VICP Registry Case Source Bundle Canonical URL: https://vicp-registry.org/case/USCOURTS-cofc-1_15-vv-00247 Package ID: USCOURTS-cofc-1_15-vv-00247 Petitioner: Jasmyne Gramza Filed: 2015-03-10 Decided: 2018-04-02 Vaccine: HPV Vaccination date: 2012-01-07 Condition: immune thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) Outcome: denied Award amount USD: AI-assisted case summary: On March 10, 2015, Tarah Gramza filed a petition for compensation under the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program on behalf of her daughter, Jasmyne Gramza. Jasmyne Gramza, who was 13 years old at the time of her first vaccination, received three doses of the Human Papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine between January 7, 2012, and January 23, 2013. The petition alleged that these vaccinations caused her to develop immune thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP). The medical records indicated that Jasmyne had a history of migraines and contracted pneumonia in 2012. She also had a large hematoma on her left thigh from a fall in May 2012, which was still tender in July 2012. Her symptoms of easy bruising and heavy bleeding began to be noticed around March 2013, with more significant bleeding and bruising reported by July 2013. She sought medical attention in February 2014, where she was diagnosed with ITP. The case proceeded as an off-Table claim, meaning Jasmyne had to prove causation. The Special Master, Brian H. Corcoran, held an entitlement hearing in June 2017. Petitioner's mother, Tarah Gramza, and Jasmyne Gramza testified. Petitioner's expert, Dr. Yehuda Shoenfeld, opined that the HPV vaccine caused Jasmyne's ITP through molecular mimicry. Respondent's experts, Dr. Carlos Rose and Dr. Thomas Forsthuber, opined that Jasmyne suffered from Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) and that her condition was not related to the HPV vaccine. Dr. Rose believed Jasmyne met four of the eleven SLICC criteria for SLE, while Dr. Forsthuber rebutted Dr. Shoenfeld's molecular mimicry theory. The Special Master found that Jasmyne's ITP onset was most reliably determined to be in July 2013, approximately six months after her last vaccine dose. The Special Master determined that this timeframe was not medically acceptable for vaccine causation, citing expert testimony suggesting a timeframe of four to six weeks post-vaccination. The Special Master also found that Jasmyne did not establish a compelling narrative of cause and effect linking the vaccine to her ITP, noting the absence of treating physician opinions supporting this link and the presence of potential alternative causes like EBV. Although the Special Master found that the HPV vaccine could potentially cause ITP (Althen prong one), Jasmyne failed to establish the second and third Althen prongs. Consequently, Jasmyne's petition for compensation was denied. This decision was reviewed by Senior Judge Susan G. Braden, who affirmed the Special Master's findings, denying Petitioner's motion for review. The court found no arbitrary or capricious action by the Special Master in weighing the evidence and applying the law. Petitioner was represented by Andrew D. Downing of Van Cott & Talamante PLLC, and Respondent was represented by Darryl R. Wishard of the U.S. Dep’t of Justice. Theory of causation field: Petitioner Jasmyne Gramza, vaccinated with the HPV vaccine on January 7, 2012, July 26, 2012, and January 23, 2013, alleged that the vaccine caused her Immune Thrombocytopenic Purpura (ITP). The claim was off-Table, requiring proof of causation. Petitioner's expert, Dr. Yehuda Shoenfeld, proposed a theory of molecular mimicry, where the HPV vaccine's protein sequence homology with platelets triggers an autoimmune response. Respondent's experts, Dr. Carlos Rose and Dr. Thomas Forsthuber, opined that Petitioner suffered from Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) and that the vaccine did not cause her condition. The Special Master, Brian H. Corcoran, found that Petitioner failed to establish a medically acceptable temporal relationship (Althen prong three), determining the onset of ITP was in July 2013, approximately six months post-vaccination, which was deemed too long. The Special Master also found Petitioner failed to establish a logical sequence of cause and effect (Althen prong two), noting the lack of treating physician support and potential alternative causes like EBV, and the challenge/re-challenge framework did not support causation. The Special Master did find that the HPV vaccine could cause ITP (Althen prong one). Petitioner's petition was denied. The Court of Federal Claims, reviewed by Senior Judge Susan G. Braden, affirmed the Special Master's decision, finding no arbitrary or capricious action. Petitioner was represented by Andrew D. Downing, and Respondent by Darryl R. Wishard. Public staged source text: ================================================================================ DOCUMENT 1: USCOURTS-cofc-1_15-vv-00247-1 Date issued/filed: 2018-04-02 Pages: 25 Docket text: PUBLIC DECISION (Originally filed: 2/05/2018) Regarding 75 DECISION of Special Master (Signed by Special Master Brian H. Corcoran). (cr) Service on parties made. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 1 of 25 In the United States Court of Federal Claims OFFICE OF SPECIAL MASTERS No. 15-247V (to be published) * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Special Master Corcoran JASMYNE GRAMZA, * * * Petitioner, * Filed: February 5, 2018 * v. * * Entitlement; Althen Prong Three; SECRETARY OF HEALTH * Medically Acceptable Timeframe; AND HUMAN SERVICES, * Human Papillomavirus (“HPV”); * Immune Thrombocytopenic Purpura Respondent. * (“ITP”). * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Andrew D. Downing, Van Cott & Talamante PLLC, Phoenix, AZ, for Petitioner. Darryl R. Wishard, U.S. Dep’t of Justice, Washington, DC, for Respondent. DECISION DENYING ENTITLEMENT1 On March 10, 2015, Mrs. Tarah Gramza filed a petition for compensation under the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (the “Vaccine Program”) on behalf of her then- minor2 daughter, Ms. Jasmyne Gramza.3 The Petition alleged that as a result of Human Papillomavirus (“HPV” or “Gardasil”) vaccinations that she received on January 7, 2012, July 26, 1 This Decision will be posted on the United States Court of Federal Claims website, in accordance with the E- Government Act of 2002, 44 U.S.C. § 3501 (2012). This means the Decision will be available to anyone with access to the internet. As provided by 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(d)(4)(B), however, the parties may object to the published Decision’s inclusion of certain kinds of confidential information. Specifically, under Vaccine Rule 18(b), each party has fourteen days within which to request redaction “of any information furnished by that party: (1) that is a trade secret or commercial or financial in substance and is privileged or confidential; or (2) that includes medical files or similar files, the disclosure of which would constitute a clearly unwarranted invasion of privacy.” Vaccine Rule 18(b). Otherwise, the whole Decision will be available to the public in its current form. Id. 2 The caption of the case was updated to identify Ms. Gramza as Petitioner after she reached the age of majority. Ex. 1. 3 The Vaccine Program comprises Part 2 of the National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act of 1986, Pub. L. No. 99-660, 100 Stat. 3758, codified as amended, 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-10 through 34 (2012) [hereinafter “Vaccine Act” or “the Act”]. Individual section references hereafter will be to § 300aa of the Act without inclusion of that statutory prefix. Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 2 of 25 2012, and January 23, 2013, Ms. Gramza experienced immune thrombocytopenic purpura (“ITP”).4 Petition at 1, 6. An entitlement hearing was held in the matter on June 6-7, 2017, and after the filing of simultaneous post-hearing briefs, this case is now ripe for my consideration. For the reasons stated in more detail below, I find that Petitioner has not carried her burden of proof in establishing that onset of her ITP occurred in a medically acceptable timeframe, or that the vaccine more likely than not caused her ITP. I. Factual History Vaccination Petitioner was born on December 6, 1999. Ex. 3. at 1. Her medical records indicate that she had a history of migraines and contracted pneumonia in 2012, but had no other notable or relevant health problems before receiving the first HPV vaccine dose. Id. at 32, 35, 39. On January 7, 2012, Ms. Gramza received her first dose of the HPV vaccine at 13 years of age. Ex. 3 at 10. The record does not reveal any reaction to that vaccination of any kind relevant to the claim in this case. She received her second dose on July 26, 2012, when she was also treated by Dr. H. Glenn Garner at East Valley Pediatrics (“EVP”) in Mesa, Arizona, for an unresolved large hematoma5 on her left thigh, incurred after falling off a pool deck two months prior. Id. at 25. Petitioner reported that the bruise had faded, but the area of injury remained swollen and was tender to the touch (and at hearing a photo of the injury was offered to corroborate its existence). Id.; Ex. 89; Tr. at 10-11, 58-59. Dr. Garner directed Petitioner to use a heating pad and to follow- up in four months. Id. at 26. There is another months-long gap in the medical records, with no evidence of any problems arguably related to the vaccine. Then, Ms. Gramza returned to Dr. Garner for another well-child visit at EVP on January 23, 2013. At this time she received her third dose of the Gardasil vaccine. No concerns were noted about bruising or any other intervening symptoms experienced in the approximately six months since Petitioner had last seen Dr. Garner. Id. at 18-20. Documented Evidence of ITP 4 ITP was previously often referred to as “idiopathic” thrombocytopenic purpura, but today the preferred term for the disease is “immune” thrombocytopenic purpura, because the condition is understood to involve an autoimmune process involving antibody attacks against platelets. Johnson v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 14-113V, 2017 WL 772534, at *5 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 6, 2017). 5 A hematoma is a localized collection of blood, usually due to a break in the wall of a blood vessel. Dorland’s Illustrated Medical Dictionary 832 (32nd ed. 2012) (hereinafter “Dorland’s”). 2 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 3 of 25 Over a year after her last dose of the HPV vaccine, Petitioner returned to EVP on February 11, 2014, reporting that “over the last 6 months or so, pt. has bruised more easily and some seem a lot larger than they should be for the injury.” Ex. 3 at 15. Dr. Trupti Amin-Chapman, who was one of Petitioner’s primary care physicians, ordered lab testing which showed that Petitioner had a low platelet count (23,000 platelets per microliter of blood) and a high prothrombin time “(PTT”)6 of 50.9. Id. at 63, 75-76. Two days later, on February 13, 2014, Petitioner saw Dr. Christine Knoll, a hematologist at Phoenix Children’s Hospital (“PCH”), in Phoenix, Arizona, at Dr. Amin-Chapman’s direction. Ex. 4 at 86. Dr. Knoll recorded that Ms. Gramza claimed to have begun noticing her symptoms around July 2013 (about six months after her final dose of HPV vaccine in January 2013), when she would experience large bruising, either spontaneously or after a small injury. Id. Petitioner’s evaluation was otherwise normal, however, including a family history that was absent any blood disorders. Id. at 87. Dr. Knoll reviewed the EVP lab work and performed additional testing, which produced normal results except for Epstein Barr Virus (“EBV”) titers7 suggestive of past infection. Id. at 88. Dr. Knoll instructed Petitioner and her parents that Petitioner’s condition was possibly autoimmune – most likely lupus. Id. On February 16, 2014, Petitioner noticed petechiae,8 and she visited the emergency room at PCH. Ex. 4 at 81-82. A few days later, on February 21, 2014, Petitioner saw Dr. Kaleo Ede, a rheumatologist, at which time her parents related a history similar to what they had said the week before, i.e., gradual onset of worsening fatigue over the past six months, and headaches for several years (although, as noted above, such symptoms were not reported after either of the first two HPV doses). Although Petitioner’s exam was normal, Dr. Ede recommended further evaluation for lupus. Ex. 3 at 59-61. Shortly thereafter a hematologist, Dr. Sanjay Shah, reviewed Petitioner’s lab results, which indicated that she had a prolonged PTT. Ex. 4 at 71. Ms. Gramza also had a positive antibody screen, normal iron studies, and a negative Coombs test9 result, which Dr. Shah interpreted as evidencing the presence of a lupus anticoagulant. Id. Nevertheless, despite such “red flags” in her case, Dr. Shah diagnosed Ms. Gramza with autoimmunity and chronic ITP rather than lupus, recommending observation and additional lab studies. Id. 6 Prothrombin time (“PTT”) is one measurement of the body’s ability to use clotting factors to stop bleeds. Dorland’s at 674. 7 Epstein Barr Virus causes infectious mononucleosis, more commonly referred to as mono, an acute disease characterized by fever, pharyngitis, atypical lymphocytes, and lymph node and splenic enlargement. Dorland’s at 1177. An EBV titer can measure whether an individual has previously experienced an EBV infection. Id. at 2061. 8 Petechiae are small pinpoint skin rashes due to insufficient platelets. Dorland’s at 1422. 9 A Coombs test, also known as an anti-globulin test, looks for the presence of nonagglutinating antibodies against red blood cells. Dorland’s at 1885. 3 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 4 of 25 Ms. Gramza returned to Dr. Shah on March 28, 2014, for analysis and treatment of her ITP. She now complained of some bruises with fatigue, intermittent diffuse joint pains, and sore muscles. Ex. 4 at 56. Dr. Shah opined that Petitioner’s ITP was most likely autoimmune in origin, but because her platelet count had risen to 34,000, she was not at risk for significant bleeding. Id. at 58-59. Dr. Shah also discussed possible treatments for chronic ITP, and he recommended holding off on deciding on a further course of treatment. On April 30, 2014, Ms. Gramza again saw Dr. Ede for evaluation of her abnormal antibody levels. Ex. 4 at 50. Petitioner continued to display low platelet counts, and reported nosebleeds twice a week, bleeding gums after brushing her teeth, spontaneous bruising, and heavy menses. Id. She also had some fatigue and occasional joint pain, but no joint swelling, skin rashes or other problems. Id. at 51-52. Dr. Ede expressed the view (previously endorsed by Dr. Shah) that Petitioner did not meet the criteria for lupus, but she unquestionably had ITP in need of treatment. Ex. 3 at 48-50. The following month, on May 14, 2014, Petitioner sought urgent care at PCH for several nose bleeds and two weeks of prolonged menses. Ex. 4 at 46. Testing revealed her platelet count was low again at 13,000, and her hemoglobin count was 10.6. Id. at 46-47. Ms. Gramza was discharged for a hematology evaluation the next day. Id. At that time she saw Dr. James Williams, and she complained of fatigue and joint pains. Her low platelet count was confirmed. Id. at 42. Ms. Gramza was now treated with IVIG.10 This treatment proved initially effective, and by May 21, 2014, testing revealed a platelet count increase to 135,000. Ex. 4 at 46-47. But when she returned to Dr. Williams on June 17, 2014, her count was down to 4,000, suggesting that IVIG had produced only a temporary “bump” in platelets. Id. at 23. The treatment plan indicated that Ms. Gramza was tolerating Rituximab11 well and received her third of four doses at the visit, along with steroids for four days. Id. She also received her first dose of Depo-provera12 for heavy menses that had begun two weeks prior. Id. at 23-24. Over the next several months, Ms. Gramza’s platelet counts improved after completing her last dose of Rituximab. Ex. 4 at 22. Later in June, Petitioner’s platelet counts increased to 76,000, 10 Intravenous immunoglobulin (“IVIG”) is a blood product used to treat patients with antibody deficiencies, including neurological disorders. Clinical Uses of Intravenous Immunoglobulin, NCBI (2005), https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1809480/ (lasted visited on Aug. 28, 2017). It is commonly prescribed to treat diseases believed to be autoimmune in nature, increasing the effectiveness of an individual’s immune response. 11 Rituximab – a monoclonal antibody that binds to CD20 antigens and is administered intravenously – is used in the treatment of autoimmune diseases like ITP. Dorland’s at 1650. Ms. Gramza began this treatment on May 29, 2014 and tolerated it well. Ex. 4 at 23. 12 Depo-Provera is the brand name of a long-acting contraceptive that is administered intramuscularly. Dorland’s at 1120. 4 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 5 of 25 and then returned to normal levels of 225,000 in July 2014, decreasing to a still-normal level of 176,000 by August. Id. at 9, 13, 16, 22. As of October 2014, Petitioner was noted to have maintained normal platelet levels since July 2014 without the need for further treatment. Id. at 4- 7. In December 2014, her platelet counts remained normal (at 258,000), although the migraine headaches of which she had complained for many years persisted. Id. at 1-3. By February 2015, the counts had declined but remained normal. Pet. Ex. 6. There is no subsequent medical record history relevant to the claim, as it does not appear that Ms. Gramza has suffered any platelet drops or ITP sequelae since the late summer of 2014. II. Fact Witness Testimony A. Mrs. Gramza Mrs. Tarah Gramza, Petitioner’s mother, was the first witness presented at the hearing. Transcript (“Tr.”) 9-55. Mrs. Gramza described the Petitioner as a normal teen who did not participate in sports but had played the violin since she was in fourth grade. Id. at 10. She recalled being concerned about a potential vaccine reaction after Petitioner received her first Gardasil vaccine on January 17, 2012. Id. This concern stemmed from an accident a few months after vaccination (May 2012) when Petitioner fell on the pool deck, creating a large hematoma and a scratch on her thigh, which took many months to heal. Id. at 10-11. After Petitioner received the second dose of the vaccine on July 26, 2012, Mrs. Gramza remembered still being concerned about the hematoma, but Petitioner had no other symptoms. Id. at 11. (As noted above, the medical records reveal the hematoma was discussed during Petitioner’s July 2012 doctor’s visit, although no connection to the HPV vaccine was made). Mrs. Gramza did not notice any other concerning symptoms that fall, but did recall something happening after Petitioner received the third dose of Gardasil on January 23, 2013. Tr. at 12. Around March 2013, Mrs. Gramza remembered seeing small bruises on Petitioner, but did not think doctor intervention was necessary because she thought they were from general contact areas or could be attributed to lack of iron in her diet. Id. By June 2013, however, Petitioner reported to Mrs. Gramza that she was continuing to bruise and did not know the origin of the bruises, but that they were not painful. Id. Mrs. Gramza began Petitioner on a vitamin regime, which included iron. Id. at 13. In July 2013, the Gramzas went on a trip to Hawaii, which Mrs. Gramza remembered well. She recalled that Petitioner had recently started her period and on the flight to Hawaii, she had to change her clothes because of heavy menstrual bleeding that embarrassed her. Tr. at 13. On that trip, Petitioner was also pushed off a soft-sided boat, which Mrs. Gramza testified created a very large bruise on the back of Petitioner’s leg, but again was not accompanied by any pain. Id. at 14. Up to this point, and through the summer of 2013, Mrs. Gramza (a former nurse) did not believe that the bruising was concerning enough to merit a doctor’s appointment. However, by February 5 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 6 of 25 2014, Mrs. Gramza became worried after two more large hematomas appeared on Petitioner after a fight with her sister. In response, Mrs. Gramza took Petitioner to Dr. Chapman in February 2014 for a general check-up, at which time she mentioned the concerns she was having about the persistent bruising. Tr. at 16. Dr. Chapman ran various blood and urine tests on Petitioner, revealing the alarmingly low platelet counts. Id. at 17. After those results, the Gramza family began to see hematologists to discover the source of the abnormality. Id. at 17-20. Mrs. Gramza recalled Dr. Ede opining that it could be lupus, but because Petitioner did not have kidney involvement or joint pain, that diagnosis was less likely. Id. at 19. During the spring of 2014, Mrs. Gramza recalled Petitioner experiencing more severe symptoms, including skin that was yellow and appeared to be molting, along with increased petechiae. Tr. at 19. In addition, Petitioner had begun to have nose bleeds, more heavy menstruation, and fatigue. Id. at 19-20. After several treatments including IVIG and Rituximab, however, Petitioner’s platelet count rose. Id. at 21-23. Mrs. Gramza did research, helped by her medical background, and discovered the articles of Dr. Yehuda Shoenfeld. Id. at 22-23. She thought that those articles provided support for vaccine causation of Petitioner’s condition and shared them with Petitioner’s treating physicians. B. Jasmyne Gramza The Petitioner also testified at the hearing. Tr. at 56-76. She recalled being healthy prior to her vaccinations and did not notice any symptoms immediately after (a few weeks) her first Gardasil vaccine in January 2012. Id. at 58. However, after she slipped and hit her leg at the pool in May 2012, she noticed that the bruise did not heal properly. Id. at 58-59. After receiving her second dose of Gardasil (in July 2012), Petitioner did not notice any similarly unusual bruising. Id. at 59. But following her third Gardasil vaccination in January 2013, Petitioner remembered bruising easily starting around March 2013. Id. at 60. Around the end of 2013, Petitioner also recalled having nosebleeds and bleeding gums. Id. at 65. Petitioner confirmed that she did not see a doctor for her alleged ITP-related symptoms in 2013, mainly because she and her family downplayed the symptoms as a regular childhood occurrence. Tr. at 62. And, as observed in the recitation of the medical history, no such symptoms are contained in the 2013 records filed in this case. But she maintained her recollection of experiencing symptoms in 2013 was accurate, because at the time her family was in the process of moving to a new house in June 2013. Id. One month later, Petitioner went on the family trip to Hawaii recounted by her mother, and she remembered having a very heavy period on the plane, such that she bled through her outfit (which was very unusual for her, with most of her prior periods being very light). Id. at 63. She attributed this to be her “new normal.” Id. Petitioner also reiterated what Mrs. Gramza said about her being pushed off the soft-sided boat while in Hawaii and 6 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 7 of 25 experiencing another unusual hematoma, adding that it did not hurt and that she was quite shocked at the size of the bruise that her mom noticed the night of the incident. Id. at 4. Petitioner recalled an additional incident from December 2013 that she had not reported to her parents. Tr. at 65. Specifically, around her birthday in December, her parents had remodeled her room, including a new desk, and while Petitioner was working at the desk her nose suddenly began bleeding “like a faucet.” Id. Petitioner did not seek help from her parents or a physician because she thought that “everybody gets bloody noses.” Id. About two months later, however, Petitioner felt the need to see a doctor after she developed two large bruises (without accompanying pain) that “looked like somebody had probably like hit me with a baseball bat or like I had gotten in a car accident or something” after playing with her sister and bumping into a nightstand. Id. at 66. That visit was in February 2014 to her primary care physician, Dr. Chapman, at which time the low platelet count was first recorded. Id. at 68. At this visit, Petitioner did not tell Dr. Chapman about her heavy periods because she thought that was what all women experience and therefore not worthy of mention. Id. at 71. Petitioner similarly did not report the nose bleeds and gum bleeding she had been experiencing. Id. Finally, Petitioner confirmed that she has been in remission from ITP since June 2014. Id. at 68. C. Dr. Kaleo Ede Dr. Ede, one of Petitioner’s treating physicians at PCH in Phoenix, Arizona, testified telephonically via video conference. Tr. at 115-27. He is currently a pediatric rheumatologist. Id. at 116. Dr. Ede first saw Petitioner on February 21, 2014, and at that time noted clinical symptoms of “six months of gradually worsening fatigue as well as headaches for several years and not sleeping well at night. Additionally, she had been noticing mild bleeding of gums when she was brushing her teeth and also complaining of easy bruising.” Tr. at 117. Because Petitioner was not exhibiting joint symptoms or problems with her kidneys, Dr. Ede determined that it was unlikely she suffered from lupus. Id. at 118-19. This determination was confirmed for Dr. Ede after he saw Petitioner in April 2014, when he determined that she did not meet the criteria for lupus that has been adopted by the American College of Rheumatology—ACR 1997 Classification Criteria (“ACR 1997”). At best, she displayed only three of the clinical elements—“positive ANA, hematologic criteria with thrombocytopenia, and immunologic criteria including positive double- stranded DNA and positive antiphospholipid antibodies.” Id. at 120. Dr. Ede recognized that although his notes contained an ITP diagnosis for Petitioner, it was beyond the scope of his practice, as a rheumatologist, to opine if that diagnosis were accurate. Tr. at 122. But he more confidently opined that Petitioner did not have lupus, based on her clinical history, exam findings, lab data, and her not meeting the ACR 1997 criteria. Id. He continues to follow her progress but has not seen her for a visit since June 2014. 7 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 8 of 25 At hearing, Dr. Ede was asked whether Ms. Gramza could be deemed to have suffered from lupus based on more recently-developed criteria (the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (“SLICC”)), given that she appeared to meet four of the five criteria,13 but he stood by his initial assertion that Petitioner’s clinical picture was inconsistent with a diagnosis of lupus. Tr. at 124. Dr. Ede emphasized that both sets of criteria are meant to determine only if a patient is an appropriate candidate for a clinical trial, rather than to be applied diagnostically. Id. at 135. III. Expert Testimony A. Petitioner’s Expert – Dr. Yehuda Shoenfeld Dr. Shoenfeld filed two expert reports and also testified at hearing. See Expert Report, dated Aug. 27, 2015, filed as Ex. 8 (ECF No. 20) (“First Shoenfeld Rep.”); Expert Report, dated Feb. 1, 2016, filed as Ex. 66 (ECF No. 32) (“Second Shoenfeld Rep.”); Tr. 79-113, 127-71. Dr. Shoenfeld opined that there was a causal link between Petitioner’s series of vaccinations and her ITP. See generally First Shoenfeld Rep. Dr. Shoenfeld identifies himself as the current head of the Center for Autoimmune Diseases, which he founded at the Sheba Medical Center in Israel. Shoenfeld CV, dated Aug. 17, 2015, filed as Ex. 9 (ECF No. 16). He is also the Laura Schwarz-Kipp Chair for Research of Autoimmune Diseases at Tel Aviv University. Id. His experience focuses on autoimmune and rheumatic diseases, and he has published many peer-reviewed papers in journals and books on these topics. Id. He is on the editorial board of 32 journals in the field of autoimmunity. Id. As a preliminary matter, Dr. Shoenfeld agreed that Ms. Gramza’s proper diagnosis is ITP, opining that she did not have lupus (although he acknowledged that lupus can present with ITP). Tr. at 135-37. As Dr. Shoenfeld reasoned, Ms. Gramza’s medical records did not reveal significant joint pain or limitation of motion, which in his view would characterize lupus. Id. at 136. Moreover (and other than the criteria she met for ITP), Petitioner did not have any other involvement in her systems (including her kidneys), which in his experience would be unusual in lupus, an “affliction of almost any organ or tissue in our body.” Id. at 135-36. Petitioner’s remission from ITP after treatment with Rituximab was further evidence to Dr. Shoenfeld that she did not have lupus, as he would not expect remission from lupus to persist for such a long period of time. Id. at 137-39. In so testifying, Dr. Shoenfeld acknowledged that his opinion about Petitioner’s diagnosis had changed over the course of his work on the case. His initial report had accepted lupus as the proper diagnosis, but he shifted to the position in his supplemental report that ITP was the better explanation. Tr. at 144. He attributed this change to the fact that in the process of his looking at 13 Those four criteria are thrombocytopenia, presence of ANA, anti-DNA, and antiphospholipid antibodies. Tr. at 124. 8 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 9 of 25 the blood testing work for Ms. Gramza in the medical records, he concluded that the lack of disease progression without further organ involvement weighed against a lupus diagnosis. Id. Dr. Shoenfeld specifically proposed that Ms. Gramza’s ITP occurred via the biologic mechanism of molecular mimicry. First Shoenfeld Rep. at 12. As Dr. Shoenfeld testified, protein sequence homology exists between components of the HPV-16 virus contained in the vaccine (KATPTTS sequence) and blood platelets. Id., citing Darja Kanduc, Quantifying the Possible Cross-Reactivity Risk of an HPV16 Vaccine, 8 J. Experimental Therapeutics Oncology 65, 68 (2009), filed as Ex. 39 (ECF No. 23-10) (“Kanduc One”). As a result of this homology, “an autoantibody with subsequent generation of polyclonal autoantibodies” produced in response to the vaccine reacts with both the vaccine antigens and self-antigens on the platelet surface, causing the autoimmune process that destroys the platelet and results in ITP. First Shoenfeld Rep. at 13, quoting J. Despotovic, et al., RhIG for the Treatment of Immune Thrombocytopenia: Consensus and Controversy (CME), 52 Transfusion 1126, 1129 (2012), filed as Ex. 60 (ECF No. 26-1). In order to encourage this autoimmune reaction, Dr. Shoenfeld asserted, the adjuvant in the HPV vaccine would likely play a role. First Shoenfeld Rep. at 15. He described adjuvants as inflammatory substances that cause hyperactivity in the immune system. Second Shoenfeld Rep. at 3. Dr. Shoenfeld’s second report expressly states that in the absence of an adjuvant, the immune system would limit any potential cross-reactions. Id. at 4. At hearing, however, he minimized his reliance on the adjuvant contributing to Petitioner’s reaction, stating that the importance of the adjuvant is only about twenty percent of his causation theory. Tr. at 168. Dr. Shoenfeld also referenced several pieces of medical literature that have reported an association between vaccination and ITP, although many of the cited items were not notably persuasive on close examination. Tr. at 87-88; M. Rinaldi, et al., Anti-Saccharomyces Cerevisiae Autoantibodies in Autoimmune Diseases: from Bread Baking to Autoimmunity, 45 Clinical Review Allergy Immunology, 152 (2013), filed as Ex. 15 (ECF No. 21-6) (“Rinaldi”); G. Pugnet, et al., Immune Thrombocytopenic Purpura Following Human Papillomavirus Vaccination, 27 Vaccine 3690 (2009), filed as Ex. 18 (ECF No. 21-9) (“Pugnet”). Rinaldi, for example, compiled data of instances of ITP following vaccination, but in no cases was the HPV vaccine so associated. Rinaldi at 11-12. Pugnet is a one-page letter to the editor describing the “first case of an acute immune thrombocytopenia purpura (ITP) following HPV vaccination.” Pugnet at 1. Dr. Shoenfeld himself co-authored a case report referenced by Petitioner detailing Ms. Gramza’s alleged vaccine reaction. Mojca Bizjak, et al., Vaccination and Secondary Immune Thrombocytopenia Antiphospholipid Antibodies by Human Papillomavirus Vaccine, 53 Seminars in Hematology S48 (2016), filed as Ex. 90 (ECF No. 43-1) (“Bizjak”). Ignoring the self-referential character of this evidence, Bizjak also cites to a large empirical study that found no instances of increased new-onset autoimmune diseases out of a group of nearly 200,000 women who received the HPV vaccine, and no cases of ITP in particular. C. Chao, et al., Surveillance of Autoimmune 9 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 10 of 25 Conditions Following Routine Use of Quadrivalent Human Papillomavirus Vaccine, 271 J. Internal Medicine, 193 (2012), filed as Ex. J (ECF No. 28-6)(“Chao”). Although Dr. Shoenfeld argued that the significance of the study was somewhat undercut by its authors’ conflicts of interest,14 Chao presents epidemiological evidence that is contrary to the causation theory alleged by Petitioner.15 Taking into account the lengthy amount of time it takes for sufficient platelets in the blood to be destroyed by an autoimmune process resulting in ITP, Dr. Shoenfeld opined the timing in this case was appropriate for vaccine causation, even if onset began around July 2013 (or about six months after vaccination). Tr. at 139-41. He did, however, acknowledge that although Ms. Gramza alleges she began experiencing symptoms around that time, blood testing was not performed until the following year, making it difficult to identify if in fact her platelet count had begun decreasing within six months of vaccination or occurred thereafter. Id. at 141. Dr. Shoenfeld also asserted that Petitioner likely experienced a challenge/re-challenge16 reaction in the course of receiving the three HPV doses that further corroborated the association between vaccination and injury herein. Tr. at 158. While there were no clinical manifestations following the first dose of the HPV vaccine, Petitioner’s system was “re-challenged” by the second dose in July 2012, likely in the form of a drop in platelet count (although this cannot be confirmed given that no blood work was performed during this time). Then, after receiving the last dose of the HPV vaccine in January 2013, Petitioner experienced re-challenge yet again, with her most severe symptoms in the form of pronounced bruising with no explanation as well as a low platelet count that was found after blood testing (albeit not conducted until February 2014, or nearly seven months after the last dose). Id. at 159-60. 14 The Chao article acknowledges that its lead authors received funding for the study from Merck & Co. The authors were also paid by Merck & Co., Pfizer, and Amgen for other unrelated studies. Chao at 10. The conflict of interest statement also asserts that the sponsor (Merck & Co.) “had significant input into the study design and analytic plan, all pre-specified in a protocol that was approved by the FDA, and took part in the review of analyses and drafting and revising the manuscript.” Id. 15 I have previously found Chao to be persuasive in cases involving injuries alleged to have occurred after receipt of the HPV vaccine. See, e.g., Johnson v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 14-113V, 2017 WL 772534, at *19 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 6, 2017) (HPV vaccine and ITP); Sullivan v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 10-398V, 2015 WL 1404957, at *19 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Feb. 13, 2015) (HPV vaccine alleged to cause rheumatoid arthritis). 16 Challenge/re-challenge is “a paradigm for exploring whether one substance caused an adverse reaction. Under this model, an individual who has had an adverse reaction to the initial vaccine dose (the challenge event) suffers a worsening of symptoms after a second or third injection (the re-challenge event.)” Viscontini v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 98-619V, 2011 WL 5842577, at *22 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Oct. 21, 2011) (quoting Doe/70 v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 95 Fed. Cl. 598, 603 (2010) (quotations omitted)), mot. for review den’d, 103 Fed. Cl. 600 (2012)). 10 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 11 of 25 B. Respondent’s Experts 1. Dr. Carlos Rose Dr. Carlos Rose, a pediatric rheumatologist, filed two expert reports and testified at the hearing on Respondent’s behalf. See Rose Expert Report, dated Nov. 23, 2015, filed as Ex. E (ECF No. 28) (“First Rose Rep.”); Rose Supplemental Expert Report, dated Mar. 23, 2016, filed as Ex. FF (ECF No. 36-1) (“Second Rose Rep.”); Tr. at 176-271. Dr. Rose opined that Petitioner has Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (“SLE”), and that her condition is not related to Petitioner’s receipt of the HPV vaccines. First Rose Rep. at 8. Dr. Rose is currently employed as the Division Chief for Rheumatology at Alfred I. du Pont Hospital for Children, and has worked as a physician for nearly 30 years. Rose CV, dated Nov. 23, 2015, filed as Ex. F (ECF No. 28), Tr. at 4. Dr. Rose attended the University of Buenos Aires before performing a residency in adult rheumatology in Argentina. Rose CV at 1; Tr. at 5. Thereafter, Dr. Rose moved to the United States and completed an additional rheumatology residency at Children’s Hospital, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Rose CV at 5; Tr. at 5. He was then hired for his current position. Dr. Rose is board certified in Pediatric and Adult Rheumatology, and Pediatrics. Rose CV at 5; Tr. at 5. In his expert report, Dr. Rose began by asserting that Ms. Gramza’s 2014 presentation could be deemed to satisfy four of the five SLICC criteria, making the SLE diagnosis appropriate. First Rose Rep. at 4; Tr. at 191-92. In particular, Petitioner displayed: (1) a thrombocytopenia platelet count of less than 100,000; (2) ANA antibodies; (3) Anti-dsDNA antibodies; and (4) Anti- phospholipid antibodies. First Rose Rep. at 4, Tr. at 191-92. This rendered ITP an inappropriate diagnosis, because “ITP is a condition with just thrombocytopenia, and she has more things that— than thrombocytopenia.” Tr. at 200. Dr. Rose’s second expert report, however, stated this conclusion less confidently, proposing only that “Jasmyne has enough features (albeit laboratory only) of pSLE and hence she requires a close follow up for the next few years.” Second Rose Rep. at 1 (emphasis added). In any case, Dr. Rose rejected Dr. Shoenfeld’s conclusion that Petitioner suffered from isolated ITP, given its connection to a lupus diagnosis. Second Rose Rep. at 2; Tr. at 200-01. He classified Petitioner’s condition as mild lupus, relying on the lupus anticoagulant test result, and noting the danger to individuals if the possibility of lupus were ignored, later resulting in a damaging misdiagnosis. Tr. at 263. He also admitted that Petitioner’s most recent lab work did not suggest she was still positive for the lupus anticoagulant, although Dr. Rose attributed that to her treatment with Rituximab. Id. at 268. Given his conclusion that lupus was the proper diagnosis, Dr. Rose could not attribute the HPV vaccine to her condition, noting that valid epidemiological studies had found no association between lupus and HPV vaccination. First Rose Rep. at 6; Tr. at 201; See generally Chao; Thomas 11 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 12 of 25 Verstraeten, et al., Analysis of Adverse Events of Potential Autoimmune Aetiology in a large Integrated Safety Database of AS04 Adjuvanted Vaccines, 26 Vaccine 6630 (2008), filed as Ex. I (ECF No. 28-5) (“Verstraeten”). He reiterated the conclusions found in Chao, and added that in Verstraeten—a study of HPV among 68,512 people—there was no difference in the rates of autoimmune diseases among vaccinated people. First Rose Rep. at 6. However, as Petitioner pointed out in cross-examining Dr. Rose, Verstraeten relied on historical controls rather than an unvaccinated control group to make this comparison. Tr. at 243. Dr. Rose also commented on the picture of Petitioner’s skin after falling in the pool in May 2012 and hitting the side of the deck after her second HPV vaccine, which Petitioner had suggested was reflective of some initial reaction to the first HPV dose. He opined that the duration of the lesion had nothing to do with ITP. Tr. at 221. Moreover, he stated that thrombocytes exist to prevent bleeding, not to accelerate healing, thereby dismissing Petitioner’s mother’s contention that the long duration of the wound was evidence of ongoing ITP. Id. 2. Dr. Thomas G. Forsthuber Respondent’s second expert was Dr. Forsthuber, an immunologist, who testified at hearing and produced two expert reports in the case. See Forsthuber Expert Report, dated Nov. 18, 2015, filed as Ex. N (ECF No. 29-1)(“First Forsthuber Rep.”); Forsthuber Second Expert Report, dated Mar. 23, 2016, filed as Ex. KK (ECF No. 36-6)(“Second Forsthuber Rep.”); Tr. at 271-361. Dr. Forsthuber received his medical degree from the University of Tübingen in Germany and then completed a post-doctoral fellowship in immunology at the University of California, Los Angeles. Tr. at 277; Forsthuber CV, filed as Exhibit O (ECF No. 29-2). He completed an additional post-doctoral fellowship at Case Western University in Cleveland, Ohio. Forsthuber CV at 2; Tr. at 278. He became a member of the faculty at the University of Texas, San Antonio, and began performing research in immunology and now runs a research lab that does T cell biology work and B cell immunology. Id. In addition, Dr. Forsthuber has published over 75 publications (reviews and book chapters) in the areas of T cell immunology and autoimmune diseases. First Forsthuber Rep. at 1. Dr. Forsthuber’s impression in this case was that the HPV vaccine doses that Petitioner received did not cause ITP or lupus. First Forsthuber Rep. at 10; Tr. at 276. His opinion was particularly focused on rebutting Dr. Shoenfeld’s immunological conclusions. Dr. Forsthuber began by discussing the homology of the sequence (KATPTTS) suggested by Dr. Shoenfeld as common to both HPV antigens and the blood platelets, relying on Robert McMillan, The Pathogenesis of Chronic Immune Thrombocytopenic Purpura, 44 Seminars in Hematology (Supp. 5) S3 (2007), filed as Ex. W (ECF No. 30-1) (“McMillan”). The McMillan article reviewed the platelet autoantigens implicated in ITP. Tr. at 276. That article, however, did not state that the 12 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 13 of 25 receptor proposed by Dr. Shoenfeld (CB1q) is involved in the development of ITP. Id. at 277; First Forsthuber Rep. at 6. In addition, Dr. Forsthuber opined that even if homology between an HPV vaccine component and structures on the platelet surface existed, the seven amino acid sequence proposed by Dr. Shoenfeld was “suboptimal” for the induction of T cell responses, which could induce an adverse event following vaccination. First Forsthuber Rep. at 6. He relied in part on Andre Silvanovich, et al., The Value of Short Amino Acid Sequence Matches for Prediction of Protein Allergenicity, 90(1) Toxicological Sciences 252 (2006), filed as Ex. FFF (ECF No. 51-1), which found that among five, six, and seven amino acid sequences random matches with self protein sequences could readily be identified. The authors of that study concluded that in any amino acid sequences shorter than eight, finding a protein match was likely a chance occurrence or a random match, rather than reflecting true homology. Tr. at 287. It was also noted that the sequence proposed herein was not a unique one that only the HPV virus/vaccine expresses, but was somewhat common, occurring in other proteins. Tr. at 281. Specifically, Dr. Forsthuber pointed to the sequence’s homology with EBV (a virus that Petitioner had at some time in her past), which is also implicated causally with ITP. Id. at 282. Dr. Forsthuber attempted to further undermine Dr. Shoenfeld’s theory of KATPTTS sequence homology allegedly found in C1qR and the HPV L1 protein by citing to a different article by Kanduc. See Darja Kanduc, et al., Massive Peptide Sharing Between Viral and Human Proteomes, 29 Peptides 1755 (2008), filed as Ex. MMM (ECF No. 59-5) (“Kanduc Two”). Unlike the Kanduc One article relied upon by Dr. Shoenfeld, Kanduc Two stated that homology (as suggested by Dr. Shoenfeld) was not a rare event—“importantly, the massive viral to human peptide overlapping calls into question the possibility of a direct casual association between virus- host sharing of amino acid sequences and incitement to autoimmune reactions through molecular recognition of motifs.” Kanduc Two at 1755, 1765. This supported Dr. Forsthuber’s overarching theory that there is little evidence to find that the HPV L1 protein is cross reactive with C1qR sufficient to cause ITP via molecular mimicry. Tr. at 313. Dr. Forsthuber was also adamant that the timing in this case was not appropriate for vaccination causation. In his opinion, the onset of an autoimmune disease should occur within two to 28 days of the causal event. Tr. at 304. He therefore expected that once an antibody response is triggered by a vaccine, the drop in platelets would occur relatively quickly thereafter. Id. at 340. Dr. Forsthuber acknowledged, however, that in a condition like ITP the symptoms are often subclinical until the platelets drop low enough to produce obvious symptoms, like bruising or petechiae. Id. But he suspected that if Ms. Gramza’s immune system had been creating antibodies against platelets in reaction to the HPV vaccine, that process should have occurred with her earlier vaccinations as well. Id. at 340-41. 13 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 14 of 25 IV. Procedural History As noted above, this action was initiated in March 2015. Petition at 1. Thereafter, the case moved relatively quickly: a joint statement of completion was filed in April of that same year, and Respondent’s Rule 4(c) Report was submitted in May. The parties next endeavored to find expert support for their respective positions, a process that was not complete until April 2016. I then scheduled the matter for hearing to be held from June 6-7, 2017. The parties made their pre-hearing filings, and the hearing was held as scheduled. I allowed the parties to file simultaneous post- hearing briefs, and this matter is now ripe for a decision. V. Overview of Pertinent Medical Concepts A. ITP ITP is an autoimmune disease mediated by autoantibodies produced by B cells. Tr. at 83. Its clinical manifestation results from the destruction of platelets, which are pulled from the blood by the spleen or liver, resulting in a diminished number of platelets left to assist clotting. Id. at 85; Rinaldi at 2-3. ITP often is identified by the presence of petechiae, which are typically followed by bruising easily without an apparent cause or bleeding into organs. Id. The time course for ITP often varies depending on the age of the patient and the inciting agent. Id. at 86. The range for onset can vary from weeks to years. Id. In adults, ITP (which tends to be chronic rather than the acute form children experience) can go unnoticed, as its primary symptom (a reduced platelet count) is often insidious, undiscovered except where a patient is under continuous surveillance by a physician, or if blood tests are performed and inadvertently reveal a low platelet count. Tr. at 86; G. Pamuk, et al., Overview of 321 Patients with Idiopathic Thrombocytopenic Purpura: Retrospective Analysis of the Clinical Features and Response to Therapy, 81 Annals of Hematology 436 (2002), filed as Ex. 17 (ECF No. 21-8). Special masters in other Program cases alleging non-Table claims17 have determined that it is possible for a vaccine to cause ITP, via the biologic mechanism of molecular mimicry. Ebenstein v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 06-573V, 2010 WL 5113185, at *21 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Sept. 1, 2010) (accepting that molecular mimicry could plausibly link the MMR vaccine and ITP). I have similarly found that a petitioner presented sufficient evidence to conclude that it was possible for the HPV vaccine to cause ITP. Johnson v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 14-113V, 2017 WL 772534 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 6, 2017). 17 The Vaccine Injury Table also includes claims for ITP beginning 7-30 days after receipt of a vaccine containing the measles or rubella viruses. 14 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 15 of 25 B. Lupus Lupus is an autoimmune condition featuring more identified autoantibodies than nearly all other autoimmune diseases. Tr. at 180; John Harley & Judith James, Epstein-Barr Virus Infection Induces Lupus Autoimmunity, 64 Bulletin of the NYU Hospital for Joint Diseases 45 (2006), filed as Ex. L (ECF No. 28-8). Its clinical appearance can be on a spectrum of severity. Some patients suffer from symptoms for a sustained period of time, only experiencing mild rashes, arthritis, and positive antibodies. Tr. at 180. Others, by contrast, may have symptoms revealing central nervous system damage, and can present with stroke or coma. Id. at 181. There may also be patients who have lupus but the effects are limited to the blood, which never amounts to full-blown lupus. Id. Most physicians believe that lupus is idiopathic because there has not been proven to be one specific mechanism or etiology for the disease. Tr. at 182. Often however, there is a genetic component that either predisposes the patient to lupus, or a demonstrated family history of lupus (or other similar diseases). Id. The studies performed in the Chao and Verstraeten articles did not find an increased risk for autoimmune disorders— of which lupus is one—associated with adjuvanted vaccines like the HPV vaccine. Chao at 199; Verstraeten at 6637. VI. Applicable Legal Standards A. Burden in Vaccine Program Cases To receive compensation in the Vaccine Program, a petitioner must prove either: (1) that he suffered a “Table Injury” – i.e., an injury falling within the Vaccine Injury Table – corresponding to one of the vaccinations in question within a statutorily prescribed period of time or, in the alternative, (2) that his illnesses were actually caused by a vaccine (a “Non-Table Injury”). See Sections 13(a)(1)(A), 11(c)(1), and 14(a), as amended by 42 C.F.R. § 100.3; § 11(c)(1)(C)(ii)(I); see also Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 592 F.3d 1315, 1321 (Fed. Cir. 2010); Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 440 F.3d 1317, 1320 (Fed. Cir. 2006).18 In this case, Petitioner does not assert a Table claim. For both Table and Non-Table claims, Vaccine Program petitioners bear a “preponderance of the evidence” burden of proof. Section 13(a)(1)(A). That is, a petitioner must offer evidence that leads the “trier of fact to believe that the existence of a fact is more probable than its nonexistence before [he] may find in favor of the party who has the burden to persuade the judge of the fact’s existence.” Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1322 n.2; see also Snowbank Enter. v. United States, 18 Decisions of special masters (some of which I reference in this ruling) constitute persuasive but not binding authority. Hanlon v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 40 Fed. Cl. 625, 630 (1998). By contrast, Federal Circuit rulings concerning legal issues are binding on special masters. Guillory v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 59 Fed. Cl. 121, 124 (2003), aff’d, 104 F. App’x 712 (Fed. Cir. 2004); see also Spooner v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 13- 159V, 2014 WL 504728, at *7 n.12 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Jan. 16, 2014). 15 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 16 of 25 6 Cl. Ct. 476, 486 (1984) (mere conjecture or speculation is insufficient under a preponderance standard). Proof of medical certainty is not required. Bunting v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 931 F.2d 867, 873 (Fed. Cir. 1991). In particular, a petitioner must demonstrate that the vaccine was “not only [the] but-for cause of the injury but also a substantial factor in bringing about the injury.” Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1321 (quoting Shyface v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 165 F.3d 1344, 1352-53 (Fed. Cir. 1999)); Pafford v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 451 F.3d 1352, 1355 (Fed. Cir. 2006). A petitioner may not receive a Vaccine Program award based solely on his assertions; rather, the petition must be supported by either medical records or by the opinion of a competent physician. Section 13(a)(1). In attempting to establish entitlement to a Vaccine Program award of compensation for a Non-Table claim (which is the kind of claim asserted in this matter), a petitioner must satisfy all three of the elements established by the Federal Circuit in Althen: “(1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of a proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury.” Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278. Each of the Althen prongs requires a different showing. Under Althen prong one, petitioners must provide a “reputable medical theory,” demonstrating that the vaccine received can cause the type of injury alleged. Pafford, 451 F.3d at 1355-56 (citations omitted). To satisfy this prong, the petitioner’s theory must be based on a “sound and reliable medical or scientific explanation.” Knudsen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 35 F.3d 543, 548 (Fed. Cir. 1994). Such a theory must only be “legally probable, not medically or scientifically certain.” Id. at 549. Petitioners may satisfy the first Althen prong without resort to medical literature, epidemiological studies, demonstration of a specific mechanism, or a generally accepted medical theory. Andreu v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 569 F.3d 1367, 1378-79 (Fed. Cir. 2009) (citing Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1325-26). Special masters, despite their expertise, are not empowered by statute to conclusively resolve what are essentially thorny scientific and medical questions, and thus scientific evidence offered to establish Althen prong one is viewed “not through the lens of the laboratorian, but instead from the vantage point of the Vaccine Act’s preponderant evidence standard.” Id. at 1380. Accordingly, special masters must take care not to increase the burden placed on petitioners in offering a scientific theory linking vaccine to injury. Contreras v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 121 Fed. Cl. 230, 245 (2015) (“[p]lausibility . . . in many cases may be enough to satisfy Althen prong one” (emphasis in original)). But this does not negate or reduce a petitioner’s ultimate burden to establish his overall entitlement to damages by preponderant evidence. W.C. v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 704 F.3d 1352, 1356 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (citations omitted). The second Althen prong requires proof of a logical sequence of cause and effect, usually supported by facts derived from a petitioner’s medical records. Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278; Andreu, 16 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 17 of 25 569 F.3d at 1375-77; Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1326; Grant v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 956 F.2d 1144, 1148 (Fed. Cir. 1992). In establishing that a vaccine “did cause” injury, the opinions and views of the injured party’s treating physicians are entitled to some weight. Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1367; Capizzano, 440 F.3d at 1326 (“medical records and medical opinion testimony are favored in vaccine cases, as treating physicians are likely to be in the best position to determine whether a ‘logical sequence of cause and effect show[s] that the vaccination was the reason for the injury’”) (quoting Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280). Medical records are generally viewed as particularly trustworthy evidence, since they are created contemporaneously with the treatment of the patient. Cucuras v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 993 F.2d 1525, 1528 (Fed. Cir. 1993). However, medical records and/or statements of a treating physician’s views do not per se bind the special master to adopt the conclusions of such an individual, even if they must be considered and carefully evaluated. Section 13(b)(1) (providing that “[a]ny such diagnosis, conclusion, judgment, test result, report, or summary shall not be binding on the special master or court”); Snyder v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 88 Fed. Cl. 706, 746 n.67 (2009) (“there is nothing . . . that mandates that the testimony of a treating physician is sacrosanct—that it must be accepted in its entirety and cannot be rebutted”). As with expert testimony offered to establish a theory of causation, the opinions or diagnoses of treating physicians are only as trustworthy as the reasonableness of their suppositions or bases. The views of treating physicians should also be weighed against other, contrary evidence also present in the record – including conflicting opinions among such individuals. Hibbard v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 100 Fed. Cl. 742, 749 (2011) (not arbitrary or capricious for special master to weigh competing treating physicians’ conclusions against each other), aff'd, 698 F.3d 1355 (Fed. Cir. 2012); Caves v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 100 Fed. Cl. 119, 136 (2011), aff'd, 463 F. App’x 932 (Fed. Cir. 2012); Veryzer v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 06-522V, 2011 WL 1935813, at *17 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 29, 2011), mot. for review den’d, 100 Fed. Cl. 344, 356 (2011), aff’d without opinion, 475 Fed. App’x 765 (Fed. Cir. 2012). The third Althen prong requires establishing a “proximate temporal relationship” between the vaccination and the injury alleged. Althen, 418 F.3d at 1281. That term has been equated to the phrase “medically-acceptable temporal relationship.” Id. A petitioner must offer “preponderant proof that the onset of symptoms occurred within a timeframe which, given the medical understanding of the disorder’s etiology, it is medically acceptable to infer causation.” Bazan v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 539 F.3d 1347, 1352 (Fed. Cir. 2008). The explanation for what is a medically acceptable timeframe must also coincide with the theory of how the relevant vaccine can cause an injury (Althen prong one’s requirement). Id. at 1352; Shapiro v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 101 Fed. Cl. 532, 542 (2011), recons. den’d after remand, 105 Fed. Cl. 353 (2012), aff’d mem., 2013 WL 1896173 (Fed. Cir. 2013); Koehn v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 11-355V, 2013 WL 3214877 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. May 30, 2013), mot. for review den’d (Fed. Cl. Dec. 3, 2013), aff’d, 773 F.3d 1239 (Fed. Cir. 2014). 17 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 18 of 25 B. Law Governing Factual Determinations The process for making determinations in Vaccine Program cases regarding factual issues begins with consideration of the medical records. Section 11(c)(2). The special master is required to consider “all [] relevant medical and scientific evidence contained in the record,” including “any diagnosis, conclusion, medical judgment, or autopsy or coroner’s report which is contained in the record regarding the nature, causation, and aggravation of the petitioner’s illness, disability, injury, condition, or death,” as well as “the results of any diagnostic or evaluative test which are contained in the record and the summaries and conclusions.” Section 13(b)(1)(A). The special master is then required to weigh the evidence presented, including contemporaneous medical records and testimony. See Burns v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 3 F.3d 415, 417 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (it is within the special master’s discretion to determine whether to afford greater weight to contemporaneous medical records than to other evidence, such as oral testimony surrounding the events in question that was given at a later date, provided that such a determination is evidenced by a rational determination). Medical records that are created contemporaneously with the events they describe are presumed to be accurate and “complete” (i.e., presenting all relevant information on a patient’s health problems). Cucuras, 993 F.2d at 1528; Doe/70 v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 95 Fed. Cl. 598, 608 (2010) (“[g]iven the inconsistencies between petitioner’s testimony and his contemporaneous medical records, the special master’s decision to rely on petitioner’s medical records was rational and consistent with applicable law”), aff’d, Rickett v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 468 F. App’x 952 (Fed. Cir. 2011) (non-precedential opinion). This presumption is based on the linked propositions that (i) sick people visit medical professionals; (ii) sick people honestly report their health problems to those professionals; and (iii) medical professionals record what they are told or observe when examining their patients in as accurate a manner as possible, so that they are aware of enough relevant facts to make appropriate treatment decisions. Sanchez v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 11-685V, 2013 WL 1880825, at *2 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Apr. 10, 2013); Cucuras v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 26 Cl. Ct. 537, 543 (1992), aff’d, 993 F.2d 1525 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (“[i]t strains reason to conclude that petitioners would fail to accurately report the onset of their daughter’s symptoms. It is equally unlikely that pediatric neurologists, who are trained in taking medical histories concerning the onset of neurologically significant symptoms, would consistently but erroneously report the onset of seizures a week after they in fact occurred”). Accordingly, if the medical records are clear, consistent, and complete, then they should be afforded substantial weight. Lowrie v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 03-1585V, 2005 WL 6117475, at *20 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Dec. 12, 2005). Indeed, contemporaneously medical records are generally found to be deserving of greater evidentiary weight than oral testimony – especially where such testimony conflicts with the record evidence. Cucuras, 993 F.2d at 1528; see also Murphy v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 23 Cl. Ct. 726, 733 (1991), aff'd, 968 F.2d 18 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 19 of 25 1226 (Fed. Cir.), cert. den’d, Murphy v. Sullivan, 506 U.S. 974 (1992) (citing United States v. United States Gypsum Co., 333 U.S. 364, 396 (1947) (“[i]t has generally been held that oral testimony which is in conflict with contemporaneous documents is entitled to little evidentiary weight.”)). However, there are situations in which compelling oral testimony may be more persuasive than written records, such as where records are deemed to be incomplete or inaccurate. Campbell v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 69 Fed. Cl. 775, 779 (2006) (“like any norm based upon common sense and experience, this rule should not be treated as an absolute and must yield where the factual predicates for its application are weak or lacking”); Lowrie, 2005 WL 6117475, at *19 (“[w]ritten records which are, themselves, inconsistent, should be accorded less deference than those which are internally consistent”) (quoting Murphy v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 23 Cl. Ct. 726, 733 (1991), aff'd per curiam, 968 F.2d 1226 (Fed. Cir. 1992)). Ultimately, a determination regarding a witness’s credibility is needed when determining the weight that such testimony should be afforded. Andreu, 569 F.3d at 1379; Bradley v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 991 F.2d 1570, 1575 (Fed. Cir. 1993). When witness testimony is offered to overcome the presumption of accuracy afforded to contemporaneous medical records, such testimony must be “consistent, clear, cogent, and compelling.” Sanchez, 2013 WL 1880825, at *3 (citing Blutstein v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 90-2808V, 1998 WL 408611, at *5 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. June 30, 1998)). In determining the accuracy and completeness of medical records, the Court of Federal Claims has listed four possible explanations for inconsistencies between contemporaneously created medical records and later testimony: (1) a person’s failure to recount to the medical professional everything that happened during the relevant time period; (2) the medical professional’s failure to document everything reported to her or him; (3) a person’s faulty recollection of the events when presenting testimony; or (4) a person’s purposeful recounting of symptoms that did not exist. La Londe v. Sec’y Health & Human Servs., 110 Fed. Cl. 184, 203-04 (2013), aff’d, 746 F.3d 1334 (Fed. Cir. 2014). In making a determination regarding whether to afford greater weight to contemporaneous medical records over contrary testimony, there must be evidence that this decision was the result of a rational determination. Burns, 3 F.3d at 417. C. Analysis of Expert Testimony Establishing a sound and reliable medical theory often requires a petitioner to present expert testimony in support of his claim. Lampe v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 219 F.3d 1357, 1361 (Fed. Cir. 2000). Vaccine Program expert testimony is usually evaluated according to the factors for analyzing scientific reliability set forth in Daubert v. Merrell Dow Pharm., Inc., 509 U.S. 579, 594-96 (1993). See Cedillo v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 617 F.3d 1328, 1339 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (citing Terran v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 195 F.3d 1302, 1316 (Fed. Cir. 1999)). “The Daubert factors for analyzing the reliability of testimony are: (1) whether a theory or 19 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 20 of 25 technique can be (and has been) tested; (2) whether the theory or technique has been subjected to peer review and publication; (3) whether there is a known or potential rate of error and whether there are standards for controlling the error; and (4) whether the theory or technique enjoys general acceptance within a relevant scientific community.” Terran, 195 F.3d at 1316 n.2 (citing Daubert, 509 U.S. at 592-95). The Daubert factors play a slightly different role in Vaccine Program cases than they do when applied in other federal judicial fora (such as the district courts). Daubert factors are usually employed by judges (in the performance of their evidentiary gatekeeper roles) to exclude evidence that is unreliable and/or could confuse a jury. In Vaccine Program cases, by contrast, these factors are used in the weighing of the reliability of scientific evidence proffered. Davis v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 94 Fed. Cl. 53, 66-67 (2010) (“uniquely in this Circuit, the Daubert factors have been employed also as an acceptable evidentiary-gauging tool with respect to persuasiveness of expert testimony already admitted”). The flexible use of the Daubert factors to evaluate the persuasiveness and reliability of expert testimony has routinely been upheld. See, e.g., Snyder, 88 Fed. Cl. at 742-45. In this matter (as in numerous other Vaccine Program cases), Daubert has not been employed at the threshold, to determine what evidence should be admitted, but instead to determine whether expert testimony offered is reliable and/or persuasive. Respondent frequently offers one or more experts in order to rebut a petitioner’s case. Where both sides offer expert testimony, a special master’s decision may be “based on the credibility of the experts and the relative persuasiveness of their competing theories.” Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 618 F.3d 1339, 1347 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (citing Lampe, 219 F.3d at 1362). However, nothing requires the acceptance of an expert’s conclusion “connected to existing data only by the ipse dixit of the expert,” especially if “there is simply too great an analytical gap between the data and the opinion proffered.” Snyder, 88 Fed. Cl. at 743 (quoting Gen. Elec. Co. v. Joiner, 522 U.S. 146 (1997)); see also Isaac v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 08-601V, 2012 WL 3609993, at *17 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. July 30, 2012), mot. for review den’d, 108 Fed. Cl. 743 (2013), aff’d, 540 Fed. App’x 999 (Fed. Cir. 2013) (citing Cedillo, 617 F.3d at 1339). D. Consideration of Medical Literature Both parties relied on numerous pieces of medical and scientific literature in this case to support their respective positions. I have reviewed all of the medical literature submitted in this case, although my decision does not discuss each filed article in detail. Moriarty v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 2015-5072, 2016 WL 1358616, at *5 (Fed. Cir. Apr. 6, 2016) (“[w]e generally presume that a special master considered the relevant record evidence even though he does not explicitly reference such evidence in his decision”) (citation omitted). 20 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 21 of 25 ANALYSIS In this matter, Petitioner has successfully established some disputed factual matters, as well as certain Althen prongs. But she has not carried her overall burden of proof to establish it “more likely than not” that the HPV vaccine caused her ITP. I address the factors relevant to my determination in order of their significance to the holding, rather than in the order presented by Althen. I. Althen Prong Three Resolution of this case largely turns on the timing of onset of Ms. Gramza’s ITP after her receipt of the HPV vaccines, and determining if that onset is medically acceptable (assuming for the moment that the HPV vaccine “can cause” ITP). The Vaccine Act’s statute of limitations (which in an indirect way defines what constitutes onset) for claims like the present runs from “the date of the occurrence of the first symptom or manifestation of onset . . . .” Section 16(a)(2). As noted by the Federal Circuit, determining onset “does not depend on when a petitioner knew or reasonably should have known anything adverse about her condition.” Cloer v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 654 F.3d 1322, 1339 (Fed.Cir.2011) (en banc). Thus, the medical discovery that an injured party has a particular illness or condition does not define onset – the first presenting symptoms or manifestations do. Determining the onset for a condition like chronic ITP is a difficult task. A drop in platelet count is invisible to the eye, and an individual suffering with ITP could live with the drop for some time before either experiencing a physical manifestation (i.e. bruising) or inadvertently learning of it after a blood test. However, it has been noted in other decisions that this fact cuts both ways, making it difficult to negate the possibility, even in cases in which a physical manifestation of ITP is seen post-vaccination, that the process could have begun before the vaccine at issue was administered. Doyle v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 92 Fed. Cl. 1, 4 and 7 (onset of ITP six months after the MMR vaccine was too attenuated for causation); see also Johnson, 2017 WL 772534, at *17-18 (discussing Doyle and finding that petitioner’s expert could not reliably establish that onset of ITP occurred post-vaccination simply on the basis of post-vaccination discovery of platelet drop). Because of this, evidence of an initial physical manifestation of ITP is likely the most reliable proof of onset available. Here, there is some discrepancy between the medical records and witness testimony on the onset question. Although no platelet count testing was performed prior to Petitioner’s February 2014 doctor’s visit (which occurred over a year after the last dose of Gardasil), statements from Petitioner and Petitioner’s mother to treaters at that time – when Ms. Gramza first sought medical intervention for the symptoms later determined to be ITP - place onset in July 2013, based on assertions that her symptoms (heavy periods, bruising, etc.) had persisted for the prior six months. See, e.g., Ex. 3 at 15, 59-61; Ex. 4 at 86. If so, then onset began six months after vaccination, with 21 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 22 of 25 another six or seven months passing before medical intervention was sought (a reasonable lapse, given the insidious and mild nature of chronic ITP akin to what Petitioner seems to have been experiencing). Ms. Gramza and her mother gave testimony that was inconsistent on this point. On the one hand, both fact witnesses vividly recalled the July 2013 Hawaii trip incident, which matches the medical records suggesting onset as having begun around that time. Ms. Gramza’s testimony, however, moved onset slightly earlier, to March 2013, when she claimed she began noticing that she was bruising easily. Tr. at 60. Mrs. Gramza also confirmed this earlier onset time. Tr. at 12- 13.19 But a March 2013 onset (which would be considerably closer in time to the last HPV vaccination) is not corroborated by any medical records. Moreover, while I can accept that Petitioner and her mother may have delayed treatment due to a misapprehension as to the seriousness of the condition, the length of time they waited for treatment is increased to nearly nine months if I accept their allegations of a March 2013 onset – a far longer, less credible delay, especially if the purported March symptoms were followed by the July 2013 incident, and then continued for the remainder of the year. Taking all of the above into account, I find the evidence best supports the conclusion that the outward symptoms of Ms. Gramza’s ITP were observed no earlier than July 2013, making it the effective onset date for purposes of this claim. That date has the most ample support in the medical records and the witness testimony. I now turn to whether that onset – occurring approximately six months after her last HPV dose – is a medically acceptable timeframe in which the alleged autoimmune process could have occurred. Dr. Shoenfeld opined that an autoimmune reaction of this type could take many weeks, months, or even years to develop. Tr. 139-41. To support this contention he relied on literature that reported long onset between vaccine and injury, but not involving injuries relevant to this case. See, e.g., C. Poser & P. Behan, Late Onset of Guillain Barré Syndrome, 3 J Neuroimmunology 27 (1982), filed as Ex. 42 (ECF No. 24-3)(showing cases of Guillain-Barré syndrome that occurred week to months after a precipitating cause); R. Gherardi & F. Authier, Macrophagic Myofasciitis: Characterization and Pathophysiology, 21 Lupus 184 (2012), filed as Ex. 43 (ECF No. 24-4) (a study finding the onset of symptoms of macrophagic myofasciitis (a condition characterized by chronic fatigue, myalgia, and cognitive dysfunction) began at seven months post-vaccination) ; R. Gherardi & F. Authier, Aluminum Inclusion Macrophagic Myofasciitis: A Recently Identified 19 I do not find persuasive, however, Petitioner’s suggestion that she experienced an ITP symptom in connection with her swimming pool accident in the summer of 2012. The photo offered into evidence does not support the contention that the hematoma she experienced was more likely than not due to ITP rather than the fall itself. 22 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 23 of 25 Condition, 23 Immunology Allergy Clinics of North America 699 (2003), filed as Ex. 44 (ECF No. 24-5).20 Dr. Forsthuber, by contrast, allowed for a timeframe of up to 28 days after vaccination for onset of an autoimmune condition like ITP. Tr. at 303-04. Although Dr. Forsthuber did not rule out the possibility of an even longer interval occurring in some cases, he opined that the further past four weeks, the more unlikely that the vaccine could be deemed causal. Id. at 304. Other Program decisions (including a case I decided) have allowed for onset of ITP up to six weeks post- vaccination. See, e.g., Johnson, 2017 WL 772534, at *16 (an autoimmune process such as ITP would most likely occur within 42 days after vaccination), citing Ebenstein, 2010 WL 5113185, at *21 (five and one-half to six weeks is “plausible” for ITP to occur after the MMR vaccine); Doyle v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 05-605V, 2009 WL 2973106 (onset of ITP six months after the MMR vaccine was too attenuated for causation); mot. for review den’d, 92 Fed. Cl. 1 (2010). Based on the expert testimony plus the well-reasoned decisions cited above involving ITP, I find that Petitioner has not demonstrated that the July 2013 onset for her ITP occurred in a medically-acceptable timeframe six months after receipt of the third HPV dose in January 2013. A timeframe of four to six weeks post-vaccination has far more support, and Petitioner’s expert did not persuasively establish otherwise. Accordingly, she has not offered sufficient evidence for me to find it more likely than not that this Althen prong is satisfied.21 II. Althen Prong Two As a threshold issue, I find that the record better supports the conclusion that Petitioner’s illness was ITP rather than lupus. Although treaters reasonably included lupus in their initial 20 Dr. Shoenfeld has also in other cases put forward the particularly unpersuasive contention that virtually any timeframe post-vaccination is medically acceptable for onset of an autoimmune condition. See, e.g., Garner v. Sec’y of Health &Human Servs., No. 15-063, 2017 WL 1713184, at *16-17 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Mar. 24, 2017); Hennessey v. Sec'y of Health & Human Servs., 91 Fed.Cl. 126, 142 (2010) (rejecting Dr. Shoenfeld's attempt to satisfy the third prong by positing that any timeframe is appropriate). 21 Petitioner might argue in response that, due to ITP’s insidious character, the fact that Ms. Gramza first experienced excessive bleeding in July 2013 does not mean that the autoimmune process causing the platelet destruction she experienced did not begin sooner – and hence closer in time to the vaccination, thereby increasing the causal potential of the HPV vaccine. Such an argument, however, runs head-on into an equally-reasonable counter-explanation (allowed for by Dr. Shoenfeld’s expansive view of autoimmune disease onset): that her ITP might have begun before vaccination. Petitioner maintains that it took six months before she experienced an outward symptom, but that her overall course was mild enough that she delayed treatment for another six months. But it could equally be concluded that the autoimmune process that resulted in the July 2013 incident had been subclinical many months before the first instance of bleeding, which means before the last dose of HPV vaccine received in January 2013. All of the above underscores why in such a case determining the first manifestation of a symptom associated with ITP is the most legally-reliable method of determining onset. 23 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 24 of 25 differential diagnoses, based on certain test results and on a sound medical understanding about ITP’s relationship to lupus, the medical record ultimately does not confirm the diagnosis. Dr. Rose was not persuasive in establishing that Ms. Gramza’s symptoms met the lupus clinical criteria, while Dr. Shoenfeld (despite his initial embrace of that diagnosis) did credibly explain how the record did not corroborate Dr. Rose’s opinion, based on Petitioner’s overall history since the time her ITP was first confirmed by blood testing in 2014. But even though I accept Petitioner’s argument as to the nature of her condition, I do not find that she has successfully established that the HPV vaccine “did cause” her ITP. Other than observing that her symptoms presented temporally after receipt of the HPV vaccine, Petitioner has not provided a compelling narrative, built from facts set forth in the medical record, establishing a “logical sequence of cause and effect” associating vaccine to injury. No treaters ever proposed a relationship between the HPV vaccine and Petitioner’s ITP, and beyond her symptoms Petitioner points to nothing in her medical records that would corroborate the allegation that beginning in the summer of 2013 she was experiencing a vaccine-induced autoimmune process. And there is also some admittedly-inconclusive evidence suggestive of alternative causes for her condition (for example, her EBV titers measured around the time her platelet count was first performed, or the “red flag” blood testing results obtained by Dr. Shah that supported a lupus diagnosis), which was ineffectively rebutted by Petitioner, further diminishing the strength of Petitioner’s evidentiary showing (even if this evidence does not itself stand as preponderant proof of an alternative cause). The analytic concept of challenge/re-challenge helps to underscore the deficiencies of Petitioner’s “did cause” Althen showing. Evidence that Ms. Gramza’s immunologic reaction to the HPV vaccine increased in strength and rapidity with each dose would corroborate the argument that the vaccine was acting upon her as theorized. Yet the medical record in this case does not reflect this occurring. At best, four months passed from Petitioner’s first receipt of HPV vaccine to the pool injury that she alleges was evidence of an initial reaction – yet there was no reaction at all reflected in the records between the second dose (received July 2012) and third (received January 2013), and the earliest reaction after the last dose was in the spring of 2013 (although I have found the record better supports an even later onset, in July 2013). Were challenge/re- challenge occurring, each reaction should have been closer in time to the next dose. I therefore do not conclude that preponderant evidence supports the determination that the HPV vaccine was the “but for” cause of Petitioner’s ITP. III. Althen Prong One The “can cause” prong is the only component of Petitioner’s case that I find she successfully established. Admittedly, Respondent offered some persuasive, robust items of epidemiologic evidence suggesting that the HPV vaccine is not associated with autoimmune conditions like ITP. Dr. Forsthuber also raised reasonable questions about the plausibility of components of the HPV vaccine cross-reacting as alleged herein. At the same time, it is fairly well 24 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 79 Filed 04/02/18 Page 25 of 25 established in other Program decisions that ITP (understood to be an autoimmune condition) has been credibly associated with vaccination, and the HPV vaccine as well – and the decisions of other special masters (including my own) have embraced as reliable the science supporting such contentions. Weighing all of the above, I find that Petitioner, through the testimony of her expert, Dr. Shoenfeld, did persuasively establish in this case that the HPV vaccine could cause ITP. But because the other two Althen prongs (and in particular the third) were not met, success in meeting this component of Petitioner’s case was by itself not enough to meet her overall burden of proof. CONCLUSION The record does not support Petitioner’s contention that the HPV vaccines she received caused her ITP, and/or did so in a medically acceptable timeframe. Petitioner has not established entitlement to a damages award, and therefore I must DISMISS her claim. In the absence of a timely-filed motion for review (see Appendix B to the Rules of the Court), the Clerk shall enter judgment in accordance with this decision.22 IT IS SO ORDERED. /s/ Brian H. Corcoran Brian H. Corcoran Special Master 22 Pursuant to Vaccine Rule 11(a), the parties may expedite entry of judgment by filing a joint notice renouncing their right to seek review. 25 ================================================================================ DOCUMENT 2: USCOURTS-cofc-1_15-vv-00247-2 Date issued/filed: 2018-08-15 Pages: 34 Docket text: JUDGE VACCINE REPORTED OPINION re: 86 Order on Motion for Review, Judge Vaccine Order/Opinion, 87 Judgment Signed by Senior Judge Susan G. Braden. (cn) Service on parties made. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 1 of 34 In the United States Court of Federal Claims No. 15-247 V Filed: August 15, 2018 ************************************* * JASMYNE GRAMZA, * * National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act, Petitioner, * 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-1 to -34; * Vaccine Rules of the United States Court v. * of Federal Claims 4 (Respondent’s * Review of Petitioner’s Records), 18 SECRETARY OF HEALTH AND * (Availability of Filings), 23 (Motion HUMAN SERVICES, * for Review), 27 (Reviewing a * Decision of the Special Master). Respondent. * * ************************************* Andrew D. Downing, Van Cott & Talamante PLLC, Phoenix, Arizona, Counsel for Petitioner. Darryl R. Wishard, United States Department of Justice, Civil Division, Washington, D.C., Counsel for Respondent. MEMORANDUM OPINION AND FINAL ORDER1 BRADEN, Senior Judge. Petitioner2 requests review of the Special Master’s February 5, 2018 Decision3 (“2/5/2018 Decision”), denying an award under the National Childhood Vaccine Injury Act, 42 U.S.C. §§ 300aa-1 to -34 (2012) (the “Vaccine Act”). 1 On July 31, 2018, the court forwarded a sealed copy of this Memorandum Opinion And Final Order to the parties to redact any confidential and/or privileged information from the public version by August 14, 2018, pursuant to Vaccine Rule 18(b). Neither Petitioner nor Respondent proposed redactions. 2 Petitioner’s mother filed this action on behalf of Petitioner, who was a minor on March 10, 2015. ECF No. 1 at 1. The caption then read “TARAH GRAMZA, on behalf of her minor child, J.G.,” and Petitioner was referred to as “J.G.” ECF No. 1 at 1. On December 20, 2017, after Petitioner reached the age of majority, the Special Master issued an Order instructing the Clerk of the United States Court of Federal Claims (“Clerk of Court”) to change the caption to reflect Petitioner’s name, “JASMYNE GRAMZA.” ECF No. 74. 3 The unredacted Decision of the Special Master was issued on February 5, 2018. ECF No. 75. The redacted, public version of the Decision was issued on April 2, 2018. ECF No. 79. Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 2 of 34 To facilitate review of this Memorandum Opinion And Final Order, the court has provided the following outline. I. RELEVANT FACTUAL AND PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND. A. Medical History. B. Procedural History. C. The March 10, 2015 Petition. D. The Entitlement Hearing Before The Special Master. 1. Fact Witnesses. a. Petitioner’s Mother. b. Petitioner’s Testimony. c. Dr. Kaleo Ede’s Testimony. 2. Petitioner’s Expert—Dr. Shoenfeld. 3. The Government’s Expert—Dr. Rose. 4. The Government’s Expert—Dr. Forsthuber. II. DISCUSSION. A. Jurisdiction. B. Standing. C. Standard Of Review. D. The Elements And Burden Of Proof In Vaccine Act Cases. E. The Special Master’s February 5, 2018 Decision. F. Petitioner’s March 7, 2018 Motion For Review. 1. Petitioner’s Arguments. 2. The Government’s Response. 3. Petitioner’s Reply. 4. The Court’s Resolution. III. CONCLUSION. Because this court’s review relies on the entirety of the record before the Special Master, this Memorandum Opinion And Final Order refers to the unredacted February 5, 2018 Decision. 2 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 3 of 34 I. RELEVANT FACTUAL AND PROCEDURAL BACKGROUND. A. Medical History.4 On January 17, 2012, Jasmyne Gramza (“Petitioner”) received the first dose of the three- dose Human Papillomavirus vaccination (“HPV vaccine” or “Gardasil”).5 Pet. Ex. 3 at 10, 30–31. At that time, Petitioner was twelve years old. Pet. Ex. 3 at 29. Petitioner was allergic to chlorophyll and had a history of migraine headaches, dating back to at least 2010, but otherwise had no other chronic medical complaints. Pet. Ex. 3 at 29–31, 37, 43. On July 26, 2012, Petitioner received a second dose of the HPV vaccine while being treated for a large hematoma6 on her leg from a fall two months earlier. Pet. Ex. 3 at 10, 25–26. Petitioner’s physician recommended that Petitioner place a heating pad on the “slightly tender” bruise that remained, monitor the situation, and return within four months for her final dose of the HPV vaccine. Pet. Ex. 3 at 25–26. On January 23, 2013, Petitioner received a third dose of the HPV vaccine. Pet. Ex. 3 at 10, 20. On February 11, 2014, Petitioner visited her primary care physician, Dr. Trupti Amin- Chapman, for a checkup. Pet. Ex. 3 at 13. Petitioner reported that in the past six months, she bruised more easily and those bruises seemed disproportionately large, relative to the injuries that 4 The relevant facts were derived from Petitioner’s Exhibits 3–4 (“Pet. Exs. 3–4”), the Entitlement Hearing Transcript, dated June 6, 2017, ECF No. 68 (“6/6/2017 TR at 1–172”), and the Entitlement Hearing Transcript, dated June 7, 2017, ECF No. 70 (“6/7/2017 TR at 173–357”). 5 “Papillomavirus” is “any virus of the family papillomaviridae.” DORLAND’S ILLUSTRATED MEDICAL DICTIONARY 1372 (32d ed. 2012) (“DORLAND’S”). “Human papillomavirus” is “any of a number of species of papillomaviruses that cause warts, particularly plantar and genital warts, on the skin and mucous membranes in humans.” Id. at 1373. “Gardasil” is a “trademark for a preparation of human papillomavirus quadrivalent vaccine, recombinant.” DORLAND’S at 761. “Human papillomavirus quadrivalent vaccine, recombinant” is a quadrivalent vaccine prepared from the virus like particles of the major capsid protein of human papillomavirus types 6, 11, 16, and 18, which are responsible for the great majority of cases of condyloma acuminatum and cervical cancer; administered intramuscularly to girls and young women between the ages of 9 and 26 for the prevention of condyloma acuminatum and neoplastic diseases caused by susceptible types. Id. at 2016. 6 A “hematoma” is “a localized collection of blood, usually clotted, in an organ, space, or tissue, usually due to a break in the wall of a blood vessel.” DORLAND’S at 832. 3 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 4 of 34 caused them. Pet. Ex. 3 at 15. Petitioner’s physician ordered a blood test, that showed Petitioner’s platelet count7 was below the reference range and her prothrombin time (“PTT”) was higher than the reference range.8 Pet. Ex. 3 at 17, 76–77. On February 13, 2014, Petitioner was examined by Dr. Christine Knoll, a hematologist,9 who performed additional blood testing. Pet. Ex. 4 at 86, 88. The results were normal, except for Epstein–Barr Virus (“EBV”) titers,10 that suggested a past infection. Pet. Ex. 4 at 88. Dr. Knoll concluded that Petitioner’s condition was possibly autoimmune11 and, if so, likely lupus.12 Pet. 7 A “platelet” is “a disk-shaped structure, . . . found in the blood of all mammals and chiefly known for its role in blood coagulation.” DORLAND’S at 1459. A “platelet count” is a “determination of the number of platelets per cubic millimeter of blood; it may be either a direct platelet count with a hemacytometer and a microscope or an indirect platelet count in which the ratio of platelets to erythrocytes on a blood smear is determined and the number of platelets determined from the erythrocyte count.” Id. at 425 (italics in original). 8 “Prothrombin” is “a plasma protein that is converted to the active form thrombin . . . in the common pathway of coagulation; thrombin then cleaves fibrinogen to its active form fibrin. Deficiency of the factor leads to hypoprothrombinemia.” DORLAND’S at 674. “Prothrombin time” is “the rate at which prothrombin is converted to thrombin in citrated blood with added calcium,” and is “used to assess the extrinsic pathway of coagulation.” Id. at 1928. 9 “Hematology” is “the branch of medical science that deals with the blood and blood- forming tissues.” DORLAND’S at 832. A “hematologist” is “a specialist in hematology.” Id. 10 “Epstein-Barr Virus” is “a virus of the genus Lymphocryptovirus that causes infectious mononucleosis and is associated with Burkitt lymphoma and nasopharyngeal carcinoma.” DORLAND’S at 2061. A “titer” is “the quantity of a substance required to produce a reaction with a given volume of another substance, or the amount of one substance required to correspond with a given amount of another substance.” Id. at 1932. 11 “Autoimmune” describes phenomena “characterized by a specific humoral or cell- mediated immune response against constituents of the body’s own tissues (self antigens or autoantigens).” DORLAND’S at 181. 12 “Lupus” is “1. the name formerly given to numerous types of localized destruction or degeneration of the skin caused by cutaneous diseases,” or “2. [lupus] erythematosus,” that is “a group of connective tissue disorders primarily affecting women aged 20 to 40 years, comprising a spectrum of clinical forms in which cutaneous disease may occur with or without systemic involvement.” DORLAND’S at 1079. “Cutaneous lupus erythematosus may involve only the skin or may precede involvement of other body systems.” Id. “Systemic lupus erythematosus” is a “chronic, inflammatory, often febrile multisystemic disorder of connective tissue[. It] may be either acute or insidious in onset and is characterized principally by involvement of the skin . . . , joints, kidneys, and serosal membranes. The condition is marked by a wide variety of abnormalities, including . . . thrombocytopenia, hemolytic anemia, . . . and the presence in the blood of distinctive cells called LE cells.” Id. at 1080. 4 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 5 of 34 Ex. 4 at 88 (“I discussed at length with the family that this is [an] autoimmune process, wich [sic] concerns for lupus . . . . I do think she needs to be further worked up with anti-phospholipid syndrome with lupus anticoagulant.”).13 Dr. Knoll recommended that Petitioner avoid contact sports and gym class, and take Tylenol instead of ibuprofen or aspirin for any aches, pains, or fevers.14 Pet. Ex. 4 at 88. On February 16, 2014, Petitioner noticed petechiae15 and went to the emergency room. Pet. Ex. 4 at 81–82. A blood test revealed that Petitioner’s platelet count was still low, as the previous test had shown, and Petitioner was discharged. Pet. Ex. 4 at 82. On February 21, 2014, Petitioner was examined by Dr. Kaleo Ede, a rheumatologist.16 Pet. Ex. 3 at 59–61. Dr. Ede conducted an exam with normal results. Pet. Ex. 3 at 61. Dr. Ede noted 13 “Antiphospholipid antibody” refers to “a group of antibodies against phosphorylated polysaccharide esters of fatty acids, thought to be markers of a hyper-coagulable state of the blood; included are anticardiolipin antibodies and lupus anticoagulant.” DORLAND’S at 101. “Antiphospholipid antibody syndrome” refers to “a multisystem inflammatory disorder characterized by the presence of circulating antiphospholipid antibodies with thrombosis (including thrombotic microangiopathy), spontaneous abortion, thrombocytopenia, valvular heart disease, and other less frequent symptoms. A severe type called catastrophic antiphospholipid syndrome is characterized by infarctions of several different organs and is often fatal.” Id. at 1821. 14 Tylenol is a “trademark for preparations of acetaminophen.” DORLAND’S at 1992. “Acetaminophen” is “the amide of acetic acid and p-aminophenol, having analgesic and antipyretic effects similar to aspirin’s but only weak anti-inflammatory effects.” Id. at 12. “Ibuprofen” is “a nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug derived from propionic acid and having also analgesic and antipyretic actions; administered orally in the treatment of pain, fever, dysmenorrhea, osteoarthritis, rheumatoid arthritis, and other rheumatic and nonrheumatic inflammatory disorders, and in the treatment and prophylaxis of vascular headaches.” Id. at 910. “Aspirin” is “acetylsalicylic acid, a drug having anti-inflammatory, analgesic, and antipyretic effects; it is the prototype of the nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs whose mechanism of action is inhibition of prostaglandin synthesis; used for relief of pain, fever, and inflammation and for treatment of arthritis, osteoarthritis, and rheumatic fever. Because it is a platelet inhibitor, it is also used to reduce the risk of recurrent transient ischemic attacks, stroke syndrome, thromboembolism following certain surgical procedure, and initial or recurrent myocardial infarction.” Id. at 166. 15 A “petechia” (singular of petechiae) is “a pinpoint, nonraised, perfectly round, purplish red spot caused by intradermal or submucous hemorrhage.” DORLAND’S at 1422. 16 A “rheumatologist” is “a specialist in rheumatic conditions.” DORLAND’S at 1639. “Rheumatism” describes “any of a variety of disorders marked by inflammation, degeneration, or metabolic derangement of connective tissue structures of the body, especially the joints and related structures, including muscles, bursae, tendons, and fibrous tissue, with pain, stiffness, or limitation of motion.” Id. 5 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 6 of 34 that Petitioner recently was diagnosed with thrombocytopenia,17 but she “[did] not meet criteria for systemic lupus erythematosus at [that] time;” he recommended that Petitioner receive a further evaluation for lupus. Pet. Ex. 3 at 60, 61. On an unspecified date thereafter, Petitioner was examined by Dr. Sanjay Shah, a hematologist in the same practice as Dr. Knoll. Pet. Ex. 4 at 69–72. This time, Petitioner’s platelet count no longer was low. Pet. Ex. 4 at 69, 72. Dr. Shah reviewed Petitioner’s hematology lab results with Petitioner and her mother, noting that Petitioner had a prolonged PTT, normal iron studies, a negative Coombs test,18 and a positive antibody19 screen. Pet. Ex. 4 at 71. These tests were “suggestive of a lupus anticoagulant,”20 but Dr. Shah did not diagnose Petitioner with lupus; instead, his diagnosis was chronic immune thrombocytopenic purpura21 (“ITP”). Pet. Ex. 4 at 71– 72. Dr. Shah discussed the normal course of treatment for ITP with Petitioner’s mother, but did not prescribe any treatment pending further observation and the results of additional testing ordered by Dr. Ede. Pet. Ex. 4 at 72. 17 “Thrombocytopenia” is “a decrease in the number of platelets, such as in thrombocytopenic purpura.” DORLAND’S at 1922. 18 A “Coombs test” is an “antiglobulin test,” that is a test for the presence of nonagglutinating antibodies against red blood cells, using antihuman globulin antibody to agglutinate cells coated with the nonagglutinating antibody. The direct antiglobulin test detects antibodies bound to circulating red cells in vivo. It is used in the evaluation of autoimmune and drug-induced immune hemolytic anemia and erythroblastosis fetalis. The indirect antiglobulin test detects serum antibodies that bind to red cell in an in vitro incubation step. It is used in typing of erythrocyte antigens and in compatibility testing (cross-match). DORLAND’S at 1885, 1888 (italics in original). 19 An “antibody” is “an immunoglobulin molecule that has a specific amino acid sequence by virtue of which it interacts only with the antigen that induced its synthesis . . . or with antigen closely related to it. Antibodies are classified in groups according to their mode of action.” DORLAND’S at 100. 20 “Lupus anticoagulant” is “a circulating anticoagulant that inhibits the conversion of prothrombin to thrombin, found in 5-10 per cent of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus, but also seen in other disorders.” DORLAND’S at 102. 21 “Immune thrombocytopenic purpura” is “a type of thrombocytopenic purpura that is not directly associated with any definable systemic disease but often follows a systemic infection; it has been found to be an autoimmune condition, caused by antigens against platelets, resulting in ecchymoses, petechiae, and other bleeding. There are both acute and chronic forms: the acute form has a sudden onset, is more common in children, and usually resolves spontaneously within a few months; the chronic form has a slower onset, is more common in adults, and may be recurrent.” DORLAND’S at 1557 (emphases in original). 6 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 7 of 34 On March 28, 2014, Petitioner returned to Dr. Shah for another evaluation. Pet. Ex. 4 at 56–59. Petitioner and her parents reported that Petitioner had new, “not excessively large” bruises, and experienced fatigue, joint pain, and sore muscles. Pet. Ex. 4 at 57. Dr. Shah believed that Petitioner’s ITP was most likely autoimmune in origin, based on her test results indicating lupus anticoagulant. Pet. Ex. 4 at 58. Dr. Shah, however, did not believe that Petitioner was at risk for significant bleeding, because her platelet count had risen to 34,000.22 Pet. Ex. 4 at 59. Because Petitioner still reported “significant” fatigue, Dr. Shah informed Petitioner’s mother of treatment options for chronic ITP and noted that he would discuss those options with Dr. Ede and other colleagues. Pet. Ex. 4 at 59. On April 30, 2014, Petitioner was examined by Dr. Ede for a “follow[-]up [regarding] her abnormal antibodies.” Pet. Ex. 4 at 50–52. Petitioner reported weekly nosebleeds, bleeding gums after brushing her teeth, spontaneous bruising, a particularly heavy menstrual period, fatigue, and occasional joint pain. Pet. Ex. 4 at 50. Dr. Ede noted that Petitioner’s exam results from that day were normal, but considering all of Petitioner’s lab results in and after February 2014, concluded that Petitioner had “ITP with consistent thrombocytopenia.” Pet. Ex. 4 at 51. In addition, Dr. Ede found that Petitioner met three of eleven classification criteria for systemic lupus erythematosus (“SLE”), but did not diagnose Petitioner with lupus, because a patient must meet four of the criteria to be diagnosed. Pet. Ex. 4 at 51. Dr. Ede declined to make any specific treatment recommendations, pending further testing and decisions by Petitioner’s hematologists, but noted that Petitioner “likely need[ed] treatment for her thrombocytopenia.” Pet. Ex. 4 at 51. On May 14, 2014, Petitioner sought urgent care after experiencing two nosebleeds in one day and two weeks of heavy menstruation. Pet. Ex. 4 at 46–47. Petitioner’s platelet count was then 13,000 and her hemoglobin count23 was 10.6. Pet. Ex. 4 at 47. Petitioner was discharged, but planned to schedule an appointment with a hematologist the next day. Pet. Ex. 4 at 47. On May 15, 2014, Petitioner was examined by Dr. James Williams, a hematologist, who confirmed Petitioner’s low platelet count and noted that her thrombocytopenia was “worsening.” Pet. Ex. 4 at 44. Dr. Williams discussed treatment options with Petitioner and her parents and began Petitioner on a course of intravenous immunoglobulin24 (“IVIG”) therapy. Pet. Ex. 4 at 44. During a follow-up visit with Dr. Williams on May 21, 2014, Petitioner’s platelet count increased to 135,000. Pet. Ex. 4 at 40. On May 29, 2014, Plaintiff returned to the office, where she was examined by Drs. Williams, Knoll, and Shah for an “urgent add[-]on visit due to increased 22 According to Petitioner’s medical chart, the reference range for platelet count is 140,000–450,000. Pet. Ex. 4 at 54. 23 “Hemoglobin” is “the red oxygen-carrying pigment of erythrocytes, formed by developing erythrocytes in bone marrow.” DORLAND’S at 839. According to Petitioner’s medical chart, the reference range for hemoglobin is 11.0–15.0. Pet. Ex. 4 at 48. 24 “Immunoglobulin” refers to “any of the structurally related glycoproteins that function as antibodies, divided into five classes . . . on the basis of structure and biologic activity.” DORLAND’S at 919. “Intravenous” describes activity “within a vein or veins.” Id. at 954. 7 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 8 of 34 petechiae and bleeding.” Pet. Ex. 4 at 38. They noted a significant drop in Petitioner’s platelet count, that was 21,000, and administered another dose of IVIG. Pet. Ex. 4 at 38. After a discussion with Petitioner’s parents, Petitioner received a prescription for four doses of Rituxan.25 Pet. Ex. 4 at 38. On June 17, 2014, Plaintiff visited with Dr. Williams again and Petitioner’s platelet count dropped to 4,000. Pet. Ex. 4 at 23. Dr. Williams prescribed a four-day course of oral steroids and administered the third dose of the four-dose Rituxan regimen. Pet. Ex. 4 at 23. Dr. Williams also noted that Petitioner had received a Depo-Provera26 shot for her heavy menses two weeks prior. Pet. Ex. 4 at 23. On June 27, 2014, Petitioner’s platelet count increased to 76,000. Pet. Ex. 4 at 21. At the end of July 2014, Petitioner’s platelet count increased to 225,000, a normal count. Pet. Ex. 4 at 13. By the end of August 2014, Petitioner’s platelet count decreased to 176,000, but was still within the normal range. Pet. Ex. 4 at 9. By December 2014, Dr. Williams also noted that her platelet count had been normal since July. Pet. Ex. 4 at 2. B. Procedural History. On March 10, 2015, Petitioner’s mother filed a Petition seeking compensation under the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program. ECF No. 1. On March 12, 2015, Special Master Corcoran (the “Special Master”) entered an Initial Order directing Petitioner to “begin filing medical records relevant to her claim as promptly as possible.” ECF No. 5 at 1. On March 24, 2015, Petitioner filed a Statement And Medical Records. ECF No. 7. On May 15, 2015, Petitioner’s mother filed updated medical records. ECF No. 11. On May 26, 2015, the Government filed a Report, pursuant to Vaccine Rule of the United States Court of Federal Claims 4(c), together with a number of academic and news articles, recommending that compensation be denied and the March 10, 2015 Petition be dismissed. ECF No. 12. 25 “Rituxan” is a “trademark for a preparation of rituximab.” DORLAND’S at 1650. “Rituximab” is “a chimeric murine/human monoclonal antibody that binds the DC 20 antigen; used as an antineoplastic in the treatment of CD20-positive, B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma; administered intravenously.” Id. 26 “Depo-Provera” is a “trademark for preparation of medroxyprogesterone acetate.” DORLAND’S at 492. “Medroxyprogesterone acetate” is a progestin administered orally for treatment of secondary amenorrhea and dysfunctional uterine bleeding, induction of menses, prevention and treatment of endometrial hyperplasia in postmenopausal hormone replacement therapy, and testing for endogenous estrogen production; administered orally or intramuscularly as an antineoplastic in treatment of metastatic endometrial, breast, and renal carcinoma; and administered intramuscularly as a long-acting contraceptive. Id. at 1120. 8 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 9 of 34 On June 2, 2015, the Special Master convened a status conference. Minute Entry dated 6/4/2015. On August 3, 2015, Petitioner filed a Motion For An Extension Of Time, requesting additional time to submit an expert report. ECF No. 14. On August 4, 2015 that motion was granted.27 Minute Entry dated 8/4/2015. On August 10, 2015, Petitioner filed additional medical records. ECF No. 15. On August 17, 2015, Petitioner filed an Expert Report and Curriculum Vitae for Dr. Shoenfeld. ECF No. 16. On August 19, 2015, the Government filed a Status Report And Request To Set Deadlines, requesting that the Special Master set a deadline of December 4, 2015, for the Government to file an expert report. ECF No. 17 at 1. The Government also requested that Petitioner “file the pertinent medical literature to be relied on by Dr. Shoenfeld.” ECF No. 17 at 1. On August 20, 2015, Petitioner filed a Response To Respondent’s Request To Set Deadlines, without objection to the Government’s request and agreeing that it would file Dr. Shoenfeld’s medical literature “upon receipt.” ECF No. 18 at 1. On August 26, 2015, the Special Master convened a status conference. Minute Entry dated 8/27/2015. During that status conference, Petitioner requested that the court strike the Expert Report filed on August 17, 2015 from the record, because it did not include a “relevant section of the expert’s analysis.” ECF No. 19. On August 27, 2015, the Special Master issued an Order, directing the Clerk of Court to strike Petitioner’s Expert Report from the record and Petitioner to file a revised or complete version of the Expert Report. ECF No. 19. Petitioner filed a corrected Expert Report that same day. ECF No. 20. On September 22, 2015, Petitioner filed medical literature referenced in Dr. Shoenfeld’s Expert Report. ECF Nos. 21–26. On November 2, 2015, the Special Master issued a formal notice,28 notifying the parties that “[t]he statutory 240-day period for the special master’s issuance of a decision in this case expired,” and Petitioner could elect to withdraw the March 10, 2015 Petition or continue to remain in the program. ECF No. 27. On November 23, 2015, the Government filed the Expert Reports and Curricula Vitae of Drs. Rose and Forsthuber, together with supporting reference documents. ECF Nos. 28–30. The Government also filed Respondent’s Amendment To Vaccine Rule 4(c) Report, averring that the evidence in all three Expert Reports supported a diagnosis of SLE, instead of antiphospholipid antibody syndrome. ECF No. 31 at 1. 27 The Special Master did not assign a CM/ECF number to this Order, instead entering it directly onto the docket as a “Non-PDF Order.” 28 Under 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(d)(3)(a)(ii), a Special Master is required to issue a decision on a Vaccine Program petition “not later than 240 days . . . after the date the petition was filed.” Id. If a Special Master does not issue a decision within that period, he or she is required to notify the petitioner that the petitioner may either withdraw the petition or elect to have the petition remain before the Special Master. 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(g). 9 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 10 of 34 On February 1, 2016, Petitioner filed the Rebuttal Expert Report of Dr. Shoenfeld and additional medical literature. ECF Nos. 32–35. On February 22, 2016, the Special Master held a third status conference and issued an Order directing the Government to file a responsive Expert Report by April 29, 2016. Minute Entries dated 2/22/2016.29 On March 23, 2016, the Government filed an Expert Opinion Supplemental Report from Dr. Rose, together with supporting documentation. ECF Nos. 36–38. On April 7, 2016, the Special Master convened a status conference and issued a Scheduling Order. Minute Entries dated 4/7/2016.30 That Scheduling Order directed Petitioner to file a status report by April 29, 2016, indicating whether she wished to file a Supplemental Expert Report from Dr. Shoenfeld. Second Minute Entry dated 4/7/2016. The Scheduling Order also directed the parties to confer and schedule an entitlement hearing for April, May, or June of 2017, and to indicate whether they believed a settlement would be possible. Second Minute Entry dated 4/7/2016. On April 29, 2016, Petitioner filed a Status Report stating that: (1) the Government advised Petitioner that it was “not interested in pursuing settlement discussions at [that] time;” (2) Petitioner would not submit a Supplemental Expert Report from Dr. Shoenfeld or any other expert; and (3) the parties would be available for an entitlement hearing during the first week of June 2017. ECF No. 39. On May 13, 2016, the Special Master convened a status conference. Minute Entry dated 5/13/2016. On May 18, 2016, the Special Master issued a Pre-Hearing Order setting the entitlement hearing for June 6–7, 2017. ECF No. 40. On June 2, 2016, Petitioner submitted photographic evidence. ECF No. 41. On that same day, Petitioner also filed a Status Report explaining that Petitioner’s Exhibit 89 was “offered to demonstrate that insidious bruising due to ITP was present, at the latest, by May 29, 2012.” ECF No. 42 at 1. On July 26, 2016, Petitioner filed additional medical documentation. ECF No. 43. On August 17, 2016, Petitioner filed a Status Report, explaining that Petitioner’s Exhibit 90 was a journal article, authored by Dr. Shoenfeld, with a “focus” on “[Petitioner’s] vaccine induced ITP and antiphospholipid antibodies following administration of the HPV vaccine.” ECF No. 44 at 1. The Status Report explained that Exhibit 90 was submitted to “demonstrate the reliability of Petitioner’s causation-in-fact theory.” ECF No. 44 at 3. On October 11, 2016, Petitioner filed a letter from her treating physician. ECF No. 45. On October 12, 2016, Petitioner filed updated laboratory results from Phoenix Children’s Medical Group. ECF No. 46. 29 The Special Master did not assign a CM/ECF number to this Scheduling Order, instead entering it directly onto the docket as a “Non-PDF Scheduling Order.” 30 The Special Master did not assign a CM/ECF number to this Scheduling Order, instead entering it directly onto the docket as a “Non-PDF Scheduling Order.” 10 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 11 of 34 On February 22, 2017, Petitioner filed a Pre-Hearing Submission And Witness And Exhibit List. ECF No. 50. On March 7, 2017, the Special Master issued a Scheduling Order granting a request from the Government for leave to file “an additional piece of medical literature out of time.” Minute Entry dated 3/7/2017.31 On March 9, 2017, the Government filed additional medical research. ECF No. 51. On March 15, 2017, the Government filed Respondent’s Pre-Hearing Brief. ECF No. 52. On April 21, 2017, Petitioner filed additional medical research and Petitioner’s Reply To Respondent’s Pre-Hearing Submission. ECF Nos. 53–54. On April 28, 2017, the Government filed additional medical research. ECF No. 55. On May 12, 2017, Petitioner filed a Statement on her own behalf. ECF No. 56. On May 23, 2017, Petitioner filed a demonstrative exhibit. ECF No. 57. On June 2, 2017, Petitioner filed additional demonstrative exhibits. ECF No. 58. On June 6–7, 2017, the Special Master conducted an entitlement hearing in Washington, D.C. First Minute Entry dated 6/7/2017; 6/6/17 TR at 1–172; 6/7/17 TR at 173–357. On June 7, 2017, following the entitlement hearing, the Special Master issued a Scheduling Order directing the parties to file any demonstrative exhibits or literature that was referenced during the hearing, but not filed with the Special Master, by June 23, 2017. Second Minute Entry dated 6/7/2017.32 The Scheduling Order also directed the parties to confer and decide whether they would file post-trial briefs by June 23, 2017. Second Minute Entry dated 6/7/2017. On June 8, 2017, the Government filed medical research and expert documents. ECF No. 59. On June 14, 2017, Petitioner filed an Application For Interim Attorneys’ Fees And Costs. ECF No. 60. On June 15, 2017, Petitioner filed additional medical research and expert documentation. ECF No. 61. On that same day, the Government filed a Response To Petitioner’s Application For Interim Attorneys’ Fees And Costs. ECF No. 62. On June 16, 2017, Petitioner filed a Status Report, informing the Special Master that the parties proposed to file simultaneous post-trial briefs forty-five days after the hearing transcript was filed. ECF No. 63 at 1. The Special Master entered a Scheduling Order reflecting that and ordering the parties to file their briefs on or before August 15, 2017. Second Minute Entry dated 6/16/2017.33 On June 28, 2017, the Special Master entered a Decision Granting Interim Award Of Attorney’s Fees And Costs. ECF No. 64. On July 6, 2017, the parties filed a Joint Notice Not To Seek Review Of The Decision Granting Interim Award Of Attorney’s Fees And Costs, and the Clerk of Court entered an Order awarding fees and costs to Petitioner in the amount specified by the Special Master. ECF Nos. 65–66. 31 The Special Master did not assign a CM/ECF number to this Scheduling Order, instead entering it directly onto the docket as a “Non-PDF Scheduling Order.” 32 The Special Master did not assign a CM/ECF number to this Scheduling Order, instead entering it directly onto the docket as a “Non-PDF Scheduling Order.” 33 The Special Master did not assign a CM/ECF number to this Scheduling Order, instead entering it directly onto the docket as a “Non-PDF Scheduling Order.” 11 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 12 of 34 On July 6, 2017, the transcript of the entitlement hearing was filed. ECF Nos. 68, 70. On August 15, 2017, Petitioner filed a Post-Hearing Submission and the Government filed Respondent’s Post-Hearing Brief. ECF Nos. 71–72. On August 17, 2017, the Special Master filed a second Decision Granting Interim Award Of Attorney’s Fees And Costs. ECF No. 73. On December 20, 2017, the Special Master filed an Order directing the Clerk of Court to change the case caption to reflect Petitioner reaching the age of majority. ECF No. 74. On February 5, 2018, the Special Master issued a Decision Denying Entitlement. ECF No. 75. On March 7, 2018, Petitioner filed a Motion For Review of the Special Master’s February 5, 2018 Decision, pursuant to Vaccine Rule 23 (“Pet. Mot.”). ECF No. 76. Petitioner also filed a Memorandum Of Objections In Support Of The Motion For Review (“Pet. Mem.”). ECF No. 77. On April 5, 2018, the Government filed Respondent’s Response To Petitioner’s Motion For Review (“Gov’t Resp.”). ECF No. 80. On April 12, 2018, Petitioner filed a Motion For Leave To File Reply Brief. ECF No. 81. On April 16, 2018, the Government filed a Response To Petitioner’s April 12, 2018 Motion. ECF No. 82. On April 17, 2018, Petitioner filed a Reply To Respondent’s Response To Petitioner’s April 12, 2018 Motion. ECF No. 83. On May 9, 2018, the court entered an Order granting Petitioner’s Motion For Leave To File Reply Brief. ECF No. 84. On May 10, 2018, Petitioner filed a Reply (“Pet. Reply”). ECF No. 85. C. The March 10, 2015 Petition. On March 10, 2015, Petitioner’s mother filed a Petition (“March 10, 2015 Petition” or “3/10/2015 Pet.”) on behalf of Petitioner for compensation under the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program, 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-10 to -34 (“Vaccine Program”). 3/10/2015 Pet. at 1. The March 10, 2015 Petition alleged that the three doses of the HPV vaccine, administered on January 7, 2012, July 26, 2012, and January 23, 2013, caused Petitioner’s antiphospholipid antibody syndrome and thrombocytopenia. 3/10/2015 Pet. at 1. The March 10, 2015 Petition also alleged that “by March of 2013, [Petitioner] was bruising abnormally easily,” though her mother did not feel the situation merited medical attention until January 2014 when Petitioner’s blood was tested, revealing an “extremely low” platelet count. 3/10/2015 Pet. at 1–2. Petitioner received a diagnoses of ITP and “an antiphospholipid issue” on February 11, 2014; after “intervention therapy” of “IGG, Rituximab, and steroids,” Petitioner’s platelet count returned to normal and she remained in remission. 3/10/2015 Pet. at 2. And, Petitioner is at a high risk for chronic ITP and her “ability to function in society is severely impaired” by her ITP symptoms, which were caused either by the HPV vaccine directly, or by her “antiphospholipid issue,” which in turn was caused by the HPV vaccine. 3/10/2015 Pet. at 2. The March 10, 2015 Petition further alleged that there is “ample scientific evidence connecting [Petitioner’s] symptomology and her vaccinations” and supporting her conclusion that her medical “complaints” were “caused-in-fact by the Gardasil vaccinations.” 3/10/2015 Pet. at 12 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 13 of 34 2, 3. The March 10, 2015 Petition cited articles from medical journals that purportedly evidenced: (1) a causal connection between viral and other vaccinations and the production of antiphospholipid antibodies; (2) a link between antiphospholipid antibodies and thrombocytopenia; and (3) a “direct[ ]” causal link between the HPV vaccine and ITP. 3/10/2015 Pet. at 2–3. The March 10, 2015 Petition also alleged that Petitioner had not brought any civil action for damages nor received any settlement or other award for her “vaccine-related injury.” 3/10/2015 Pet. at 8. The March 10, 2015 Petition sought damages for “pain and suffering [Petitioner] . . . experienced as a result of her adverse reaction, as well as economic damages and damages in the future.” 3/10/2015 Pet. at 8. D. The Entitlement Hearing Before The Special Master. On June 6–7, 2017, the Special Master conducted an entitlement hearing in Washington, D.C. See generally 6/6/2017 TR at 1–172; 6/7/2017 TR at 173–357. Petitioner, her mother, and Dr. Ede testified as witnesses. 6/6/2017 TR at 3. Both parties also presented expert witnesses. 6/6/2017 TR at 3; 6/7/2017 TR at 175. 1. Fact Witnesses. a. Petitioner’s Mother. Petitioner’s Mother testified that Petitioner showed no immediate signs of an adverse reaction after receiving the first dose of the HPV vaccine in January 2012. 6/6/2017 TR at 10. A few months later, however, Petitioner fell onto her hip on a pool deck resulting in a “massive bruise that didn’t heal for many, many months.” 6/6/2017 TR at 10–11. After Petitioner received the second dose of the HPV vaccine, Petitioner’s mother noticed no new signs, but the hematoma Petitioner received from the pool deck fall “didn’t really heal like . . . you would expect it to heal.” 6/6/2017 TR at 11. After Petitioner received the third dose of the HPV vaccine, “nothing stood out,” but “around the timeframe of March [Petitioner’s mother] started noticing little bruises” on Petitioner’s shins and elbows. 6/6/2017 TR at 12. When Petitioner continued to notice painless bruising in June 2013, she began taking iron supplements. 6/6/2017 TR at 12–13. In July 2013, Petitioner, her mother, and their family took a trip to Hawaii. 6/6/2017 TR at 13. Petitioner’s mother testified that during the flight to Hawaii, Petitioner began to menstruate heavily and “bled out [onto] the chair and . . . had to get up and change during the flight.” 6/6/2017 TR at 13. While in Hawaii, Petitioner developed a painless bruise on the back of her leg, “three or four” inches in diameter, from falling off a soft-sided boat. 6/6/2017 TR at 13–14. Petitioner’s mother “didn’t . . . really think anything serious was wrong.” 6/6/2017 TR at 14–15. During the summer of 2013, Petitioner was “really tired” and “would fall asleep pretty early,” and continued to bruise easily. 6/6/2017 TR at 15. Petitioner’s mother “finally” took Petitioner to see a doctor when Petitioner developed two large hematomas on the backs of her legs after falling off of her parents’ bed onto a dresser. 6/6/2017 TR at 15–16. At the end of a “well checkup,” Petitioner’s mother informed Dr. Amin- Chapman that Petitioner was bruising easily. 6/6/2017 TR at 16. Dr. Amin-Chapman “sent [them] off to the lab” for testing and called the next morning with results showing that Petitioner’s 13 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 14 of 34 platelets were low. 6/6/2017 TR at 16–17. When Petitioner was examined by specialists, Petitioner’s mother reported Petitioner’s medical history, although she was not aware that Petitioner also experienced nosebleeds. 6/6/2017 TR at 17. Next, Petitioner was examined by Dr. Ede, who ran more laboratory tests, including a urine test, and examined Petitioner’s joints. 6/6/2017 TR at 18–19. Dr. Ede “was looking for a particular joint pain or some sort of kidney involvement . . . to see if there was any kind of lupus present,” but did not find that evidence, and did not diagnose Petitioner with lupus. 6/6/2017 TR at 19. In 2014, Petitioner developed increased petechiae and continued to experience fatigue and menstrual hemorrhaging. 6/6/2017 TR at 19–20. Petitioner’s platelet count rose and fell repeatedly; when it fell below 10,000 she experienced nosebleeds and “other symptoms.” 6/6/2017 TR at 19–20. She received a Depo-Provera shot to stop hemorrhaging. 6/6/2017 TR at 20. After Petitioner’s symptoms diminished, her mother began to research what had caused Petitioner’s condition. 6/6/2017 TR at 21–22. She found “a lot of support for vaccine-induced” causation. 6/6/2017 TR at 22. In particular, she shared research by Dr. Ede with Petitioner’s treating physicians, Dr. Ede and Dr. Williams, but “they were unable to share, by their legal team, the opinion of whether or not the vaccine was the cause.” 6/6/2017 TR at 23. Petitioner’s mother testified that she did not remember telling Dr. Amin-Chapman about Petitioner taking iron supplements during the February 2014 checkup. 6/6/2017 TR at 26–27. Petitioner’s mother provided a medical chart during the February 11, 2014 checkup with Dr. Amin- Chapman. 6/6/2017 TR at 30–31. During that visit, Petitioner’s mother told Dr. Amin-Chapman that Petitioner’s menstruation was normal and Petitioner was not experiencing “nosebleeds [n]or excessive bleeding with periods,” because she “didn’t know” that Petitioner experienced either condition. 6/6/2017 TR at 31. Petitioner’s mother also did not tell Dr. Amin-Chapman about Petitioner’s bruising from the pool deck or the boat in Hawaii. 6/6/2017 TR at 31–32. Petitioner’s mother also testified that in February 2013, she was unaware of “any problems [Petitioner experienced] with her gums.” 6/6/2017 TR at 34. Petitioner’s mother and her husband went with Petitioner to an appointment with Dr. Knoll on February 13, 2014. 6/6/2017 TR at 35, 36. There, Dr. Knoll was advised that “[t]hey started noticing significant bruising over the [prior] . . . six to eight months,” or “at least as far back as July 2013.” 6/6/2017 TR at 36. Petitioner’s mother also mentioned “spontaneous bruising,” but did not recall “anything . . . about any problems that [Petitioner] may have had with heavy menses.” 6/6/2017 TR at 38. Petitioner’s mother told Dr. Knoll that the family’s babysitter had been sick with mononucleosis, and that Petitioner had shown no symptoms of mononucleosis at that time. 6/6/2017 TR at 39. Petitioner had pneumonia “probably a year or so before she . . . got the [HPV vaccine] shots.” 6/6/2017 TR at 39. Petitioner’s mother mentioned Petitioner’s fatigue to Drs. Amin-Chapman and Knoll prior to Petitioner’s February 21, 2014 appointment with Dr. Ede. 6/6/2017 TR at 40. Petitioner’s mother first became aware that Petitioner experienced bleeding gums when brushing her teeth “around th[e] timeframe” of that February 21, 2014 appointment. 6/6/2017 TR at 41. 14 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 15 of 34 During an appointment on February 25, 2014, Petitioner’s mother told Dr. Shah34 that Petitioner experienced bruising during the previous six to eight months. 6/6/2017 TR at 41. Petitioner’s mother explained that Dr. Shah’s note did not reflect any gum or mouth bleeding, despite Dr. Ede’s note to the contrary, testifying that “[Petitioner] probably was the one who communicated with Dr. Ede a little bit more,” while Dr. Shah “was more interactive with the parents and less with the child.” 6/6/2017 TR at 41–42. For example, Petitioner’s mother recalled that Dr. Shah examined Petitioner’s skin and reported it was “normal, no bruises.” 6/6/2017 TR at 42. At Petitioner’s final appointment with Dr. Ede, Petitioner’s “additional symptoms of nosebleeds and bleeding gums when brushing her teeth, spontaneous bruising,” and menstrual periods requiring nine pads a day were noted. 6/6/2017 TR at 44. These symptoms were all “new symptoms between the first and second visit with Dr. Ede,” because Petitioner’s platelet count was lower by the time of the second visit. 6/6/2017 TR at 44. By the time of that visit, Petitioner was diagnosed with “chronic ITP.” 6/6/2017 TR at 44–45. In July or August of 2014, Petitioner’s mother testified that Petitioner’s ITP subsided “after several rounds of Rituximab.” 6/6/2017 TR at 45. Petitioner’s most recent appointment with a hematologist was in September 2016, but Petitioner was scheduled to visit a hematologist again in September 2017. 6/6/2017 TR at 46. Petitioner was “doing well,” with the exception of getting “headaches every once in a while.” 6/6/2017 TR at 46. In July of 2012 Petitioner had a doctor’s appointment, but Petitioner’s mother did not show the physician, Dr. Gardner, a photograph of the hematoma from Petitioner’s May 2012 pool deck fall. 6/6/2017 TR at 47. Dr. Gardner prescribed no treatment for the two-month-old injury, but noted: the “[b]ruising ha[d] faded but . . . [left] a large swollen area on [Petitioner’s] left thigh [with o]ccasional tenderness.” 6/6/2017 TR at 48. Petitioner iced and bandaged the hematoma “right away” and complained for “several months” about the injury. 6/6/2017 TR at 48. Petitioner’s mother testified that she did not raise any concerns about Petitioner’s bleeding or iron levels with Dr. Gardner during that July 2012 appointment. 6/6/2017 TR at 49. Petitioner’s mother did not remember showing photos of Petitioner’s bruising to any of Petitioner’s physicians. 6/6/2017 TR at 49. She also noted that Dr. Amin-Chapman made a “vaccine exemption” note on her records. 6/6/2017 TR at 50. After treatment, Petitioner’s symptoms were “resolved largely,” although she was at risk for blood clots, because she carried some antiphospholipid antibodies. 6/6/2017 TR at 55. b. Petitioner’s Testimony. Next, Petitioner testified that she never had “issues” with bleeding, abnormal bruising, or fatigue prior to receiving the first HPV vaccination in January 2012. 6/6/2017 TR at 57–58. The hematoma Petitioner experienced in May 2012, from falling on a pool deck, never healed 34 The June 6, 2017 transcript refers to “Dr. Shaw” instead of the Dr. Shah who contributed to Petitioner’s medical records. The court has corrected the spelling herein. 15 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 16 of 34 “completely.” 6/6/2017 TR at 58. She experienced no new symptoms after the second HPV vaccination in July 2012, but following the third HPV vaccination in January 2013, she “continued to bruise and . . . had hemorrhaged periods, bleeding gums[,] and nosebleeds.” 6/6/2017 TR at 60. When Petitioner began menstruating in March 2013, her menses were “really light.” 6/6/2017 TR at 61. She told her mother about her easy bruising prior to June 2013, but her mother thought she was “being dramatic.” 6/6/2017 TR at 61–62. Petitioner’s family moved to a new house in June 2013, that was “important,” “[b]ecause it [gave her] a timeframe for when events started happening.” 6/6/2017 TR at 62. During the plane ride to Hawaii, Petitioner “completely bled through her entire outfit” and a menstrual pad in two hours. 6/6/2017 TR at 63. She testified that she “just thought this was the new normal,” and recalled changing her menstrual pad around nine times a day during that trip. 6/6/2017 TR at 63–64. She also testified about falling off the soft-sided boat, but it “[d]idn’t hurt at all,” but resulted in a “big bruise.” 6/6/2017 TR at 64. Petitioner’s menses were “irregular” after the Hawaii trip, but each time she menstruated for longer than a week. 6/6/2017 TR at 64. In December 2013, she also experienced a “really bad” nosebleed during which her nose “started flowing blood like a faucet.” 6/6/2017 TR at 64– 65. Petitioner did not tell her parents at the time, because she “didn’t know at that point that it was a big deal.” 6/6/2017 TR at 65. Petitioner’s gums began to bleed “probably about the same timeframe,” but she did not tell anyone. 6/6/2017 TR at 65–66. Petitioner and her parents were “finally prompted” to seek medical advice after she fell off her parents’ bed onto a nightstand in February 2014. 6/6/2017 TR at 66. She had a “regular checkup” with Dr. Amin-Chapman and at the end of the appointment reminded her mother to ask about “bruising.” 6/6/2017 TR at 66. After that appointment, Petitioner’s blood was drawn for testing; the next day her mother took her out of school “really early.” 6/6/2017 TR at 67. By July 2014, Petitioner testified that none of her treating doctors told her that she had lupus. 6/6/2017 TR at 67. Her platelet count came “under control” in approximately July 2014. 6/6/2017 TR at 67–68. Petitioner did not mention her heavy periods to Dr. Amin-Chapman in February 2013, because “it was embarrassing” and she did not know she was experiencing anything abnormal. 6/6/2017 TR at 71. Petitioner explained that her mother never mentioned Petitioner’s heavy menstruation to Dr. Amin-Chapman, because her mother did not know the full extent of the hemorrhaging. TR at 72. Petitioner also did not mention her nosebleeds or gum bleeding to her mother, because she “thought they were normal.” 6/6/2017 TR at 72. Petitioner could not recall if she had specifically told Dr. Amin-Chapman about her bruising from falling off the boat. 6/6/2017 TR at 72–73. In February 2014, Petitioner’s parents told Dr. Knoll, the first hematologist to examine her, that they noticed her bruising “about six to eight months prior.” 6/6/2017 TR at 73. Petitioner “probably” mentioned the boat fall to Dr. Knoll. 6/6/2017 TR at 73–74. 16 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 17 of 34 Petitioner testified that when her leg made contact with the side of the pool when she fell in May 2012, it had been “more of a slide than a bump;” she confirmed that she did not visit a doctor about the resulting injury until July 2012. 6/6/2017 TR at 74–75. Petitioner bandaged her leg for “[p]robably two, three months,” but otherwise “continued [her] normal activity,” but the hematoma remained. 6/6/2017 TR at 75. c. Dr. Kaleo Ede’s Testimony. Dr. Kaleo Ede, a rheumatologist who examined Petitioner in 2014, also testified. 6/6/2017 TR at 115–16. He reviewed his notes from his appointment with Petitioner on February 21, 2014, when he recorded that Petitioner complained of “six months of gradually worsening fatigue,” years of headaches and poor sleep, “mild bleeding of gums when she was brushing her teeth,” and “easy bruising.” 6/6/2017 TR at 117. Her laboratory tests “showed thrombocytopenia.” 6/6/2017 TR at 117–18. Petitioner did not complain to Dr. Ede of joint pain and she had no trouble with range of motion in her joints. 6/6/2017 TR at 118. Dr. Ede found Petitioner to meet three of the diagnostic criteria for lupus—“hematologic criteria, thrombocytopenia, a positive ANA[,] and a positive double strand of DNA”—but did not meet the criteria for a lupus diagnosis. 6/6/2017 TR at 118.35 Petitioner’s kidney function was “normal,” that was important in Dr. Ede’s decision not to diagnose Petitioner with lupus, because “kidney involvement is one of the three most common clinical manifestations in lupus.” 6/6/2017 TR at 118–19. Dr. Ede’s second appointment with Petitioner was on April 30, 2014. 6/6/2017 TR at 119. He noted that Petitioner’s symptoms included nosebleeds “once or twice a week, bleeding gums with teeth brushing, spontaneous bruising, and heavy menstrual periods.” 6/6/2017 TR at 119–20. Petitioner reported that her fatigue “improved.” 6/6/2017 TR at 120. She reported “occasional joint pain,” but no swelling, and Dr. Ede noted no issues with her range of joint motion. 6/6/2017 TR at 120. Dr. Ede did not find that Petitioner met the criteria for lupus, in part because Petitioner continued to show “normal” kidney function. 6/6/2017 TR at 120–21. He did not opine on her diagnosis of ITP, because it was “out of the scope of [his] practice . . . to diagnose and treat ITP.” 6/6/2017 TR at 122. Dr. Ede did not examine Petitioner after May 2014. 6/6/2017 TR at 123. 35 Dr. Ede diagnosed Petitioner using diagnostic criteria for lupus promulgated by the American College of Rheumatology (“ACR”) in 1997. 6/6/2017 TR at 121. He chose to use those criteria, because the 1997 ACR criteria were “the most widely used classification criteria for diagnosing pediatric patients with lupus.” 6/6/2017 TR at 121. As of the day of his testimony, the 1997 ACR criteria were the only set of criteria endorsed by the ACR on its website. 6/6/2017 TR at 121. He was aware of an alternative set of criteria called the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (“SLICC”) criteria, that were promulgated in 2012. 6/6/2017 TR at 121; see also ECF No. 28-3 at 4 (Gov’t Ex. G, introducing the 2012 SLICC criteria). He did not know whether the ACR had endorsed the use of those criteria in evaluating patients for lupus. 6/6/2017 TR at 121. Dr. Ede testified that in 2017 his “personal practice” was “more towards the use of the SLICC criteria,” because more data supported their validity in children. 6/6/2017 TR at 121–22. 17 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 18 of 34 Dr. Ede confirmed that in 2017 he more frequently used the SLICC diagnostic criteria in evaluating children for lupus, but the SLICC criteria were available in 2014 when he examined Petitioner. 6/6/2017 TR at 123. If he had used the SLICC criteria to evaluate Petitioner in 2014, Petitioner would have met four of those criteria: thrombocytopenia, antinuclear antibodies, anti- DNA, and antiphospholipid antibodies. 6/6/2017 TR at 123–24. Dr. Ede concluded that he took “the clinical picture of a patient” into account in diagnosing lupus, as well as either version of the diagnostic criteria. 6/6/2017 TR at 124–25. Both the 1997 ACR criteria and the 2012 SLICC criteria primarily were intended as “classification criteria used to enroll patients in studies,” but they were also used to “guide and help with diagnosis in the clinic.” 6/6/2017 TR at 125. Petitioner’s only “clinical criteri[on]” for lupus was her ITP diagnosis. 6/6/2017 TR at 125. The 1997 ACR criteria, however, were “validated” for adults. 6/6/2017 TR at 125. The 1997 ACR criteria were “never . . . adopted officially by the ACR as pediatric-specific criteria,” but were the subject of several studies that “show[ed] validation.” 6/6/2017 TR at 126. The 2012 SLICC criteria were also validated. 6/6/2017 TR at 126. The Special Master asked Dr. Ede whether ITP was an “indicia or a sign” of lupus. 6/6/2017 TR at 126. Dr. Ede explained that “thrombocytopenia or low platelets” was a symptom of lupus, but that ITP is a separate disease. 6/6/2017 TR at 127. 2. Petitioner’s Expert—Dr. Shoenfeld. Dr. Yehuda Shoenfeld is the head of the autoimmune center at the Sheba Medical Center of Tel Aviv University in Tel Aviv, Israel. 6/6/2017 TR at 79–80. He has published more than one hundred peer-reviewed articles and one textbook on the subject of vaccination and autoimmune disease. 6/6/2017 TR at 80. Dr. Shoenfeld also has published more than ten papers on ITP, including on its link to vaccines; was “among the first” to publish on antiphospholipid antibodies and antiphospholipid syndrome; and has published “[m]any papers” on rheumatological diseases, including lupus. 6/6/2017 TR at 80–81. He holds the title of Master of the ACR, an honor given by the American College of Rheumatology to those who have “contribute[d] significantly to the world of rheumatology[,] both in science and clinical work.” 6/6/2017 TR at 82. Dr. Shoenfeld testified as an expert witness in the areas of immunology, rheumatology, and autoimmune disease. 6/6/2017 TR at 82–83. Dr. Shoenfeld described the operation of ITP and autoimmune diseases and testified that the “clinical manifestation [is] . . . a tendency for bleeding,” as “determined by the number of platelets which are destructive.” 6/6/2017 TR at 85. “[P]unctuate bleeding,” or purpura, “might be the first sign” of ITP, potentially followed by bruising “without any external cause” and “severe bleeding [ ] into the brain or . . . other important organs.” 6/6/2017 TR at 85. But, the number of platelets required to produce such effects is not the same in every patient: for example, one patient with 100,000 platelets might experience bleeding symptomatic of ITP, while a chronic ITP patient with only 30,000 platelets might not experience bleeding. 6/6/2017 TR at 85–86. Dr. Shoenfeld testified that the onset timing of ITP is not the same for every patient: “[i]t may take weeks and sometimes it may take months and sometimes it may take years.” 6/6/2017 TR at 86. Childhood ITP has “more of an acute presentation,” where symptoms “may appear in a few weeks or a few months;” in contrast, adult ITP “may take . . . many months,” and may only be discovered when a physician performs a blood test for a different purpose. 6/6/2017 TR at 86. 18 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 19 of 34 Although there is a “big difference” in onset timing between childhood ITP and adult ITP, Dr. Shoenfeld did not distinguish onset timing for adult ITP with an adolescent, but emphasized that an adolescent or an adult would typically have a “more chronic . . . incubation time” than a child. 6/6/2017 TR at 87–88. Dr. Shoenfeld explained that thrombocytopenia was the fourth most common side effect of all vaccines, and that ITP specifically has been linked to “infectious agents,” including those introduced to the body by vaccines. 6/6/2017 TR at 88–90. This occurs through a process called “molecular mimicry,”36 whereby a vaccine’s structural similarity to the virus or bacteria it protects against can induce ITP. 6/6/2017 TR at 90. Dr. Shoenfeld testified about a March 26, 2009 “Letter to the Editor,” published in the journal Vaccine, focusing on the fact that “HPV joined the long list of vaccines which may cause thrombocytopenia.” 6/6/2017 TR at 91. Although this letter discussing a possible causal relationship between the HPV vaccine and thrombocytopenia was not peer reviewed as of the date of his testimony, Dr. Shoenfeld also discussed an upcoming peer- reviewed publication and data collected that supported his August 14, 2015 conclusion. 6/6/2017 TR at 93–94. In addition, Dr. Shoenfeld testified about the operation of antiphospholipid antibodies, including anticardiolipin, antibeta-2, and lupus anticoagulant, that “can come together with ITP quite frequently,” though they also are associated with lupus. 6/6/2017 TR at 130–32. Dr. Shoenfeld testified that he was not aware of any research linking antiphospholipid antibodies to the HPV vaccine, but he was aware that other vaccines have been associated with the onset of antiphospholipid syndrome and a group of researchers from Serbia published a “series of six or seven papers” suggesting that the tetanus vaccine can induce antiphospholipid syndrome and antiphospholipid antibodies through the process of molecular mimicry. 6/6/2017 TR at 133. Dr. Shoenfeld also emphasized that “potentially HPV can induce autoantibodies from the group of antiphospholipid antibodies,” without being “connected to the underlying disease” of antiphospholipid syndrome. 6/6/2017 TR at 134. Dr. Shoenfeld agreed with Petitioner’s treating physicians that Petitioner did not have lupus, based on his review of her medical records, her treatment, and his observation of Petitioner at the time of his testimony. 6/6/2017 TR at 135–37. Although the Rituximab regimen Petitioner received could have prompted a remission, if Petitioner had lupus, Petitioner would not have remained in remission three years later, if Rituximab was the only treatment she received. 6/6/2017 TR at 138–39. Next, Dr. Shoenfeld discussed his view of the timing of Petitioner’s symptoms. TR at 140–43. Dr. Shoenfeld did not agree that Petitioner must show symptoms within one or two months of the ITP’s onset, because generally the first change caused by ITP is a drop in platelet numbers, that may not be immediately observable. 6/6/2017 TR at 141. Usually, ITP is noticeable only once a sudden, severe drop in platelets causes bleeding or when external trauma causes bleeding and a hematoma, as occurred in Petitioner’s case. 6/6/2017 TR at 141–42. Dr. Shoenfeld 36 “Molecular mimicry” is “an occurrence in which sequence similarities between foreign (e.g., pathogens) and self-peptides are sufficient to result in the cross-activation of autoreactive T or B cells. [It is] [b]elieved to play a role in the pathogenesis of diseases of the central nervous system and other autoimmune diseases.” MOSBY’S MEDICAL DICTIONARY 1156 (10th ed. 2017). 19 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 20 of 34 also emphasized that the challenge/re-challenge37 framework supported the medical theory of the timing of Petitioner’s condition’s onset, because the more noticeable symptoms of this disease, like bleeding gums and nosebleeds, began only after Petitioner received the third dose of the HPV vaccine. 6/6/2017 TR at 142–43. Therefore, Dr. Shoenfeld “ha[d] no problem with the [theory that onset could take] six months nor with the four months and definitely not with the shorter periods.” 6/6/2017 TR at 143. Dr. Shoenfeld also explained that his initial diagnosis of Petitioner included SLE, as well as ITP and antiphospholipid antibodies. 6/6/2017 TR at 143. But, in later reports and at the time of his testimony, Dr. Shoenfeld became “confident” that Petitioner did not have lupus, because she had “none of the organ involvement[ ]” expected. 6/6/2017 TR at 144. Dr. Shoenfeld also was confident that Petitioner did not have antiphospholipid syndrome, but he could not “guarantee that she [would] not develop” either antiphospholipid syndrome or SLE in the future. 6/6/2017 TR at 145. Therefore, he concluded that Petitioner “definitely” had ITP, and that there was no question in his mind that a molecular mimicry process between the HPV vaccine and Petitioner’s platelets caused Petitioner to have ITP. 6/6/2017 TR at 145, 147–48. Dr. Shoenfeld added that Dr. Darja Kanduc of the University of Bari, Italy, published a case study of Petitioner in a peer-reviewed journal, in part in order to “get the approval of . . . world[-]known [experts] in the field” as to his theory of Petitioner’s condition. 6/6/2017 TR at 147–49. 3. The Government’s Expert—Dr. Rose. Dr. Carlos Rose testified as an expert for the Government, is board-certified in General Pediatrics and Pediatric Rheumatology, and works at the Nemours Foundation at duPont Children’s Hospital. 6/7/2017 TR at 176–77. As the Head of his Division, Dr. Rose has administrative responsibilities, runs a research program on a genetic disease, holds six half-day clinics a week, and is Chair of the Institutional Review Board. 6/7/2017 TR at 177–78. Dr. Rose testified that he has experience diagnosing and treating juvenile patients with lupus and sees juveniles with chronic or persistent ITP. 6/7/2017 TR at 178–79. Dr. Rose was admitted to testify as an expert in the field of pediatric rheumatology. 6/7/2017 TR at 179. 37 In the medical context, “challenge” refers to “the administration of . . . a chemical or antigen in order to assess for a response.” DORLAND’S at 336. “Challenge/re-challenge” is “a paradigm for exploring whether one substance caused an adverse reaction. ‘Under this model, an individual who has had an adverse reaction to the initial vaccine dose (the challenge event) suffers a worsening of symptoms after a second or third injection (the re-challenge event).” Viscontini v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 98-619V, 2011 WL 5842577, at *22 (Fed. Cl. Spec. Mstr. Oct. 21, 2011) (quoting Doe/70 v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 95 Fed. Cl. 598, 603 (Fed. Cl. 2010), mot. for review denied, 103 Fed. Cl. 600 (Fed. Cl. 2012)); see also Capizzano v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 440 F.3d 1317, 1322 (Fed. Cir. 2006) (“A re[-]challenge event occurs when a patient who had an adverse reaction to a vaccine suffers worsened symptoms after an additional injection of the vaccine.”). 20 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 21 of 34 Dr. Rose testified that, based on the two reports he provided as an expert for the Government, Petitioner was properly diagnosed with SLE. 6/7/2017 TR at 179–80. Lupus appears on a “spectrum of severity,” where some patients may have “mild rashes, mild arthritis, and . . . general symptoms,” but others experience “a stroke or a coma or psychiatric presentations,” with very little inflammation or other typical symptoms of lupus. 6/7/2017 TR at 180–81. Other patients evidence “hematologic lupus,” that can be confirmed only by “hematology abnormalities” and may “never evolv[e] to full-blown lupus.” 6/7/2017 TR at 181–82. For this reason, Dr. Rose emphasized the importance of clinical monitoring, so that even “subclinical manifestations . . . that [the patients] may not even know they have,” like proteinuria,38 can be monitored and tested. 6/7/2017 TR at 182. Dr. Rose testified, however, that there is no consensus about what causes SLE. 6/7/2017 TR at 182. “[M]ost authors believe” that SLE is “an idiopathic[39] disease,” because it is associated with “a combination of genetic factors,” rather than “any specific or unquestionable mechanism.” 6/7/2017 TR at 182. “[E]nvironmental factors . . . may or may not trigger” SLE, but certain genetic traits are required. 6/7/2017 TR at 182–84. Dr. Rose summarized Petitioner’s medical history, as presenting EBV in her blood-test results, as well as the antinuclear antibody, low positive anti-double stranded DNA, and negative direct Coombs test. 6/7/2017 TR at 190. Petitioner also had a positive indirect Coombs test that evidenced a “positive triple-hit antibody for the antiphospholipid syndrome, including . . . anticardiolipin antibodies, lupus anticoagulant and anti beta-2 glycoprotein antibodies.” 6/7/2017 TR at 191. Dr. Rose also explained that the positive test for lupus anticoagulant was significant, because lupus anticoagulant is the “most indicative [factor] of the risk of thrombosis” and is found in up to forty percent of patients with lupus and up to fifty percent of pediatric lupus patients. 6/7/2017 TR at 195. Dr. Rose added that the 1997 edition of the ACR Diagnostic Criteria, that Petitioner’s treating physicians used to evaluate Petitioner for lupus, was “never validated;” instead, he would have relied on the 2012 SLICC criteria. 6/7/2017 TR at 188. He found that Petitioner met four of the eleven SLICC criteria: thrombocytopenia; positive antinuclear antibodies; positive double- stranded DNA; and positive anticardiolipin laboratory tests. 6/7/2017 TR at 191–92. He also explained that he would not diagnose Petitioner with ITP, because Petitioner had additional symptoms and Dr. Rose understood ITP to require only thrombocytopenia. 6/7/2017 TR at 199– 200. As for the medical literature relied on by Dr. Shoenfeld, Dr. Rose explained that the case control and cohort studies offered by the Government used more reliable methodologies than the case studies supplied by Petitioner. 6/7/2017 TR at 202–12. Because SLE existed in humans “for many, many years before any vaccine was ever invented,” studies of the causal mechanism between the HPV vaccine and lupus need to be carefully controlled to compare the number of 38 “Proteinuria” is “excessive serum proteins in the urine, such as in renal disease, after strenuous exercise, and with dehydration.” DORLAND’S at 1535. 39 “Idiopathic” describes a condition “of unknown origin or spontaneous origin.” DORLAND’S at 912. 21 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 22 of 34 patients where lupus is triggered by a vaccine to the number of patients who would have lupus even without a vaccine. 6/7/2017 TR at 213–15. Dr. Rose also expressed his opinion that EBV can trigger ITP and that Petitioner may have had mononucleosis without being aware of it. 6/7/2017 TR at 216–18. As for the “reasonableness” of Dr. Shoenfeld’s theory that molecular mimicry caused Petitioner’s ITP, Dr. Rose stated that molecular mimicry is a “well-established immunopathogenesis theory . . . known since the time of rheumatic fever,” but he found little evidence in Petitioner’s case and concluded that Dr. Shoenfeld’s theory required “a major leap of faith.” 6/7/2017 TR at 218–20. After examining a photograph of Petitioner’s May 2012 hematoma, Dr. Rose also testified that the photograph did not show evidence of either lupus or ITP. 6/7/2017 TR at 220–21. In addition, the duration of a hematoma has no relationship to platelet counts, but instead affects the “depth of the bleeding” that causes a hematoma. 6/7/2017 TR at 220–21. In conclusion, based on his review of Petitioner’s medical records, Dr. Rose testified that there was “no evidence” that the HPV vaccine caused Petitioner’s condition. 6/7/2017 TR at 222. 4. The Government’s Expert—Dr. Forsthuber. The Government’s second Expert was Dr. Thomas Forsthuber, a Professor of Immunology and an Endowed Chair of Biotechnology at the University of Texas at San Antonio, and an Adjunct Professor of Pathology, Microbiology, and Immunology at the University of Texas Health Sciences Center. 6/7/2017 TR at 271. He received a M.D. degree and a Doctorate in Medicine from University Tübingen, has “studied autoimmune diseases for a very long time,” and runs a laboratory that conducts research on autoimmunity. 6/7/2017 TR at 272; ECF No. 29-2 at 2 (Curriculum Vitae). Dr. Forsthuber is also a reviewer and editor of medical journals concerning immunology and autoimmunity and has published approximately eighty papers and several book chapters on immunology. 6/7/2017 TR at 272. In addition, Dr. Forsthuber is board-certified in Anatomical and Clinical Pathology. 6/7/2017 TR at 272. Dr. Forsthuber was admitted to testify at the entitlement hearing as an expert in the field of immunology. 6/7/2017 TR at 273. Dr. Forsthuber testified that, after reviewing all the evidence and attending the first day of the hearing, he concluded that the HPV vaccine was not associated with Petitioner’s condition. 6/7/2017 TR at 274. It was “not more likely than not” that the HPV vaccine caused Petitioner to develop either ITP or lupus. 6/7/2017 TR at 274–75. Dr. Forsthuber added that Dr. Shoenfeld’s molecular mimicry theory was not supported by “reliable, persuasive evidence.” 6/7/2017 TR at 275–82. In fact, one of Dr. Shoenfeld’s co- authors, Dr. Kanduc, concluded, after conducting research into molecular mimicry, that: “‘the massive viral to human peptide overlapping calls into question the possibility of a direct causal association between virus-host sharing of amino acid sequences and incitement to autoimmune reactions,’” or the “concept of molecular mimicry.” 6/7/2017 TR at 282 (quoting Darja Kanduc et al., Massive Peptide Sharing Between Viral and Human Proteomes, Peptides, Oct. 2008, at 1).40 40 For this portion of his testimony, Dr. Forsthuber appeared to be quoting from an article by Dr. Darja Kanduc, “Quantifying the Possible Cross-Reactivity Risk of an HPV16 Vaccine,” 22 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 23 of 34 After discussing several other medical articles, Dr. Forsthuber concluded that “the field in general has failed” to show that the theory of molecular mimicry is reliable by demonstrating a predictable causal connection between the introduction of an infectious organism and the onset of an autoimmune disorder. 6/7/2017 TR at 283–95. Dr. Forsthuber also called into question the timing of Petitioner’s symptoms’ onset under the challenge/re-challenge framework, because “after the third challenge” of the third HPV vaccine administration, he “would have expected a faster response” than what Petitioner experienced. 6/7/2017 TR at 305–06. Therefore, Dr. Forsthuber concluded that it was “very unlikely” Petitioner’s HPV vaccine could have caused the production of peptides that would induce autoimmunity. 6/7/2017 TR at 308. II. DISCUSSION. A. Jurisdiction. The United States Court of Federal Claims has jurisdiction to review the decision of a Special Master in a vaccine-related injury case, pursuant to 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(e)(2) and Vaccine Rule 23(a). After reviewing the Special Master’s decision, the court may (A) uphold the findings of fact and conclusions of law of the Special Master and sustain the Special Master’s decision, (B) set aside any findings of fact or conclusion of law of the Special Master found to be arbitrary, capricious, an abuse of discretion, or otherwise not in accordance with law and issue its own findings of fact and conclusions of law, or (C) remand the petition to the Special Master for further action in accordance with the court’s direction. 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(e)(2); accord Vaccine Rule 27. B. Standing. A petition under the Vaccine Program may be filed by “any person who has sustained a vaccine-related injury, the legal representative of such person if such person is a minor or is disabled, or the legal representative of any person who died as the result of the administration of a vaccine” covered by the Vaccine Program. 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-11(b)(1)(A). A petition may not be filed if a petitioner has previously filed a “pending [ ] civil action for damages for [the same] vaccine-related injury or death.” 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-11(a)(5)(B). submitted as Pet. Ex. 39. In fact, the quoted language appears in a different article authored by Dr. Kanduc, cited here. 23 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 24 of 34 In this case, Petitioner has standing to seek an adjudication of the March 10, 2015 Petition, because it was filed by her mother, when Petitioner was a minor, and it alleged that Petitioner suffered from a vaccine-related injury. 3/10/2015 Pet. at 1. The March 10, 2015 Petition also alleged, and the Government does not dispute, that Petitioner has not initiated any civil action for damages, based on her allegations of a vaccine-related injury. 3/10/2015 Pet. at 8. C. Standard Of Review. Congress authorized the United States Court of Federal Claims with jurisdiction to adjudicate entitlement decisions of Special Masters under the Vaccine Act. See 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-12(e)(2)(B); see also Saunders v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 25 F.3d 1031, 1033 (Fed. Cir. 2004) (“Fact findings are reviewed by [the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit], as by the [United States Court of Federal] Claims [ ] judge, under the arbitrary and capricious standard; legal questions under the ‘not in accordance with law’ standard; and discretionary rulings under the abuse of discretion standard.” (quoting Munn v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 970 F.2d 863, 870 n.10 (Fed. Cir. 1992))); Hines v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 940 F.2d 1518, 1527 (Fed. Cir. 1991) (“The ‘not in accordance with the law’ aspect of the standard of review is . . . involved . . . [where there is] dispute over statutory construction or other legal issues.”). D. The Elements And Burden Of Proof In Vaccine Act Cases. The Vaccine Act provides that a petitioner may receive compensation and other relief, if an injury can be established, either by causation-in-law or causation-in-fact. Causation-in-law is established if one of the vaccines listed in the Vaccine Injury Table at 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-14(a) (“Vaccine Injury Table”) was administered and the “first symptom or manifestation of onset” of specific adverse medical conditions associated with the use of each vaccine occurred within a time period specified in the Vaccine Injury Table.41 See 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-14(a); 42 C.F.R. § 100.3(a) (2017). Congress required that the Vaccine Injury Table is to be read and interpreted by reference to “qualifications and aids to interpretation,” that define the key terms used therein. See 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-14(b). The Vaccine Act also affords a petitioner an opportunity to receive compensation, even if the time period for the first symptom or manifestation of a specified injury is not listed in the Vaccine Injury Table, i.e., for an “off-Table” vaccine injury. See 42 U.S.C. §§ 41 The relevant part of the Vaccine Injury Table in this case provides: Time period for first symptom or Illness, disability, injury or Vaccine manifestation of onset or of significant condition covered aggravation after vaccine administration XVI. Human A. Anaphylaxis...................... ≤ 4 hours. papillomavirus B. Shoulder Injury Related to ≤ 48 hours. (HPV) vaccines. Vaccine Administration. C. Vasovagal Syncope........... ≤ 1 hour. 42 C.F.R. § 100.3(a). 24 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 25 of 34 300aa-11(c)(1)(C)(ii), 300aa-13. In such cases, however, the petitioner must establish causation- in-fact, by offering sufficient facts to establish each element of a vaccine injury claim and must meet the burden of proof as to each element by a “preponderance of the evidence.” See 42 U.S.C § 300aa-13. In Althen v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, 418 F.3d 1274 (Fed. Cir. 2005) (“Althen”), the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit established a three-part test for determining causation-in-fact in off-Table vaccine injury cases. Id. at 1278–82. Under this three-part test, a petitioner is required to show: by preponderant evidence that the vaccination brought about [the] injury by providing: (1) a medical theory causally connecting the vaccination and the injury; (2) a logical sequence of cause and effect showing that the vaccination was the reason for the injury; and (3) a showing of a proximate temporal relationship between vaccination and injury. Id. at 1278. In Capizzano v. Secretary of Health & Human Services, 440 F.3d 1317 (Fed. Cir. 2006), the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit re-affirmed the three-part test established in Althen. Id. at 1324; see also Porter v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 663 F.3d 1242, 1249 (Fed. Cir. 2012) (applying the Althen standard to a Vaccine Program petition). If a petitioner establishes causation-in-fact, then the burden of proof shifts to the Government to establish that a factor unrelated to the vaccine was the cause of a petitioner’s injury. See 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-13(a)(1)(B); see also Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278 (“If [the petitioner] satisfies this burden, [the petitioner] is entitled to recover [damages,] unless [the Government] shows, by a preponderance of evidence, that the injury was in fact caused by factors unrelated to the vaccine.”) (internal quotation marks omitted). E. The Special Master’s February 5, 2018 Decision. Because the March 10, 2015 Petition alleged an off-Table Injury, Petitioner was required to “demonstrate that the vaccine was ‘not only the but-for cause of the injury but also a substantial factor in bringing about the injury.’” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 16 (quoting Moberly v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 592 F.3d 1315, 1321 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (punctuation omitted)). A petition making such a showing must be “supported by either medical records or by the opinion of a competent physician,” and must “satisfy all three of the elements established by the Federal Circuit in Althen.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 16 (citing Vaccine Rule 13(a)(1); Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278). In this case, the Special Master determined that Petitioner did not establish entitlement to compensation, because she failed to meet her burden to show that “onset of her ITP occurred in a medically acceptable timeframe, or that the vaccine more likely than not caused her ITP.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 2. First, the Special Master found that Petitioner did not met her burden under the third element of Althen, because she proffered evidence that the HPV vaccine caused chronic ITP, instead of an acute condition, that rendered the onset date “difficult” to determine, but that “evidence of an initial physical manifestation of ITP is likely the most reliable proof of onset available.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 21. 25 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 26 of 34 Second, the Special Master determined that Petitioner’s medical evidence, as to the timing of her ITP’s initial physical manifestation, was inconsistent with testimony proffered by Petitioner’s mother and Petitioner at the entitlement hearing. 2/15/18 Dec. at 21. Statements made to medical providers, as evidenced by Petitioner’s medical records, indicate that Petitioner and her mother initially believed onset of Petitioner’s condition occurred in July 2013, i.e., six months after Petitioner received the first dose of HPV vaccine. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 21–22. At the entitlement hearing, however, Petitioner testified that onset was in March 2013, when she first noticed that she bruised more easily. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 22. The Special Master found the March 2013 onset date was less credible than the July 2013 onset date for two reasons: (1) the March 2013 date Petitioner proffered at the hearing was “not corroborated by any medical records;” and (2) if Petitioner’s condition was noticeable in March 2013, Petitioner and her mother waited nine months after onset to seek treatment, a “far longer, less credible delay, especially if the purported March symptoms were followed by the July 2013 incident, and then continued for the rest of the year.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 22. Therefore, the Special Master found that the evidence supported a conclusion that “the outward symptoms of [Petitioner’s] ITP were observed no earlier than July 2013.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 22. Having determined that the onset of Petitioner’s condition manifested in July 2013, the Special Master next determined that the six-month delay between Petitioner’s last dose of the HPV vaccine and the July 2013 onset date was not a medically reasonable timeframe for onset of chronic ITP. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 22. Although, Dr. Shoenfeld testified that “an autoimmune reaction of this type could take many weeks, months, or even years to develop,” based on “literature that reported long onset between vaccine and injury,” that literature did not address “injuries relevant to this case.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 22 (citing ECF No. 24-3 (abstract of an article about Guillain-Barré syndrome42); ECF No. 24-4 (article about macrophagic myofasciitis43)). Dr. Shoenfeld also testified that, in other Vaccine Program cases where he testified, he “put forward the particularly unpersuasive contention that virtually any timeframe post-vaccination is medically acceptable for onset of an autoimmune condition.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 23 n.20 (italics in original). Therefore, the Special Master credited the testimony of the Government’s expert, Dr. Forsthuber, who “allowed for a timeframe of up to 28 days after vaccination for onset of an autoimmune condition like ITP,” although the condition could take longer than that to manifest, but “the further past four weeks, the more unlikely that the vaccine could be deemed causal.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 23. The Special Master also relied on the findings of prior Vaccine Program 42 “Guillain-Barré syndrome” is “rapidly progressive ascending motor neuron paralysis of unknown etiology, frequently seen after an enteric or respiratory infection. An autoimmune mechanism following viral infection has been postulated. It begins with paresthesias of the feet, followed by flaccid paralysis of the entire lower limbs, ascending to the trunk, upper limbs, and face; other characteristics include slight fever, bulbar palsy, absent or lessened tendon reflexes, and increased protein in the cerebrospinal fluid without a corresponding increase in cells.” DORLAND’S at 1832. 43 A “macrophage” is “any of the many forms of mononuclear phagocytes found in tissues.” DORLAND’S at 1093. “Myofasciitis” is the “inflammation of a muscle and its fascia, particularly of the fascial insertion of muscle to bone.” Id. at 1223. 26 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 27 of 34 cases, that found an autoimmune condition could take up to six weeks to manifest. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 23. Therefore, the Special Master concluded that “[a] timeframe of four to six weeks post- vaccination has far more support,” than the theory offered by Dr. Shoenfeld, who “did not persuasively establish otherwise;” as such, Petitioner failed to meet her burden of proof under the third element of Althen. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 23. Next, the Special Master found Petitioner failed to show, by a preponderance of the evidence, the HPV vaccine was the “but-for” cause of her condition. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 23. Instead, the Special Master found that the record supported the conclusion that Petitioner’s condition was ITP, not lupus. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 23. As such, Dr. Shoenfeld “credibly explain[ed] how the record did not corroborate” the contrary testimony by the Government’s expert, Dr. Rose. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24. The Special Master also found that, although Petitioner’s ITP manifested after she received the vaccine, Petitioner did not “provide[ ] a compelling narrative” establishing a causal relationship between the vaccine and her condition. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24. In particular, “[n]o treaters ever proposed a relationship between the HPV vaccine and Petitioner’s ITP.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24. The record evidence also was “suggestive of alternative causes,” such as the EBV titers in Petitioner’s first blood work and the “‘red flag’ blood testing results obtained by Dr. Shah that supported a lupus diagnosis.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24. These alternative explanations, albeit “admittedly- inconclusive,” also “diminish[ed] the strength of Petitioner’s evidentiary showing (even if this evidence [did] not itself stand as preponderant proof of an alternative cause).” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24. The Special Master also cited the “analytic concept of challenge/re[-]challenge,” as “underscor[ing] the deficiencies” of Petitioner’s Althen element two analysis. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24. Based on that theory, Petitioner’s immunological reaction to the HPV vaccine should have worsened with each successive dose. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24. But, Petitioner alleged a reaction four months after her first vaccine dose and four months after her third dose; no reaction followed her second dose. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24. This led the Special Master to conclude that “[wh]ere challenge/re-challenge [was] occurring, each reaction should have been closer in time to the next dose.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24 (italics in original). Petitioner’s failure to make such a showing, by a preponderance of the evidence, undermined the theory that the HPV vaccination was the but-for cause of Petitioner’s ITP. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24. Nevertheless, the Special Master found that Petitioner met her burden under the first element of Althen by establishing that the HPV vaccine can cause autoimmune disorders like ITP. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24. Although the Government supplied “some persuasive, robust” epidemiologic evidence to the contrary and Dr. Forsthuber’s testimony “raised reasonable questions about the plausibility” of Petitioner’s theory, it was “fairly well established in other Program decisions that ITP . . . has been credibly associated with vaccination,” including the HPV vaccine. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24–25. For that reason, the Special Master credited Dr. Shoenfeld’s testimony as “persuasively establish[ing] in this case that the HPV vaccine could cause ITP.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 25. But, because Petitioner did not meet her burden to establish the other two elements of the Althen analysis, the Special Master concluded that Petitioner was not entitled to an entitlement damages award and dismissed the March 10, 2015 Petition. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 25. 27 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 28 of 34 F. Petitioner’s March 7, 2018 Motion For Review. 1. Petitioner’s Arguments. Petitioner argues that the February 5, 2018 Decision Denying Entitlement is “arbitrary, capricious, and contrary to law,” and reflects “multiple legal errors that require appellate intervention.” Pet. Mot. at 1–2. First, the Special Master imposed “too high of a burden” of proof on Petitioner to establish a causal relationship between the HPV vaccine and Petitioner’s autoimmune condition: “[e]ven if the case on causation can be characterized as a ‘close call,’ the mandate is to award compensation.” Pet. Mem. at 13–14 (citing Harris v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 102 Fed. Cl. 282, 303 (Fed. Cl. 2011) (“If the evidence is seen in equipoise, then the government has failed in its burden of persuasion and compensation must be awarded . . . especially in view of . . . the generosity of the Vaccine Act.”) (internal quotation marks omitted). Second, the Special Master erred in finding that Petitioner did not meet the burden of proof under the third element of Althen. Pet. Mem. at 14. For example, the Special Master found that the onset of Petitioner’s condition first was observed in July 2013; but, Petitioner and her mother testified that they had observed Petitioner’s symptoms in March 2013. Pet. Mem. at 14. Even so, Petitioner argues that “Dr. Shoenfeld’s testimony encompasses both dates as temporally appropriate.” Pet. Mem. at 14. Dr. Shoenfeld also testified that ITP’s onset “‘may take months and sometimes it may take years;’” in contrast, the Government’s expert, Dr. Forsthuber, agreed that a six-month onset was “possible.” Pet. Mem. at 15 (citing 6/6/2017 TR at 86; 6/7/2017 TR at 304, 324, 326). The Special Master, however, did not explicitly find that Dr. Shoenfeld was not credible and found that the onset of ITP “can vary from weeks to years.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 14. Also, Petitioner concluded that the Special Master “agreed with Petitioner[’s] temporal theory” and his decision that Petitioner did not meet her burden of proof, under the third element of Althen, was an erroneous substitution of the Special Master’s judgment and was not supported in light of Petitioner’s expert evidence. Pet. Mem. at 15, 16, 17 (quoting 2/5/2018 Dec. at 14). Third, Petitioner contends that she met her burden under the second element of Althen by presenting a “logical” sequence of cause and effect, i.e., Petitioner had no “previous history of coagulation abnormalities nor autoimmune disease,” prior to her first HPV vaccine, but “developed additional, significant bruising and ultimately was found to have abnormally low platelets” after the third HPV vaccine. Pet. Mem. at 18. In addition, Petitioner objected to the Special Master’s reliance on the fact that “[n]o treaters ever proposed a relationship between the HPV vaccine and Petitioner’s ITP” to deny an award of compensation. Pet. Mem. at 18 (quoting 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24). Not only is such a nexus not “required for compensation to be awarded,” but the Special Master’s belief that a nexus was missing is erroneous, because Petitioner’s treating physician provided her with a “vaccine exemption,” based on “past vaccine reactions.” Pet. Mem. at 19 (citing ECF No. 45-1). Therefore, Petitioner concludes that an exemption must be “probative evidence” of vaccine causation. Pet. Mem. at 19 (citing Kelley v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 68 Fed. Cl. 84, 98, 100 (2005) (determining that the petitioner’s treating physicians’ reluctance to authorize the petitioner with further tetanus vaccinations was “robust” medical evidence of vaccine causation); see also Andreu v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 98-817V, 2008 WL 2009746, 28 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 29 of 34 at *644 (Fed. Cl. Mar. 3, 2008) (interpreting Kelley to determine that a treating physician’s “no- more-vaccine” instruction could be construed as supporting vaccine causation)). Therefore, the Special Master’s “fail[ure] to consider this evidence” renders the February 5, 2018 Decision arbitrary. Pet. Mem at 19. Finally, Petitioner argues that, because she met all three elements of Althen, the burden of proof shifted to the Government to establish an “alternative factor” that caused Petitioner’s injury, but the Government failed to do so. Pet. Mem. at 19 (citing Porter, 663 F.3d at 124945 (“Once causation is established, the petitioner is entitled to compensation[,] unless the government can show by a preponderance of the evidence that the injury is due to factors unrelated to the vaccine, i.e., an alternative cause.” (citation omitted); see also Heinzelman v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., No. 07-01V, 2008 WL 5479123, at *1946 (Fed. Cl. 2008) (requiring the Government to demonstrate alternative causation by the same standards of proof that apply to a petitioner’s primary theory of causation); Porter, 663 F.3d at 124947 (“Once causation is established, the petitioner is entitled to compensation[,] unless the government can show by a preponderance of the evidence that the injury is due to factors unrelated to the vaccine, i.e., an alternative cause.” (citation omitted))). In this case, the Government proffered an “extremely questionable alternative explanation” that Petitioner was exposed to her babysitter’s mononucleosis, a theory that even the Special Master found was supported by “‘admittedly-inconclusive’ evidence.” Pet. Mem. at 20 (quoting 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24). In addition, the Government failed to provide a “known alternative factor” to explain Petitioner’s condition, because: (1) Petitioner’s positive EBV titer was the only evidence to support the theory that mononucleosis caused Petitioner’s condition; (2) neither expert found the EBV titer was probative as to whether or when Petitioner had mononucleosis; and (3) “the Special Master acknowledged that [Petitioner] does not have lupus.” Pet. Mem. at 20. In sum, Petitioner contends that she met her burden under Althen by establishing that the HPV vaccine caused her to experience ITP and the Government failed to establish an alternative explanation. Pet. Mem. at 20. As such, the Special Master’s February 5, 2018 Decision that Petitioner was not entitled to compensation for her injury was contrary to law. Pet. Mem. at 20. 44 Petitioner did not supply a pinpoint citation for this opinion. The court supplies the correct page number. 45 Petitioner cited to an unofficial commercial reporter, but also did not supply a pinpoint citation for this opinion. The court cites to the relevant portion in the Federal Reporter and supplies the correct page number. 46 Petitioner did not supply a pinpoint citation for this opinion. The court supplies the correct page number. 47 Petitioner cited to an unofficial commercial reporter, but also did not supply a pinpoint citation for this opinion. The court cites to the relevant portion in the Federal Reporter and supplies the correct page number. 29 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 30 of 34 2. The Government’s Response. The Government responds that the Special Master applied the correct standards in finding that Petitioner did not met her burden under Althen. Gov’t Resp. at 11. First, the Special Master found that Petitioner met her burden under the first element of Althen, by showing that the HPV vaccine “could cause ITP,” based “largely on other Vaccine Program cases” that accepted the theory of molecular mimicry advanced by Dr. Shoenfeld, but found that a petitioner nevertheless could fail to meet her burden under the second and third elements of Althen. Gov’t Resp. at 12. Instead, Petitioner failed to show, by preponderant evidence, that Petitioner’s theory of the vaccine causation “fits the timing of onset of the alleged vaccine injury in a medically-appropriate manner,” as required by de Bazan v. Secretary of Health and Human Services, 539 F.3d 1347 (Fed. Cir. 2008). Gov’t Resp. at 12 (citing de Bazan, 539 F.3d at 1352 (“[T]he proximate temporal relationship prong requires preponderant proof that the onset of symptoms occurred within a timeframe for which, given the medical understanding of the disorder’s etiology, it is medically acceptable to infer causation-in-fact[.]”)). In addition, the Government argues that the Special Master’s determination that Petitioner failed to establish “a medically acceptable onset of symptoms,” as required by the third element of Althen, has “ample support” in the record. Gov’t Resp. at 12. The Special Master correctly found the medical documentary evidence in favor of a July 2013 onset date more credible than the witness testimony of Petitioner and her mother in favor of a March 2013 onset date, in light of “the evidence as a whole.” Gov’t Resp. at 12–14 (citing 2/5/2018 Dec. at 21–22). After determining that July 2013 was the more credible onset date, the Special Master weighed the experts’ testimony as to “whether an onset of ITP six months after vaccination fits with [P]etitioner’s molecular mimicry theory.” Gov’t Resp. at 14. The Special Master’s finding not to credit Dr. Shoenfeld’s theory of molecular mimicry was supported by Dr. Shoenfeld’s having “similarly and unpersuasively testified in other Vaccine Program cases” that a wide variety of onset times can support the existence of an autoimmune condition. Gov’t Resp. at 14. Instead, the Special Master found to be credible Dr. Forsthuber’s testimony that an onset timeframe of up to twenty-eight days would support a causal relationship, and that beyond four weeks it became less likely that ITP was causally related to the vaccine. Gov’t Resp. at 15. Therefore, the Special Master found that “a timeframe of four to six weeks post-vaccination” was best supported by the record and determined that Petitioner did not satisfy her burden under the third element of Althen. Gov’t Resp. at 15–16 (citing 2/5/2018 Dec. at 23). In addition, the Government argues that the Special Master’s finding that Petitioner did not “‘provided a compelling narrative’” to establish “a ‘logical sequence of cause and effect,’” as required by the second element of Althen, was supported by the record. Gov’t Resp. at 16 (quoting 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24). That finding was supported by the absence of record evidence that any of Petitioner’s treating physicians considered the HPV vaccine as a cause of ITP, as well as by Dr. Forsthuber’s testimony that the timing of Petitioner’s symptoms did not conform with the timeline that he would expect under the challenge/re-challenge framework. Gov’t Resp. at 16–17 (citing 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24). 30 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 31 of 34 As such, the Special Master correctly “applied the controlling law on evaluating medical records versus contrary fact testimony,” considered the relevant evidence, and gave sufficient reasons for his finding that Petitioner did not meet her burden to establish entitlement to compensation. Gov’t Resp. at 18. 3. Petitioner’s Reply. Petitioner replies that neither the Special Master nor the Government acknowledged that Petitioner’s treating physician issued a vaccine exemption for Petitioner, because of “past reactions.” Pet. Reply at 1. Prior decisions of the United States Court of Federal Claims have found that such exemptions have been “construed as probative evidence.” Pet. Reply at 1–2 (citing Kelley, 68 Fed. Cl. at 98, 100; Andreu, 2008 WL 2009746, at *648). The Special Master’s failure to consider the vaccine exemption in this case renders his decision arbitrary. Pet. Reply at 2. Petitioner also reiterates that Petitioner and her mother gave “clear testimony” that Petitioner showed symptoms of ITP in March 2013. Pet. Reply at 2. Because the Special Master never made explicit a finding that Petitioner or her mother were not credible witnesses, the Special Master erred in discounting their testimony in finding that the onset of Petitioner’s ITP was in July 2013. Pet. Reply at 2–3. Petitioner also adds that, because the Special Master found the March 2013 onset not credible and the July 2013 onset to be too late to be causally linked to the HPV vaccine, “either way, Petitioner loses.” Pet. Reply at 4. But, “[w]hether the onset is March or July of 2013, Dr. Shoenfeld’s theory still encompasses both dates,” and the Special Master provided no rationale for not crediting that theory. Pet. Reply at 5. Finally, Petitioner reiterates that the Special Master found that the first element of Althen was established by a preponderance of the evidence. Pet. Reply at 5. 4. The Court’s Resolution. Petitioner’s primary contention in seeking review is that the Special Master imposed “too high a burden” as to the second and third elements of Althen and, in doing so, erred in finding that Petitioner’s expert’s theory of vaccine causation was not credible. Pet. Mem. at 12, 14–19. Petitioner does not dispute the Special Master’s finding that the onset of her ITP was in July 2013, but argues that Dr. Shoenfeld’s theory of causation should have been found medically plausible, even for that later onset date. Pet. Mem. at 14, 15. This is so, because Dr. Forsthuber conceded that a six-month onset window was possible, but the Special Master found that “[t]he range for onset can vary” and ITP’s onset can be “insidious.” Pet. Mem. at 17 (citing 6/7/2017 TR at 304; 2/5/2018 Dec. at 14). Therefore, Petitioner challenges the Special Master’s finding that Dr. Shoenfeld’s theory of Petitioner’s condition’s onset was not credible. Pet. Mem. at 17–18. The Special Master’s credibility determinations are “fact-based conclusions” entitled to “great deference,” and will not be disturbed on review, unless found to be arbitrary and capricious. See Broekelschen v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 618 F.3d 1339, 1345 (Fed. Cir. 2010); see 48 Petitioner did not provide a pinpoint citation for this authority. The court construes Petitioner to refer to the location of the pinpoint citation supplied here. 31 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 32 of 34 also Munn, 970 F.2d at 870 (“[T]he only time the Claims Court can make its own findings of fact is when that court, as a matter of law, has concluded that the special master was ‘arbitrary and capricious[.]’”). “It is not [the court’s] role to ‘second guess the Special Master’s fact-intensive conclusions[,] particularly in cases in which the medical evidence of causation is in dispute.’” Porter, 663 F.3d at 1249 (quoting Cedillo v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 617 F.3d 1328, 1338 (Fed. Cir. 2010)). Petitioner overstates Dr. Forsthuber’s agreement with Dr. Shoenfeld’s proposition that the onset of ITP’s can vary widely. Compare Pet. Mem. at 15 (“Dr. Forsthuber, Respondent’s expert, testified that the six-month interval was possible.”), with 6/7/2017 TR at 303–04 (Dr. Forsthuber relying on “animal models . . . [and] post-vaccine observations” to conclude that “a six-month interval is not completely impossible but just decreases the likelihood of [vaccine causation] being possible.”). Likewise, Petitioner’s argument that the February 5, 2018 Decision “agreed with Petitioner[’s] temporal theory” does not accurately reflect that the Special Master found in general that ITP could take “weeks to years” to manifest, but also made an explicit finding that the expert testimony, in this case, was that vaccine-induced ITP was more likely to manifest within four to six weeks of vaccination. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 14, 22–23 (citing 6/6/2017 TR at 86, 139–41; ECF No. 24-4; ECF No. 24-5; 6/7/2017 TR at 303–04). This finding is also consistent with other Vaccine Program decisions finding that ITP plausibly could be attributed to vaccination, if it developed within six weeks of vaccination. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 23. It is well established that a Special Master is entitled to determine the weight afforded to testimony and medical theories. See, e.g., Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1326 (“Finders of fact are entitled—indeed, expected—to make determinations as to the reliability of the evidence presented to them and, if appropriate, as to the credibility of the persons presenting that evidence.”). Because the Special Master relied on the testimony offered by Dr. Forsthuber and “well-reasoned decisions of [the Vaccine Program] involving ITP,” the record taken as a whole supports the Special Master’s determination that the onset of Petitioner’s ITP after six months was not plausibly causally related to the HPV vaccine. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 23; see also Doe v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 601 F.3d 1349, 1358 (Fed. Cir. 2010) (holding that because Section 300aa-13 requires that a special master’s findings be “based ‘on the record as a whole,’” a special master can consider evidence that undermines the petitioner’s argument while evaluating the prima facie case) (quoting 42 U.S.C. § 300aa-13(a)(1)). Petitioner adds that the Special Master’s factual findings created a situation where “Petitioner loses” no matter what. Pet. Reply at 4. But, the Special Master found that the onset of Petitioner’s ITP was in July 2013, rather than in March 2013, based on the testimony of Petitioner and her mother—therefore, Petitioner’s ITP manifested too late to be caused by the HPV vaccination. Pet. Reply at 3. For the first time in the Reply, Petitioner argues that the July 2013 onset determination was made in error and that a finding of onset in March 2013 would render Petitioner’s theory credible under Althen’s third element. Pet. Reply at 4–5. Cf. Pet. Mem. at 18 (“Whether onset was in March or July of 2013 makes no difference.”). The Reply insists that “Dr. Shoenfeld’s theory still encompasses both dates,” and argues that, even if the Special Master’s finding of a July 2013 onset date is upheld, Petitioner has met the burden under the third element of Althen. Pet. Reply at 4–5. 32 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 33 of 34 Again, as a matter of law, the court’s review does not “distinguish between cases in which onset is too soon and cases in which onset is too late; in either case, the temporal relationship is not such that it is medically acceptable to conclude that the vaccination and the injury are causally linked.” de Bazan, 539 F.3d at 1352. In this case, the Special Master found that the testimony of Petitioner and her mother less credible than the contemporaneous medical records that established a July 2013 onset date. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 21–22. In addition, the Special Master reviewed all the medical literature filed by the parties and heard the experts’ testimony before concluding that Dr. Shoenfeld’s theory was not supported by evidence. 2/5/2018 Dec. at 22–23; see also Porter, 663 F.3d at 1253–54 (holding that the “thorough and careful evaluation of all the evidence including records, tests, reports, and medical literature, as well as the experts’ opinions and their credibility” supported a special master’s determination that a petitioner had not met her burden in demonstrating vaccine causation). Therefore, the Special Master’s finding regarding the third element of Althen was not arbitrary or capricious, because Petitioner did not establish a proximate temporal relationship by a preponderance of the evidence. Under these circumstances, the court does not “reweigh the evidence.” Cedillo, 617 F.3d at 1338 (quotation marks omitted). As to the second element of Althen, the Special Master properly considered the logical sequence of cause and effect between the HPV vaccine and Petitioner’s ITP. Although the “preponderance of the evidence” standard in Vaccine Program cases is intended to “allow the finding of causation in a field bereft of complete and direct proof of how vaccines affect the human body,” Althen, 418 F.3d at 1280 (italics added), “[m]ere conclusory opinions . . . will not suffice as proof of causation,” Doyle v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 92 Fed. Cl. 1, 8 (Fed. Cl. 2010). Petitioner insists that she did not show symptoms of ITP until after she received the HPV vaccine. Pet. Mem. at 18. But, a simple “proximate temporal association alone does not suffice to show a causal link between the vaccination and the injury.” Moberly, 592 F.3d at 1323 (quoting Grant v. Sec’y of Health & Human Servs., 956 F.2d 1144, 1148 (Fed. Cir. 1992). Accordingly, the Special Master properly found that Petitioner did “not provide[ ] a compelling narrative, built from facts set forth in the medical record, establishing a ‘logical sequence of cause and effect’ associating vaccine to injury.” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24 (quoting Althen, 418 F.3d at 1278). Petitioner also argues that the Special Master neglected to consider that Petitioner’s treating physician ordered Petitioner not to have a vaccination “[d]ue to past vaccine reactions.” Pet. Mem. at 19 (citing Kelley, 68 Fed. Cl. at 98, 100 (giving evidentiary weight to a petitioner’s treating physicians’ direction that the petitioner not receive another tetanus vaccination); ECF No. 45-1). Therefore, the Special Master must have erred in finding that “[n]o treaters ever proposed a relationship between the HPV vaccine and Petitioner’s ITP.” Pet. Mem. at 19. But, Petitioner fails to consider that the note from her treating physician was issued in October 2016, when this case was pending before the Special Master. ECF No. 45-1 (note dated and filed on October 11, 2016). The treating physicians in Kelley, unlike any of Petitioner’s treating physicians here, “specified [vaccination] as a possible cause [of the petitioner’s injury] at both the initial and later phases of [the petitioner’s] diagnosis.” Kelley, 68 Fed. Cl. at 100. So, the United States Court of Federal Claims considered the physicians’ notes together with “reliable expert testimony that substantiate[d] [the petitioner’s] claim of causation-in-fact.” Id. In Andreu v. Secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services, No. 98-817V, 2008 WL 2009746 (Fed. Cl. 2010), several treating physicians noted the possible causal connection between the petitioner’s 33 Case 1:15-vv-00247-SGB Document 91 Filed 08/15/18 Page 34 of 34 vaccination history and injury, as early as a month after the onset of the petitioner’s condition. Id. at *5–6. But, the petitioner’s expert in Andreu relied on the treating physicians’ notes in concluding that the vaccine at issue caused the petitioner’s injury; and, the United States Court of Federal Claims determined that reliance was “reasonable” in “supporting . . . causation.” Id. at *6. Neither of these cases held that a treating physician’s notes alone were “probative” evidence of vaccine causation, as Petitioner suggests. Pet. Mem. at 19; Pet. Reply at 1. The only indication that any of Petitioner’s treating physicians considered the HPV vaccine as a cause of her ITP is the note from Dr. Amin-Chapman, that was written and filed with the court more than three years after the onset of Petitioner’s condition and over a year after Petitioner filed the March 10, 2015 Petition. Pet. Mem. at 19; ECF No. 45-1. Moreover, Petitioner’s mother testified at the entitlement hearing that Petitioner’s treating physicians “wouldn’t say” whether “they thought that the Gardasil vaccine caused [Petitioner’s] ITP.” 6/6/2017 TR at 29. Dr. Shoenfeld agreed that Dr. Amin-Chapman “believ[ed] that [Petitioner] had the ITP as a result of the . . . vaccine,” 2/5/2018 Dec. at 24, but the note did not indicate “what contributed to [Dr. Amin-Chapman’s] conviction since she didn’t write it in the chart before.” 6/6/2017 TR at 146– 47; 6/7/2017 TR at 255. Therefore, the Special Master’s finding that Dr. Amin-Chapman’s note warranted less weight than the treating physicians’ notes in Kelley and Andreu was not arbitrary and capricious. In any event, the Special Master’s determination that Petitioner did not satisfy the third element of Althen was made prior to and independent of his determination regarding the second element. Therefore, even if the Special Master’s reasoning regarding the second element might have been different if he relied on Dr. Amin-Chapman’s note, the bottom line is Petitioner failed to establish all the elements of Althen. Accordingly, it is not necessary for the court to consider Petitioner’s argument that the Government did not make out a case for an “alternative factor” that caused Petitioner’s injury. See Bradley v. Sec’y of Dep’t of Health & Human Servs, 991 F.2d 1570, 1575 (Fed. Cir. 1993) (holding that when a “special master concludes that a petitioner has not demonstrated [causation] by a preponderance of the evidence . . . , the alternative causation theories of [Section 300aa- 13(a)(1)(B)] need not be addressed.”). III. CONCLUSION. For these reasons, Petitioner’s March 7, 2018 Motion For Review is denied. The Clerk of Court is directed to enter judgment accordingly. IT IS SO ORDERED. . s/ Susan G. Braden SUSAN G. BRADEN Senior Judge 34