:4. While in the hospital, I.J. received IVIG and plasmapheresis treatments, which led to a regaining of some mobility in his arms. Id. at 28:5–15. Going through rehabilitation after leaving the hospital, I.J. was eventually able to support his own body weight with his arms. Id. at 31:19–25. After I.J.’s extended time at Rusk Rehabilitation, he was transferred to Brandywine Nursing Home for additional therapy and rehabilitation. Id. at 32:1–3. I.J. spent six months at Brandywine before being transferred to Lindenwood Nursing Facility. Affidavit at 3–4; 2019 Tr. at 33:23–25. I.J. was eventually discharged from Lindenwood but continues physical therapy at Rusk Rehabilitation and through a community access program. 2019 Tr. at 34:22–37:4. I.J. has recovered some strength in his legs and mobility in his arms, but he does not have the same dexterity he had prior to the onset of his injury. Id. at 35:20–36:12. 2. Petitioner’s Experts a. Dr. Zamvil, M.D., Ph.D. Dr. Zamvil, a neuroimmunologist, testified before the Chief Special Master and offered a single expert report. See 2019 Tr. at 40:15–160:17; Expert Report of Scott S. Zamvil, M.D., Ph.D., ECF No. 31-1 (“Zamvil Ex. Rep.”) (The expert report of petitioner’s expert witness, Dr. Zamvil). Dr. Zamvil stated the time frame of I.J.’s vaccination “corresponds to both the expected cellular and humoral response to a vaccination” and opined both that Tdap vaccinations can cause TM generally and the vaccine did specifically cause Petitioner’s TM. Zamvil Ex. Rep. at 6–7. Dr. Zamvil described the inflammation criterion set by the Transverse Myelitis Working Group and explained whether he believed “that criterion is met by the evidence in this case.” Id. at 80:24–82:15 (citing Transverse Myelitis Consortium Working Group, Proposed Diagnostic Criteria and Nosology of Acute Transverse Myelitis, 59 NEUROLOGY 499 (2002), ECF No. 63-4 (“the Working Group”)). He addressed the issue of inflammation being established by pleocytosis,14 elevated immunoglobin G (“IgG”) index, or gadolinium15 enhancement. Id. at 81:4–15. Dr. Zamvil noted I.J.’s cerebrospinal fluid16 (“CSF”) analysis was negative for 14 Pleocytosis is the presence of a greater than normal number of cells in the cerebrospinal fluid. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 1438. 15 Gadolinium is a silvery white, malleable, ductile, heavy metal, rare earth element. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 745. 16 Cerebrospinal fluid is fluid from the brain and spinal cord. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 328. - 7 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 8 of 41 pleocytosis, but he opined this was an insufficient reason to rule out TM as a diagnosis because only fifty-seven percent of patients experiencing TM will exhibit pleocytosis. Id. at 81:16– 82:21. Dr. Zamvil also agreed I.J. did not have an elevated IgG index or gadolinium enhancement on his initial MRI test performed on 8 August 2013. Id. at 81:8–15. The MRI performed on 17 August 2013 revealed inflammation, but a repeat CSF study was not performed. Id. at 68:22–69:17. Dr. Zamvil opined if the physicians had repeated the CSF testing, “it’s possible and . . . maybe more likely” the repeated CSF would have shown inflammation given “enhancement on the [17 August 2013] MRI in that manner.” Id. at 69:18–22. Additionally, Dr. Zamvil opined the “bubble study” did not support spinal cord infarction17 (“SCI”) as a proper diagnosis. Id. at 55:13–24. The study did not reveal a right-to- left shunt, and Dr. Zamil opined the lack of a right-to-left shunt is strong evidence against a SCI diagnosis. Id. at 56:6–57:3 (testifying the lack of right-to-left shunt “would pretty much eliminate that particular possible etiology if a patient has a stroke”). Dr. Zamvil also opined I.J.’s prolonged “stuttering” onset of symptoms was more consistent with TM than SCI. Id. at 60:5–20 (“[H]e had a symptom. He developed another symptom. Then it may have progressed again . . . a stuttering course that occurs for more than six hours is consistent with a myelitis.”). I.J. reached nadir at least six hours after his initial onset of symptoms. Id. at 57:10–13 (“The time period from onset of symptoms, from the pinch or whatever upper sensory type symptoms in the neck, to maximal deficit here was at least six hours.”). Dr. Zamvil stated SCI more commonly presents as “apoplectic” and causes patients to reach nadir within minutes of onset, while TM generally causes patients to reach nadir over the course of several hours. Id. at 60:17– 20 (“[A]poplectic onset, maximal deficit at onset, is very consistent with an infarct. A stuttering course that occurs for more than six hours is consistent with a myelitis.”). Dr. Zamvil proposed molecular mimicry as a potential mechanism of Tdap causing TM. Zamvil Ex. Rep. at 9 (“Through molecular mimicry, vaccination with TDaP could lead to amplification of pathogenic T cell or B cell (antibody) immune response causing inflammation in the spinal cord.”). Dr. Zamvil conducted a BLAST search18 to find homology between Tetanus toxoid (“TT”), “one of the three component protein antigens in TDaP[,] . . . with human myelin proteins.” Id. at 10. Dr. Zamvil first evaluated the entire tetanus sequence and identified “[t]wo clear positive examples of homology”: “The TT amino acid sequence 264-274 shared 64% (7 of 11) identity with myelin regulatory factor-like protein amino acids 671-681 . . . , and TT sequence 366-375 shared 60% (6 of 10) identity with myelin-associated neurite-outgrowth factor inhibitor amino acids 180-189.” Id. Dr. Zamvil then focused on “TT amino acid sequence 830- 844, . . . [b]ecause TT p830-844, like intact TT, elicits a strong response in TT vaccinated individuals.” Id. at 10–11. Dr. Zamvil found “[r]emarkably, there was an 83% [sic] (5 of 6 amino acids) between sequence 887-892 and amino acids 151-156 of proteolipid protein (PLP) . . . , the most abundant encephalitogenic protein in myelin tissue.” Id. at 11. Accordingly, Dr. 17 Spinal Cord Infarction is the formation of an area of coagulation necrosis in a tissue due to local ischemia resulting from obstruction of circulation to the vessel within the spinal cord. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 922–23. 18 BLAST is an acronym for the “Basic Local Alignment Search Tool,” a tool which finds regions of similarity between biological sequences. The program compares nucleotide or protein sequences to sequence databases and calculates the statistical significance. NATIONAL CENTER FOR BIOTECHNOLOGY INFORMATION, https://blast.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/Blast.cgi (last visited June 9, 2021). - 8 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 9 of 41 Zamvil concluded “it is plausible that TDaP vaccination elicited T cells from [I.J.] could have responded to a CNS autoantigen like PLP.” Id. Dr. Zamvil further reviewed medical literature to support the position “[t]he association of transverse myelitis and Tetanus toxoid (TT)-containing vaccination was clear.” Id. at 7 (“In a systematic review of the literature, between 1970 and 2009 there were 37 cases of transverse myelitis associated with vaccination, including four that occurred after DTP [(diphtheria– tetanus–pertussis)] (this includes cellular (killed) and acellular vaccines) or DT [(diphtheria– tetanus)].”) Dr. Zamvil noted “as transverse myelitis following TDaP is a rare event, one should recognize that it has been challenging for epidemiologists to establish a relative risk.” Id. (citing Roger Baxter et al., Acute Demyelinating Events Following Vaccines: A Case-Centered Analysis, 63 CLIN. INFECT. DIS. 1456 (2016)). b. Dr. Alyssa Watanabe Dr. Watanabe examined I.J.’s medical record and imaging studies and rendered an opinion on the diagnosis of TM versus stroke. Expert Report, ECF No. 52-1 (“Watanabe Ex. Rep.”) at 1 (Dr. Watanabe’s expert report concerning Tdap causing I.J.’s TM based on medical imaging tests). Dr. Watanabe testified the CT angiogram I.J. underwent on 8 August 2013 revealed no vascular abnormalities, which did not support a finding of infarct or stroke. 2019 Tr. at 171:12–14, 172:15–22 (“[T]he most common . . . underlying factor in getting a stroke in your spinal cord is having arthrosclerotic disease or some sort of plaque or disease involving your aorta or the arteries leading up.”). Dr. Watanabe then discussed the MRI test I.J. underwent on 8 August 2013 MRI. Id. at 172:7–10. Dr. Wanatabe agreed with I.J.’s treating physicians’ interpretation of the imaging “as compatible with transverse myelitis.” Id. at 172:14–16 (“[The 8 August 2013 MRI] was interpreted by the radiologist at NYU as compatible with transverse myelitis, and I would have read it the same way.”). She noted the 8 August 2013 scan showed no enhancement. Id. at 218:16–19. Dr. Watanabe noted I.J.’s 17 August 2013 MRI showed gadolinium enhancement consistent with an inflammatory process. Id. at 178:10–19. Dr. Watanabe opined “the patchy enhancement throughout the area of the spinal cord” in the 17 August 2013 MRI “indicates that there was a blood-brain barrier breakdown, inflammation, and development of necrosis and cell death, which can be part of what occurs in transverse myelitis.” Id. at 193:14–22. Dr. Wanatabe noticed the “contrast enhancement” seen in the 17 August 2013 MRI but not in the 8 August MRI was “not unexpected,” due to the earlier MRI being performed “so early in the onset of [I.J.’s] disease.” Id. at 177:23–178:6 (“In the literature, in a series of cases where patients were imaged within 14 hours of onset, 80 percent of those patients did not show anything lighting up . . . in that very early phase.”). Dr. Watanabe also pointed out the “abnormal cord signal in the posterior part of the cord” in the 17 August 2013 MRI does not support a SCI diagnosis, because “if the patient were to have had an anterior spinal artery infarct, you’d expect the infarct on the spinal cord images to be seen in the distribution pattern of the anterior spinal artery itself.” Id. at 179:8–22. Dr. Wanatabe cited two additional pieces of support for the 17 August 2013 MRI being “more likely than not more compatible with acute transverse myelitis than an infarct of the anterior spinal artery”: “The lesion [in MRI imaging] extends into the white matter, and it's not isolated just to the gray matter tracts, which is another hallmark of myelitis rather than an - 9 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 10 of 41 anterior spinal artery infarct”; Id. at 183:14–25; and “th[e] very extensive holocord experience . . . [as] the white stuff almost entirely replacing the cord, except . . . some of the perimeter, . . . are all signs that are indicative, more likely than not, of a transverse myelitis rather than an anterior spinal artery infarct.” Id. at 184:1–7. Dr. Watanabe noted the “mild diffusion restriction” shown by the 17 August 2013 MRI— “something that can be seen with both [TM and SCI]”—“led to a consultation with the stroke team, who then recommended [an] angiogram [test].” Id. at 184:16–21. Dr. Watanabe testified the angiogram did not reveal evidence of a blood clot or a “cutoff.” Id. at 185:20–23 (“[T]he neuroradiologist who performed and interpreted this angiogram never said “cutoff,” and he never said he saw a clot.”), 188:15–16 (“[W]hat the angiogram shows is that we don’t see a clot in the vessel that may have caused a stroke.”). Nevertheless, she acknowledged the possibility “that there could have been a clot that could have disappeared, and now the vessel had recanalized.” Id. at 188:2–6. Dr. Watanabe acknowledged I.J.’s symptoms did not strictly meet all the Working Group Diagnostic criteria. Id. at 209:25–210:10. Dr. Watanabe, however, disagreed the missing of certain criterion meant “one cannot reach a diagnosis of TM.” Id. at 210:13–18. Dr. Watanabe explained “in a clinical setting [doctors] make their own judgments, and [they are] not restricted by this paper [of the Working Group].” Id. at 210:19–20. c. Dr. Mark Levin Dr. Levin, a hematologist, offered an expert report and testimony stating I.J.’s overall hematologic condition was insufficient to support a SCI diagnosis. 2019 Tr. at 236:3–17; Expert Report, ECF No. 68-1 (“Levin Ex. Rep.”) (Dr. Levin’s report concluding a diagnosis of SCI was not supported). Dr. Levin addressed I.J.’s family history of venous thromboembolism (“VTE”),19 and whether it was significant for diagnostic purposes. Levin Ex. Rep. at 2–3. Dr. Levin noted, while there are a number of questions in the normal medical practice a doctor should ask to understand if there is a genetic component, “[a]side from the mention of a history of pulmonary embolism in two [of I.J.’s] relatives, there really was nothing else that [treating physicians] looked into, tried to understand if there is a genetic component.” 2019 Tr. at 238:12–20 (Dr. Levin testifying “when you look at the family history, you really need specifics, what age and what circumstances. For example, we’re always trained to ask questions . . . [(a long list of questions are omitted)]. None of this was available in the record.”). Dr. Levin opined the two factors respondent’s expert testified as abnormal—Factor VIII and protein S laboratory data—do not indicate a genetic condition. 2019 Tr. at 239:16–19; Levin Ex. Rep. at 4. Dr. Levin testified I.J.’s elevated factor VIII level is “the effect of inflammation that happened from myelitis.” 2019 Tr. at 240:15–24. Dr. Levin opined “findings of inflammation in the blood are the cause of the elevated Factor VIII level and not the opposite.” Levin Ex. Rep. at 4. Dr. Levin further noted “[t]he elevated Factor VIII is completely consistent with a diagnosis of transverse myelitis,” and “even had [respondent’s expert] been correct that a spinal 19 Venous Thromboembolism is obstruction of a vein with thrombotic material carried by the bloodstream from the site of origin to plug another vessel. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 1892, 2016. - 10 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 11 of 41 cord infarction occurred, it would have most likely have been caused by the vaccine-caused inflammation.” Id. 3. Respondent’s Expert – Dr. David Alexander Dr. Alexander, a neurologist and Respondent’s sole expert provided testimony with three reports. 2019 Tr. at 291–389; Expert Report, ECF No. 41-1 (“Alexander Ex. Rep. 1”) (Dr. Alexander’s first expert report); Expert Report, ECF No. 79-1 (“Alexander Ex. Rep. 2”) (Dr. Alexander’s second expert report); Expert Report, ECF No. 107-1 (“Alexander Ex. Rep. 3”) (Dr. Alexander’s third expert report). Dr. Alexander opined I.J.’s Tdap vaccine “is not related to his injury, which . . . is a spinal cord infarction.” 2019 Tr. at 299:16–25. Dr. Alexander’s basis for his opinion that I.J. does not have TM is “[I.J.] doesn’t fit . . . the Transverse Myelitis Consortium Working Group definition.” 2019 Tr. at 300:5–12. In particular, Dr. Alexander found I.J. “didn’t have any evidence of inflammation,” as “[t]here was no [g]adolinium enhancement on his initial MRI scan, and he didn’t have a CSF that showed any inflammatory pleocytosis,” while “[b]oth of those are criteria . . . for [TM] diagnosis.” Id. at 300:13–17. Dr. Alexander further noticed “[I.J.’s] abrupt onset of symptoms that then evolved over a bit of time . . . is much more consistent with acute ischemic stroke to the spinal cord.” Id. at 300:18–21. Dr. Alexander opined “[t]he imaging shows very characteristic findings of spinal cord infarction.” Id. at 300:23–24. Regarding I.J’s MRI studies, Dr. Alexander testified the first MRI on 8 August 2013 shows “the typical pencil-shaped lesion that you see in spinal cord infarction, ventral cord and preservation of the posterior elements there on the sagittal scan.” Id. at 317:21–24. Dr. Alexander opined, if I.J. had TM, “in an MRI scan obtained hours after onset of symptoms,” one would “expect to see more involvement of the cord rather than a simple stripes,” and “[i]t could be the whole cord . . . , and you would expect to see enhancement.” Id. at 318:4–14. Dr. Alexander concluded “even on this [8 August 2013 MRI] scan I would say that this is entirely consistent with acute spinal cord infarction.” Id. at 317:11–12. Dr. Alexander acknowledged, if the treating physicians had suspected SCI on I.J.’s admission, they would have asked for a diffusion-weighted imaging (“DWI”)20 sequence for the 8 August 2013 MRI imaging, but the doctors did not. Id. at 363:12–16. Dr. Alexander explained “the gold standard for acute stroke in the brain or the spinal cord at this point and day and age [of I.J.’s onset] is diffusion-weighted imaging,” which is “the most important single test [doctors] do when looking at acute stroke,” and it has to be performed shortly after the onset of symptoms. Id. at 307:11–18, 308:3–9. (“That DWI positivity comes on and peaks . . . relatively soon and decays after that. So it’s not a long-lasting—it’s a measure of acute infarction and, in the brain, the most important single test we do when looking at acute stroke.”). 20 DWI is a form of magnetic resonance imaging based upon measuring the random Brownian motion of water molecules within a voxel tissue. Highly cellular tissues or those with cellular swelling exhibit lower diffusion coefficients and diffusion is particularly useful in characterization of cerebral ischemia. Ayush Goel et al, Diffusion- weighted Imaging, RADIOPAEDIA (last visited June 10, 2021), https://radiopaedia.org/articles/diffusion-weighted- imaging-2?lang=us. - 11 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 12 of 41 Dr. Alexander then reviewed the findings from the second MRI test I.J. underwent on 17 August 2013. Id. at 320:23–321:6. Dr. Alexander acknowledged the MRI imaging “could be [indicative of] transverse myelitis.” Id. at 323:19–23 (When asked “[c]an anything on this [MRI] scan be indicative of transverse myelitis,” Dr. Alexander testified “I couldn’t tell exactly what that is. It could be transverse myelitis.”). Dr. Alexander commented Dr. Watanabe’s opinion of “an area of involvement of some kind of the dorsal columns” as “not being noteworthy,” and “the treating physicians did not comment on this dorsal column because the predominant finding was that of ventral cord involvement.” Id. at 321:15–322:18. Dr. Alexander acknowledged, “[a]lthough the predominant infarction in [I.J.] is in the distribution of the ASA [(anterior spinal arteries)], I agree there is also ischemia in the posterior PSA [(posterior spinal arteries)] distribution.” Alexander Ex. Rep. 3 at 5. Dr. Alexander opined “this finding is not uncommon, and supports, rather than undermines, the idea that [I.J.] had a SCI and not TM,” because both the anterior and posterior spinal arteries are fed by the radiculomedullary artery.21 Id. Dr. Alexander further noticed “the sharp medial edge of the signal intensity brightness” supported the reading of SCI, because “TM would not respect the midline . . . , whereas a spinal cord infarction would have a sharp demarcation corresponding to a vascular territory.” Id. at 6–7. Dr. Alexander also addressed the 21 August 2013 Angiogram, which he opined as supporting his conclusion of a SCI diagnosis. See Alexander Ex. Rep. 3 at 2 (“The correct interpretation is that this angiogram is entirely consistent with an acute stroke thirteen days ago.”). Dr. Alexander explained the absence of blood clots on the angiogram was not conclusive because clots often dissolve and leave behind residual arteriole narrowing. Id. (“One would not expect to find embolus or thrombus thirteen days after an infarct.”), see also 2019 Tr. at 333:25– 334:8. Dr. Alexander agreed with Dr. Watanabe that the angiogram does not show a cutoff, but Dr. Alexander opined “mini-strokes are not 100 percent occlusions,” and “[on] 11 days post- event . . . [doctors] wouldn’t expect . . . to see a residual cutoff or clot in the vessel.” Id. at 335:9–21. Dr. Alexander disagreed with Dr. Levin’s testimony that I.J.’s elevated Factor VIII level “was a systemic change in that 24 hours based on inflammation within the cord of myelitis.” Id. at 343:9–13. Dr. Alexander opined, due to the small amount of tissue involved in TM, the inflammation cannot trigger a systematic reaction like elevation in Factor VIII level. Id. at 343:14–19. Dr. Alexander found “there’s no local inflammation,” and “with no local reaction,” he found “it hard to believe . . . a small degree of myelitis . . . create[ed] a systemic response with changes in . . . factor levels.” Id. at 343:20–344:2. Dr. Alexander noted the elevated Factor VIII level could be to due to I.J. being “a sick ICU guy” who was “developing infections, possible aspiration pneumonia, being treated with antibiotics, and having hypotension.” Id. at 344:3–10. Dr. Alexander opined the sudden onset time frame of I.J.’s symptom does not support a diagnosis of TM. Id. at 372:9–23 (“It’s a typical course for a gradually progressive inflammation that's been building up over . . . two weeks or so.”). Nevertheless, Dr. Alexander acknowledged “timeline in terms of maximal deficit” noted in the Working Group is “between four hours and 21 days,” which is “what happened in [I.J.’s] case.” Id. at 375:8–14. Dr. Alexander also noted I.J.’s improvements with treatments was not indicative of him having TM, because there is no 21 The radiculomedullary artery is an artery of the spinal cord. See Dorland, supra note 2, at 1547. - 12 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 13 of 41 valid scientific evidence supporting the treatments I.J. received actually work for TM, and I.J.’s improvements, if there are any, are “spontaneous improvement in the sensory symptoms . . . [that] indicate more spinal cord infarction.” Id. at 111:17–112:14. B. The Special Master’s Decision Denying Compensation On 4 January 2021, Chief Special Master Corcoran issued his decision denying petitioner’s claim and denying compensation, concluding although “[p]etitioner has preponderantly established that he likely experienced TM, prevailing over [r]espondent’s proposed alternative diagnosis of a spinal cord infarction,” “insufficient preponderant evidence offered in this case stands for [p]etitioner’s contention that the Tdap vaccine can cause TM, or that it did so in this case.” J., No. 16-864, ECF No. 125, at 2 (emphasis omitted). The Chief Special Master began the analysis by determining whether petitioner’s injury was likely either TM or a spinal cord infarction. Id. at 35. As petitioner’s causal theory was dependent on the establishment of his injury as TM, and petitioner did not allege a spinal cord infarction could be vaccine-caused, “a determination that [a spinal cord infarction] best characterized his injury would be fatal to his claim.” Id. The Chief Special Master found “this issue is close, with the evidence largely in equipoise,” as “both sides offered credible, reliably- bulwarked points for their respective positions, supported in turn by fair and persuasive expert testimony,” and “the medical record is ultimately equivocal on the matter.” Id. at 35–36. While “it is not [the Chief Special Master’s] function . . . to propose a ‘correct’ diagnosis,” the Chief Special Master carried out his duty to “weigh whether the evidence preponderantly supports one conclusion over another.” Id. The Chief Special Master “found preponderant evidence has been offered to establish that [p]etitioner more likely than not suffered from TM” based on the following fact findings: “Petitioner . . . experienced sensory, motor, and autonomic dysfunction consistent with TM”; a number of other etiologies such as “connective tissue disease, infectious disease, abnormal void flows, and spinal radiation . . . optic neuritis and MS” were absent or eliminated; “[t]he progression of [p]etitioner’s symptoms over the course of approximately eight or nine hours satisfied the Working Group’s proposed diagnostic criteria and further distinguished [p]etitioner’s course from that which is typical of spinal cord infarction”; “there is treater support for his proposed diagnosis”; and “a review of the medical record beyond [petitioner’s] initial onset does not suggest, based on the accumulation of additional information over time, that treaters later abandoned TM as an explanation.” Id. at 36. The Chief Special Master next reviewed relevant case law regarding vaccine causality of TM. The Chief Special Master noted “a petitioner must satisfy all three of the elements established by the Federal Circuit in Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 418 F.3d 1274, 1278 (2005): ‘(1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury’” to establish entitlement of compensation for a non-table claim. Id. at 28. The Chief Special Master further noted “several more recent, well-reasoned decisions have found that petitioners failed in their effort to establish that the flu vaccine ‘can cause’ TM, as required by the first Althen prong.” Id. at 37. While acknowledging “such determinations are somewhat less on point given the different vaccine at issue,” the Chief Special Master found the cases “cast light on identifying - 13 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 14 of 41 deficiencies in the reasonings” of causality. Id. In Pearson, an adult petitioner alleged his receipt of the flu vaccine precipitated the onset on TM within three months, relying on molecular mimicry and Agmon-Levin’s review of post-vaccine TM cases to support causation. Id. (citing Pearson v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 16-09V, 2019 WL 3852633, at *3–4, *6–7 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 31, 2019)). The respondent in Forrest, another case of a petitioner alleging the flu vaccine caused TM, offered Baxter to undermine causation and argue “the very large-scale study saw no increased incidence of TM after administration of the flu vaccine.” Id. at 38 (citing Forrest v. Sec’y of Health and Human Servs., No. 14-1046, 2019 WL 925495, *5 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 29, 2019)). Although denying compensation based on “the short onset timeframe and its inconsistency with the casual theory,” the special master in Forrest “took special note of Baxter, observing the extent to which the study undermined the claimant’s case (while acknowledging the ‘general rule’ that petitioners are not required to submit affirmative epidemiologic evidence as part of their prima facie case).” Id. (citing Forrest, 2019WL 925485, at *5). With this background, the Chief Special Master considered petitioner’s Althen prong one showing of whether Tdap vaccine can cause TM. Id. at 38. The Chief Special Master first noted, “[a]s a threshold matter,” “[p]etitioner incorrectly maintains that ‘reliable scientific evidence’ is not required to meet his preponderant burden.” Id. (emphasis omitted). According to the Chief Special Master, while “no particular class of evidence (i.e. medical literature; research studies; expert reports; peer-reviewed articles; etc.) need be offered with the overall obligation of Program petitioners to offer a reliable theory, . . . [i]f certain individual components of evidence critical to a theory’s success are not themselves reliable, that finding reasonably impacts the overall theory’s evidentiary preponderance.” Id. (citing Knudsen ex rel. Knudsen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 35 F.3d 543, 548 (Fed. Cir. 1994)). The Chief Special Master further pointed out petitioner “erroneously suggest[ed] a theory’s mere plausibility is enough to meet the preponderant standard—a contention that the Federal Circuit clearly rejected in the recent Boatmon decision.” Id. at 38–39 (citing Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 941 F.3d 1351, 1359 (Fed. Cir. 2019)). The Chief Special Master found “several deficiencies” in petitioner’s causation theory. Id. at 39. First, the Chief Special Master stated “scientific evidence not previously available when [previous Tdap cases] were decided,” the 2017 Baxter study, failed to serve in plaintiff’s favor. Id. The Chief Special Master characterized Baxter as “a large-scale, comprehensive epidemiological study aimed at examining the risk of demyelinating event following vaccination . . . within a field of nearly 64 million vaccinations (including almost six million Tdap recipients) derived from data maintained by the Vaccine Safety Datalink.” Id. (citing Baxter at 1456–57) (emphasis omitted). Baxter reported only seven cases of TM between 5-28 days post- vaccination—the very timeframe applicable to petitioner’s claim—and “concluded that there was no reliably-demonstrated association between vaccination and the subsequent development of TM.” Id. (citing Baxter at 1456–57, 1561 (“In conclusion, TM and ADEM are rarely, if ever, associated with vaccines.”)). The Chief Special Master acknowledged, “[a]lthough it is unquestionably the case that Vaccine Program litigants are not required to offer epidemiological evidence to prevail, special masters may take note of its existence and consider it when determining if a claimant has met his burden of proof.” Id. (citing Palattao v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 13-591V, 2019 WL 989380, at *37 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 4, 2019)) - 14 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 15 of 41 (emphasis omitted). Accordingly, the Chief Special Master “[took] Baxter into account . . . and [found] that it greatly damages Petitioner’s causation theory.” Id. The Chief Special Master further noted, although petitioner’s expert Dr. Zamvil “expressly relied on the Baxter article to support an association between TM and receipt of the Tdap vaccine,” “[Dr. Zamvil’s references to Baxter] essentially ignored what is so glaringly unfavorable about them.” Id. at 39–40. The second deficiency the Chief Special Master identified in petitioner’s causation theory was petitioner’s reliance on molecular mimicry. Id. at 40–41. The Chief Special Master first found “prior decisions like Raymo, Roberts, and Helman,” cases where petitioners successfully relied on molecular mimicry to obtain compensation for TM caused by the Tdap vaccine, were not applicable here because the cases are “limited by other specific aspects of their respective holdings, or diminished by more recent determinations involving the same causal theories producing TM.” Id. at 40. According to the Chief Special Master, the special master in Raymo determined “in acute TM ‘homology has not been demonstrated between any suspected precipitating agent and the spinal cord nerve sheaths or axons,’” and the Raymo special master “based her liability determination on the finding that the theory of bystander activation—a mechanism not proposed by Petitioner’s experts in this case—was also a reasonable causal explanation under the circumstances.” Id. (citing Raymo v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 11- 654V, 2014 WL 1092274, at *18, *20 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 24, 2014)). The Chief Special Master stated the special master in Roberts “acknowledged that petitioners’ theory was supported by an expert opinion but included no further analysis to explain why the theory was persuasive.” Id. (citing Roberts v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 09-427V, 2013 WL 5314698, at *6 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Aug. 29, 2013)) (emphasis omitted). And in Helman, “only two sentences of the special master’s analysis in total are dedicated at all to the first Althen prong,” with “[n]o analysis explain[ing] how the Tdap vaccine can cause TM, thus greatly limiting the persuasive quality of such a determination.” Id. (citing Helman v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 10- 813V, 2012 WL 1607142 at *3 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 5, 2012)). The Chief Special Master next specifically addressed the shortcomings of petitioner’s reliance on molecular mimicry in the present case. Id. at 40–41. Petitioners’ relying on molecular mimicry to establish causation “must demonstrate . . . that it likely does link the vaccine in question to the relevant injury,” and the Chief Special Master concluded “[n]o such showing was made in this matter.” Id. at 41 (citing Yalacki v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 14-278V, 2019 WL 1061429, at *34 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 31, 2019), mot. for review den’d, 146 Fed. Cl. 80 (2019)). The Chief Special Master found “merely demonstrating some homology between vaccine components and relevant self-structures based on computer database searches does not carry the day.” Id. (citing Pek v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 16- 736V, 2020 WL 1062959, at *16 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 31, 2020)). The Chief Special Master further noted “Dr. Zamvil’s assertions about the role the vaccine’s alum adjuvant could play in activation of an aberrant innate response were even less reliable or persuasive,” as “he has not shown, nor offered evidence in addition to his testimony, that reliably suggests or establishes that vaccines containing an aluminum adjuvant can, independent of anything else, cause a pathologic response not otherwise shown to be vaccine-attributable.” Id. (emphasis omitted). The Chief Special Master also considered the case reports offered by petitioner and found them “of limited probative value—and not just for the reason that case reports generally are not - 15 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 16 of 41 given significant weight when deciding Program cases, since they do not establish causation per se.” Id. (citing Knorr v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 15-1169V, 2018 WL 6991548, at *30 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 7, 2018)). The Riel-Romeo case report, as noted by the Chief Special Master, “not only involved a young child rather than adult like [petitioner], but also acknowledged that its observation of an association could simply be coincidental.” Id. at 42 (citing Riel-Romero at 690). Agmon-Levin “provided only four instances of association,” and Pearson already questioned “the weight this piece of literature should receive overall.” Id. (citing Pearson, 2019 WL 3852633, at *14). Moreover, other articles such as “Pidcock and Gregg emphasize that the documented reports of post-vaccination TM could be coincidental, and neither article claims to establish a causal relationship between vaccination and the subsequent development of TM.” Id. The Chief Special Master concluded: “[t]hese case reports overall had some evidentiary value, and I have taken them into account . . . [b]ut they are not enough to meet the preponderant burden, especially given the far more comprehensive, contrary evidence provided by Baxter.” Id. After concluding petitioner’s claim failed to meet the first Althen prong—whether the Tdap vaccine can cause TM—and therefore “cannot succeed,” the Chief Special Master went on to discuss Althen prongs two and three “for purposes of completion of [his] overall analysis.” Id. The Chief Special Master found “an absence of evidence” to “conclude that the Tdap vaccine likely produced [p]etitioner’s TM,” and therefore found petitioner failed to establish the second Althen prong. Id. The Chief Special Master first noted “there was hardly any testing evidence (whether from serologic sampling or MRI imaging) that would establish the existence of inflammation—a telltale sign confirming the presence of the autoimmune process that [p]etitioner’s causation theory proposes would have been instigated by the Tdap vaccine.” Id. at 42–43. Additionally, “[t]here was . . . no evidence of any autoantibodies that might arguably be associated with the asserted TM cross-reaction,” and “no treaters ever proposed that [p]etitioner’s injury, however defined, was likely caused by his prior Tdap vaccine.” Id. at 43. The Chief Special Master also observed the existence of a pre-onset intercurrent respiratory infection in petitioner’s medical record and noted “such an infection has in other cases been held to possibly explain various demyelinating conditions.” Id. (citing Deshler v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 16-1070V, 2020 WL 4593162, at *18). The Chief Special Master concluded this alternative explanation, though not dispositive, “undermined somewhat [p]etitioner’s claim” as “additional evidence that was not fully explained or distinguished by [p]etitioner.” Id. Although the Chief Special Master was not persuaded that petitioner had established by a preponderance of the evidence the Tdap vaccine caused petitioner’s TM, he nevertheless found “the record and evidence offered in this matter does support the conclusion that [p]etitioner’s TM occurred in a medically acceptable timeframe, consistent with his causation theory.” Id. (citation omitted). “But because [p]etitioner’s causation theory in this case was not sufficiently supported with preponderant evidence, the consistency of the onset timing in this case with [p]etitioner’s theory does not aid [p]etitioner.” Id. III. Petitioner’s Motion for Review and Respondent’s Arguments On 3 February 2021, petitioner filed a motion for review of the Chief Special Master’s decision. See Mot. for Review. Petitioner argues “the [Chief] Special Master’s holdings [on whether petitioner met Althen prong one] were arbitrary and capricious, constituted an abuse of - 16 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 17 of 41 discretion, and were contrary to law,” and “the [Chief] Special Master thereby heightened [p]etitioner’s burden of proof, contrary to law.” Id. at 2. Petitioner further argues the Chief Special Master’s decision on the second Althen prong “was internally inconsistent, and thus contrary to law, and unsupported by the facts, and thus arbitrary and capricious.” Id. A. Petitioner’s Objection 1 Regarding the Special Master’s Althen Prong One Decision Petitioner’s Objection 1 is: Given the specificity of the demonstrated homologies between tetanus toxoid constituents of the vaccine and myelin components of the central nervous system, as well as the proximity of the time frame from vaccination to onset of the transverse myelitis (supporting evidence from Althen Prong 3, which was deemed to have been proven), the Special Master’s holding that Petitioner had failed to establish by a preponderance Althen Prong 1 (a “can it cause” medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury) due largely to the Special Master's consideration of an epidemiological study that simply did not rule out causation between vaccination and the rare incidence of acute transverse myelitis, was arbitrary and capricious, an abuse of discretion, contrary to law and violative of due process of law. Furthermore, the Special Master thereby improperly heightened the burden of proof required of Petitioner, contrary to law, in particular by requiring an improper and impossible to reach level of specificity in connection with Petitioner's showing of the well- established theory of molecular mimicry. Mot. for Review at 28. Petitioner objects to the Chief Special Master’s reliance on the Baxter study as “greatly damag[ing] [p]etitioner’s medical theory,” arguing “[t]he elevation of this particular epidemiological studyto a case-breaking status is arbitrary and capricious, an abuse of discretion, and contrary to law.” Id. Petitioner contends “the absence of expert testimony on this issue [of epidemiology] or any meaningful discussion of [Baxter’s] significance in the hearing or virtually anywhere else in the record . . . constitutes a violation of due process.” Id. at 28–29. Although the Baxter study was offered by petitioner, petitioner emphasizes it has “statistical limitations” and is “of little significance in the rare case of Tdap-induced TM.” Id. at 29. Petitioner relies on Baxter “not for its statistical epidemiology and conclusions,” “but for the data it reported . . . to show that while TM is exceedingly rare, there were 7 instances shown in which TM occurred after Tdap vaccination within the relevant time frame.” Id. at 31. Petitioner compares this case to a prior case remanding a decision by the Chief Special Master, Bender v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., in which the Court of Federal Claims noted - 17 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 18 of 41 “the Baxter study did not play a major role in [the Chief Special Master’s] determination . . . and the [Chief] Special Master specifically acknowledged that no epidemiologists had been offered as experts.” Id. at 29 (citing Bender v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 138 Fed. Cl. 197 (2018)). In Bender, petitioner notes, the Chief Special Master “acknowledged that Baxter was not a ‘randomized’ study and therefore could not be cited as definite proof that the vaccines at issue could never be associated with the TM in the studied time periods.” Id. (citing Bender, 2018 WL 3679637 at *17). Petitioner further argues the Chief Special Master unduly heightened petitioner’s burden for the specificity “required upon a showing of the well-established theory of molecular mimicry.” Id. at 32. According to petitioner, “greater specificity than a high degree of homology to myelin components of the central nervous system (“CNS”) is not required in the Vaccine Program” to establish the first Althen prong, and “[t]o hold otherwise is to unduly raise the burden to be met by petitioners and impair the use of circumstantial evidence envisioned by the Program’s requirement of preponderant proof.” Id. (citing Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 440 F.3d 1317, 1325–26 (Fed. Cir. 2006)). Petitioner urges the Court to consider current case law, in which “the special master found BLAST searches (such as those conducted by Dr. Zamvil in the case at bar) reveal[ing] amino acid homologies between antigen components of the HPV vaccine Gardasil and [myelin components of the CNS]” were sufficient to establish “the proffered theory of molecular mimicry.” Id. at 33 (citing White v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 15-1521V, 2019 WL 7563239 at *21–22 (Dec. 19, 2019)). Petitioner also argues the Chief Special Master’s “post-hoc devaluation of the causal role of molecular mimicry is contrary to the long line of medical literature . . . and case law . . . that supports this well-established theory in the context of vaccines containing tetanus toxoid.” Id. at 35 (citing Raymo v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 11-0654V, 2014 WL 1092274, at *19 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 24, 2014); Roberts v. Sec’y of Health and Human Servs., No. 09- 427V, 2013 WL 5314698 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Aug. 29, 2013); Helman v. Sec’y of Health and Human Servs., No. 10-813V, 2012 WL 1607142 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 5, 2012); Hargrove ex rel. Wise v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 05-694V, 2009 WL 1220986 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 14, 2009); Bowes v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 01-481V, 2006 WL 2849816 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Sep. 8, 2006)). Petitioner contends the Chief Special Master “essentially required a showing of a specific biological mechanism that cannot be proven” and amounts to “unreachable, unrealistic level of evidence.” Id. at 36. According to petitioner, “[w]hether a case is analyzed under Althen or the ‘Can it cause?’ formulation, petitioners are not required to establish identification and proof of specific biological mechanisms, as the purpose of the Vaccine Act’s preponderance standard is to allow the finding of causation in a field bereft of complete and direct proof of how vaccines affect the human body.” Id. (citing Raymo, 2014 WL 1092274, at *12 (quoting Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280)) (some internal quotation marks omitted). Petitioner thus argues the Chief Special Master’s approach to petitioner’s molecular mimicry argument is “contrary to law.” Id. In response to petitioner’s Baxter arguments, respondent argues “the Chief Special Master is required to take into consideration all of the ‘relevant and reliable’ evidence presented,” rather than “only those parts of the [Baxter] study [(e.g., the data)] that petitioner believes were worth noting.” Resp. to Mot. for Review at 8 (citing Vaccine Rule 8(b)(1)) - 18 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 19 of 41 (emphasis omitted). Respondent contends the special master “appropriately weighed the Baxter study” because he “considered all of the evidence and made findings based on the record that are not ‘wholly implausible.’” Id. at 8–9 (citing Cedillo v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 617 F.3d 1328, 1338 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (findings of fact must be upheld if they are “based on evidence in the record that [is] not wholly implausible”)). Respondent further argues the Chief Special Master did not improperly heighten petitioner’s burden of proof by giving the Baxter study greater weight than the other evidence offered by petitioner, as the Chief Special Master considered all of the other evidence presented, including the case reports, in determining that petitioner had failed to provide sufficient evidence to meet Althen prong one. Id. at 12–13. Additionally, as the Baxter study was offered by petitioner’s expert and was repeatedly discussed at the hearing, “the fact that petitioner repeatedly failed to develop testimony from Dr. Zamvil that was more favorable to his position does not mean that petitioner was prevented from doing so in violation of his due process rights.” Id. at 14. In response to petitioner’s argument the Chief Special Master improperly heightened petitioner’s burden of proof with respect to molecular mimicry, respondent argues a determination by the Chief Special Master that “molecular mimicry ‘likely does link the vaccine in question to the relevant injury’ . . . is necessary to prevail on a causation-in-fact claim.” Id. at 15 (citing W.C. v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 704 F.3d 1352, 1360 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (quoting Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 618 F.3d 1339, 1345 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (“a petitioner must provide a reputable medical or scientific explanation that pertains specifically to the petitioner’s case”))) (emphasis omitted). Respondent notes Dr. Zamvil “could not identify any studies concluding that Tdap can cause TM via [Dr. Zamvil’s] proposed mechanism,” and Dr. Zamvil’s BLAST test, as noted by the Chief Special Master, is “clearly case-oriented, and is not equivalent to lab or clinical research that an expert might perform and/or rely upon for an opinion.” Id. (internal quotation marks omitted). Respondent opines the Special Master did not raise petitioner’s burden of proof; to the contrary, petitioner simply failed the preponderance standard by providing evidence that “fell far short of the mark.” Id. at 16. B. Petitioner’s Objection 2 Regarding the Special Master’s Althen Prong Two Decision Petitioner’s Objection 2 is: The Special Master's holding that Petitioner had failed to establish Althen Prong 2 (“did it cause” evidence) was rendered irrational by its internal inconsistency with his threshold determination that Petitioner had established that his injuries included acute transverse myelitis. Additionally, the Special Master's interpretation of the medical record regarding inflammation and other signs of TM was arbitrary and capricious. Mot. for Review at 36 (emphasis in original). - 19 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 20 of 41 Petitioner objects to the Chief Special Master’s reliance “upon a purported absence of inflammation as undermining the diagnosis of TM.” Id. at 37. Petitioner argues he has addressed “the question of inflammation” in several ways, including by providing statements from petitioner’s expert, Dr. Watanabe. Id. at 37–38. Petitioner also argues the Chief Special Master’s Althen prong two decision suffers from a conflict “between the [Chief] Special Master’s determination that TM had been established as threshold issue and his later conclusion that TM was not established for purposes of satisfying Althen prong 2.” Id. at 39. Petitioner opines the special master had “already resolved the specific issue of the significance of inflammation in connection with his threshold determination” by finding “[p]etitioner successfully established either that certain of the criteria [of the TM Working Group] (for example, proof of inflammation) had not completely been eliminated, or more generally that a TM diagnosis should not be held to the literal standard set by the criteria.” Id. (internal citation and quotation marks omitted). Petitioner thus contends “[such] an internal inconsistency, . . . [which led to] an entire category of proof (Althen prong 2) [being] deemed non-preponderant, is contrary to law and requires reversal.” Id. In its response to petitioner’s Althen prong two arguments, respondent notes “because the Chief Special Master found that petitioner did not satisfy Althen prong one, he was under no obligation to even address petitioner’s evidence, or the lack thereof, under the other Althen prongs.” Id. at 18 (citing W.C., 704 F.3d at 1358 (special master was not required to analyze evidence under Althen prong one, where the court already determined a petitioner had failed to meet preponderance standard under Althen prongs two and three)). Regarding petitioner’s allegation the Chief Special Master’s Althen prong two decision suffers internal inconsistency, respondent argues “[t]he Chief Special Master’s finding that petitioner had TM most certainly does not equate to a finding that petitioner’s TM was caused by his vaccination.” Id. at 18–19 (emphasis in original). Respondent maintains petitioner’s disagreement with the Chief Special Master’s “interpretation of the medical record regarding inflammation and other signs of TM” is “not justification to overturn the Chief Special Master’s well-reasoned finding” that there was “insufficient support in the record for the conclusion that the Tdap vaccine could have caused petitioner’s TM.” Id. at 19–20. The Court held oral argument on petitioner’s motion for review of the Chief Special Master’s decision on 15 June 2021. Order, ECF No. 126. IV. Legal Standards A. The Court’s Standard of Review of a Special Master’s Decision The Vaccine Act provides this Court jurisdiction to review a Special Master’s decision upon timely motion of either party. See 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(e)(1)–(2). In reviewing the record of the proceedings before the Special Master, the Court may: (1) “uphold the findings of fact and conclusions of law of the special master and sustain the special master’s decision;” (2) “set aside any findings of fact or conclusion of law of the special master found to be arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law and issue its own findings of fact and conclusions of law;” or (3) “remand the petition to the special master for - 20 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 21 of 41 further action in accordance with the court’s direction.” Id. § 300aa-12(e)(2). “Fact findings are reviewed . . . under the arbitrary and capricious standard; legal questions under the ‘not in accordance with law’ standard; and discretionary rulings under the abuse of discretion standard.” Saunders v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Human Servs., 25 F.3d 1031, 1033 (Fed. Cir. 1994) (quoting Munn v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Human Servs., 970 F.2d 863, 870 n.10 (Fed. Cir. 1992)). It is not the Court’s role “to reweigh the factual evidence, or to assess whether the special master correctly evaluated the evidence.” Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 219 F.3d 1357, 1360 (Fed. Cir. 2000) (quoting Munn, 970 F.2d at 871). The Court also does “not examine the probative value of the evidence or the credibility of the witnesses. These are all matters within the purview of the fact finder.” Id. (quoting Munn, 970 F.2d at 871). “Reversal is appropriate only when the special master’s decision is arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or not in accordance with the law.” Snyder ex rel. Snyder v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 88 Fed. Cl. 706, 718 (2009). The arbitrary and capricious standard “is a highly deferential standard of review:” “[i]f the special master has considered the relevant evidence of record, drawn plausible inferences and articulated a rational basis for the decision, reversible error will be extremely difficult to demonstrate.” Hines ex rel. Sevier v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Human Servs., 940 F.2d 1518, 1528 (Fed. Cir. 1991). B. The Standard of Causation in Vaccine Cases “A petitioner seeking compensation under the Vaccine Act must prove by a preponderance of the evidence that the injury or death at issue was caused by a vaccine.” Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 618 F.3d 1339, 1341 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (citing 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-11(c)(1), -13(a)(1)). “A petitioner can show causation under the Vaccine Act in one of two ways”: (1) “by showing that she sustained an injury in association with a vaccine listed in the Vaccine Injury Table,” in which case “causation is presumed”; or (2) “if the complained-of injury is not listed in the Vaccine Injury Table . . . the petitioner may seek compensation by proving causation in fact.” Id. at 1341–42 (internal citations omitted). Vaccine cases employ a burden shifting standard: “[o]nce the petitioner has demonstrated causation, she is entitled to compensation unless the government can show by a preponderance of the evidence that the injury is due to factors unrelated to the vaccine.” Id. at 1342 (citing Doe v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 601 F.3d 1349, 1351 (Fed. Cir. 2010); 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-13(a)(1)(B)). “When a petitioner has suffered an off-Table injury . . . [the Federal Circuit] has established the following test for showing causation in fact under the Vaccine Act:” [The petitioner’s] burden is to show by preponderant evidence that the vaccination brought about her injury by providing: (1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of a proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury. Broekelschen, 618 F.3d at 1345 (quoting Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 418 F.3d 1274, 1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005)). Under the first prong of Althen, “[a] petitioner must provide a - 21 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 22 of 41 ‘reputable medical or scientific explanation’ for its theory.” Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 941 F.3d 1351, 1359 (Fed. Cir. 2019) (quoting Moberly ex rel. Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 592 F.3d 1315, 1322 (Fed. Cir. 2010)). “While it does not require medical or scientific certainty, [the explanation] must still be ‘sound and reliable.’” Id. (quoting Knudsen ex rel. Knudsen v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Human Servs., 35 F.3d 543, 548–49 (Fed. Cir. 1994)). Petitioners “need not produce medical literature or epidemiological evidence to establish causation under the Vaccine Act.” Andreu ex rel. Andreu v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Human Servs., 569 F.3d 1367, 1379 (Fed. Cir. 2009). Where such evidence is introduced, it must not be viewed “through the lens of the laboratorian, but instead from the vantage point of the Vaccine Act’s preponderant evidence standard.” Id. at 1380. For satisfying the second Althen prong, “medical records and medical opinion testimony are favored in vaccine cases, as treating physicians are likely to be in the best position to determine whether ‘a logical sequence of cause and effect show[s] that the vaccination was the reason for the injury.’” Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 440 F.3d 1317, 1326 (Fed. Cir. 2006) (quoting Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280). Lastly, “the proximate temporal relationship prong requires preponderant proof that the onset of symptoms occurred within a timeframe for which, given the medical understanding of the disorder’s etiology, it is medically acceptable to infer causation-in-fact.” de Bazan v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 539 F.3d 1347, 1352 (Fed. Cir. 2008). V. Respondent’s Disputes with the Chief Special Master’s Decision In its brief, respondent urges the Court to leave the Chief Special Master’s decision undisturbed because the decision was not “arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or not in accordance with law,” and because the petitioner fails to show any “reversible error.” Resp. to Mot. for Review at 1. Nevertheless, during oral argument, respondent revealed it does not fully agree with the Chief Special Master’s decision. See Transcript, ECF No. 128 at 52:2–7 (“Tr.”) (government counsel responding to the Court’s observation that “it sounds like the [g]overnment does dispute certain aspects of the Chief Special Master’s decision,” by stating: “Yes. . . . I am not sure how this affects the outcome of the decision, but that is perhaps a different topic of discussion.”) Respondent disputes the Chief Special Master’s conclusion that petitioner’s injury is TM. Id. at 14:3–9 (Respondent’s counsel stating, “[w]e disagree [with the Chief Special Master's conclusion that petitioner experienced TM]. We think that SCI was the proper finding, but that’s not the decision he reached.”). Respondent maintains it preserves the argument in its responsive brief, where it discusses the Chief Special Master’s standard as applied to the “largely in equipoise” evidence in this case. Id. at 11:15–22, 12:5–9, 12:21–8. Respondent’s counsel emphasized during oral argument, “If the topic for discussion [at oral argument] was the diagnosis of transverse myelitis, [r]espondent still believes that stroke was the proper diagnosis.” Id. at 12:9–12. On the Chief Special Master’s conclusions surrounding Althen element one, respondent identifies a few aspects in the Baxter study where the Chief Special Master may have misconstrued the results due to lack of supporting information. Respondent recognizes the Chief Special Master’s characterization of the Baxter study—“within a field of nearly 64 million vaccinations (including almost six million Tdap recipients) derived from data maintained by the - 22 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 23 of 41 Vaccine Safety Datalink . . . [o]nly seven cases of TM were reported between 5-28 days post- vaccination”—is not a correct conclusion based on the data detailed in the study. Tr. at 79:9–4, 83:7–14 (respondent agreeing “that the [Chief] Special Master’s language [on Baxter] . . . of seven cases of TM doesn’t seem to be a correct conclusion based on the data that’s detailed in the Baxter discussion.”). According to respondent, “the supplementary data [of the Baxter study] . . . would perhaps be informative on this point,” but the Chief Special Master did not “have the supplementary data and/or cite the supplementary data.” Id. at 82:20–24, 83:15–17. Respondent also describes the Chief Special Master’s statistical discussion of the Baxter study as “on his own provid[ing] more details about the statistical analysis that was conducted in Baxter [than] Dr. Zamvil testified about.” Id. at 87:8–11. Regarding Althen element two, respondent disagrees with the Chief Special Master’s finding of I.J.’s symptom onset time. According to respondent, I.J.’s testimony during entitlement hearing does not support the Chief Special Master’s finding that “prior to [I.J.’s first MRI scan on 8 August 2013], I.J. recalled being fully mobile,” and “[i]mmediately following his MRI scan, however, I.J. lost all mobility from the neck down.” See Tr. at 49:15–50:22; Decision at 8. Respondent contends I.J. referred to the timing of the CT scan as the point he started to lose mobility, not the MRI scan. Tr. at 42:22–43:8 (Respondent’s counsel stated “[it] was the CT scan, not the MRI” “when I.J. was able to move his extremities [going in] and when he came out of the [scan] or immediately thereafter, he was not.”). Respondent acknowledges the timing of I.J.’s loss of mobility is critical because such timing marked the onset of I.J.’s symptoms, but disputes whether the timing of the onset was the time the CT scan or the first MRI was taken. Id. at 42:2–4, 43:19–22 (Respondent’s counsel stated “the goal here is to figure out when the MRI occurred.”). Respondent further disputes the Chief Special Master’s Althen element 3 decision. The Chief Special Master decided “the record and evidence offered in this matter does support the conclusion that [p]etitioner’s TM occurred in a medically acceptable timeframe, consistent with his causation theory.” Decision at 43 (emphasis omitted). Respondent clarified at oral argument, “[r]espondent’s position was that Petitioner did not meet Althen prong 3.” Tr. at 7:7– 8. Respondent is not contesting this issue simply because petitioner “did not raise this issue on appeal.” Id. at 7:9–15. “[T]o the extent it wasn’t raised on appeal,” however, respondent expressed at oral argument it “does not provide any sort of objection.” Id. at 7:10–12. VI. The Chief Special Master’s Althen Element One Decision To prove causation in fact in an off-Table vaccine case, the petitioner must “show by preponderant evidence that the vaccination brought about [the] injury by providing: (1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of a proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury.” Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 418 F.3d 1274, 1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005). The first element in Althen concerns whether a vaccine can cause petitioner’s injury. Id. at 1279. Here, the Chief Special Master noted, “[a]s a threshold matter, . . . [p]etitioner has mischaracterized the evidentiary standard that is applied to the first Althen prong.” Decision at 38. The Chief Special Master found petitioner erroneously “maintains that ‘reliable scientific evidence’ is not required to meet his preponderant - 23 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 24 of 41 burden” and “suggests a theory’s mere plausibility is enough to meet the preponderant standard—a contention that the Federal Circuit clearly rejected in the recent Boatmon decision.” Id. (citing Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Human Services, 941 F.3d 1351, 1359 (Fed. Cir. 2019)). The Chief Special Master further found the Baxter study attached in Dr. Zamvil’s report “greatly damages [p]etitioner’s causation theory,” because Baxter reported “[o]nly seven cases of TM . . . between 5-28 days post-vaccination” in “nearly 64 million vaccinations (including almost six million Tdap recipients)” and concluded “there was no reliably-demonstrated association between vaccination and the subsequent development of TM.” Id. at 39 (emphasis omitted). Regarding petitioner’s causation theory based on molecular mimicry, the Chief Special Master found, while molecular mimicry “is a generally accepted scientific explanation for many autoimmune diseases,” petitioner’s evidence failed to demonstrate molecular mimicry “likely does link the vaccine in question to the relevant injury.” Id. at 41. The Chief Special Master recognized “prior decisions like Raymo, Roberts, and Helman [holding Tdap vaccine can cause TM injury] rely on literature similar to that offered [by petitioner in this case], or more broadly involve theories parallel with [p]etitioner’s theory of autoimmunity attributable to molecular mimicry.” Id. at 40 (internal citations omitted). Nevertheless, the Chief Special Master found these decisions are “diminished by more recent determinations involving the same causal theories producing TM.” Id. (citing Forrest v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 14-1046V, 2019 WL 925495 at *3 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 28, 2019)). A. Petitioner’s Burden of Proof in Althen Element One To satisfy the first Althen factor, the petitioner must provide “a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury.” Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278. The theory need not be corroborated by medical literature or epidemiological evidence. Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 440 F.3d 1317, 1325 (Fed. Cir. 2006). The Federal Circuit’s instruction in Andreu is “[t]he first prong [of Althen] was satisfied . . . [when petitioner’s expert] presented a ‘biologically plausible’ theory establishing that toxins in the whole-cell pertussis vaccine can cause seizures.” Andreu ex rel. Andreu v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Human Servs., 569 F.3d 1367, 1375 (Fed. Cir. 2009); see also Knudsen ex. rel. Knudsen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 35 F.3d 543, 550 (Fed. Cir. 1994) (finding “it is entirely plausible, and contemplated by the statute, that DTP may cause an encephalopathy”). In his opinion, the Chief Special Master suggested the later Federal Circuit decision of Boatmon overruled Andreu’s biological plausibility standard for Althen element one. Decision at 38 (“Petitioner also erroneously suggests a theory’s mere plausibility is enough to meet the preponderant standard—a contention that the Federal Circuit clearly rejected in the recent Boatmon decision.”). In its 2019 Boatmon decision, the Federal Circuit stated: “we have consistently . . . reiterated that a ‘plausible’ or ‘possible’ causal theory does not satisfy the standard.” Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1360 (citing Moberly ex rel. Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 592 F.3d 1315, 1322 (Fed. Cir. 2010), LaLonde v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 746 F.3d 1334, 1339 (Fed. Cir. 2014) (quoting Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322)). It is noteworthy that the Boatmon court’s holding specifies “a ‘plausible’ or ‘possible’ causal theory does not satisfy the standard.” Id. (emphasis added). Althen articulates causation in fact in an off-table vaccine case has three elements: (1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the - 24 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 25 of 41 vaccination was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of a proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury. Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278. In the section of the Boatmon opinion where the Federal Circuit rejected a merely “plausible” theory as sufficient to establish causation, the Federal Circuit was specifically analyzing the overall standard for “petitioners’ burden to prove actual causation by a preponderance of the evidence in off-table cases,” not a standard for Althen element one. Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1360. The Boatmon court reserved a separate section to discuss Althen element one, where the court used “a sound and reliable medical theory of [causation]” as the legal standard to review the special master’s decision. See id. at 1360–62. A further reading into the Moberly and LaLonde decisions cited by the Boatmon court confirms the Federal Circuit did not overrule the “biological plausibility” standard for Althen element one. In Moberly, the Federal Circuit held petitioner erroneously characterized the standard for causation as “whether [petitioner’s] condition was ‘likely caused’ by the DPT vaccine,” and the Federal Circuit criticized the “likely caused” formulation being “something closer to proof of a ‘plausible’ or ‘possible’ causal link between the vaccine and the injury, which is not the statutory standard.” Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322. The Moberly court cited Andreu in discussing Althen element one, where the court distinguished Moberly from Andreu because “in Andreu . . . the government’s expert witness did not dispute the biological plausibility of the theory . . . . In this case, by contrast, the government’s expert witness did not concede the biological plausibility of the . . . theory, and in fact testified that people in the field don’t think it’s biologically plausible.” Id. at 1325 (citing Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1377) (internal quotation marks omitted). Similarly, in LaLonde, the Federal Circuit held “a ‘plausible’ theory of causation is insufficient for a petitioner to meet [the] burden of proof” necessary for the petitioner to receive her requested relief in off-table vaccine case. LaLonde, 746 F.3d at 1339 (quoting Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322). The Federal Circuit did not reject outright the “plausibility” standard for a medical theory in LaLonde, but instead said the petitioner must “show both the medical plausibility of her theory of causation and that the injury was consistent with that theory.” Id. at 1340 (citing Hibbard v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 698 F.3d 1355, 1365 (Fed. Cir. 2012)). In Kottenstette v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs, an unpublished Federal Circuit opinion issued on 15 June 2021 overruling the Court of Federal Claims for applying an incorrect legal standard, the Federal Circuit clarified the issue of the appropriate standard since Boatmon. Kottenstette v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., No. 2020-2282, 2021 WL 2434329, at *1 (Fed. Cir. June 15, 2021). In Kottenstette, the special master summarized the Althen element one standard as “a search for ‘medical probability rather than certainty’” and explained “‘medical probability means biologic credibility rather than specification of an exact biologic mechanism.’” Id. at *6 (citing Kottenstette v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs. (Kottenstette I), No. 15-1016V, 2020 WL 953484, at *2–3 (Fed. Cl. Feb. 12, 2020)). The Court of Federal Claims held the special master applied an incorrect legal standard, stating “biologic credibility is not sufficiently distinguishable from the ‘plausible’ or ‘reasonable’ standard that the Federal Circuit rejected in Boatmon.” Id. (internal quotation marks omitted) (citing Kottenstette I at *3). The Federal Circuit in Kottenstette held “the . . . special master applied the correct legal standard. Thus, the . . . Court of Federal Claims decision vacating and remanding her decision is in error.” Id. The court stated the special master’s standard correctly follows the Federal Circuit’s precedents “that - 25 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 26 of 41 proof of causation does not ‘require identification and proof of specific biological mechanisms.’” Id. at *7 (quoting Knudsen, 35 F.3d at 549). The Federal Circuit explicitly stated “Boatmon did not, and indeed, could not, overrule these previous articulations of the standard for causation.” Id. During oral argument, petitioner characterizes the Althen element one standard as: “a claimant’s theory of causation must be supported by a reputable medical and scientific explanation.” Tr. at 71:20–22. Respondent agrees with this standard and adds Andreu requires the explanation must be supported by “a simple preponderance of the evidence.” Id. at 71:25– 72:2, 71:4–7. Petitioner “absolutely” agrees the preponderant standard is applicable, but expresses the concern that “to apply [the preponderant standard] to the requirement of evidence for prong 1 . . . is not exactly correct,” as “there’s a conflict of concepts with [Althen element one and the evidential standard],” and “that may be where the confusion is.” Id. at 67:25–68:3. The Federal Circuit’s Kottenstette decision came out after oral argument in this case, and therefore the Court did not have the opportunity to solicit the parties’ opinions on the Althen element one standard in view of Kottenstette. Nevertheless, the Federal Circuit’s clarification in Kottenstette resolves petitioner’s confusion in applying the preponderant standard to Althen element one: “proof of causation does not ‘require identification and proof of specific biological mechanisms,’” and “Boatmon did not, and indeed, could not, overrule these previous articulations of the standard for causation.” Kottenstette, 2021 WL 2434329, at *7 (quoting Knudsen, 35 F.3d at 549). Accordingly, the Court finds the Chief Special Master erroneously suggested Boatmon overruled Andreu’s biological plausibility standard for Althen element one. Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1375 (“The first prong was satisfied . . . [when petitioner’s expert] presented a ‘biologically plausible’ theory establishing that toxins in the whole-cell pertussis vaccine can cause seizures.”); Decision at 38. B. The Chief Special Master’s Reliance on the Baxter Study as Providing “Comprehensive, Contrary Evidence” Roger Baxter et al., Acute Demyelinating Events Following Vaccines: A Case-Centered Analysis, 63 CLIN. INFECT. DIS. 1456 (2016), referred by the Chief Special Master as the Baxter study, is Reference 12 in petitioner’s expert Dr. Zamvil’s report. ECF No. 32-3. Dr. Zamvil cited the Baxter study only once in his report, as a reference for his opinion that “[t]he association of transverse myelitis and Tetanus toxoid (TT)-containing vaccination was clear. As transverse myelitis following TDaP is a rare event, however, one should recognize that it has been challenging for epidemiologists to establish a relative risk.” See ECF No. 31-1 at 7 (Dr. Zamvil’s expert report); see also Decision at 13. The Chief Special Master described Baxter as: “[A] large-scale, comprehensive epidemiological study aimed at examining the risk of demyelinating event following vaccination generally, and evaluated instances of the occurrence of two acute demyelinating diseases (TM and ADEM) within a field of nearly 64 million vaccinations (including almost six million Tdap recipients) derived from data maintained by the Vaccine Safety Datalink . . . [o]nly seven cases of TM were reported between 5-28 days post-vaccination—the very timeframe - 26 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 27 of 41 applicable herein. . . . Baxter concluded that there was no reliably-demonstrated association between vaccination and the subsequent development of TM.” Decision at 39 (emphasis and internal citations omitted). The Chief Special Master took special note that, while “Dr. Zamvil expressly relied on the Baxter article to support an association between TM and receipt of the Tdap vaccine,” “his assertions regarding its findings essentially ignored what is so glaringly unfavorable about them.” Id. at 39–40. The Chief Special Master acknowledged “Dr. Zamvil also relied on a series of case reports documenting instances of TM following vaccination,” such as the Agmon-Levin reports, to support the association of TM and Tdap vaccines. Decision at 14. According to the Chief Special Master, Agmon-Levin reported four “TM [incidences] after receiving either the diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis vaccine or the diphtheria-tetanus vaccine” and “found seventy-three percent of TM cases were reported within one month of vaccination, consistent with the timeframe [I.J.] experienced.” Id. The Chief Special Master found “[t]hese case reports overall had some evidentiary value . . . . But they are not enough to meet the preponderant burden, especially given the far more comprehensive, contrary evidence provided by Baxter.” Id. at 42. Petitioner strongly objects to the Chief Special Master’s reliance on the Baxter study, maintaining “[t]he record is completely insufficient for the Chief Special Master to have placed the weight that he placed on Baxter . . . and that was the case breaker. . . . And there just was insufficient data, insufficient discussion, insufficient analysis for the Chief Special Master to draw the conclusions that he did.” Tr. at 98:6–14. In particular, petitioner directs the Court to consider that “[t]he underlying data [in Baxter] was not filed,” and “Dr. Zamvil’s reliance on Baxter was for a very different purpose than what the Chief Special Master focused on.” Id. at 98:17–19. Respondent agrees with petitioner in many aspects. Respondent agrees “Dr. Zamvil used Baxter as a case summary report, and the [Chief] Special Master used Baxter as an epidemiological study.” Id. at 101:24–102:2. Respondent further notes “the Chief Special Master on his own provided more details about the statistical analysis that was conducted in Baxter that Dr. Zamvil testified about.” Id. at 87:8–11. Respondent notes the Chief Special Master’s findings on the Baxter study are not supported by a close reading of the article and, while supplementary data is needed to understand the Baxter study, the Chief Special Master did not “have the supplementary data and/or cite the supplementary data.” Id. at 82:19–83:17. In response to a question of why the Court should still uphold the Chief Special Master’s decision with all these shortcomings, the respondent argues, “even if we were to ignore Baxter, the outcome would still be the same.” Id. at 92:18–21. 1. The Data and Statistical Analysis in the Baxter Study The Chief Special Master found “within a field of nearly 64 million vaccinations (including almost six million Tdap recipients) derived from data maintained by the Vaccine Safety Datalink . . . [o]nly seven cases of TM were reported between 5-28 days post- vaccination—the very timeframe applicable herein.” Decision at 39. During oral argument, respondent helped the Court understand the correct reading of the Baxter study, based on the data reported in Table 1 and Table 4 of the article, should be “there was one total risk case per one - 27 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 28 of 41 million doses of each vaccine,” and respondent does not “see where that seven number comes from except in the results section [of the article’s Abstract].” Tr. at 82:5–7, 82:19–22, 83:21–24 (When the Court asked respondent’s counsel whether “the Court’s assessment that Table 4 read together with Table 1 details that the total risk cases, the explanation is one TM case per 1 million vaccines administered,” respondent’s counsel replied “that’s what Table 4 would suggest.”). The Court therefore notes the Chief Special Master’s reading of the Baxter study— seven cases of TM reported in 64 million vaccinations—does not accurately reflect the data in the article. Respondent nevertheless suggested the Chief Special Master’s mistaken reading of the numbers would not change the outcome, because the Baxter study noted “no increased risk was found for TM following Tdap and that . . . was a statistically significant conclusion.” Tr. at 83:2–4; see also Decision at 39. On the Baxter study’s statistical analysis, respondent agrees with the Court’s suggestion that one important number in Table 4 of the study is the P value for each vaccine, because “[t]o reach a conclusion that a certain vaccine statistically increases the risk of TM, the P value would have to be lower than something similar to .05.” Tr. 84:4–9. To calculate a P value for the purpose of rejecting or admitting an association, there must be a study group and a control group. 22 See Richard C. Dicker, The CDC Field Epidemiology Manual, EPIDEMIC INTELLIGENCE SERVICE, ANALYZING AND INTERPRETING DATA (Dec. 13, 2018), https://www.cdc.gov/eis/field-epi-manual/chapters/analyze-Interpret- Data.html#anchor_1543585004 (describing an alternative hypothesis will be adopted if the null hypothesis, the assumption being made, proves to be implausible). The Court struggles to understand from the Chief Special Master’s decision what the control group is in the Baxter study, and respondent could not lend help except for speculating the information might be in the supplemental data which neither the Chief Special Master nor respondent had access to.23 Tr. at 83:15–17, 85:3–7. Respondent further comments the Chief Special Master “on his own provided more details about the statistical analysis” than what was provided by Dr. Zamvil. Id. at 87:8– 12. In conclusion, the Court finds both parties at least agree the Chief Special Master made important factual findings regarding the Baxter study without being presented with sufficient evidence to support the findings. Respondent suggests the Court focuses on Dr. Zamvil’s testimony regarding the Baxter study, where Dr. Zamvil testified “the case control study was a fairly reliable type of evidence” that revealed no statistically significant increased risk of immunization for TM. Id. at 90:1–6. 22 Basic statistics books, including Gary L. Tietjen, A Topical Dictionary of Statistics at 37–38, and the CDC website, Richard C. Dicker, The CDC Field Epidemiology Manual, EPIDEMIC INTELLIGENCE SERVICE, ANALYZING AND INTERPRETING DATA (Dec. 13, 2018), https://www.cdc.gov/eis/field-epi-manual/chapters/analyze-Interpret- Data.html#anchor_1543585004, can help understand the Chief Special Master’s statistical findings in reference to the Baxter Study. A p-value is the probability of finding an association as strong as, or stronger than, the one observed if the null hypothesis were true. A small p-value means the null hypothesis is implausible. If p-value is smaller that a predetermined cutoff, the null hypothesis is rejected in favor of the alternative hypothesis. A rejection of the null hypothesis means the association is statistically significant. 23 On page 21 of the Chief Special Master’s decision, he wrote “Dr. Levin compared incidence rates between TM and spinal cord infarction, finding that . . . TM is . . . occurring in 3 per 100,000 person-years.” This is the only possible, though seemingly remote, information about the Baxter study’s control group the Court could identify throughout the Chief Special Master’s decision. Tr. at 85:8–14. Respondent’s counsel explained to the Court the question is beyond her level of statistical knowledge, and Dr. Levin, who supplied the “TM occurring in 3 per 100,000 person-years” statement, did not testify about the Baxter study. Id. at 86:7–22. - 28 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 29 of 41 The Court notes, and respondent agrees, Dr. Zamvil relied on the Baxter study for a different purpose than the Chief Special Master did. Id. at 90:7–9; see also id. at 101:24–102:2 (Respondent’s counsel agreeing “Dr. Zamvil used Baxter as a case summary report, and the Special Master used Baxter as an epidemiological study.”). Respondent suggests “for what the Chief Special Master understood the holdings of Baxter to be,” he assigned correct weight to the Baxter study in his decision, but at oral argument before the Court “shed some additional light on what Baxter stands for more.” Id. at 106:8–16. Respondent specially notes the discussion of lack of supplementary data and what Table 4 of the Baxter study shows. Id. at 101:18–20. Given the “additional light” oral argument shed on the Baxter study, respondent maintains “the Baxter study has some value in terms of its conclusions regarding no association between TM and [Tdap vaccine].” Id. at 101:21–23. Respondent agrees it is a “fair statement” that “a large-scale statistical study . . . has a whole lot of data in it that stands for a variety of things” and “that the statistical value that Dr. Zamvil, as an expert who probably also had access to all of the underlying data used in one calculation, is far different than the statistical analysis used to describe a conclusion related [to] something else, especially without a statistical background and review of the underlying data and regressions and calculations.” Tr. at 90:16–91:2. In this case, the record is too incomplete for the Chief Special Master to draw plausible inferences from the simple statistical conclusion presented by the Baxter study. Furthermore, the Chief Special Master relied on the Baxter study as “far more comprehensive, contrary evidence” to counter the probative value of other evidence by the petitioner, such as the Agmon-Levin case reports, and “the far more comprehensive contrary evidence provided by Baxter” is connected with the numbers the Chief Special Master discussed as related to Baxter. Decision at 42; see also Tr. at 88:2–13. As discussed above, the Chief Special Master’s findings of the numbers in Baxter, including a plain reading of the data and the statistical analysis, is not supported by the record. Accordingly, the Court finds the Chief Special Master’s decision that the Baxter study provides “far more comprehensive, contrary evidence” is not supported by the record, and thus is arbitrary and capricious. Saunders v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Human Servs., 25 F.3d 1031, 1033 (Fed. Cir. 1994) (quoting Munn v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Human Servs., 970 F.2d 863, 870 n.10 (Fed. Cir. 1992)) (“Fact findings are reviewed . . . under the arbitrary and capricious standard.”); see also Paluck v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 786 F.3d 1373, 1380 (Fed. Cir. 2015) (“Where, as here, a special master . . . misconstrues [a petitioner’s] medical records, and makes factual inferences wholly unsupported by the record, the Court of Federal Claims is not only authorized, but obliged, to set aside the special master's findings of fact and conclusions of law.”). 2. The Chief Special Master’s Consideration of the Baxter Study in Other Cases The 2016 Baxter study collected and analyzed data for 18 types of vaccines from the CDC’s Vaccine Safety Datalink, and concluded “[f]or TM, we found no evidence of a safety concern, or any association with subsequent illness [for any of the 18 vaccines]. If there is any association, it is <1 per million doses for vaccines other than live zoster and live attenuated influenza vaccines, and <2 per million doses of these 2 vaccines.” Baxter study at 1461. For - 29 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 30 of 41 some vaccines including Hepatitis B, the Baxter study concluded there is zero risk case per one million vaccine receivers. Id. at 1460. The Chief Special Master considered the Baxter study in other cases since the study’s publication, including Bender v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 11-693V, 2018 WL 3679637 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jul. 2, 2018) and McGrail v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 17-926V, 2021 WL 1728706 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 23, 2021). In Bender, the Chief Special Master denied compensation for TM the petitioner alleged was caused by the Hepatitis A and meningococcal vaccines. Bender, 2018 WL 3679637 at *1–2. The respondent in Bender offered the Baxter study to undermine petitioner’s causation theory for TM. Id. at *30. The Chief Special Master considered the Baxter study but concluded it did not “stand as [his] primary basis for finding the [p]etitioner did not establish a plausible causation theory.” Id. Petitioner’s Althen element one demonstration in Bender failed for many reasons, including petitioner providing no evidence linking the particular vaccines to her injury and her experts “being significantly less persuasive” than respondent’s. Id. at *29, 31. In McGrail, the Chief Special Master awarded compensation for TM the petitioner was able to show—by a preponderance of evidence—was caused by the Hepatitis B vaccine. McGrail, 2021 WL 1728706 at *1. As with Bender, the respondent offered Baxter to undercut petitioner’s causation theory. Id. at *26. The Chief Special Master considered Baxter and found it “does undercut [p]etitioner’s showing.” Id. The Chief Special Master nevertheless found the petitioners successfully met the Althen element one burden for the following reasons: petitioners’ experts “offered enough reliable scientific and medical evidence [including molecular mimicry and case studies] . . . to provide a preponderant ‘can cause’ theory relating the Hepatitis B vaccine to TM”; “existing [Vaccine] Program decisions [finding causation between Hepatitis B and TM] also helped [p]etitioners”; and treaters’ opinions pointing out Hepatitis B as the likely cause of the disease. Id. at 25. The Chief Special Master concluded petitioners “barely met their preponderant burden on this first element,” and “well-reasoned and controlling precedent in the Vaccine Program requires” the Chief Special Master “in such close cases to decide the matter for the petitioner.” Id. at 26. Petitioner argues the Chief Special Master’s reliance on the Baxter study in this case is “undue and burden-heightening” compared to his discussion of Baxter in Bender. Mot. for Review at 32. Petitioner was not aware of McGrail at oral argument, but respondent brought it to the Court’s attention to demonstrate the Baxter study does not block every vaccine compensation claim. Tr. at 96:24–97:13, 102:3–7. Respondent argues McGrail is distinguishable from the present case because the respondent, rather than the petitioners, was the party in McGrail which offered Baxter to support its position, but respondent could not offer a legal explanation to justify different interpretations of evidence when offered by different parties. Id. at 104:5–105:9. Respondent does not dispute the Chief Special Master read Baxter in a more favorable light for petitioner in McGrail, regardless of Baxter finding zero increased risk for Hepatitis B per one million doses. Id. at 105:9–20 (respondent stating “all [she] can say [on Baxter being read in a more favorable light in McGrail] is that each case is very specific to the facts and the evidence and findings of the Chief Special Master, and one decision is not binding on another.”). Respondent nevertheless maintains, “to the extent that the Chief Special Master reached a different decision about Baxter in a different case with different evidence and a different vaccine, . . . that’s something that he is allowed to do as a Chief Special Master.” Id. at - 30 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 31 of 41 106:1–6. Respondent further noted, in McGrail, the Chief Special Master credited a previous omnibus proceeding which found Hepatitis B was causal of TM. Id. at 106:21–24. In the present case, the Chief Special Master acknowledged several previous decisions finding Tdap being causal of TM, but refused to credit these decisions. Decision at 40 (citing Roberts v. Sec’y of Health and Human Servs., No. 09-427V, 2013 WL 5314698 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Aug. 29, 2013); Raymo v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 11-0654V, 2014 WL 1092274 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 24, 2014); Helman v. Sec’y of Health and Human Servs., No. 10-813V, 2012 WL 1607142 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 5, 2012)). Respondent explained the Chief Special Master’s contrasting treatment of previous decisions in McGrail, as compared to this case, is due to the factual and procedural differences linking vaccines to TM. Tr. at 107:17–108:23. The Chief Special Master assigned consistent weight to the Baxter study in Bender and McGrail: The Chief Special Master found the Baxter study “does undercut [p]etitioner’s showing,” but he either decided it was not sufficient to rebut petitioner’s Althen element one showing or it did not “stand as [the] primary basis for finding the [p]etitioner did not establish a plausible causation theory.” McGrail, 2021 WL 1728706 at *26; Bender, 2018 WL 3679637 at *30. In this case, the Chief Special Master found the Baxter study provided “far more comprehensive, contrary evidence” against petitioner’s Althen element one showings. Decision at 42. Petitioner complains the Chief Special Master elevated the Baxter study to “not the tie- breaker, but the case-breaker” weight in this case despite the record being “completely insufficient for the Chief Special Master to have placed the weight that he placed.” Tr. at 98:5– 11. Respondent describes the Baxter study in McGrail as “just one element,” and “in and of itself, . . . not a tie-breaker.” Id. at 97:9–10. Regarding the Baxter study itself, the only difference in the weight of the study between this case and in Bender and McGrail is the fact Baxter was offered as petitioner’s evidence in this case, and I.J. offered the Baxter study to show possible association between Tdap vaccine and TM. The Chief Special Master read the Baxter study differently than petitioner’s expert, finding the expert “essentially ignored what is so glaringly unfavorable” to petitioner in Baxter. Decision at 40. The Court understands special masters are not required to distinguish other relevant cases. Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1358. The Chief Special Master cannot, however, read the exact same evidence differently in different cases solely because it is offered by a different party. Here, the Court finds the Chief Special Master’s conclusion that the Baxter study provided “far more comprehensive, contrary evidence” in this case troublesome because of the stark contrast in the weight the Special Master’s assigned to the Baxter study in this case versus Bender and McGrail.24 24 The Baxter study does not completely disavow the association of TM and vaccines, but rather claimed “[i]f there is any association, it is <1 per million doses for vaccines other than live zoster and live attenuated influenza vaccines, and <2 per million doses of these 2 vaccines.” Baxter study at 1461. An extremely low rate of association does not preclude the possibility of compensation, especially in view of the statutory purpose of the Vaccine Act. See Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1364 (Newman, P., dissenting) (quoting National Childhood Vaccine-Injury Compensation Act: Hearing on S.2117 Before the S. Comm. on Labor & Human Res., 98th Cong. 3–4 (1984) (“These few but important injuries create doubts and fears in our National Childhood Vaccination Programs. . . . We must be able to assure parents that when their children are the victims of an appropriate and rational national policy, a compassionate Government will assist them in their hour of need.”)). Respondent maintains vaccine compensation is not predicated upon any particular rate of association between the injury and the vaccine. Tr. at 95:22–96:3 (When asked if “the rate of one in a million [is] too low for vaccine compensation,” respondent’s counsel stated “I - 31 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 32 of 41 C. The Chief Special Master’s Finding Related to Petitioner’s Burden of Proof for Molecular Mimicry Theory Petitioner relied on molecular mimicry to show the Tdap vaccine can cause TM. Mot. to Review at 32. Petitioner’s expert found homologies between a protein antigen in Tdap and human myelin proteins as “supporting the principle that TDaP has potential to activate the immune response to CNS autoantigens.” Id. The Chief Special Master acknowledged molecular mimicry is a “generally accepted scientific explanation for many autoimmune diseases.” Decision at 41. The Chief Special Master also acknowledges previous cases, including Raymo, Roberts, and Helman, found Tdap vaccines can cause TM, but concluded “the applicability of prior decisions like Raymo, Roberts, and Helman—all of which rely on literature similar to that offered herein, or more broadly involve theories parallel with [p]etitioner’s theory of autoimmunity attributable to molecular mimicry—is . . . diminished by more recent determinations involving the same causal theories producing TM.” Decision at 40 (citing Forrest, 2019 WL 925495, at *3). Petitioner argues Forrest was wrongly decided because it “runs afoul of the principle that petitioners in the Vaccine Program need not prove their cases with scientific certainty.” Mot. to Review at 34 (citing Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322). Respondent agrees “Forrest is not consistent with Raymo, Roberts, and Helman.” Tr. at 116:14–21. Respondent further argues Forrest is significantly distinguishable from Raymo, Roberts, and Helman because Forrest addressed a petitioner seeking compensation under the claim the flu vaccine caused their TM. Id. at 117:7– 17. Respondent also argues Raymo, Roberts, and Helman were wrongly decided, because “if the Forrest standard was held to those cases, those petitioners would not have established molecular mimicry.” Id. at 115:23–116:21 (“I don't think that Raymo and Roberts were correctly decided or that the appropriate standard was used there. . . . I agree the Forrest decision is not consistent with Roberts, Raymo, . . . [and] Helman.”). Respondent explains “in Roberts, the Special Master discusses how molecular mimicry is plausible,” but “Boatmon made very clear that plausib[ility] is insufficient.” Id. at 116:4–10. As discussed in Section VI(A), the Federal Circuit warned “Boatmon did not, and indeed, could not, overrule these previous articulations of the standard for causation.” Kottenstette, 2021 WL 2434329, at *7. The “biological plausibility” standard still applies for Althen element one. Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1375 (“The first prong was satisfied . . . [when petitioner’s expert] presented a ‘biologically plausible’ theory establishing that toxins in the whole-cell pertussis vaccine can cause seizures.”). Accordingly, to the extent the Chief Special Master found Forrest discredited Raymo, Roberts, and Helman because Boatmon abolished the plausibility standard of Andreu, the Chief Special Master’s decision is “not in accordance with law.” Saunders, 25 F.3d at 1033 don’t think that vaccine compensation is predicated upon any particular rate.”). As respondent notes, a zero rate of association between Hepatitis B and TM reported by Baxter did not preclude the Chief Special Master from awarding award compensation in McGrail. Id. at 96:24–97:13; Baxter study at 1460. Respondent further notes “the Baxter study— like all epidemiological studies—can never prove definitively that Factor A never causes Condition B.” Resp. to Mot. for Review at 12 (internal quotation marks omitted) (citing Bender, 2018 WL 3679637, at *30 (quoting Crutchfield v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 09-0039V, 2014 WL 1665227, at *15 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 7, 2014))); see also Tr. 100:10–16 (“[N]o study can say that a vaccine can’t cause a particular injury . . . . That's just an impossible thing for any epidemiological study to establish.”). - 32 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 33 of 41 (quoting Munn, 970 F.2d 870 n.10) (“[L]egal questions [are reviewed] under the ‘not in accordance with law’ standard.”); Decision at 40 (citing Forrest in support of the prospect “the applicability of prior decisions . . . [is] diminished by more recent determinations involving the same causal theories producing TM.”). On remand, the Chief Special Master should review petitioner’s molecular mimicry showings under the correct legal standard.25 D. Conclusion Regarding Althen Element One The Court does not address the question of whether petitioner offered sufficient evidence to establish Althen element I through the molecular mimicry standard. Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 219 F.3d 1357, 1360 (Fed. Cir. 2000) (quoting Munn, 970 F.2d at 871) (noting it is not the reviewing court’s role “to reweigh the factual evidence, or to assess whether the special master correctly evaluated the evidence.”).26 Rather, the Court finds the Chief Special Master applied an incorrect legal standard to weigh the evidence and that such a decision was arbitrary, capricious, and not in accordance with law. See supra. On remand, the Chief Special Master should reweigh the parties’ arguments under the correct legal standard. VII. The Chief Special Master’s Althen Element Two Decision The second Althen element concerns whether the vaccine did cause petitioner’s injury. Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 418 F.3d 1274, 1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005). The Chief Special Master discussed Althen element two and element three after he decided petitioner failed to prove Althen element one. Decision at 42 (“Petitioner’s claim cannot succeed, given his failure to meet at least one of the three Althen prongs. . . . However, for purposes of completion of my overall analysis, I will also discuss his success in meeting the other two.”). The Chief Special Master found petitioner failed to meet Althen element two due primarily to two evidentiary shortcomings: (1) “there was hardly any testing evidence (whether from serologic sampling or MRI imaging) that would establish the existence of inflammation—a telltale sign confirming the presence of the autoimmune process that [p]etitioner’s causation theory proposes”; and (2) “no treaters ever proposed that [p]etitioner’s injury, however defined, was likely caused by his prior Tdap vaccine.” Id. at 41–42. 25 The Forrest decision was not reviewed by this court or the Federal Circuit. Therefore, the Forrest standard has no precedential value. 26 Petitioner relied on BLAST search results to find homologies between a protein antigen in Tdap to human myeline proteins, which supports petitioner’s molecular mimicry theory. Mot. to Review at 26. Respondent criticizes the use of BLAST as “a case-oriented search and therefore . . . less reliable and persuasive.” Tr. at 112:13–16. Respondent further maintains Dr. Zamvil “kind of stopped with the homology,” and argues “those sequences alone are [not] enough to establish that they would be biologically meaningful and would actually result in autoantibodies.” Id. at 114:2–10; see also Decision at 41 (“[M]erely demonstrating some homology between vaccine components and relevant self-structures based on computer database searches does not carry the day.”). Petitioner directs the Court to look at Dr. Zamvil’s report beyond only the BLAST search, noting “he went on to explain in detail the mechanisms supported by the medical literature, how it could cause this injury.” Tr. at 118:14– 20. Petitioner characterizes the BLAST search as “just one confirmatory tool based on a government database that was used to support the theory, conforming with the requirement that there be an explanation that’s reliable and reputable.” Id. at 118:22–1. Whether Dr. Zamvil’s approach is sufficiently reliable and persuasive to meet the preponderance of evidence standard is a question best addressed by the Chief Special Master on remand. Lampe, 219 F.3d at 1360. - 33 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 34 of 41 A. Testing Evidence of Inflammation The medical definition of transverse myelitis is inflammation of the spinal cord in which the functional effect of the lesions spans the width of the entire cord at a given level. W.A. Newman Dorland, DORLAND’S ILLUSTRATED MEDICAL DICTIONARY 1201 (33rd ed. 2020). Respondent’s expert, Dr. Alexander, provided the same definition of TM to the Chief Special Master: “Transverse myelitis . . . is defined by finding evidence of inflammation, seen either by gadolinium enhancement on MRI or CSF pleocytosis, or both.” Alexander Ex. Rep. 1 at 9; see also Decision at 22 (citing 2019 Tr. at 301:10–11 (Dr. Alexander testifying, “[t]ransverse myelitis describes, you know, an inflammation of the cord.”)). According to the TM Working Group criteria, the application of which both parties agreed with before the Chief Special Master, inflammation is one inclusion criteria for diagnosing TM. Decision at 35 (“The parties seemed to agree that the TM Working Group criteria were a good general yardstick for evaluating if TM was present in this case.”); Proposed Diagnostic Criteria and Nosology of Acute Transverse Myelitis, ECF No. 63-4 at 500 (Diagnosis criteria established by the Transverse Myelitis Consortium Working Group). During oral argument, respondent again confirms, “[t]o the extent that Dr. Alexander testified that transverse myelitis is inflammation of the spinal cord, in many cases that’s correct. . . . [M]yelitis literally means inflammation of the spinal cord.” Tr. at 21:16–19. Petitioner argues the Chief Special Master’s conclusion petitioner suffered from TM internally contradicts the finding of no inflammation. Mot. for Review at 37 (“The [Chief] Special Master relied upon a purported absence of inflammation as undermining the diagnosis of TM. The [Chief] Special Master himself also suggested the possibility that the TM . . . might have been prompted by a respiratory infection.”). At oral argument, respondent tried to defend the Chief Special Master’s decision by arguing it is the petitioner’s burden, not respondent’s, “to prove whether or not there’s inflammation.” Tr. at 25:23–25. At oral argument, respondent told the Court inflammation is “an essential piece . . . to have transverse myelitis, and especially vaccine-induced transverse myelitis,” and the Chief Special Master’s decision “was not faithful to the transverse myelitis working group.” Id. at 23:3–5, 23:24–24:2. Respondent further stated it is “essentially correct” to summarize the government’s position as: “there was no inflammation of the [p]etitioner's spinal cord[,] and that a lack of inflammation of the spinal cord should have resulted in the [Chief] Special Master concluding that there was not TM[,] and that the conclusion that there was TM was inconsistent with the finding of no inflammation of the spinal cord.” Id. at 24:11–18. The discussion with respondent on the relationship of inflammation and TM reveals both petitioner and respondent hold the position that the Chief Special Master’s decision on TM is inconsistent with his finding of no inflammation. Petitioner maintains the Chief Special Master’s statement that “there was hardly any testing [to support inflammation]” and his “dismissal of the testing” is arbitrary and capricious. Id. at 35:20–21; see also Mot. for Review at 37 (“The [Chief] Special Master’s interpretation of the medical record was arbitrary and capricious, requiring reversal. Moreover, the Decision by the Special Master was rendered irrational by an internal inconsistency fundamental to [p]etitioner’s case”) (emphasis omitted). The government agrees “[I.J.] underwent a number of tests. It’s [respondent’s argument] that those tests didn’t show inflammation.” Tr. at 36:20–21. - 34 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 35 of 41 Petitioner first cites to the MRI testing done on 17 August 2013 (“17 August MRI”) as supporting inflammation. Mot. for Review at 37–38. I.J.’s medical record shows he underwent two rounds of MRI testing, one on 8 August 2013 (“8 August MRI”), and the other on 17 August 2013. Med. Recs. 50-2 at 1–2; Med. Recs. 8-2 at 10; see also Tr. at 28:6–8, 29:2–4 (Petitioner’s counsel stating, “I don't think there were more than two MRIs,” and respondent’s counsel stating, “I agree with [petitioner’s counsel], there was only one second MRI conducted.”). The parties do not dispute the 8 August MRI did not show inflammation, and petitioner explained this is because “TM typically shows a lack of inflammation early in the disease process.” Mot. for Review at 37; see also Tr. at 37:22–24 (“Respondent’s expert opined that only the second MRI, the 8/17 showed any sort of enhancement.”); Mot. for Review at 37 (“[W]hile there was no gadolinium enhancement on the initial MRI, the follow up just a few days later did so reflect gadolinium enhancement.”). The parties do not dispute the 17 August MRI showed enhancement that was not in the 8 August MRI, but disagree on whether the enhancement is inflammation. Tr. at 29:19–22 (Petitioner arguing “that the August 17th MRI . . . show[s] inflammation.”), 37:24–38:2 (Respondent’s counsel arguing “8/17 is like nine days post onset. That’s much too late to show evidence of inflammation if we are going to decide that this is transverse myelitis.”). Respondent argues, because the 17 August MRI was taken outside the 2–7 day post-onset window, “it’s difficult to relate that back . . . to a vaccine or an immune- mediated event.” Id. at 41:14–21. Nevertheless, respondent could not identify the exact onset time of I.J.’s symptoms—whether at the CT scan or the first MRI—and disputes the Chief Special Master’s finding. See supra Section V.27 Petitioner argues, whether or not the 8 August MRI marked the onset of I.J.’s symptoms, “[the 17 August MRI] was not so widely outside [the 2–7 day post onset window] that it’s not relevant. It’s highly relevant and reflected the change in I.J.’s condition and reflected the change in the presences of inflammation, which was a key point on this logical sequence of cause and effect.” Tr. at 54:4–9. When presented with the 17 August MRI imaging during oral argument, petitioner’s counsel was not able to explain to the Court how the enhanced signals are indicative of inflammation and stated he would defer this issue to the expert report of Dr. Watanabe, who “was credited in the hearing.” Id. at 30:24–31:25. Respondent’s counsel did not offer to explain how the imaging does not support an interpretation of inflammation, but at a later stage of the oral argument counsel returned to the point to argue the enhanced signals “supported a spinal cord infarct” based on the findings on diffusion-weighted imaging of the 17 August MRI. Id. at 27 During oral argument, respondent’s counsel for the first time questioned the Chief Special Master’s finding of I.J.’s symptom onset time. See Tr. at 51:1–10 (Respondent agreeing “[t]he [g]overnment disputes the [Chief] Special Master’s conclusion that prior to his scan, I.J. testified to being . . . fully mobile.”); Decision at 8 (“Prior to his scan, [I.J.] recalled being fully mobile. Immediately following his MRI scan, however, [I.J.] lost all mobility from the neck down.”) (internal citations omitted). Respondent contends I.J. referred to the timing of the CT scan when he started to lose mobility, not the MRI scan. Tr. at 42:22–43:8 (Respondent’s counsel stated “that was the CT scan, not the MRI” “when I.J. was able to move his extremities and when he came out of the [scan] or immediately thereafter, he was not.”). Respondent acknowledges the timing of I.J. losing mobility is critical because such timing marked I.J.’s symptom onset, id. at 42:2–4, but respondent disputes the timing of the onset. Id. at 43:15–22 (Respondent’s counsel stating, “the goal here is to figure out when the MRI occurred. And so I don't want to hold up the discussion by having a dispute about whether it was the CT scan or the MRI.”). - 35 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 36 of 41 63:1–15.28 I.J.’s medical record shows his treating physicians considered the differential diagnosis between TM and SCI after the 17 August 2013 MRI and ordered CT angiogram for “further evaluation of spinal arterial supply.” Med. Recs. 8-3 at 230–231; see also Decision at 4 (“Based on these results [of the 17 August MRI], I.J.’s differential diagnosis was narrowed to encompass only TM and spinal cord infarction—though the diagnosis of TM was identified as favored due to ‘the age of [I.J.], the repeat occurrence, and the holocord involvement, and the cervical location’ of the lesion.”). Regarding the results of the CT angiogram, petitioner explains “there was no cutoff of the artery . . . be[ing] seen in [the CT] angiogram . . . which is inconsistent with there being an infarct.” Tr. at 33:2–5. Respondent does not dispute the CT angiogram did not show an embolus or thrombus, but respondent’s expert states “[o]ne would not expect to find embolus or thrombus thirteen days after an infarct.” Alexander Ex. Rep. 2 at 2. Respondent does not offer specific evidence to directly negate the interpretation of the 17 August MRI as indicating inflammation. Respondent’s argument regarding the 17 August MRI rather primarily concerns on it being taken outside the 2–7 day post onset window and the enhancement possibly being indicative of an infarction. Tr. at 41:14–21, 63:1–15. Nevertheless, the government disputes the onset time and could not reconcile the different outcomes of the 17 August MRI and the CT angiogram, despite these two tests being taken in a close timeframe. See supra. The Chief Special Master acknowledges the 17 August MRI narrowed I.J.’s differential diagnosis “to encompass only TM and spinal cord infarction—though the diagnosis of TM was identified as favored.” Decision at 4. Regarding the serologic sampling test, respondent suggested “testing of the cerebrospinal fluid . . . show[ing] an elevated white blood cell count” can point to inflammation and noted I.J.’s medical record does not contain such evidence. Tr. at 41:7–11. I.J. underwent a CSF test around the same time as the first 8 August MRI test. See Mot. for Review at 22 n. 17. Petitioner does not dispute “the CSF came back negative for pleocytosis (elevated white blood cell count).” Id. at 38. Petitioner explains however, consistent with the 8 August MRI showing no inflammation, “this is common and is seen to occur in 43% of patients diagnosed with TM.” Id. There was no repeat CSF test done after the 17 August MRI. Tr. at 55:9–12. Respondent agrees, “for the purpose of finding inflammation,” it is significant that there was no repeat CSF test done when “[t]he first MRI . . . shows something different than the second MRI.” Tr at 55:19–24. Respondent argues the fact no CSF test was repeated supports the finding of no inflammation, because “if [the physicians] had suspected ongoing inflammation [they] would have conducted another CSF exam.” Tr. at 56:7–9. Respondent’s argument regarding the CSF test, as best, finds no support in the medical record, if not being completely speculative. The fact that a CSF test was not properly repeated after the 17 August MRI test possibly captured inflammation should not be construed as evidence against the finding of inflammation. Accordingly, the Courts finds the record does not support the Chief Special Master’s finding that “there was hardly any testing evidence (whether from serologic sampling or MRI imaging) that would establish the existence of inflammation.” Decision at 42 (emphasis added). 28 Respondent emphasized during oral argument Dr. Alexander filed a supplemental expert report explaining how apparent diffusion coefficient and diffusion-weighted imaging supports reading the enhanced signals in the 17 August MRI as spinal cord infarction. Tr. at 63:3–11. - 36 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 37 of 41 Petitioner further argues I.J.’s positive response to treatment addressing inflammation is indicative of him having inflammation. Mot. to Review at 38 (“The TM diagnosis, and an attempt by the treating physicians to address inflammation, was further supported by the course of treatment provided . . . and the fact that he responded positively to these efforts, showing ‘some improvement’ strongly suggesting the presence of inflammation.”). Respondent agreed “the positive response [I.J.] experienced from that treatment evidence can support inflammation,” but insisted “[r]espondent’s expert did not feel that [p]etitioner’s improvement was as drastic as [p]etitioner testified.” Tr. at 56:24–57:5 (emphasis added). The Chief Special Master acknowledged I.J.’s positive response to anti-inflammatory treatment in numerous places throughout the decision, but he did not consider the positive response as evidence supporting existence of inflammation. Decision at 3 (“From August 9 to 15, 2013 [I.J.] was treated with Solumedrol, intravenous immunoglobulin (“IVIG”), and plasma exchange (“PLEX”).”); id. at 13 n.16 (“Solumedrol is an anti-inflammatory synthetic glucocorticoid.” “IVIG therapy is used to treat immune system disorders.”) (citations omitted); id. at 4 (Dr. Eddie Louie “observed that [p]etitioner’s symptoms were improving with steroid and IVIG treatment.”); id. at 5 (Dr. Stephanie Sterling “acknowledged that [p]etitioner’s condition was improving with steroids, IVIG, and PLEX treatments.”); id. at 8 (I.J. testified “[f]ollowing treatment with IVIG and plasmapheresis, [I.J.] regained some mobility in his arms.”). In view of the inherent inconsistency of a TM diagnosis and absence of inflammation, the result of I.J.’s 17 August MRI test, and I.J.’s positive response to anti-inflammatory treatment, the Court finds the Chief Special Master’s factual finding—“there was hardly any testing evidence (whether from serologic sampling or MRI imaging) that would establish the existence of inflammation”—is arbitrary and capricious. Saunders v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Human Servs., 25 F.3d 1031, 1033 (Fed. Cir. 1994) (quoting Munn v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Human Servs., 970 F.2d 863, 870 n.10 (Fed. Cir. 1992)) (“Fact findings are reviewed . . . under the arbitrary and capricious standard.”); see also Paluck v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 786 F.3d 1373, 1380 (2015) (“Where, as here, a special master . . . misconstrues his medical records, and makes factual inferences wholly unsupported by the record, the Court of Federal Claims is not only authorized, but obliged, to set aside the special master's findings of fact and conclusions of law.”); Andreu v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Human Servs., 569 F.3d 1367, 1375 (2009) (concluding that a special master erred in disregarding probative testimony from a petitioner's treating physicians); Mondello v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Human Servs., 132 Fed.Cl. 316, 323–25 (2017) (finding the special master “erred in her conclusion that petitioner’s claim had to be dismissed for not providing any evidence of a theory of causation” when “there are [doctor’s notes and records] and other pieces of evidence submitted by petitioner that arguably lend some support to his claim”). The Court does not address whether the evidence petitioner presented ought to have changed the Chief Special Master’s decision, nor does the Court consider whether the evidence is sufficient to establish Althen element two. Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 219 F.3d 1357, 1360 (Fed. Cir. 2000) (quoting Munn, 970 F.2d at 871) (finding it is not the reviewing court’s role “to reweigh the factual evidence, or to assess whether the special master correctly evaluated the evidence.”). That is left to the Chief Special Master on remand. B. Treater’s Opinions - 37 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 38 of 41 In deciding petitioner failed to meet Althen element two, the Chief Special Master found “no treaters ever proposed that [p]etitioner’s injury, however defined, was likely caused by his prior Tdap vaccine.” Decision at 43. The Chief Special Master identified two occasions in the medical records where I.J.’s treating physicians mentioned a possible association between his injury and his vaccine record: “Dr. Eddie Louie, M.D., who (mistakenly believing [I.J.] had received the Hepatitis B rather than Tdap vaccine) noted that a causal connection between the Hepatitis B vaccine and TM has been identified,” and Dr. Jessica Taff, who “also expressed a desire to obtain [I.J.’s] immunization history due to reports of TM following receipt of the Hepatitis B vaccine.” Id. at 4, 6. The Chief Special Master considered the treaters’ opinions, and he drew the inference that “[a]t most, the record reveals instances in which treaters assumed [p]etitioner had received a different vaccine (Hepatitis B) that they believed could be associated with TM.” Id. at 43. Petitioner emphasized at oral argument the fact “that the treaters did consider vaccines.” Tr. at 61:20–21. Petitioner acknowledges “there was some error” in the treaters’ beliefs, but since the treaters were “just trying to figure out what happened,” “to say . . . no treaters ever proposed [p]etitioner’s injury . . . was likely caused by his prior Tdap vaccine is not exactly accurate.” Id. at 61:21–62:3. Petitioner contends “to focus on [the treaters’ errors] in the . . . element [two] analysis is not appropriate.” Id. at 62:7–9. Respondent agrees “the Chief Special Master does note that treating physicians did discuss vaccines.” Id. at 59:24–60:1. Respondent contends, however, “to the extent [treaters’ opinion over a vaccine-related injury] was confounding with [treaters’ mistakenly tracking the type of vaccine that was received], . . . it’s not particularly persuasive evidence.” Id. at 60:17–19. Respondent further informs the Court “if a medical provider provides a causation opinion about a particular vaccine causing an injury, that’s particularly . . . deserving of great weight.” Id. at 60:20–23. “But here, if we have a statement about vaccines generally, . . . it’s less informed than a statement about a particular vaccine causing a particular reaction.” Id. at 60:23–61:1. Opinions of treating physicians are “quite probative,” because “treating physicians are likely to be in the best position to determine whether ‘a logical sequence of cause and effect show[s] that the vaccination was the reason for the injury.’” Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 440 F.3d 1317, 1326 (Fed. Cir. 2006) (quoting Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280). Treaters’ opinions in the medical records “warrant consideration as trustworthy evidence,” because these records are “generally contemporaneous to the medical events,” and the “accuracy has an extra premium.” Cucuras v. Sec’y of Dept. of Health & Human Servs., 993 F.2d 1525, 1528 (Fed. Cir. 1993); see also Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1375 (“[T]reating physicians are likely to be in the best position to determine whether a logical sequence of cause and effect show[s] that the vaccination was the reason for the injury.”) (citations and internal quotation marks omitted). Here, the Chief Special Master considered the opinions of Drs. Louie and Taff but found them “[a]t most . . . [revealing] instances in which treaters assumed [p]etitioner had received a different vaccine (Hepatitis B) that they believed could be associated with TM.” Decision at 43. The Chief Special Master further concluded “no treaters ever proposed that [p]etitioner’s injury . . . was likely caused by his prior Tdap vaccine.” Id. Petitioner argues the Chief Special Master’s focus on the treaters’ mistake in the type of vaccine, while ignoring the evidence that the treaters did consider vaccines as the cause of - 38 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 39 of 41 petitioner’s TM, “is not appropriate.” Tr. at 62:7–9. As acknowledged by the Chief Special Master, Drs. Louie and Taff both mentioned I.J.’s injury possibly being associated with vaccines. Decision at 4, 6. Dr. Taff’s note shows the treaters were not certain about what type of vaccine I.J. received, so Dr. Taff suggested “clarify[ing] I.J.’s immunization history,” instead of “assuming” petitioner received a Hepatitis B vaccine. Med. Recs. 8-3 at 230 (“Will need to clarify patient’s immunizations at occupational health, as there are case reports of TM following Hep B immunization.”). Thus, the Chief Special Master’s inference that “[a]t most, the record reveals . . . treaters assumed [p]etitioner had received a different vaccine (Hepatitis B) that they believed could be associated with TM” is not supported by the record. Decision at 43. In reaching the conclusion “no treaters ever proposed that [p]etitioner’s injury . . . was likely caused by his prior Tdap vaccine,” the Chief Special Master disregarded I.J.’s treating physicians’ opinions because the physicians either mistakenly recorded, or, in at least one instance, was not sure about, the type of vaccine I.J. received. In Paluck, petitioner’s treating physician noted petitioner’s neurodegeneration could have a “hereditary, toxic or metabolic etiolog[y].” Paluck, 786 F.3d at 1385. The special master “acknowledged the term ‘toxic’ is broad enough to include an injury caused by a vaccine” but disregarded the physician’s opinion, because “[petitioner] ha[s] not addressed the other possible causes listed by [the physician].” Id. at 1385–86 (internal quotation marks omitted). The Federal Circuit found the special master “erred in disregarding contemporaneous statements from [petitioner’s] treating physicians regarding the cause of his neurodegeneration,” and “[i]t was arbitrary and capricious for the special master to wholly discount the probative value of [treaters’] statements simply because [the treaters] suggested that his condition could also potentially be due to alternative causes.” Id. Here, the treaters’ uncertainty about what type of vaccine I.J. received does not completely negate the probative value of the treaters’ consideration of I.J.’s symptoms being related to his immunization history, especially given the “quite probative” value of treaters’ opinions in Althen element two. Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1326. Accordingly, it was arbitrary and capricious for the Chief Special Master to wholly discount the probative value of the treaters’ statements simply because the treaters did not clarify I.J.’s immunization history. Paluck, 786 F.3d at 1386. The Court makes no finding on whether the evidence of treaters’ opinions ought to have changed the Chief Special Master’s decision, nor is the Court trying to consider whether such evidence is sufficient to establish Althen element two. Lampe, 219 F.3d at 1360 (finding it is not the reviewing court’s role “to reweigh the factual evidence”). As suggested by respondent, “if a medical provider provides a causation opinion about a particular vaccine causing an injury, that’s particularly . . . deserving of great weight . . . . But here, . . . [what is before the Court is] less informed than a statement about a particular vaccine causing a particular reaction.” Tr. at 60:20– 61:1. The Court leaves the question to the Chief Special Master on remand. C. Conclusion of Althen Element Two The Court finds the Chief Special Master’s factual findings supporting his Althen element two decision—“there was hardly any testing evidence (whether from serologic sampling or MRI imaging) that would establish the existence of inflammation” and “no treaters ever proposed that - 39 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 40 of 41 [p]etitioner’s injury . . . was likely caused by his prior Tdap vaccine”—were arbitrary and capricious. Saunders, 25 F.3d at 1033 (quoting Munn, 970 F.2d at 870 n.10) (“Fact findings are reviewed . . . under the arbitrary and capricious standard.”); Paluck, 786 F.3d at 1380 (“Where, as here, a special master . . . misconstrues [petitioner’s] medical records, and makes factual inferences wholly unsupported by the record, the Court of Federal Claims is not only authorized, but obliged, to set aside the special master’s findings of fact and conclusions of law.”); Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1375 (concluding that the special master erred in disregarding probative testimony from a petitioner's treating physicians); Mondello, 132 Fed.Cl. at 323 (finding the special master “erred in her conclusion that petitioner’s claim had to be dismissed for not providing any evidence of a theory of causation” when “there are [doctor’s notes and records] and other pieces of evidence submitted by petitioner that arguably lend some support to his claim”). As the record contains at least some evidence suggesting “a logical sequence of cause and effect show[s] that the vaccination was the reason for the injury,” the Chief Special Master’s Althen element two is not supported by the record and the Court must remand the case.29 See id. VIII. The Chief Special Master’s Althen Element Three Decision The third element in Althen concerns temporal relationship between the vaccine and petitioner’s injury. Althen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 418 F.3d 1274, 1278 (Fed. Cir. 2005). The Chief Special Master found “the record and evidence offered in this matter does support the conclusion that Petitioner’s TM occurred in a medically acceptable timeframe, consistent with his causation theory.” Decision at 43 (emphasis omitted). The Chief Special Master further noted “the onset timeframe was also consistent with Dr. Zamvil’s persuasive testimony about the time it would take for a molecular mimicry-driven process to manifest 29 The Chief Special Master also considered the existence of “pre-onset intercurrent respiratory infection” as a possible instigation cause of TM. Decision at 43. The Chief Special Master viewed the respiratory infection as “additional evidence that was not fully explained or distinguished by [p]etitioner, and thus it also undermined somewhat [p]etitioner’s claim.” Id. During oral argument, respondent explained to the Court “[r]espondent didn’t set forth the respiratory infection as an alternate cause. That’s something the Chief Special Master pointed out sua sponte.” Tr. at 57:21–24. The Chief Special Master stated in full: “The evidence to support this alternative explanation is not itself particularly robust (certainly no infectious agent was identified in testing), and I do not propose that it establishes a stronger explanatory case than what [p]etitioner offered, or that (had the burden shifted to [r]espondent) it was preponderantly established as an alternative cause. But it is additional evidence that was not fully explained or distinguished by [p]etitioner, and thus it also undermined somewhat [p]etitioner’s claim. But it is additional evidence that was not fully explained or distinguished by [p]etitioner, and thus it also undermined somewhat [p]etitioner’s claim.” Decision at 43 (emphasis original). It is unclear to the Court whether the Chief Special Master was shifting the burden to petitioner to rule out an alternative cause, or he was simply describing the record as being insufficient to review such an alternative cause. To the extent the Chief Special Master shifted the burden of ruling out an alternative cause onto petitioner in Althen element two, such shifting is permitted only “when evidence as to the Althen requirements is insufficient.” de Bazan v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 539 F.3d 1347, 1352 n.3 (Fed. Cir. 2008) (citing Walther v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 485 F.3d 1146, 1149–50 (Fed. Cir. 2007)); see also Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 451 F.3d 1352, 1357–59 (Fed. Cir. 2006) (holding the petitioner's failure to eliminate other potential causes was fatal to the petition when she had not provided evidence of a proximate temporal relationship between the vaccine and her injury). Once the petitioner has established a prima facie case for entitlement to compensation and thus met the burden to prove causation-in-fact, the burden shifts to the government to prove “[b]y a preponderance of the evidence that the [petitioner’s injury] is due to factors unrelated to the administration of the vaccine described in the petition.” de Bazan, 539 F.3d at 1352 (citing 42 U.S.C. § 300aa–13(a)(1)(B); Walther, 485 F.3d at 1150). On remand, there may be reason for the Chief Special Master to further clarify his findings regarding the pre-onset respiratory infection. - 40 - Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 133 Filed 07/20/21 Page 41 of 41 neurologic harm.” Id. Nevertheless, “because [p]etitioner’s causation theory in this case was not sufficiently supported with preponderant evidence, the consistency of the onset timing in this case with [p]etitioner’s theory does not aid [p]etitioner.” Id. Petitioner did not raise any issue on appeal regarding the Chief Special Master’s Althen element three decision. See Mot. to Review. Respondent disagrees with the Chief Special Master’s Althen element three decision, but does not contest this issue because petitioner “did not raise this issue on appeal.” Tr. at 7:7–15 (“Respondent’s position was that [p]etitioner did not meet Althen prong 3. However, the Chief Special Master found that [p]etitioner met prong 3 and did not raise that issue on appeal. So to the extent it wasn’t raised on appeal, [r]espondent does not provide any sort of objection.”). As the Chief Special Master’s Althen element three decision is not a contested issue before the Court, the Court will not review it. IX. Conclusion As explained in greater detail supra, the Chief Special Master was arbitrary and capricious in deciding the Baxter study provided “far more comprehensive, contrary evidence” against petitioner’s element one showing, finding “there was hardly any testing evidence (whether from serologic sampling or MRI imaging) that would establish the existence of inflammation,” and finding “no treaters ever proposed that [p]etitioner’s injury . . . was likely caused by his prior Tdap vaccine.” Based on very recent Federal Circuit clarification, the Chief Special Master also erred in holding Boatmon abolished Andreu’s plausibility standard for Althen element one. Accordingly, the following is ordered: 1. Petitioner’s motion for review of the Special Master’s 4 January 2021 decision is GRANTED; 2. This case is hereby REMANDED to the Chief Special Master for further proceedings consistent with this opinion. IT IS SO ORDERED. s/ Ryan T. Holte RYAN T. HOLTE Judge - 41 - ================================================================================ DOCUMENT 3: USCOURTS-cofc-1_16-vv-00864-4 Date issued/filed: 2022-01-31 Pages: 10 Docket text: PUBLIC ORDER/RULING (Originally filed: 01/04/2022) regarding 143 Ruling on Entitlement. Signed by Chief Special Master Brian H. Corcoran. (kav) Service on parties made. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 144 Filed 01/31/22 Page 1 of 10 In the United States Court of Federal Claims OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS No. 16-864V (to be published) * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * I.J., * * Chief Special Master Corcoran Petitioner, * * v. * Filed: January 4, 2022 * SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND * HUMAN SERVICES, * * Respondent. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Robert J. Krakow, Law Office of Robert Krakow, P.C., New York, NY, for Petitioner. Catherine Stolar, U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Washington, DC, for Respondent. RULING ON REMAND GRANTING ENTITLEMENT1 Isaac Jones filed a petition on July 21, 2016, seeking compensation under the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (“Vaccine Program”).2 ECF No. 1. Mr. Jones alleged that he developed transverse myelitis (“TM”) due to the Tetanus-Diphtheria-acellular-Pertussis (“Tdap”) vaccine he received on July 22, 2013. A two-day hearing was held in this matter on October 22–23, 2019. Initially I denied entitlement, finding that although Petitioner had preponderantly established that he likely experienced TM, insufficient evidence supported the conclusion that the Tdap vaccine can cause 1 This Decision will be posted on the Court of Federal Claims’ website in accordance with the E-Government Act of 2002, 44 U.S.C. § 3501 (2012). This means that the Decision will be available to anyone with access to the internet. As provided by 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(d)(4)(B), however, the parties may object to the Decision’s inclusion of certain kinds of confidential information. Specifically, under Vaccine Rule 18(b), each party has fourteen days within which to request redaction “of any information furnished by that party: (1) that is a trade secret or commercial or financial in substance and is privileged or confidential; or (2) that includes medical files or similar files, the disclosure of which would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of privacy.” Vaccine Rule 18(b). Otherwise, the whole Decision will be available to the public in its current form. Id. 2 The Vaccine Program comprises Part 2 of the National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986, 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa- 10–37 (2012) (hereinafter “Vaccine Act” or “the Act”). Individual section references hereafter shall refer to § 300aa of the Act. Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 144 Filed 01/31/22 Page 2 of 10 TM, or that it did so in this case. I.J. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 16-864V, 2021 WL 1232733 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 4, 2021) (the “Entitlement Decision”). However, Petitioner sought review of the Entitlement Decision, and the Court subsequently vacated my prior determination, remanding the matter for my determination a second time. J. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs, 155 Fed. Cl. 20 (2021) (the “Remand Decision”). I thereafter ordered Respondent to Show Cause why, in light of the Remand Decision’s findings, entitlement should not be found for Petitioner, and both parties have briefed the issue. Respondent’s Brief, dated September 20, 2021 (ECF No. 136) (“Resp. Show Cause”); Petitioner’s Response, dated Oct. 14, 2021 (ECF No. 138) (“Pet. Response”); Respondent’s Reply, dated Nov. 12, 2021 (ECF No. 140) (“Reply”).3 Now, for the reasons stated below, I find that Petitioner has carried his burden of proof, and is therefore entitled to damages. BRIEF PROCEDURAL HISTORY The January 2021 Entitlement Decision As noted, this matter was tried over a two-day period in the fall of 2019. At trial, I heard testimony from the Petitioner himself plus a total of four medical experts. My Entitlement Decision observed that the parties primarily disputed the classification of Petitioner’s injury. Entitlement Decision, 2021 WL 1232733, at *28. Indeed, Petitioner’s three experts all focused on this subject. I found, however, that although there was evidence on both sides of the question, and resolution of the matter presented a close call, Petitioner’s showing was ultimately preponderant, establishing that TM was the diagnosis best supported by the record. Id. at *29. Regarding the Althen prongs, however, I found that Petitioner had not preponderantly established that the Tdap vaccine likely caused his TM, since only one of the three prongs had been satisfied. Petitioner demonstrated that he experienced onset of his TM in a medically- acceptable timeframe (measured from the date of vaccination) consistent with his causation theory for how long it would take an autoimmune, vaccine-driven process to occur. Entitlement Decision, 3 The filing date for this Ruling admittedly falls outside the 90 days set by the Vaccine Rules for a special master to act on a remanded matter (since the action was remanded to me on July 6, 2021—meaning acting on the remand should have occurred on or before October 4, 2021). See Vaccine Rule 28(b). However, the Court of Federal Claims has previously observed that “the Vaccine Act does not identify any consequences for a special master’s failure to complete the task directed by the court on review within the statutory ninety-day remand period.” Greene v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 11-631V, slip. op., at 3 (Fed. Cl. May 30, 2018). In addition, even if my ruling (now in Petitioner’s favor) had been issued within that 90-day timeframe, the case’s final and complete disposition would still remain for a later date, since the parties must now undergo the meticulous process of determining damages in a case involving a plainly-catastrophic injury—and experience tells that the damages calculation process will surely take far longer than 90 days. Otherwise, my show cause order that prompted briefing on the remand issue was published in July 2021, with both parties subsequently requesting (and receiving) extensions of time to file their respective briefs. As a result, delay in issuance of this ruling prejudices neither party. 2 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 144 Filed 01/31/22 Page 3 of 10 2021 WL 1232733, at *34. But in my determination Petitioner had not preponderantly demonstrated that the Tdap vaccine had caused his injury, since there was very little evidence of an aberrant immune-driven reaction. Id. at *32. Suspicion by treaters that a different vaccine, not received by Petitioner, was causal was not in my estimation strong treater support. Id. at *33. More importantly, I did not find that the first, “can cause” prong was satisfied. Entitlement Decision, 2021 WL 1232733, at *29–33. In so determining, I focused on the limited showing made by Petitioner’s primary expert, Dr. Scott Zamvil, observing that he relied on evidentiary categories not subject to great weight (e.g., case reports, or the discredited theory that adjuvants in the vaccine prompt an aberrant immune response), and also placed emphasis on molecular mimicry—a reliable scientific theory by itself, but one which did not automatically carry the day for claimants simply in its invocation. Id. at *32. I also noted that although many prior Program decisions found a Tdap- TM association, more recent determinations might reflect a change in the scientific view on the subject. Id. at *31. Finally, I gave weight to a scientific case series study offered by Dr. Zamvil, Baxter,4 in which no association was observed between the Tdap vaccine and TM, based on numerous vaccination events specific to the Tdap vaccine. Id. Dr. Zamvil emphasized that Baxter observed a greater risk between Tdap and a different, but related, neurologic demyelinating injury, but attempted to downplay Baxter’s Tdap-specific finding, and I faulted his opinion for ignoring the facial and negative implications of this item of literature he otherwise highlighted. Id. The Remand Decision The Court’s Remand Decision made a number of legal and factual findings that resulted in granting the motion for review and remanding the matter to me. First, the Court held that I misapplied the legal standard applicable to the first Althen prong. Remand Decision, 155 Fed. Cl. at 43. The Federal Circuit had characterized that standard over ten years ago, in Andreu v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 569 F.3d 1367, 1375 (Fed. Cir. 2009), as only requiring a showing of “biological plausibility.” Id. A more recent Circuit decision seemed to emphasize that this framing no longer held sway, noting that “a ‘plausible’ or ‘possible’ causal theory does not satisfy the standard.” Boatmon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 941 F.3d 1351, 1360 (Fed. Cir. 2019). But then, in a nonprecedential decision issued earlier this year, a different Circuit panel indirectly addressed Boatmon—and in the view of the Court herein held that Boatmon had not rejected the view that proof of an “exact biologic mechanism” was never required in establishing the first Althen prong. Kottenstette v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 2020-2282, 2021 WL 2434329, at *6 (Fed. Cir. June 15, 2021). The Court interpreted this to mean that Boatmon’s articulation of preponderance as governing the prong one evidentiary standard had not, in fact, rejected or overturned the prior statement of mere plausibility in Andreu—and therefore I applied preponderance to the first prong in error. Remand Decision, 155 Fed. Cl. at 44. 4 Baxter’s full cite is set forth in the Entitlement Decision. 3 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 144 Filed 01/31/22 Page 4 of 10 Second, the Court determined that several of my fact determinations were arbitrary and capricious. Regarding evidence offered for the first prong, the Court addressed in great detail the findings in the Baxter study. It determined that I misread Baxter’s findings regarding the association between TM and the Tdap vaccine, and also that I overvalued Baxter’s weight generally (especially to the extent I cited other decisions relying on it, but which had in the Court’s view also relied on the Boatmon standard for the first Althen prong), or had given it different weight in other cases. Remand Decision, 155 Fed. Cl. at 46–47. I otherwise was ordered to re- evaluate the weight of Petitioner’s showing on the “can cause” prong (including how I evaluated molecular mimicry as a mechanistic explanation for vaccine causation) in light of the Andreu plausibility standard. Id. at 50. Finally, the Court ruled that I erred in determining that the second Althen prong was not met. Despite my finding that there was little in the medical record leading up to Petitioner’s presenting symptoms seventeen days post-vaccination (see Entitlement Decision at *1–2, 33), the Court emphasized the record of evidence of inflammation thereafter (around the time of Petitioner’s initial treatment) as supportive of the Petitioner’s claim, and thus contrary to my more blanket statement that “hardly any” testing evidence established pre-onset inflammation. Remand Decision, 155 Fed. Cl. at 54. The Court also found that even if treaters had mischaracterized the specific identity of the purportedly-causal vaccination at issue, the fact they suspected some prior vaccination could be causal was still worthy of weight, although it left resolution of how much weight to give this evidence to remand. Id. at 55–56. PARTIES’ ARGUMENTS Respondent After the Court’s issuance of the Remand Decision, I ordered Respondent to Show Cause why entitlement should not now be entered for Petitioner. Order, dated July 8, 2021 (ECF No. 131). Respondent contested the Court’s reliance on Kottenstette as stating the proper evidentiary standard under the Althen test, emphasizing that this specific Circuit opinion was by its own terms nonprecedential. Resp. Show Cause at *3. Thus, Respondent maintained that I had correctly determined that the “causal theory was neither sound nor reliable.” Id. But Respondent then argued that despite the Court’s determinations about the proper weight to be given to certain evidence, there remained insufficient proof upon which to find that Petitioner had satisfied the first two Althen prongs. Id. at *4. Regarding the first Althen prong, Respondent argued that mere mention of molecular mimicry generally could not amount to preponderant evidence in a specific case. Resp. Show Cause, at *4–5. Otherwise, Petitioner’s expert, Dr. Zamvil, had failed to provide a sound and 4 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 144 Filed 01/31/22 Page 5 of 10 reliable explanation for how the Tdap vaccine could cause TM. Id. at *5. While Dr. Zamvil tried to establish that the mechanism of molecular mimicry could instigate immune-mediated disease processes, he had offered little in the way of evidence directly connecting the Tdap vaccine to TM in this manner. Id. And online database searches showing homology between amino acid sequences in the proteins found in the vaccine’s antigens and self protein structures was inadequate to establish preponderance. Id. Respondent next maintained that Petitioner had not met his burden as to Althen prong two, observing the absence of evidence “of any autoantibodies that might arguably be associated with the asserted TM cross-reaction.” Resp. Show Cause at *6 (citing Entitlement Decision, 2021 WL 1232733, at *43). He also emphasized the importance of my finding that there was not excessive or unusual inflammation even with the little evidence of some post-vaccination. Resp. Show Cause at *6–7. Respondent also questioned the value of treater speculation in this case, noting that treating physician opinions “are not sacrosanct, and can be rebutted and found unreliable or not dispositive by a special master based on the record as a whole.” Id. at *7; Section 13(b)(1); Snyder v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 88 Fed. Cl. 706, 746 n.67 (Fed. Cl. 2009) (citations omitted). In this case particularly, treaters had not even properly identified the vaccine received by Petitioner. Resp. Show Cause at *7. On reply, Respondent reiterated prior arguments. Case reports purportedly associating the Tdap vaccine with TM via molecular mimicry were in Respondent’s view distinguishable or provided no detail as to a possible mechanism. Reply at *1–2. Otherwise, the acceptance of molecular mimicry in different vaccine injury cases does not render the theory dispositive or persuasive herein, absent evidence connecting TM to the mechanism, or a showing how the Tdap vaccine could instigate a cross-reaction due to molecular mimicry. Id. Respondent further argued that the lack of studies connecting Tdap and TM weighed against causation. Id. at *3. And even if some of Petitioner’s treaters had referenced some vaccine as possibly causal, they did not implicate the Tdap vaccine, and the basis for their conclusions was not otherwise evident in the medical record, with no real explanation for Petitioner’s TM ever agreed upon or identified. Id. at *4. Petitioner Petitioner emphasizes the Court’s embrace of “biologically plausible” as the Althen prong one standard, arguing that it has been met herein. Pet. Response at *3. A connection between the Tdap vaccine and TM has been repeatedly linked in literature and prior cases, via molecular mimicry, noting also that sufficient homology for a cross-reaction to occur was proven. Id. at *3, 7. Petitioner also restates the criticisms leveled against the Baxter study by the Court, and hence why I erroneously viewed it as undercutting the strength of Petitioner’s Althen one showing. Id. at *4. Petitioner otherwise tried to bulwark Dr. Zamvil’s theory and use of other scientific studies. Id. at *5–6. 5 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 144 Filed 01/31/22 Page 6 of 10 ANALYSIS In any remanded case, the special master is bound by the determinations of the Court on matters of law and fact. Rickett v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 468 F. App’x 952, 959 (Fed. Cir. 2011) (quoting Hanlon v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 40 Fed. Cl. 625, 630 (Fed. Cl. 1998)). Given the notably extensive and painstaking nature of the Court’s Remand Decision, and after consideration of the briefs filed in response to my Order to Show Cause, I find that Respondent has not identified grounds for a second entitlement determination consistent with my first. First, the Court’s embrace of a plausibility evidentiary standard for Althen prong one—a standard I am compelled to apply herein5—effectively obligates me to find on the present record that Petitioner has offered in this case a plausible medical theory that the Tdap vaccine “can cause” TM. Dr. Zamvil, a qualified expert, certainly proposed a reliable mechanism (molecular mimicry) to explain how components of the vaccine could cross-react with homologous amino acid sequences making up nerve myelin, and in turn cause an autoimmune attack leading to TM. He also demonstrated how antigenic components of the vaccine could mimic self amino acid 5 I must accept the Court’s interpretation of the law on this matter and apply it in my remand determination. But having reviewed Boatmon and Kottenstette in detail, I am far less certain than the Court that the two are actually in opposition, with the latter rejecting the former (as the Court has concluded). Kottenstette’s discussion of Boatmon was limited to the fact that the three-judge Boatmon panel found the deciding special master in that case had effectively applied the wrong evidentiary burden. Boatmon, 941 F.3d at 1359 (“[t]he Special Master deviated from the correct “reputable,” “sound and reliable” standard and articulated a lower “reasonable” standard. . . We have consistently rejected theories that the vaccine only “likely caused” the injury and reiterated that a “plausible” or “possible” causal theory does not satisfy the standard”) (emphasis added). The Kottenstette panel, by contrast, found that the special master in question (whose initial decision in the claimant’s favor was overturned before the matter was remanded to a different special master (because the prior special master had retired)), had articulated the proper overall preponderant requirement—and thus in the Kottenstette panel’s view had not committed the error identified in Boatmon. Kottenstette, 861 F. App’x at 440–41. The Kottenstette panel otherwise does not characterize the Boatmon articulation of the first Althen prong standard to be erroneous. And merely noting, as Kottenstette does, that a specific biologic mechanism need not be offered to establish causation, or that scientific certainty is not the evidentiary standard overall, is not equivalent to finding that claimants need not prove the Althen one causation prong by a preponderance of the evidence. I urge the Court in future cases to reconsider whether in fact the Federal Circuit’s facially non-precedential Kottenstette decision is controlling and/or eliminates what the Circuit has previously said about the first Althen prong (and what the special masters have collectively understood the standard to be—now, for many years). Purely from the standpoint of the Vaccine Program, a standard of mere plausibility would effectively mean that claimants could always satisfy the first prong, simply by pointing out the plausibility of molecular mimicry instigated by the immune system as a mechanism for autoimmunity—and thus the distinction between Table claims (in which the Government concedes causation) and non-Table would be obliterated. I also note that holding claimants to a preponderant showing on the “can cause” prong does not work an injustice, or elevate their burden unreasonably. There is no dispute that petitioners may offer a variety of evidence to prove their claim—they are not required to offer epidemiologic proof, for example— and thus the existing evidentiary system employed in the vast majority of vaccine claims takes into account the lack of a requirement of medical certainty. 6 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 144 Filed 01/31/22 Page 7 of 10 structure/sequences. Although the theory was mostly provided in an outline form, without much in the way of direct evidence establishing the actual capacity of the Tdap vaccine to prompt demyelination in the manner proposed, I cannot dispute the plausibility of the contention. Indeed— nearly any vaccine could plausibly cause demyelination by instigating a cross-reaction, assuming a sufficient degree of sequential and structural homology. I must also now give Baxter limited weight, if any, in contrast to my prior determination. It remains the case that Dr. Zamvil specifically invoked Baxter even though it was facially at odds with his very theory, since the article’s findings favorable to Petitioner involve a different injury, acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (“ADEM”)—while Baxter’s authors plainly discount the TM-Tdap association. Entitlement Decision, 2021 WL 1232733, at *31. However, the Court has articulated a number of sound reasons for placing less faith in Baxter’s findings.6 In addition, no epidemiologic study can ever “disprove” the possibility of causation (something I have myself recognized repeatedly in the past),7 and the Court noted that the trial record did not evaluate Baxter’s findings specifically enough from all sides to permit it being deemed wholly reliable or persuasive. On remand, I determine that although Baxter still merits some evidentiary weight, in the context of this case—where Petitioner’s prong one showing was overall a bit more all-inclusive than Respondent’s—it was not by itself enough to rule against Petitioner on the “can cause” prong. Baxter alone does not eliminate the plausibility (applying the Court’s Althen prong one standard) of the causation theory. Importantly, certain other items of evidence offered by Petitioner in support of his causation theory remain in my estimation underserving of evidentiary weight, and I am comfortable so finding despite the constraints of the Remand Decision. Thus, I do not find that the case reports offered by Petitioner (such as those referenced in Agmon-Levin—an oft-criticized review article summarizing a number of case reports) are persuasive evidence to any degree, and therefore offer limited support for his contentions.8 Indeed, if I over-valued Baxter (which certainly involved thousands of vaccinations, even if the precise number I cited was incorrect), then it would have to be similarly erroneous for me to deem four documented case reports of post- vaccination TM to be especially probative—since the same evidentiary criticisms raised against 6 The Court has also correctly observed that I myself have not deemed Baxter dispositive, or particularly persuasive, on the subject of the TM-Tdap link, in every case. Remand Decision, 155 Fed. Cl. at 47–48, citing McGrail v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 17-926V, 2021 WL 1728706, at *1 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 23, 2021). 7 See, e.g., Kelly v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 16-878V, 2021 WL 5276373, at *26 n.24 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Oct. 10, 2021), appeal docketed, Nov. 17, 2021 (Fed. Cl.). 8 Entitlement Decision, 2021 WL 1232733, at *11 (Agmon-Levin referenced only four instances of post-Tdap- comparable TM); see also Pearson v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 16-9V, 2019 WL 3852633, at *14 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 31, 2019) (giving low weight to Agmon-Levin in case alleging that flu vaccine caused TM, since Agmon-Levin referenced only two post-flu vaccine TM cases—based on a review of 39 years of published case reports). 7 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 144 Filed 01/31/22 Page 8 of 10 the reliability of Baxter’s findings go double for anecdotal reports of temporal associations between vaccination and injury. And I am not at all persuaded by Dr. Zamvil’s adjuvant arguments either, for reasons I previously articulated. Entitlement Decision, 2021 WL 1232733, at *32. Nevertheless, Dr. Zamvil’s showing was still more comprehensive than Respondent’s rebuttal. Petitioner in this case endeavored to offer proof for how the Tdap vaccine could be causal of TM, and this coupled with the fact that the theory has been found persuasive in numerous prior cases (even if those cases, like Raymo v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., 11-654V, 2014 WL 1092274 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 24, 2014), were explicitly decided without the benefit of more comprehensive studies like Baxter) is enough for me to find that a plausible “can cause” theory was advanced. This is especially so since (a) both experts were roughly comparable in expertise, and (b) I do not find that Respondent’s sole expert, Dr. Alexander, rebutted Dr. Zamvil’s overall contentions, preferring instead simply to deny causation (to the extent he addressed it at all).9 I have found in other cases that even a lackluster showing by Petitioner can establish causation where Respondent chooses not to defend or does so ineffectually. See, e.g., Barone v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 11-707V, 2014 WL 6834557, at *9 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Nov. 12, 2014) (petitioner prevailed on Althen one showing despite some thinness of contentions, since Respondent offered no expert to rebut Petitioner’s showing). Accordingly, I find sufficient evidence was offered herein by Petitioner to meet the plausibility standard applied by the Court on the first Althen prong—and it was not rebutted by Respondent. In a different case, where an immunologist (for example) testifying for the Respondent made more specific rebuttal points (beyond Baxter) showing how the Tdap vaccine likely could not cause TM, my conclusion could well be different. But here (especially since the parties’ experts predominantly focused their testimony on the diagnostic debate), the fact that the overall record was globally sparse on causation means that what Petitioner did offer ended up being sufficient. I will remain open in future cases to find that the Tdap vaccine cannot likely cause TM—but on this record I am comfortable concluding that Petitioner plausibly established it can. Second, I find on this record that the “did cause” prong of Althen has also been established. Here, there is no question raised by the parties (or the Court) that a preponderant showing is required—and although Petitioner’s case was (again) not especially robust, it was enough to cross the preponderant line. As the Remand Decision observes, there was evidence of post-vaccination 9 Indeed—Dr. Alexander’s first report said nothing about causation. See Report, dated February 28, 2018, filed as Ex. A (ECF No. 41-1). His second report only contested the evidentiary value of Agmon-Levin (Report, dated September 20, 2019, filed as Ex. N (ECF No. 79-1) at 3)—a proposition I wholly embrace, but something that does not defeat Petitioner’s “can cause” showing. And his final supplemental report (Report, dated December 26, 2019, and filed as Ex. O (ECF No. 107-1)) was prepared post-hearing and intended only to comment on MRI findings discussed at hearing by Dr. Watanabe. 8 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 144 Filed 01/31/22 Page 9 of 10 inflammation,10 and no other possible explanation for TM identified by treaters. This, plus Dr. Zamvil’s reasoned opinion vouching for the vaccine’s causal role in propagating Petitioner’s TM, was enough to establish that the vaccine likely caused the injury. The overall brevity of my Remand Ruling is a product of my desire to bring this matter (which is now more than five years old) to a conclusion. It is in the interests of the Program (and its policy goals of swift resolution of vaccine injury claims) not to further delay resolution of this case with even more detailed analysis of the success of the evidentiary showing made herein. As my original Entitlement Decision set forth, the Petitioner unquestionably did succeed in carrying several of his evidentiary burdens, despite the fact that the parties hotly disputed the nature of Petitioner’s injury. Upon reflection, it appears that their joint zeal in debating the injury (the subject that took up the majority of trial time, and which involved all four testifying experts) may have distracted both from giving the same attention to the other Althen prongs—resulting in insufficient attention being paid to these equally-vital issues, and opening the door to my initial determination that important causation matters were not adequately established. The Court has now performed its own exacting review and weighing of the evidence, concluding that a different outcome is favored. There is, of course, still some room for a more detailed explication of certain topics. I could, for example, order both sides to offer epidemiologic expert testimony to delve into the intricacies of Baxter, with the goal of clearing up some of the questions raised about the weight its findings should receive. A whole additional hearing day, or more, could be devoted to the inquiry, and there are no doubt experts (whether or not their expertise arises from epidemiologic matters) that could provide views on both sides of the topic.11 10 Of course, in any case alleging an auto-inflammatory neuronal illness, there will inherently be evidence of inflammation specific to the injury (since this is an essential driver of the disease process)—suggesting that it is somewhat circular to conclude that proof of the process directly resulting in injury alleged (and from the very time the disease was first observed clinically) stands as weight-deserving proof of causation. It is for this very reason that I typically look for other corroborative evidence that the vaccine caused the injury—evidence of autoantibodies associated with the pathogenesis of the disease, for example, or some kind of testing result that suggests a process leading to the injury was underway, even before onset’s outward manifestation. The Remand Decision found this evidence of inflammation especially compelling herein, however, and so it binds my determination. 11 See, e.g., Smith v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 14-848V, 2018 WL 3991386 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 5, 2018). In Smith, a special master determined that the Hepatitis B vaccine was not demonstrated to have likely caused a claimant’s TM. There, the Respondent’s expert offered Baxter to contest Petitioner’s prong one arguments, and in so doing he deemed Baxter “‘by far, the best’ of the papers that he looked at because ‘the [sample size] is the largest and the analysis is really well done,’” along with the fact that the total number of vaccination incidents considered was “‘less subject to underreporting than a typical study.’” Smith, 2018 WL 3991386, at *18. That expert also considered Baxter deserving of weight despite the fact that no epidemiologic evidence could completely rule out vaccine causation, given the total number of vaccination occurrences considered weighed against the handful of instances of post-vaccination TM. Id. at *19. Of course, none of this vouching is in evidence herein—but I reference it to underscore the fact that skepticism of Baxter is not necessarily well-founded, and certainly could be the subject of reasoned disagreement. 9 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 144 Filed 01/31/22 Page 10 of 10 But rather than prolong the case with a second round of findings that, however well- reasoned, would surely become fodder for additional appeal, judicial prudence—plus concern for fairness to the Petitioner, who unquestionably did experience a post-vaccination injury, regardless of how causation is resolved, and who has brought this claim in evident good faith—counsels me to bring this matter to an end, if possible. CONCLUSION Petitioner has satisfied his burden in establishing that the Tdap vaccine caused his TM, entitling him to damages. A damages order shall issue separately. IT IS SO ORDERED. /s/ Brian H. Corcoran Brian H. Corcoran Chief Special Master 10 ================================================================================ DOCUMENT 4: USCOURTS-cofc-1_16-vv-00864-6 Date issued/filed: 2026-01-05 Pages: 24 Docket text: PUBLIC DECISION (Originally filed: 03/28/2024) regarding 225 Findings of Fact & Conclusions of Law. Signed by Chief Special Master Brian H. Corcoran. (mva) Service on parties made. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 1 of 24 In the United States Court of Federal Claims OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS No. 16-864V * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * I.J., * Chief Special Master Corcoran * Petitioner, * Filed: March 28, 2024 * v. * * SECRETARY OF HEALTH * AND HUMAN SERVICES, * * Respondent. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Robert J. Krakow, Law Office of Robert J. Krakow, P.C., New York, N.Y, for Petitioner. Catherine E. Stolar, U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Washington, DC, Respondent. FINDINGS OF FACT AND CONCLUSIONS OF LAW REGARDING DAMAGES1 On July 21, 2016, I.J. filed a petition seeking compensation under the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (the “Vaccine Program”).2 Petitioner alleged that he suffered transverse myelitis (“TM”) as a result of a Tetanus Diphtheria acellular-Pertussis vaccine he received on July 22, 2013. Petition (ECF No. 1) (“Pet.”) at 1. Although I granted entitlement to Petitioner in January 2022 (see Ruling, dated January 4, 2022 (ECF No. 143)), the parties have since that time been unable to resolve damages on their own. Petitioner claims he is entitled to pain and suffering, lost earnings, future medical care, and reimbursement of a Medicaid lien. Petitioner’s Prehearing Brief at 1 (ECF No. 211). Respondent 1 Under Vaccine Rule 18(b), each party has fourteen (14) days within which to request redaction “of any information furnished by that party: (1) that is a trade secret or commercial or financial in substance and is privileged or confidential; or (2) that includes medical files or similar files, the disclosure of which would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of privacy.” Vaccine Rule 18(b). Otherwise, the whole Decision will be available to the public in its present form. Id. 2 The Vaccine Program comprises Part 2 of the National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986, Pub. L. No. 99-660, 100 Stat. 3755 (codified as amended at 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-10–34 (2012)) (hereinafter “Vaccine Act” or “the Act”). All subsequent references to sections of the Vaccine Act shall be to the pertinent subparagraph of 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa. Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 2 of 24 does not contest the appropriateness of these categories of damages, and has reached agreement with Petitioner on the pain and suffering amount to be awarded, but disputes some amounts or proposed treatments included in Petitioner’s life care plan. Petitioner’s Prehearing Damages Brief, filed September 20, 2023 (ECF No. 211) (“P. Br.”) at 15 (agreement on pain and suffering); see also Respondent’s Prehearing Damages Brief, filed September 20, 2023 (ECF No. 210) (“R. Br.”). A hearing on the disputed damages issues was held on October 16, 2023, in New York, NY. Based on the testimony heard at that time plus the parties’ filings, and for the reasons set forth below, I find that Petitioner is entitled to (a) $250,000.00 in actual pain and suffering, as previously agreed by the parties, (b) $1,190,602.00 in actual lost wages, past and future, (c) a relocation/rent differential lump sum of $74,804.60, and (d) $626,327.70 to satisfy the outstanding Medicaid lien for previously-received medical care associated with the vaccine injury. Additionally, an award for the life care expenses granted will be issued consistent with this ruling once the parties provide a final life care plan. I. Factual Background A more complete summary of the relevant medical history and factual background is contained in the entitlement decision. Entitlement Decision, dated January 4, 2021 (ECF No. 114). I incorporate that history herein. In short, Petitioner has been found to have suffered TM due to vaccination—and as the damages hearing revealed, he has experienced numerous life-altering difficulties as a result. II. Hearing Testimony A. Fact Witnesses 1. I.J. - Petitioner testified as a fact witness in the hearing. See generally Tr. at 12–62. He stated that he has gained some mobile function back since the start of his injury in 2013, but had interruptions in his therapy during the Pandemic. Id. at 13. Thus, he considers his condition largely the same, with minor improvements. Id. In particular, I.J. remains confined to a wheelchair due to loss of control of his lower limb function. He can now move his right toes, and can sometimes move his left leg. Tr. at 13. But he still cannot walk, stand, or turn himself in bed. Id. at 14. He has also lost dexterity in his hands, which he cites as a safety issue - he cannot grab a doorknob or turn a key during an emergency. Id. The most he can do in bed is hook his arm around a bedrail to turn himself, but he fears his arm getting stuck in that situation. Id. at 15. Transfers (meaning moving between locations such as his bed, chair, and shower or toilet) are particularly difficult. Id. at 16. In most such circumstances, Petitioner requires a human aide to assist him in transfer, and even then falls can occur. Id. at 16, 36. He disputed contentions in Respondent’s life care plan that he is able to move himself without assistance between his wheelchair and toilet. Id. at 17. 2 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 3 of 24 I.J. has made some efforts to improve his mobility. For example, he underwent a knee replacement surgery in 2017, after his physical therapist proposed that his knee issues would prevent any improvement in stability to assist in his own transfers. Tr. at 29–32. The surgery improved his ability to stabilize himself during transfers. Id. at 33. He remains unable to stand on his own, but can put some weight in his legs when being transferred to a car. Id. at 33–34. He believes that, with more therapy, he could improve his ability to put weight in his legs for a brief period of time. Id. Because of these drastic mobility limitations, I.J. relies on health care assistants—both immediate family and outside professionals (although the primary such individual, as discussed below, turns out to be his uncle). He noted that his parents and wife (with whom he lives) have made significant accommodations to their personal schedules to assist in his care. Tr. at 24. Although his uncle, James Moore, has specific expertise in caring for an individual with Petitioner’s needs, and is physically able to assist, there are instances where the relevant care agency sometimes sends caregivers who are older, and do not have the strength needed to move him. Id. at 36. (He believes that a ceiling-mounted lift system could help with this issue. Id.). In addition, there are times of the day when gaps in care lead to him being alone for significant amounts of time. Id. at 20. He is alone for at least two hours each morning, between the time his wife and daughter leave the house and when his caregiver arrives. Id. During this period, he cannot physically make it to a bathroom, which can cause skin and hygiene issues. Id. at 21. Additionally, he cannot make himself food or bathe. Id. at 22. Petitioner’s living accommodations provide some related cause for concerns when caregivers are absent. Tr. at 47. I.J. currently lives in a 16th floor apartment. Id. Recently, another apartment in his hall had a fire, which activated the fire alarm. Id. When he heard the alarm and tried to leave the building, he discovered that the elevators shut down in the event of a fire, leaving no way for him to escape. Id. at 47, 48. He believes a ground floor unit would provide him with a safer living environment. Id. I.J. also provided testimony about other injury-related sequelae he experiences. He has continuous pain, which he described as a “stinging sharp sensation.” Tr. at 25. He rates his pain as a 5-7 out of 10 on a daily basis. Id. at 26. He often uses cannabis to ease his pain. Id. at 29. He has had psychological counseling for coping with his limitations in the past, but does not have it now. Id. at 24–25. He found it helpful to process the emotions about his injury. Id. He can no longer work a regular job, but still makes a small amount of income selling music catalogs. Id. at 28. However, in 2022, he made only $2,000 per year from this venture after accounting for business expenses. Id. Petitioner believes a number of therapy modalities would help improve his health and overall condition. Tr. at 39. For example, he received acupuncture therapy in the past through a program providing it to individuals with disabilities. Id. It helped his chronic pain so much that he did not need to take pain pills. Id. He cited similar improvements with massage therapy, which he 3 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 4 of 24 used to receive twice a week. Id. at 40. Though he has not yet had chiropractic care, one of his doctors recommended it to prevent spinal curvature. Id. at 41. In addition, I.J. testified that he goes to the gym regularly with his father or caregiver. Id. The strength that he gains through back exercises improves his ability to sit up straight. Id. at 42. He also benefits from use of the steam room for breathing issues. Id. He would like to start using the pool, and has spoken to gym management about his adaptive needs to do so, but would need the assistance of a qualified aide. Id. He believes the weightlessness of the pool environment would help him improve strength in his legs, in the hopes of eventually taking steps on his own. Id. at 43. There are also a number of items that Petitioner maintains would aid him if obtained (or replaced more often). The existing bed he utilizes must be manually cranked to lower and lift—a difficult endeavor for him alone to perform. Tr. at 37, 38. He maintained that an automatic bed would be preferrable. Id. at 38. He has used for therapy a Functional Electric Stimulation (“FES”) bicycle, which allows pedaling of a stationary bike while providing electronic stimulation to muscles. Id. at 46. Access to such a device at home would strengthen his legs, and help him work towards standing. Id. He also wants to use a standing wheelchair, which simulates standing for the brain and muscles. Id. at 47. And Petitioner noted that a number of adaptive equipment he uses at home (bedside urinals, a wooden sliding board, a shower chair) are all subject to wear and tear, and therefore for hygienic reasons should be replaced more often. Id. at 43–45.3 2. Isaac Jones Sr. - Mr. Jones (Petitioner’s father) is 71 years old, and is a retired city property manager. Tr. at 64. He retired early to help care for his son after his injury. Id. When a care aide is unavailable, he goes to his son’s apartment and helps him with all basic care needs, such as bathing, eating, and transferring between locations, providing these services without payment. Id. at 65, 67. When care was significantly interrupted by the Pandemic, he and his son contacted his brother-in-law, James Moore, to become Petitioner’s aide. Id. He agreed that I.J. had made only small improvements in function since his 2013 injury. Id. at 67–68. 3. James Moore – Mr. Moore is Petitioner’s uncle. Tr. at 75. Although he acts as Petitioner’s primary in-home caregiver, his testimony revealed that he was uniquely suited for this position, because he has been employed as a care aide for over 20 years. Id. at 71. Although he has worked with different populations of individuals with care needs, such as children with special needs, adults with intellectual disabilities, and adults with physical disabilities, he is trained to assist with all activities of daily living. Id. at 71–73. When care facilities shut down during the Pandemic, he began caring for Petitioner personally. Tr. at 75. He has now been working as Petitioner’s aide for approximately three and a half years. Id. at 76. He is paid by Accent Care, through a program paying family members to 3 I also note that Petitioner appears to be a very positive, intelligent, and articulate individual, who copes with his injury about as well as possible, and is to be commended for maintaining his spirits despite the debilitating setback he experienced due to no fault of his own. 4 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 5 of 24 provide care. Id. at 77. He works 40 hours per week, as allotted by the agency, and is paid $17.50 per hour. Id. at 77, 78. When Mr. Moore arrives at Petitioner’s apartment around 9:00 AM, Petitioner is in bed. Tr. at 78. He first helps Petitioner prepare for a shower by transferring him between his bed and shower chair. Id. at 79. To lower the bed, he must crank the handle about 45 times. Id. After Petitioner is in the shower chair, Mr. Moore wheels him to the bathroom. Id. His shower chair is then connected to a base piece in the tub, which allows him to transfer over to be bathed. Id. at 81. After bathing he is transferred back out of the tub, and taken into the bedroom. Id. Mr. Moore cranks and lowers the bed again, and transfers Petitioner onto the bed. Id. Once he is dressed, Mr. Moore transfers him back into the wheelchair and prepares breakfast for him. Id. at 82. After eating, they go to various activities, such as doctor’s appointments or the gym. Id. they must drive to doctor’s appointments, which requires Mr. Moore to transfer Petitioner into a car. Id. at 83. Mr. Moore also noted that he performs many tasks for Petitioner, such as house cleaning, laundry, and a variety of errands. Tr. at 84. He then reiterated some of the points made in Petitioner’s testimony regarding Petitioner’s mobility limitations, and about several times where Petitioner fell during transfers. Id. at 84–88. He agreed that items such as a ceiling-mounted lift and an updated hospital bed would improve Petitioner’s safety and quality of life, and make his care easier. Id. at 86–88. B. Life Care Planners Both sides retained life care planners, who prepared lengthy written assessments of the specific care recommended for I.J. Petitioner’s Report, dated September 14, 2023 (ECF No. 204- 1) (“Lajterman Plan”); Respondent’s Report, dated September 14, 2023 (ECF Nos. 203-1 and 203- 2) (“Curtis Plan”). 1. Linda Lajterman - Ms. Lajterman received her nursing degree from the Charles E. Gregory School of Nursing in 1979. CV of Linda Lajterman, RN, filed September 14, 2023, as Ex. 114 (ECF No. 204-4) (“Lajterman CV”). She received additional certifications in medical-legal consulting, forensic medical fraud investigation, and life care planning for catastrophic cases. Lajterman CV at 1. She is licensed as a Certified Disability Management Specialist, Certified Case Manager, Certified Senior Disability Analyst and Fellow, and Certified Life Care Planner. Id. After over a decade in clinical nursing, she began working in case management at rehabilitation centers. Id. at 2. She later began working as a life care consultant, and owns an independent consulting firm. Id. She is presently licensed to practice nursing in New Jersey. Id. at 1. Ms. Lajterman began her testimony by discussing the process of preparing the life care plan in this case. Tr. at 102. She first reviewed Petitioner’s medical records to learn the nature of his injury, then conducted an interview with Petitioner via “Zoom” remote software. Id. During this interview, she asked him in detail about his abilities, and what assistance he needs throughout the day. Id. at 103. She then supplemented this information with further review of medical records, 5 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 6 of 24 including those from the rehabilitation facility. Id. She followed this with a second interview a few months later, and estimates the total interview time to be around three and a half hours. Id. at 105. Ms. Lajterman acknowledged she never performed an in-person site visit, nor did she physically meet with Petitioner in connection with the drafting of her plan. Id. at 146–49. When testifying about the contents of her report, Ms. Lajterman was asked about the differences between her recommendations and those of the Respondent’s expert, Linda Curtis. Tr. at 110. In many instances, their recommendations differed only in how the care was to be paid for—with Ms. Lajterman including the direct cost in her plan, whereas Ms. Curtis would list the item as covered by the insurance scheme she was proposing. Id. at 110. Ms. Lajterman noted that she was not asked to comment on insurance coverage proposed for Petitioner by Respondent. Tr. at 111. She otherwise did not dispute that many of the life care plan items she provided for would be paid for entirely by insurance—and thus took no issue with instances in which Ms. Curtis represented this to be the case (although as noted below Ms. Lajterman did not agree in all circumstances that the extent of coverage of specific life care plan components under insurance would be sufficient). Id. at 146. In addition, Ms. Lajterman admitted that she applied a standard of attempting to maximize Petitioner’s overall life enjoyment in ascertaining whether a life care plan item was proper, as opposed to what was medically sufficient or necessary. Id. at 153. And she noted that her recommendations were not limited to care directly associated with Petitioner’s injury—meaning, for example, she allowed for costs for care from an audiologist, despite no demonstrated link to Petitioner’s TM—but instead included in her plan all of the medical care he was currently receiving. Id. at 113, 150–51. Overall, Ms. Lajterman determined that I.J. could do very little on his own—and she specifically testified that her views were confirmed after listening to his testimony during the damages hearing. Tr. at 104, 108. He requires assistance with toileting, bathing, meals, medical care, and errands, needing assistance even when performing tasks that he has some minimal capacity to attempt. Id. at 104. For example, I.J. may be able to call his pharmacy to renew a prescription, but then needs someone else to pick up the prescription and help him take the medication. Id. Petitioner is also at risk for falls in his home, and his fall risk score has not changed since he was initially discharged from rehabilitation. Id. at 106. Based on his health status, Ms. Lajterman made a number of care recommendations, both for personal treatment and assistance as well as physical items or other accommodations. The largest proposed allocation was for in-home care, with Ms. Lajterman recommending 24-7 assistance (hence far more than the present 70 hours per week he receives). Tr. at 140; Lajterman Report at 10. She deemed his existing circumstances (in which he is frequently left alone for several hours every day) to be extremely unsafe, since “[t]here’s a lot that could happen in two to three hours that could leave this man significantly injured, dead, unable to get out of the building.” Tr. at 141. She instead proposes a permanent, live-in assistant, provided by an agency and paid at 6 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 7 of 24 a going hourly rate. Id. Working with an agency would ensure replacement aides are available (and she estimated a team of two to three people would be needed for full coverage). Id.4 Ms. Lajterman then testified about her recommendations for therapeutic modalities to be provided by treaters or care-giving professionals. Tr. at 113. She emphasized the need for Petitioner to receive regular physical therapy, for example, in addition to engaging in home or gym-based exercise program with the assistance of his aide. Id. She recommended twice-weekly sessions in her report, contesting the sufficiency of Respondent’s recommendation of only once- weekly sessions that decrease in subsequent years (and if insurance only covered once-per-week sessions, she proposed an allocation of costs for a second weekly session). Id. at 115. She proposed a comparable, twice-per-week regime for both psychologic counseling (so Petitioner could address the mental health effects of his injury) and occupational therapy. Id. at 111, 122; Lajterman Plan at 8. And she recommended visits with a nutritionist three times a year (more than what Respondent proposed) where Ms. Curtis recommended only twice. Id. at 112. While the parties disputed only the frequency of many of these components of personally- performed therapeutic care, Ms. Lajterman made some recommendations that Respondent questioned outright. For example, Ms. Lajterman proposed massage therapy, acupuncture, aqua therapy, and chiropractic care, all of which she deemed necessary in addition to physical therapy and gym sessions. Tr. at 121–22; Lajterman Plan at 8. She admitted that acupuncture, massage therapy, nutritional advice, and chiropractic care had not been recommended for I.J. by a doctor, but asserted that they were consistent with clinical practice guidelines. Id. at 154–55, 157. Another potentially high-cost care item in Ms. Lajterman’s plan involved home living modifications. Tr. at 131. In her view, Petitioner’s current apartment, located on the 17th floor of his building, was “extremely unsafe”—making him a “sitting duck” in the event of a fire, since it would be exceedingly difficult to move him rapidly (and since he would be unable to do so absent personal assistance from a care-giver). Id. She proposed a $100,000.00 allocation, based on that of the Paralyzed Veteran’s Association, and their estimation for modifications in the New York Metro area, to permit Petitioner both to obtain a ground-floor apartment and to make modifications to it (such as ramps or a ceiling-mounted lift system). Id. at 132; Lajterman Plan at 9. A lift system would particularly be beneficial, since it would render transitions of Petitioner easier to perform at home (even on his own), reducing the risk of an accident due to a fall. Id. at 127–28. The sling utilized in such a system would also allow him to assume something close to a standing position at a bathroom or kitchen counter. Id. at 128. Ms. Lajterman then moved on to discuss some other specific aid equipment recommended for Petitioner’s home. Tr. at 125. The three largest such items were the FES bicycle, an upgraded 4 Ms. Lajterman also included in her estimate the cost for residential care, in the event that home care is no longer an option. Tr. at 143, Lajterman Plan at 10. However, Respondent’s life care planner disputed the need for such contingency planning. Tr. at 238. I do not find that such a life care plan element is required under the circumstances, and it is not therefore included in my damages determination. 7 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 8 of 24 bed, and ramps. Id. at 126. An FES bicycle is only available in therapy environments, and not found in a regular gym. Id. However, Ms. Lajterman represented that she had in the past encountered instances in which individuals with spinal cord injury have home access to such a piece of equipment. Id. Individuals use the bike with electrodes placed on the skin, which stimulates muscle contraction and increase strength. She stated that this equipment would not wear out quickly, would likely be a one-time purchase, and would greatly aid Petitioner. Id. at 127. Ms. Lajterman also proposed that I.J. receive a bed from the “ProBed” line. Tr. at 129. This bed aids in turning and repositioning immobile patients, to prevent them from having pressure sores and skin breakdown. Id. She recalled Petitioner’s earlier testimony about a serious pressure wound on his back, which required him to lay on his front for five months to treat. Id. She opined that the cost of the bed (just under $50,000.00) equaled out to the cost of treating an open wound, and was therefore both justified and cost-effective as well. Id. Further, such a bed moves up and down manually, and does not need to be cranked by an aide. Id. at 130. When asked about the Respondent’s argument that this bed should not be included because a bed frame and mattress is deemed a routine expense, she said she did not understand that recommendation. Id. at 131. She also clarified that this cost item was intended to cover a bed in a range of costs, rather than a specific model. Id. at 178. Ms. Lajterman testified about the need for replacement portable ramps. Tr. at 130. These ramps could be taken to places that are not wheelchair-accessible, and set up so that Petitioner could access them. Id. She recommended that these ramps be replaced every five years to ensure safety and good working order, at a cost of $300. Id. at 130–131. Next, Ms. Lajterman discussed her recommendation for wheelchairs and maintenance. Tr. at 134. One proposal—a custom standing wheelchair for Petitioner—was accepted by Respondent, and its cost would be covered by insurance. Id. But they disagreed on the cost allocation for maintenance, with Ms. Lajterman recommending an allocation of at least $500 per year, regardless of actual need, deeming Respondent’s allocation of $109.80 inadequate. Id. at 134, 135. In addition, she recommended a specialized seat cushion to prevent skin breakdown, plus provision of a manual light wheelchair in case the primary wheelchair malfunctioned or was not otherwise accessible by a home care provider. Id. at 135, 136. Relatedly, Ms. Lajterman proposed cost provisions for a new, wheelchair-accessible van for Petitioner’s transportation (to be driven by home care aides), plus allocations for its maintenance. Tr. at 138–39. Finally, Ms. Lajterman identified a number of lower-cost care components. Lajterman Plan at 17. First, she recommended he be provided access to a medical alert system in case of emergencies. Tr. at 125 She proposed that bedside urinals be replaced weekly, as they must be cleaned carefully to prevent infection, and are relatively inexpensive. Id. She also testified that items such as sliding boards and shower chairs be replaced periodically due to wear and tear. Id. at 126. And she called for cost allocation for a number of miscellaneous small hygiene supplies 8 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 9 of 24 and medications (acknowledging that Respondent did not contest the need for the medications, and that almost all would likely be covered by insurance in any event). Tr. at 136, 138. 2. Linda Curtis – Ms. Curtis earned a Bachelor of Science in Nursing from Florida State University in 1982, and a Master of Sciences in Health Services Management from Florida Institute of Technology in 1991. Curriculum Vitae of Linda Curtis, R.N., filed September 14, 2023 (ECF No. 204-3). She is a Certified Nurse Life Care Planner and Certified Case Manager. Id. She has over 40 years of nursing experience that has included caring for the ill and injured across the continuum of life. Id. Her acute care experience includes the following fields: Critical care, Medical-Surgical, Emergency, Cardiology, Rehabilitation, and Orthopedics as a staff nurse and supervisor. Id. Her areas of expertise include physical rehabilitation, spinal cord injuries, traumatic brain injuries, chronic pain, multi trauma, amputees, burn and orthopedic injuries. Id. Since 1995, she has been the President of Medical Record Review LLC, and has been retained by over 100 law firms and insurance carriers as a consulting expert. Id. She has prepared life care plans in the Vaccine Program over 300 times before. Tr. at 214. Ms. Curtis based her life care plan recommendations on a review of the medical records, plus an in-person site visit with Petitioner. She visited Petitioner’s home in October 2022, and spent slightly over two hours with him. Curtis Plan at 1; Tr. at 222. She also explained her overall approach in preparing a plan for Respondent. Her goal was to provide “adequate coverage for basic care needs,” rather than to optimize Petitioner’s quality of life. Id. at 218. Otherwise, she factored in offsets to create a plan falling within the guidelines of the Vaccine Program (which both functions as “payer of last resort,” and also, in Ms. Curtis’s understanding, does not aim for injury compensation to maximize an individual’s possible quality of life overall, even if recommended care will move a petitioner in that direction). Id. at 220. Ms. Curtis began her testimony by providing her perception of Petitioner’s abilities—based upon her personal evaluation of him as well as his testimony at hearing. She noted his overall drive and high spirits, and that he was able to assist in his own transfers and simple tasks such as taking medication, but that he did require an aide to complete most needed activities of daily living. Tr. at 224, 216–17. Ms. Curtis also later acknowledged that, based on Petitioner’s testimony, she had modified her position on some specific care issues. Tr. at 265. At the same time, she emphasized over and over that many care items would be adequately covered by insurance—and that the insurance regime she proposed (and which was not addressed in Ms. Lajterman’s life care plan) was particularly comprehensive and reasonable. Id. at 220. Thus, her plan proposed funding for Medicare insurance, a Medigap policy, and Medicare Part D for prescription coverage. Id. at 220. In many cases, therefore, Ms. Curtis deemed Petitioner’s life care plan elements to exceed not only what was medically reasonable, but to reflect costs that insurance would capture. Regarding home care, Ms. Curtis denied the need for around-the-clock assistance. Tr. at 238. She noted that in her experience offering life care plan recommendation in Vaccine Program cases, she had only seen the need for that degree of care in a few rare circumstances, involving the 9 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 10 of 24 most severely-disabled individuals such as those in a coma and/or on a ventilator. Id. And her plan was intended to help improve Petitioner’s functional abilities overall, allowing him to become more independent and rely less on caregivers. Id. at 249. Nevertheless, Ms. Curtis recommended six hours per day of attendant care, totaling 42 hours per week (and increasing to eight hours a day, or 46 hours a week, when Petitioner turned 65). Id. at 240. In this amount of time, a caregiver could help Petitioner get ready at the beginning of the day, then leave him safely alone for independent activities in the middle of the day, returning in the evening to prepare dinner and help him go to bed. Id. Later in her testimony, Ms. Curtis allowed that Petitioner should not receive less than what he presently received, and that in fact she would be comfortable with him receiving eight to ten hours per day (adding that it was likely the insurance scheme she proposed would cover much of it). Id. at 253–54, 265. Ms. Curtis was less supportive of many of the other proposed therapeutic treatments, however. For example, she contested Ms. Lajterman’s recommendations for massage therapy, chiropractic care, and acupuncture. Tr. at 230. She deemed massages to be a “routine expense”— something that would typically be paid for by an individual but was not treatment-associated or needed in connection with the vaccine injury at issue. Id. In addition, physical therapy Petitioner would be entitled to receive through insurance would likely include some amount of massage. Id. at 230–231. When discussing chiropractic care and acupuncture therapy, she pointed out that there were no medical records of which she was aware recommending these therapies, rendering their need “speculative,” and adding that she did not know of any scientific basis for their use in treatment of transverse myelitis. Id. at 231. Similarly, while Ms. Curtis agreed aqua therapy might be beneficial to Petitioner, she deemed it a care item that could be obtain in the context of insurance-covered physical therapy. Tr. at 232. By contrast, Ms. Curtis agreed that nutrition consultations might be beneficial, but deemed only four visits in total necessary. Id. at 231–32. Other larger-scale items also were viewed by Ms. Curtis as unnecessary or not available in the Program. Full home modification to a rental, she proposed, was not possible legally,5 and Petitioner’s specific itemizations for it too speculative. Tr. at 234. And the danger of Petitioner’s high-story apartment location (specifically in the event of a fire) was addressed by the lower-cost option of a medical alert system, which she had included in her own life care plan. Id. at 229, 235. In fact, this kind of system (which would permit Petitioner to obtain emergency assistance for a number of issues or potentially dangerous incidents) was a reason why 24-7 home care was unnecessary. Id. at 244. Although she concurred for the need to modify any existing motor vehicle owned by Petitioner for his own access, she denied that the Vaccine Program allowed injured parties the purchase of a wholly-new vehicle. Id. at 227. (She also expressed the view that a vehicle modified to allow Petitioner himself to drive might provide a good therapeutic goal. Id. at 228). Ms. Curtis 5 Later in her testimony, however, Ms. Curtis stated that if modifications could be made to a rental home, she would recommend them in this case. Tr. at 261–62. 10 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 11 of 24 accepted that access to an FES bicycle could be an effective therapy, but deemed Petitioner’s ownership of such an expensive item an “over-the-top expense,” adding that it was the kind of thing he likely could utilize elsewhere in the context of his physical therapy. Id. at 234; see Lajterman Plan at 17 (listed cost of FES bike is $19,500). Ms. Curtis acknowledged Petitioner should obtain an automatic/non-cranking bed, but deemed the insurance scheme her plan established sufficient to obtain for him an excellent upgrade, even if at a lower cost than what Ms. Lajterman proposed. Tr. at 230. And she agreed to the need for the supplies, medications, and other sundries included in Petitioner’s plan, but noted that she had proposed sums that she deemed most cost-effective, in keeping with the Vaccine Program’s damages limitations. Id. at 236. C. Vocational/Economic Experts 1. Andrew Gluck – Mr. Gluck prepared a single written report for Petitioner and testified at hearing. Analysis of Loss of Earnings of I.J., dated September 14, 2023, filed as Ex. 107 (ECF No. 34-2) (“Gluck Analysis”); Tr. at 182. Mr. Gluck maintained that Petitioner is unable to work due to his physical limitations, noting in support that he receives Social Security disability payments. Tr. at 183. Based upon this, he proposed to offer a calculation of Petitioner’s total lost wages—actual as well as future—and provided an amount, although one he largely acknowledged had not been adjusted in any regard (and which in fact he attempted to adjust in the midst of testimony). Tr. at 192, 209. Mr. Gluck received his undergraduate degree in Economics and Philosophy from the University of Florida in 1965. CV of Andrew Gluck, filed on September 14, 2023 (ECF No. 204- 5). He went on to earn graduate degrees in Psychology and Vocational Rehabilitation, and worked in various settings as a psychologist, vocational counselor, and rehabilitation specialist. Id. In 1990, he completed an M.S. with coursework in microeconomics, accounting, applied social sciences, and administrative law. Id. He then earned his Ed.D. from Columbia University, through interdisciplinary studies in philosophy, economics, psychology, and statistics. Id. Since then, he has worked as a vocational economic analyst, in addition to teaching. Id. To determine Petitioner’s total lost wages, Mr. Gluck relied on Petitioner’s tax returns and his offer letter from NYU (his former employer at the time of injury).6 Tr. at 185. He then adjusted Petitioner’s yearly earnings for inflation, and added on a 24.4% fringe benefit rate based on the national average for fringe benefits (in order to include the value of non-direct salary compensation benefits). Id. at 186. Mr. Gluck deemed this rate to be conservative, since an educational entity like NYU can provide a wider array of benefits than other employers, such as tuition credits. Id. On cross-examination, however, Mr. Gluck noted that his fringe benefits calculation came from the Bureau of Labor Statistics average, and that he had not used a rate specific to the hospital industry (a relevant consideration given Petitioner’s employment at the time of injury). Id. at 194– 6 Petitioner was then starting a job as a Patient Advocate at NYU Medical Center. Entitlement Decision at 8. 11 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 12 of 24 95. But he deemed industry-specific calculations of little utility, unless the individual is a union worker, municipal worker, or a very high earner. Id. at 197. Mr. Gluck then used the Department of Labor’s American Community Survey to estimate Petitioner’s remaining working years from the time of his injury. Tr. at 188. He concluded that Petitioner had 26.3 working years left as August 2013 (the time of his injury), factoring in the probability of death, job loss, or non-participation in the workforce. Id. Notably, Mr. Gluck acknowledged at hearing that his initial report did not discount the lost wages sum for likely taxes that would have been imposed on earnings. Id. at 189. But (and taking into account Respondent’s expert’s analysis in his own written report) he proposed to do so in his testimony, and based upon that (and as reflected in Petitioner’s pre-hearing submission) he offered a reduced sum, offset by taxes, in the amount of $1,586,204. Id.; Petitioner’s Prehearing Brief at 34. This was not the only reduction agreed to by Petitioner and Mr. Gluck at hearing. Mr. Gluck also admitted that his calculations differed from those of Respondent’s expert in a number of ways—and that many of the differences favored Respondent’s analysis. Tr. at 190. For example, he did not deduct for Petitioner’s disability benefits, received starting in August 2013, which he is eligible for through October 2023. Id.; see Kennedy Analysis (ECF No. 203-4) at 4 (explanation of Petitioner’s disability benefits). On re-direct, Mr. Gluck clarified that deducting the disability benefits was in fact necessary—and that doing so would further lower his estimate of lost past and future wages to $1,432,704.00. Id. at 209. In addition, Mr. Gluck applied a different net discount rate approach, relevant in reducing the value to net present value of sums Petitioner was maintaining he would have earned in the future. Rather than the 1.25 percent figure embraced by Dr. Kennedy, Mr. Gluck had used a half point increase based on “long-term rates of wage growth and T-bill rates.” Tr. at 190. In so doing, he believed the difference between a present value on a wage sum and future amounts effectively zeroed out. Id. at 189. He also testified that this approach was often used in litigation in Pennsylvania state court matters that he testified in—although he did not explain why that approach would have utility or persuasive force in the Vaccine Program case. Id. at 198. Ultimately, however, Mr. Gluck acknowledged that he did not fully understand why the discounting methods were different, and he even seemed to concede that Dr. Kennedy’s reasoning on the matter was persuasive. Tr. at 190–191. Regardless, he noted that the remaining gap between the parties’ positions on total lost wage sums (applying the competing discount rate approaches) was only $200,000-300,000. Id. at 191. 2. Dr. Patrick Kennedy - Dr. Kennedy is an economist, and he provided his own calculation of lost wages for this matter. Respondent’s Loss of Earnings Analysis, dated September 14, 2023 filed as Exhibit U (ECF No. 203-4) (“Kennedy Analysis”); Tr. at 270. Dr. Kennedy holds a bachelor’s degree in Economics from the University of California, San Diego and a Doctorate in Economics from Stanford University. Curriculum Vitae of Patrick 12 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 13 of 24 Kennedy, filed on September 14, 2023 (ECF No. 203-5). He has been a managing director with Torrey Partners, a managing director with LECG, a shareholder with Mack Barclay, Inc., a director of economic research with International Securities Group and an economist with the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington, D.C. Id. He is currently an economist and Managing Director with Stout. Stout is a global investment bank and advisory firm specializing in corporate finance, accounting and transaction advisory, valuation, financial disputes, claims, and investigations. Id. Dr. Kennedy routinely analyzes loss of earnings in state and federal court, including in Vaccine Program matters. Tr. at 270. He testifies in equal amounts for plaintiffs and defendants. Id. In this case, Dr. Kennedy estimated Petitioner’s lost wages, after offsets and discounts, to be $1,190,602.00. Tr. at 271. To arrive at this figure, Dr. Kennedy (like Mr. Gluck) used records of prior earnings, multiplied by a statistical work-life expectancy. Id. at 272. However, Dr. Kennedy used a wage growth rate specialized to the hospital industry, given Petitioner’s occupation at the time of injury. Id. As he explained, wage growth for hospital employment is historically higher than national wage growth. Id. at 273. He also used a fringe benefit average (19.89%) specific to hospital employees, a figure slightly lower than the one used by Mr. Gluck. Id. He used a similar adjustment for income taxes. Id. Dr. Kennedy also came to a slightly different figure for disability payments—a total of $185,326 after applying a present value calculation and discount rate. Id. at 274–75. Besides the above, Dr. Kennedy’s calculation also relied on a different net present value discount rate. Kennedy Analysis at 5–9. In so doing, he took issue with Mr. Gluck’s use of the “total offset method,” stating that “[i]t’s effectively a net zero discount rate.” Tr. at 274. Indeed, Dr. Kennedy maintained that even if the alternative discount rate had been properly applied, he would “have a material disagreement with that approach.” Id. His methodology uses both the historical relationship between interest rates and inflation, and future projections “on things like the Social Security Trust Fund, the OMB, Office of Management and Budget, and, importantly, the Federal Reserve projections.” Id. at 276. Mr. Gluck’s figures, by contrast, relied on the use of 30 or 90-day Treasury bills, rather than five-year US Treasuries. Dr. Kennedy opined that five- year Treasuries would be a more appropriate investment than T-bills, so he used that option in his calculation. Id. at 278–279. Dr. Kennedy also explained why he did not include employer contributions to Social Security in his calculations. Tr. at 280. There is “significant uncertainty” as to whether Petitioner would ever be able to receive Social Security benefits—he testified that the reserves are projected to run out by 2037, before Petitioner reaches Social Security retirement age. Id. at 281. Further, a calculation for Petitioner would need an offset to account for his receipt of SSDI benefits. Id. at 281–282. Factoring this in would reduce Petitioner’s total loss by nearly $400,000. Id. Thus, given the uncertainty of Petitioner ever benefitting from these contributions, he chose not to subtract this amount from his estimate. Id. 13 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 14 of 24 III. Relevant Law on Damages Determinations A. General Considerations A petitioner may recover “actual unreimbursable expenses incurred before the date of judgment awarding such expenses which (i) resulted from the vaccine-related injury for which the petitioner seeks compensation, (ii) were incurred by or on behalf of the person who suffered such injury, and (iii) were for diagnosis, medical or other remedial care, rehabilitation . . . determined to be reasonably necessary.” Section 15(a)(1)(A)(i) –(iii). The petitioner bears the burden of proof with respect to each element of compensation requested. Brewer v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 93-0092V, 1996 WL 147722, at *22–23 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 18, 1996). As noted above, this provision of the Act permits recovery of costs to be incurred for future care as well, although such costs must be shown to be “reasonably necessary.” Section 15(a)(1)(A)(iii)(I) –(II). The meaning of the phrase “reasonably necessary” is somewhat imprecise, as I have recognized in other cases. Barone v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 11-707V, 2016 WL 3577540 (Fed. CL. Spec. Mstr. May 12, 2016). But it encompasses the idea that additional care aimed at maximizing an injured party’s overall well-being (not matter how personally deserving the individual may be) is not in keeping with the scope of damages envisioned by the Program. I.D. v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 04-1593V, 2013 WL 2448135, at *6 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 19, 2013) (defining “reasonably necessary” to mean “that which is required to meet the basic needs of the injured person . . . but short of that which may be required to optimize the injured person’s quality of life”); see also Bedell v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 90- 765V, 1992 WL 266285 (Cl. Ct. Spec. Mstr. Sept. 18, 1992) (defining the term to mean more than merely barely adequate, but less than the most optimal imaginable). And it goes almost without saying that such costs must also pertain to care associated with the alleged injury or its sequalae. Medical care a petitioner might receive, even if needed, that is not aimed at treatment of the vaccine injury at issue, or related to it, is not a reasonably necessary future care component. B. Lost Wages – Past and Future The Vaccine Act provides for recovery of “actual and anticipated loss of earnings determined in accordance with generally recognized actuarial principles and projections,” where the injured party’s “earning capacity is or has been impaired by reason of such person’s vaccine- related injury.” Section 15(a)(3)(A). The calculation of lost earnings damages must be performed in a “cautious manner ‘in accordance with generally recognized principles and projections.’” Brown v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 00-182V, 2005 WL 2659073, at *6 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Sept. 21, 2005) (citing Section 15(a)(3)(A)). Moreover, the Vaccine Act requires that any award of compensation relating to future damages shall be reduced to its net present value. Section 15(f)(4)(A). Compensation awarded for a petitioner’s anticipated loss of earnings may not be based on speculation. J.T. v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 12-618V, 2015 WL 5954352, at *7 (Fed. Cl. Sept. 17, 2015) (indicating Section 15(a)(3)(A) “does not envision that ‘anticipated loss of 14 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 15 of 24 earnings’ includes speculation” and thus refusing to allow lost wages on a planned business venture that was too indefinite); Dillenbeck v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., 147 Fed. Cl. 131, 139 (2020 (citing J.T., 2015 WL 5954352, at *7). Accordingly, it is not enough to substantiate such a request with some evidence, if the submissions offered ultimately rely on speculated (if somewhat informed) “guesses” about what a claimant might have earned under optimal conditions. See, e.g., Moreland v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 18-1319V, 2022 WL 10469047 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Sept. 2, 2022) (denying injured real estate agent’s claim of lost commissions; although petitioner substantiated her claim with evidence, she could not demonstrate her expectation of commissions or other real estate-related income was more than a reasoned hope). IV. Appropriate Compensation in this Matter – Disputed Components A. Lost Wages – Past and Future Petitioner requests a total award of $1,432,704.00, for past and future lost wages. To support this component of his damages demand, Petitioner relies on a mix of earnings documentation and expert input from Mr. Gluck. See generally Gluck Analysis; Petitioner’s Tax Returns 2008-2013, filed on August 18, 2023 (ECF No. 200); Petitioner’s Employment and Earning Records, filed on March 24, 2023 (ECF No. 106). Respondent agrees that Petitioner cannot re-enter the workforce, and is entitled to past and future lost wages, but (relying on the same background information about Petitioner’s prior earnings) estimates Petitioner’s total lost earnings to be the lesser sum of $1,190,602.00. Kennedy Analysis at 11. And as noted above, Respondent applies a 1.25% offset rate, along with a fringe benefits rate specific to the hospital industry, where Mr. Gluck applies one based on more general labor statistics. Kennedy Analysis at 10. Respondent’s calculation was plainly better-defended and explained by Dr. Kennedy, and was more persuasive than what Mr. Gluck proposed. Indeed, Mr. Gluck admitted at hearing that his initial figure lacked numerous necessary discounts (in particular taxes), and then conceded he could not rebut Dr. Kennedy’s discount rate reasoning. Tr. at 190–191. I also note that a discount rate in the range proposed by Dr. Kennedy is far more in keeping with how that rate has been calculated in prior Vaccine Program cases, over more than 20 years. See, e.g., Watkins v. Sec’y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 95-154V, 1999 WL 199057 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 12, 1999) (discussing in detail the calculation of net discount rates and agreeing with the method used by Dr. Kennedy). Accordingly, Respondent’s proposed figure was persuasively established, and calculated “in accordance with generally recognized actuarial principles and projections.” Section 15 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 16 of 24 15(a)(3)(A).7 And (again, by Mr. Gluck’s admission) the sum I will order does not reflect an egregious drop in total lost wages to be paid, when compared against Petitioner’s demand. Therefore, and based on the evidence filed, I shall award Petitioner $1,190,602.00 in lost wages, both actual and future. B. Medical Care Expenses Overall, Respondent’s life care planner Linda Curtis offered a more persuasive evaluation of Petitioner’s medically-established needs. Ms. Curtis visited Petitioner in person before making her recommendations, giving her a more accurate perspective on his day-to-day activities and limitations. She also did a better job taking into account Program guidelines for what kinds of costs are allowable. At the same time, Petitioner’s own testimony (supplemented by the other fact witnesses and Ms. Lajterman) confirmed his need for some cost categories exceeding what Respondent was willing to accept. I provide a brief run-down of my findings on disputed categories below. 1. Insurance Ms. Curtis recommends comprehensive Medicare coverage as part of Petitioner’s award, to cover many of the items Petitioner’s life care planner recommended - but at a lower cost to the Program. She has also provided an interlocking system of coverage, to ensure no gaps occur. Curtis Plan at 2. Petitioner has voiced no objection to Ms. Curtis’s insurance recommendation (and in fact did not even attempt to take into account whether certain proposed life care plan items would even be covered under such insurance). Accordingly, damages in this case shall include the costs of this insurance package (to be determined in connection with any annuity product that must be obtained to ensure future care sums are available). As discussed below, only in instances in which a proposed care item is not likely to be covered under such insurance are provisions included for the extra cost. 2. Wheelchair Petitioner will be granted the cost of all of the wheelchair components requested, including a custom standing power wheelchair, battery replacements, maintenance, a specialized seat 7 While the Federal Circuit has not interpreted what qualifies as “generally recognized actuarial principles and projections,” there are several decisions that interpret “actuarial principles” in a broader sense from other federal and state statutes, where actuarial data and expert opinions are required to substantiate damages. See, e.g., Chabner v. United of Omaha Life Ins. Co., 994 F. Supp. 1185, 1194 (N.D. Cal. 1998), aff’d, 225 F.3d 1042 (9th Cir. 2000) (finding that under the Americans with Disabilities Act, sound actuarial principles “must . . . include reference to some sort of actuarial data either in the form of actuarial tables or clinical studies estimating mortality rates”); Fleisher v. Phoenix Life Ins. Co., 18 F. Supp. 3d 456, 480 (S.D.N.Y. 2014) (taking into account conflicting expert testimony when assessing “accepted actuarial principles” under a New York statute). 16 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 17 of 24 cushion, and a manual backup wheelchair. This will amount to a total of $84,968.00. Lajterman Plan at 19. 3. Ceiling-Mounted Lift System Within 30 days of this Ruling, Petitioner shall inform me whether under City of New York and other applicable rent and apartment law policies modification of a rental apartment may be made for a disabled tenant to install the requested ceiling-mounted lift system, and the cost. If this is permissible under law, the cost shall be included in the damages award, regardless of insurance coverage. If impermissible, however, it shall not be included. 4. FES Bike Petitioner has not shown that it is medically necessary for him to own an FES bike that would be located in his home. He is instead encouraged to access a FES bike at a physical therapy center, as part of any such sessions covered by the comprehensive insurance coverage proposed by Respondent. 5. Home Care Assistance Respondent’s expert made a compelling argument that Petitioner can be left alone for short periods of time if provided with a medical alert system in case of emergency. In addition, Petitioner has not demonstrated that the severity of his injury-related deficiencies merit round-the-clock home care. As noted at hearing, however, Respondent concedes Petitioner should receive at least 8-10 hours a day of this care. Tr. at 265. And I find he should not receive less such care than is presently provided to him—and he currently receives 70 hours per week of care. Id. at 140. Thus, he will be provided with the cost of 10 hours per day of attendant care, at a rate of $29.00 per hour. 6. Physical and Occupational Therapy Petitioner will not be separately awarded the cost of physical and occupational therapy, as he can likely obtain any such needed care via the Respondent’s recommended insurance. 7. Audiology Petitioner has not shown a specific link between any hearing issues he suffers and his vaccine injury. Thus, the cost of audiology care will not be separately covered (although he may otherwise seek any needed care that would otherwise be covered as a medical expense under Respondent’s recommended insurance scheme). 17 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 18 of 24 8. Cannabis Cannabis cannot be a covered medical expense under the Vaccine Program, even if prescribed by a treater, as it is a Schedule I controlled substance under the federal Controlled Substances Act, 21 U.S.C. § 801, et seq. I therefore do not include the cost of this treatment in damages. 9. Acupuncture Petitioner will not be awarded the cost of acupuncture therapy, as he has not shown that it was recommended by a doctor for his injury. 10. Nutritionist Petitioner will not be awarded the cost of consults with a nutritionist. He may instead obtain coverage for such advice via Respondent’s proposed insurance scheme. 11. Massage Therapy Petitioner will not be awarded the cost of massage therapy, as he has not shown that it is recommended by a doctor for his injury. He may instead obtain coverage for massage via Respondent’s proposed insurance scheme (and specifically any physical therapy sought thereunder). 12. Gym Membership/Aqua Therapy Petitioner will be provided with the cost of an annual gym membership to work on his mobility in his free time. Within 30 days of this Ruling, Petitioner will propose a sum to cover a local gym membership. Petitioner will not be provided a separate award of costs to cover aqua- therapy, but is encouraged to identify a gym that could provide pool access, and/or seek such therapy in the context of any physical therapy obtained via insurance. 13. Psychological counseling Petitioner will not be provided with the cost of psychological counseling, as this will be covered by Respondent’s proposed insurance scheme. 18 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 19 of 24 14. Medical Alert System The parties agree on the need for a life alert system, to safeguard Petitioner when alone. Both Petitioner and Respondent have listed the cost of this system as $300.00 per year to Petitioner’s life end, and accordingly this sum shall be provided for as an ongoing medical costs. 15. Supplies Petitioner will be provided with the cost of all hygiene supplies requested, including incontinence products, gloves, wipes, bed pads, and condom catheters, for a total of $107,835.83. He will also receive most of the larger care supplies he requested, such as bedside urinals (replaced weekly), sliding boards, and rolling shower chairs and commode. Going by Petitioner’s estimate, periodic replacement of these items will cost approximately $591.60 per year to Petitioner’s life end. 16. Prescriptions All necessary medications and prescriptions should be available under Respondent’s proposed insurance scheme, and therefore no additional damages component is needed to account for this expense. Although some prescriptions requested in Petitioner’s life care plan (i.e., Cialis) have not been shown to be reasonably necessary for treatment of his transverse myelitis, it is likely he can seek reimbursement for them under Respondent’s proposed comprehensive insurance policy. 17. Wheelchair-Accessible Vehicle The cost of a new wheelchair-accessible van is deemed a routine expense not compensable under the Program (except in rare circumstances not present herein), and therefore I do not provide for this in damages. See Petronelli v. Sec'y of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 12-285V, 2016 WL 3252082, at *2 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 12, 2016) (Petitioner not awarded cost of a wheelchair- accessible van when she was capable of traveling in a standard vehicle for short distances). However, Petitioner will be awarded the cost of wheelchair-accessible modifications to a vehicle, and routine updates to these modifications, as recommended by Respondent’s expert. This will total $29,000.00. Curtis Plan at 15–16. 18. Bed Petitioner has made a compelling argument that he needs a semi-electric bed, rather than one that must be manually cranked by a caregiver to move up and down. However, Ms. Curtis established in her testimony that a semi-electric bed will be covered by proposed insurance, and Petitioner did not otherwise establish that the specific model of bed requested would be the only 19 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 20 of 24 reasonably adequate modality to aid his health. Accordingly, I do not provide herein for a separate item of coverage for a new bed. C. Apartment Relocation Expenses Petitioner and Ms. Lajterman made compelling arguments at the hearing about Petitioner’s safety concerns in the event of a fire. Petitioner currently resides on the 17th floor of his apartment building. Because elevators normally shut down during a fire, his only route of escape would be the building stairs. But the fact that he is wheelchair-bound means first responders not only would have to carry him down seventeen flights of stairs, but also make it up to the 17th floor in the first place. In the case of a serious fire emanating from the lower level of the building, there is a significant chance emergency personnel would not be able to rescue Petitioner in time. Thus, due to his injury, a first floor or very low floor apartment is a reasonable accommodation for Petitioner’s overall safety. As of the time of the hearing, the record lacked sufficient information about the cost of Petitioner’s current apartment versus what sums would be needed to obtain an apartment on a lower floor. Accordingly, after a status conference on January 31, 2024, I asked Petitioner to propose a calculation for the cost of moving to a comparable, first-floor apartment, and he has done so. Memorandum, dated February 29, 2024 (ECF No. 223) (“Memorandum”). Respondent then filed his own brief on the topic. Response, dated March 15, 2024 (ECF No. 224) (“Response”). Petitioner’s memorandum includes an affidavit from Petitioner and information for comparable apartments in Brooklyn, NY. See generally Memorandum. He provides the layout of his current apartment for reference. Id. at 4–6. He also provides online listings for various apartments, ranging in monthly rent costs from $8,995.00 to $2,180.00. Id. at 8–34. Petitioner’s affidavit represents that he consulted several movers and received verbal estimates of approximately $5,000.00 for his move. Id. at 152. He also explains that his current apartment complex is rent-subsidized. Id. Once he receives damages in this case, he will exceed the asset limits for the complex. Id. He then provides a list of prices and locations for the apartments he found in internet searches, but notes that some of the apartments are not in safe areas. Id. at 154– 155. Respondent has opposed the award of any relocation-related costs. First, he maintains that the language of the Vaccine Act in Section 15(c) prohibits awarding the cost of a new rental unit, stating that the amount for residential and custodial care must “be sufficient to enable the compensated person to remain living at home.” Response at 3; 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-15(c). In support, he offers legislative history evidence suggesting that this kind of damages award was not 20 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 21 of 24 contemplated as reasonably covered by the Vaccine Act at the time of its promulgation. Response at 4. In addition, Respondent cites several cases in which Petitioners were denied the cost of purchasing a new home entirely, or funds for building an addition onto their current home. Response at 5–7; Marrero v. Sec'y of Dep't of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 88-12V, 1990 WL 293367 (Cl. Ct. Spec. Mstr. May 23, 1990); Gresh v. Sec'y of Dep't of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 89-91V, 1990 WL 270206 (Cl. Ct. Spec. Mstr. Oct. 26, 1990). And he contests that the risk to Petitioner’s safety is sufficient to justify such expenses. He notes, for example, that Petitioner testified at hearing that firefighters knocked on his door after another unit on the hall had a minor fire- thus proving his accessibility to first responders. Response at 8; Tr. at 59–62. Respondent instead deems security at the existing apartment complex adequate to protect Petitioner in an emergency situation. Id. Respondent further argues that Petitioner could have moved by now were this a real concern, since his injury occurred more than ten years ago. Id. at 9. Otherwise, Respondent denies the probative value of the evidence Petitioner has offered to establish comparable apartment costs, noting that several of the apartments listed were either inaccessible or located on even higher floors than Petitioner’s current apartment. Id. at 9–11. Although Respondent correctly observes several deficiencies in Petitioner’s justification for a particular amount of award8 for this damages component, he is unpersuasive in his larger argument that this kind of cost cannot be awarded in the Vaccine Program. First, most of the cases cited involved the distinguishable circumstance in which a claimant sought damages sufficient to purchase an entirely new home. See, e.g., Marrero, No. 88-12V, 1990 WL 293367. Here, by contrast, the question is to what extent the differential between Petitioner’s existing rental property and one that would pose less of a safety risk is justified. Petitioner is not requesting (nor would I agree to award) total rental coverage for the remainder of his life. Second, many of Respondent’s case citations actually involve circumstances in which petitioners were provided with damages merely to alleviate housing issues posed by an existing property (and are thus somewhat consistent with the current request). In one such case, for example, petitioners were awarded $38,148.00 for the yearly cost of a group home for their disabled son, rather than some amount to obtain a different apartment suitable for his needs. Kono v. Sec'y of Dep't of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 93-123V, 1995 WL 774598, at *16 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 21, 1995). Notably, the Kono petitioners had failed to submit any documentation supporting their request for rental costs into the record, and yet some provisions for this cost were made. Finally, there is some (albeit limited) case support for the propriety of damages components aimed at shielding wheelchair-bound petitioners from the risk of fire. In Hale v. Sec'y of Dep't of 8 Indeed, Petitioner’s filing does not even attempt to propose a final figure. 21 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 22 of 24 Health & Hum. Servs., No. 90-13V, 1990 WL 608696, at *7 (Cl. Ct. Spec. Mstr. Oct. 16, 1990), mot. for review den’d, 22 Cl. Ct. 403 (1991), a petitioner was awarded $30,000.00 for home modifications to accommodate their wheelchair-bound son. The special master in that case specifically noted that “[i]n the event of fire or other emergency, additional smoke detectors and an exit from Christopher's bedroom is needed.” (emphasis added). Here, Petitioner faces some risk if he continues to live in a high-floor apartment. The minor fire mentioned in his testimony that occurred on his hallway, during which firefighters knocked on his door to alert him, is not at all comparable to the possibility of a severe, structure-destroying fire that would put Petitioner in grave danger. Petitioner’s concerns about the reliability of emergency services in a large city are also well-founded. And the contention that Petitioner could have already made more effort to secure a lower-floor apartment fails to take into account the housing difficulties faced by low-income individuals—especially those who already have rent- subsidized apartments in New York City. Thus, while Respondent is correct that the risk from fire or other natural disaster is not certain, it is sufficiently realistic that some provision should be made herein for Petitioner to obtain a more evidently-safe living situation. I thus find an award of damages to enable relocation is warranted. However, the amount to be awarded remains to be calculated—and on this issue, Petitioner’s evidentiary inputs are not especially helpful. Under such circumstances, I deem it in the interests of justice (and to avoid awarding damages for too speculative a concern, or that amount to windfall) to fashion a lump sum amount sufficient to cover moving expenses and some amount of transitional rent costs for a lower floor apartment. Prior cases in the Program, including some cited by Respondent, have awarded similar lump sums for petitioners to use as they see fit in securing adequate housing for disabled individuals. For example, in Anghel v. Sec'y of Dep't of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 90-210V, 1991 WL 211867, at *3 (Cl. Ct. Oct. 3, 1991), in lieu of home modifications not found to meet the Act’s “reasonably necessary” standard, an award of $40,000.00 was permitted for house alterations “to be spent as the Anghel family sees fit.” (emphasis added). This figure was based on the estimate for the average cost of wheelchair-accessible home modifications as determined by the National Spinal Cord Injury Research Center. Other cases have also provided for lump sum housing awards that permit a petitioner discretion in their utilization. See, e.g., Gresh v. Sec'y of Dep't of Health & Hum. Servs., No. 89-91V, 1990 WL 270206, at *7 (Cl. Ct. Spec. Mstr. Oct. 26, 1990) (awarding $45,000 for home modifications, and stating “[t]his amount will provide for a wheelchair accessible bathroom and permit petitioners to select among other proposed modifications. If petitioners determine that modification of the present structure is not feasible, the amount may be applied towards the purchase of a more appropriate home” (emphasis added)); see also Marrero, 1990 WL 293367, at *11 (awarding $100,000.00 for home renovations, and stating that 22 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 23 of 24 “[i]f zoning ordinances prohibit such construction at the Marrero's current residence, the amount awarded would enable the Marrero's to make similar renovations to a comparable house”). As noted, while Petitioner has offered some information that can be used to calculate a relocation lump sum, it provides no total amount requested, and is not fully reliable. However, he has offered sufficient evidence to establish not only a reasonable moving cost, but a range of possible rent increase outcomes—and these sums are not specifically undermined by Respondent’s broad-based contentions. I will therefore include a lump sum of $74,804.60, based upon estimates of (a) $5,000.00 to move, and (b) an average rent increase9 of $13,960.92 per year ($1,163.41 x 12), with five years of this sum included. The increase is capped at five years to account for the possibility that Petitioner ultimately opts not to move (or finds an apartment with a comparable cost), so as not to grant him an unreasonable windfall, and also since the true risk of a catastrophe attributable to his current higher floor circumstances cannot be predicted to any degree of certainty. CONCLUSION In light of all of the above, I find Petitioner is entitled to (a) $250,000.00 in actual pain and suffering, as previously agreed by the parties, (b) $1,190,602.00 in actual lost wages, past and future, and (c) a relocation/rent differential lump sum of $74,804.60. These figures will be incorporated in the final damages decision to be issued in this case. The amount of $626,327.70 will also be specified in the Decision to satisfy the outstanding Medicaid lien for previously- received medical care associated with the vaccine injury. The parties shall prepare a joint final life care plan spreadsheet incorporating my rulings herein on disputed categories of care that can be appended to the Decision. They shall file this document on or before April 30, 2024. 9 To arrive at the $1,163.41 per month increase figure, the following calculation was employed: Petitioner’s list of comparable apartment rents (Memorandum at 154–155) was evaluated for reasonableness, with several units listed deemed to be luxury accommodations, and hence not fairly included in the calculation. In addition, relying on Petitioner’s current housing situation, all rental prices in excess of $5,000.00 per month were removed from consideration. The twelve remaining amounts set forth in Petitioner’s submissions (ranging from $2,180.00 per month to $4,800.00 per month) were then averaged, resulting in the amount of $2,769.41. This sum was then compared against Petitioner’s current rent. Notably, Petitioner did not specify in his affidavit what amount he pays per month currently, but his apartment complex’s website shows two bedroom units starting at $1,606.00 (Spring Creek Towers, https://www.springcreektowers.com/theapartments.html). This amount was subtracted from the average, showing a monthly increase of $1,163.41 ($2,769.41-$1,606.00=$1,163.41). This figure was in turn multiplied by twelve to determine a yearly amount ($1,163.41 x 12= $13,960.92), and then in turn multiplied by five to account for five years ($13,960.92 x 5= $69,804.60). This amount was added to the $5,000.00 moving cost estimated by Petitioner. Memorandum at 152. Thus, adding the sums together ($69,804.60 + $5,000.00=$74,804.60) yields the amount to be awarded. 23 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 248 Filed 01/05/26 Page 24 of 24 IT IS SO ORDERED. s/ Brian H. Corcoran Brian H. Corcoran Chief Special Master 24 ================================================================================ DOCUMENT 5: USCOURTS-cofc-1_16-vv-00864-7 Date issued/filed: 2026-01-05 Pages: 7 Docket text: PUBLIC DECISION (Originally filed: 06/05/2024) regarding 238 DECISION of Special Master. Signed by Chief Special Master Brian H. Corcoran. (mva) Service on parties made. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 249 Filed 01/05/26 Page 1 of 7 States Court of Federal Claims OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS No. 16-864V * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * I.J., * Chief Special Master Corcoran * Petitioner, * Filed: June 5, 2024 * v. * * SECRETARY OF HEALTH * AND HUMAN SERVICES, * * Respondent. * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Robert J. Krakow, Law Office of Robert J. Krakow, P.C., New York, N.Y, for Petitioner. Catherine E. Stolar, U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Washington, DC, Respondent. FINAL DAMAGES DECISION1 On July 21, 2016, I.J. filed a petition seeking compensation under the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (the “Vaccine Program”).2 Petitioner alleged that he suffered transverse myelitis (“TM”) as a result of a Tetanus Diphtheria acellular-Pertussis vaccine he received on July 22, 2013. Petition (ECF No. 1) (“Pet.”) at 1. After a trial and ensuing appellate practice, Petitioner was found entitled to damages in January 2022 (see Ruling, dated January 4, 2022 (ECF No. 143)), but the parties were unable to agree to a final sum, despite some concurrence on individual damages components. A hearing was held in October 2023, and although it resulted in some determinations (see March 28, 2024, Finding of 1 Under Vaccine Rule 18(b), each party has fourteen (14) days within which to request redaction “of any information furnished by that party: (1) that is a trade secret or commercial or financial in substance and is privileged or confidential; or (2) that includes medical files or similar files, the disclosure of which would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of privacy.” Vaccine Rule 18(b). Otherwise, the whole Decision will be available to the public in its present form. Id. 2 The Vaccine Program comprises Part 2 of the National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986, Pub. L. No. 99-660, 100 Stat. 3755 (codified as amended at 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-10–34 (2012)) (hereinafter “Vaccine Act” or “the Act”). All subsequent references to sections of the Vaccine Act shall be to the pertinent subparagraph of 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa. 1 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 249 Filed 01/05/26 Page 2 of 7 Fact and Conclusions of Law (ECF No. 225) (the “March Damages Ruling”)), other disputes persisted. On May 1, 2024, I ordered that “the final proffer/stipulation on damages in this matter will be filed on or before May 31, 2024.” ECF No. 230 at 2. The parties opted instead to file a Joint Status Report containing the information needed for me to issue a final damages decision. ECF No. 237. Accordingly, my final damages determination (which includes the rulings I issued in the March Damages Ruling) are herein set forth. I. Items of Compensation A. Life Care Items Respondent engaged life care planner Linda Curtis, RN, MS, CNLCP, CCM, and Petitioner engaged Linda Lajterman, RN, CCM, CDMS, ABDA, CLCP, to provide an estimation of I.J.’s future vaccine-injury-related needs, and each offered a life care plan. See ECF Nos. 203-1, 204-1. Agreed-upon life care items, as well as life care items I determined after the October 2023 hearing, are illustrated by the chart entitled “Appendix A: Items of Compensation for I.J.,” attached to this Decision as Tab A. I incorporate by reference this document, as well as the determinations made in my March Damages Ruling. B. Lost Earnings The parties agreed that based upon the evidence of record, I.J. has suffered a loss of earnings under the Vaccine Act, but did not initially agree on the total amount. But after hearing, I determined that Petitioner was entitled to $1,190,602.00 in actual lost wages, past and future. See March Damages Ruling at 16. C. Pain and Suffering The parties agree that based on the evidence of record, I.J. is entitled to an award of $250, 000 in actual pain and suffering, the maximum amount allowed under the Vaccine Act. 42 U.S.C. §300aa-15(a)(4). D. Apartment Relocation Expenses After disagreement by the parties on the compensability of apartment relocation expenses, I decided that a final damages decision would award $70,804.23. This amount reflects $5,000.00 for expenses expected to be incurred in compensation year one, and the discounted present value 2 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 249 Filed 01/05/26 Page 3 of 7 of annual expenses of $13,960.92 expected to be incurred in compensation years two through six, consistent with 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-15(a)(1). See March Damages Ruling at 23.3 E. Medicaid Lien Respondent proffers that Petitioner should be awarded funds to satisfy a New York City Department of Social Services Medicaid lien in the amount of $639,898.43, which represents full satisfaction of any right of subrogation, assignment, claim, lien, or cause of action the New York City Department of Social Services may have against any individual as a result of any Medicaid payments the New York City Department of Social Services has made to or on behalf of Petitioner from the date of his eligibility for benefits through the date of judgment in this case as a result of his vaccine-related injury suffered on or about August 1, 2013, under Title XIX of the Social Security Act. II. Form of the Award The compensation provided to Petitioner will be made through a combination of a lump sum payment and future annuity payments, as described below: A. A lump sum payment of $1,668,311.51, representing compensation for life care expenses expected to be incurred in the first year after judgment ($156,905.28), lost earnings ($1,190,602.00), pain and suffering ($250,000.00), and apartment relocation expenses ($70,804.23) in the form of a check payable to Petitioner; B. A lump sum payment of $639,898.43, representing compensation for satisfaction of the New York City Department of Social Services Medicaid Lien, payable jointly to Petitioner and: New York City Department of Social Services ATTN: Evelyn Sylvester Division of Liens and Recovery 375 Pearl Street New York, NY 10038 CIN: NC98405Y 3 After an initial amount for rent costs ($74,804.60) was calculated and set forth in the March Damages Ruling, it was determined after informal discussions with the parties that the net discount rate had not been applied to the future portion of this damages component, as required by Section 15(f)(4)(A). After applying this discount, the corrected amount came to $70,804.23. This recalculated sum was communicated to the parties, and neither disagreed with this corrected figure. 3 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 249 Filed 01/05/26 Page 4 of 7 Case Number: 1004628 C. An amount sufficient to purchase an annuity contract,4 subject to the conditions described below, that will provide payments for the life care items contained in the life care plan, as illustrated by the chart at Tab A, attached hereto, paid to the life insurance company,5 from which the annuity will be purchased.6 Compensation for Year Two (beginning on the first anniversary of the date of judgment) and all subsequent years shall be provided through respondent’s purchase of an annuity, which annuity shall make payments directly to petitioner, I.J., only so long as petitioner is alive at the time a particular payment is due. At the Secretary’s sole discretion, the periodic payments may be provided to petitioner in monthly, quarterly, annual, or other installments. The “annual amounts” set forth in the chart at Tab A describe only the total yearly sum to be paid to petitioner and do not require that the payment be made in one annual installment. a. Growth Rate The parties agree that a four percent (4%) growth rate should be applied to all non-medical life care items, and a five percent (5%) growth rate should be applied to all medical life care items. Thus, the benefits illustrated in the chart at Tab A that are to be paid through annuity payments should grow as follows: four percent (4%) compounded annually from the date of judgment for non-medical items, and five percent (5%) compounded annually from the date of judgment for medical items. b. Life-Contingent Annuity Petitioner will continue to receive the annuity payments from the life insurance company only so long as he, I.J., is alive at the time that a particular payment is 4 At Respondent’s discretion, Respondent may purchase one or more annuity contracts from one or more life insurance companies. 5 The Life Insurance Company must have a minimum of $250,000,000 capital and surplus, exclusive of any mandatory security valuation reserve. The Life Insurance Company must have one of the following ratings from two of the following rating organizations: a.A.M. Best Company: A++, A+, A+g, A+p, A+r, or A+s; b.Moody's Investor Service Claims Paying Rating: Aa3, Aa2, Aa1, or Aaa; c.Standard and Poor's Corporation Insurer Claims-Paying Ability Rating: AA-, AA, AA+, or AAA; d.Fitch Credit Rating Company, Insurance Company Claims Paying Ability Rating: AA-, AA, AA+, or AAA. 6 Petitioner authorizes the disclosure of certain documents filed by the petitioner in this case consistent with the Privacy Act and the routine uses described in the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program System of Records, No. 09- 15-0056. 4 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 249 Filed 01/05/26 Page 5 of 7 due. Written notice shall be provided to the Secretary of Health and Human Services and the life insurance company within twenty (20) days of I.J.’s death. III. Summary of Payments Following Judgment A. Lump sum paid to Petitioner, I.J.: $1,668,311.51; B. Medicaid lien: $639,898.43; and C. An amount sufficient to purchase the annuity contract described above in Section (II)(C). These amounts represent compensation for all damages that would be available under Section 15(a) of the Vaccine Act. The Clerk of the Court is directed to enter judgment in accordance with this Decision.7 IT IS SO ORDERED. s/ Brian H. Corcoran Brian H. Corcoran Chief Special Master 7 Pursuant to Vaccine Rule 11(a), entry of judgment can be expedited by the parties’ joint filing of notice renouncing the right to seek review. 5 Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 249 Filed 01/05/26 Page 6 of 7 Appendix A: Items of Compensation for I.J. Page 1 of 2 Lump Sum Compensation Compensation Compensation Compensation Compensation Compensation Compensation ITEMS OF COMPENSATION G.R. * M Year 1 Years 2-5 Year 6 Years 7-10 Year 11 Years 12-19 Years 20-Life 2024 2025-2028 2029 2030-2033 2034 2035-2042 2043-Life Medicare Part B Premium 5% M 2,096.40 2,096.40 2,096.40 2,096.40 2,096.40 2,096.40 Medicare Part B Deductible 5% 240.00 240.00 240.00 240.00 240.00 240.00 240.00 Medigap G 5% M 3,696.00 3,696.00 3,696.00 3,696.00 3,696.00 3,696.00 3,696.00 Medicare Part D 5% M 333.60 333.60 333.60 333.60 333.60 333.60 333.60 Primary Care Physician 5% * Neurology 5% * Urology 5% * Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation 5% * Podiatry 4% 280.00 280.00 280.00 280.00 280.00 280.00 280.00 Physical Therapy Evaluation 4% * Occupational Therapy Evaluation 4% * Diagnostic Testing 5% * Physical Therapy 4% * Men's Disposable Pull Ups 4% M 547.50 547.50 547.50 547.50 547.50 547.50 547.50 Gloves 4% M 146.00 146.00 146.00 146.00 146.00 146.00 146.00 Wipes 4% M 337.48 337.48 337.48 337.48 337.48 337.48 337.48 Chux 4% M 1,044.00 1,044.00 1,044.00 1,044.00 1,044.00 1,044.00 1,044.00 Condom Catheter 4% M 1,144.00 1,144.00 1,144.00 1,144.00 1,144.00 1,144.00 1,144.00 Medical Alert 4% 300.00 300.00 300.00 300.00 300.00 300.00 300.00 Bedside Urinal 4% M 416.00 416.00 416.00 416.00 416.00 416.00 416.00 Sliding Board 4% 39.00 15.60 15.60 15.60 15.60 15.60 15.60 Rolling Shower Chair/Commode 4% 800.00 800.00 800.00 160.00 160.00 Mattress Overlay 4% 579.00 579.00 57.90 57.90 Portable Ramp 4% 300.00 300.00 300.00 60.00 60.00 Power Wheelchair 4% 10,500.00 10,500.00 10,500.00 2,100.00 2,100.00 Wheelchair Battery 4% * 200.00 200.00 200.00 200.00 200.00 200.00 200.00 Wheelchair Maintenance 4% 500.00 500.00 500.00 500.00 500.00 500.00 500.00 Specialized Seat 4% 369.00 369.00 369.00 184.50 184.50 Manual Wheelchair 4% 549.00 549.00 549.00 91.50 91.50 Baclofen 5% * Gabapentin 5% * Case 1:16-vv-00864-RTH Document 249 Filed 01/05/26 Page 7 of 7 Appendix A: Items of Compensation for I.J. Page 2 of 2 Lump Sum Compensation Compensation Compensation Compensation Compensation Compensation Compensation ITEMS OF COMPENSATION G.R. * M Year 1 Years 2-5 Year 6 Years 7-10 Year 11 Years 12-19 Years 20-Life 2024 2025-2028 2029 2030-2033 2034 2035-2042 2043-Life Senna 4% 51.10 51.10 51.10 51.10 51.10 51.10 51.10 Colace 4% 36.50 36.50 36.50 36.50 36.50 36.50 36.50 Aspirin 4% 65.70 65.70 65.70 65.70 65.70 65.70 65.70 Wheelchair Accessible Vehicle 4% 20,000.00 20,000.00 2,000.00 2,000.00 Vehicle Modification Maintenance 4% 900.00 900.00 900.00 900.00 900.00 900.00 900.00 Driver's Evaluation 0% 875.00 Live In Attendant 4% M 105,560.00 105,560.00 105,560.00 105,560.00 105,560.00 105,560.00 105,560.00 Ceiling Lift System 0% 5,000.00 Gym Membership 0% * Lost Earnings 1,190,602.00 Pain and Suffering 250,000.00 Apartment Relocation Expenses 70,804.23 Medicaid Lien 639,898.43 Annual Totals 2,308,209.94 117,909.88 130,427.88 117,909.88 151,006.88 122,563.78 120,467.38 Note: Compensation Year 1 consists of the 12 month period following the date of judgment. Compensation Year 2 consists of the 12 month period commencing on the first anniversary of the date of judgment. As soon as practicable after entry of judgment, respondent shall make the following payment to petitioner for Yr 1 life care expenses ($156,905.28), lost earnings ($1,190,602.00), pain and suffering ($250,000.00), and apartment relocation expenses ($70,804.23): $1,668,311.51. As soon as practicable after entry of judgment, respondent shall make the following payment jointly to petitioner and the New York City Department of Social Services, as reimbursement of the state's Medicaid lien: $639,898.43. Annual amounts payable through an annuity for future Compensation Years follow the anniversary of the date of judgment. Annual amounts shall increase at the rates indicated above in column G.R., compounded annually from the date of judgment. Items denoted with an asterisk (*) covered by health insurance and/or Medicare. Items denoted with an "M" payable in twelve monthly installments totaling the annual amount indicated.